JPMorgan: Gold and Bitcoin Surge as Debasement Trade Gains Momentum
Global investment bank JPMorgan’s analysts have highlighted the growing impact of the “debasement trade” in boosting gold and bitcoin prices. Gold’s rise is linked to inflation, geopolitical instability, and waning trust in fiat currencies. Both institutional and retail investors are viewing gold and bitcoin as safe havens amid global economic uncertainty, with future trends depending on geopolitical events and fiscal policies.
JPMorgan Discusses How the ‘Debasement Trade’ Is Fueling Gold and Bitcoin Gains
JPMorgan’s analysts have highlighted how the “debasement trade” is driving gains in both gold and bitcoin. Led by global strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, the analysts noted that gold has surged beyond what could be explained by dollar and real bond yield movements alone. Instead, they attribute the increase to a range of factors, including geopolitical uncertainty, inflation concerns, and declining confidence in fiat currencies.
They explained: “The ‘debasement trade’ is a term that reflects a combination of gold demand factors which in our client conversations range from structurally higher geopolitical uncertainty since 2022, to persistent high uncertainty about the longer-term inflation backdrop, to concerns about ‘debt debasement’ due to persistently high government deficits across major economies, to waning confidence in fiat currencies in certain emerging markets, and to a broader diversification away from the dollar.”
The analysts also emphasized that gold’s price, around $2,700 per ounce, and bitcoin, near $60,000, have given them new currency, so to speak. They pointed to the falling share of the U.S. dollar in global currency reserves, noting that the dollar now accounts for just 57% of reserves, according to International Monetary Fund (IMF) data. Despite China pausing its gold purchases since April, JPMorgan said:
''There is little doubt that the pace of central bank purchases is key to gauging the future trajectory for gold prices.
