The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 88.6%

According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 88.6%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 11.4%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 34.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 58.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 6.9%#美联储何时降息？ #美联储降息周期 $BTC $BNB

[What are the highlights of the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's press conference at 2:00 am on June 13, 2024, Beijing time? ]
1. Dot plot expectations: Will the Fed lower its 2024 rate cut expectations from 3 to 2 times?
2. Economic expectations: Will the Fed raise its GDP, PCE and unemployment rate expectations this year?
3. Statement wording: Will the Fed slightly adjust its wording on inflation?
4. Powell's press conference: Explanation of the dot plot and views on the latest CPI and non-farm data.
#美国5月CPI超预期回落 #美联储利率决策即将公布

CZ was sentenced to 4 months in prison. Now I finally understand what 4 means. The current violent clean-up is exactly the interest rate cut in September 4 months later and the election in the United States. It seems that all this has its own definition.

US presidential candidate Kennedy: If elected, the entire US budget will be put on the blockchain

US presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) has announced plans to put the entire US budget on the blockchain if he is elected president of the United States.

Kennedy explained that every American can view every budget item in the entire budget at any time 24 hours a day. He added that if someone spends $16,000 on a toilet seat, everyone will know about it. $BTC $ETH $BNB

The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 95.4%

According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 95.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.6%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by June is 85.0%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 14.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.5%. #大盘走势 #比特币减半 $BTC $BNB

Only fingers that bleed can play the world's most beautiful sound$BTC $BNB

Biden made a rare statement: the start of the rate cut will be delayed by at least one month

On April 11, despite the latest report showing high inflation, US President Biden said he still expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates before the end of the year. Biden said that Wednesday's report may delay the start of the rate cut by at least one month, but he was not sure how the Fed would eventually act.

The three consecutive months of the US core CPI exceeding expectations have dealt a new blow to Biden's re-election prospects, exacerbating voters' concerns that Biden will be punished for high prices. But Biden defended his economic policies while acknowledging the stubbornness of inflation. "We have significantly reduced inflation from 9% to nearly 3%, and we are in a better situation." Biden said. Traditionally, the White House does not usually comment on the Fed's decisions, and the president has previously promised to respect the independence of the central bank. But Biden said last month that he expected the Fed to cut interest rates$BTC $BNB #非农数据 #大盘走势 #CPI数据

Eagle King Kashkari:
On April 5, Kashkari of the Federal Reserve said that the Federal Reserve may not need to cut interest rates this year. If inflation progress stagnates, especially if the economy remains strong, there may be no need to cut interest rates this year. Kashkari said at an event on Thursday: "In my March forecast, if inflation continues to fall back to the 2% target level, there will be two rate cuts this year. But if the inflation trend continues to go sideways, that will make me question whether we need to cut interest rates." He pointed out that the inflation data in January and February were "a little worrying" and said he needed to see more progress in prices to be convinced that inflation is moving towards the Fed's 2% target before considering cutting interest rates. He emphasized the importance of using inflation data as a guide for interest rate decisions.

On April 5, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed down collectively: the Dow fell 1.35%, the Nasdaq fell 1.4%, and the S&P 500 fell 1.23%. Hot technology stocks fell across the board, Nvidia fell more than 3%, and Google fell more than 2%. #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥 #BNB‬

ICP is a must-have that I am very optimistic about, and it has fallen from the high point of thousands of dollars. Although it is listed as one of the Four Heavenly Kings, ICP has its own unique applications. It has everything it should have and shouldn’t have. I bought part of it when it was only 4 dollars, but I didn’t buy too much to keep for a long time. There will definitely be no problem breaking through 100 in the future😍
#BTC $ICP

Ordinals added to U.S. National Vulnerability Database on December 9

The U.S. National Vulnerability Database (NVD) flagged BTC Ordinals as a cybersecurity risk on December 9, calling attention to the vulnerability. Being added to the NVD's list means that a specific cybersecurity vulnerability has been identified and deemed important for raising public awareness. The database is managed by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), a division of the U.S. Department of Commerce.

As previously reported, Bitcoin Core developer Luke Dashjr said that a vulnerability exploited by Inscription in the Bitcoin Core client has been assigned the identifier CVE-2023-50428. In this regard, SlowMist founder Yu Xian said that it is normal for CVE numbers to be cited by NVD, and it does not rise to the level of seeking help from the US federal government and trying to review serial number/inscription transactions.
#Ordi就是BRC20的大饼，ARKB是etf叙事的龙头币。 $ORDI

Where should the rats and BRC-20 that have recently emerged from the BTC network go?
According to news on December 6, Bitcoin Core developer Luke Dashjr confirmed in a reply on the social platform that if the Bitcoin Core vulnerability previously disclosed by him is fixed, it means that Ordinals and BRC-20 will no longer exist. Another comment stated that if Inscription wanted to continue, a greener approach would be to create an Inscription chain, similar to Layer 2 of ETH, which would only require regular submission of hashes to BTC to run, right? Luke Dashjr replied, yes that works. Then it doesn't even need to have a block size limit at all, each node can set its own limit (or not)
#ORDI $ORDI

Salvador Bukele: I finally got over it!
Today the pie hit US$4.2 million, and the country’s pie investment has now made more than US$3 million in profit. You laugh at Brother Bug too early, Brother Bug laughs at you for playing too little😊 $BTC #BTC

Fed's Daley: No interest rate cuts currently considered
There is currently no interest rate cut at all, and it is too early to judge whether the Fed has ended raising interest rates #BTC $BTC

SpaceX’s satellite funded by Doge, named “Doge-1” satellite, has received regulatory approval
The SpaceX “Doge-1” satellite, funded and named by DOGE, has received approval from the U.S. National Telecommunications and Information Administration (NTIA) and is seeking final approval from the U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC).
It is reported that the DOGE-1 satellite was developed by the space technology company Geometric Energy Corporation, which announced the project in May 2021. The satellite will be launched by a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket. #DOGE-1🐕🐕🐕🐕🐕🐕上月球 $DOGE

Binance.US: CZ will resign as Chairman of the Board and will no longer participate in our governance
Binance.US issued a document on the Binance.US continues to be led by Norman Reed and the existing, experienced management team. We are well-capitalized to continue building and growing our platform and do so with new clarity and momentum while maintaining the same customer-first commitment.
#BNB🔥 $BNB

Binance launches ETHW futures trading, causing ETHW price to surge
1. Binance recently announced the launch of Ethereum PoW (ETHW) futures, causing the price of altcoins to surge sharply.

Binance ETHW Futures: Binance Futures will launch ETHW futures with leverage up to 50 times. According to An’an’s announcement, ETHW futures are scheduled to start at 15:30 TRT today.
For ETHW futures, the maximum funding rate is +/-2%, with funding fees recalculated every four hours.

2. Announcement drives up ETHW price
ETHW price surged as Binance announced the launch of futures. The altcoin, which was trading at $2.5 before the news, surged more than 50% to $3.7 within minutes. The current price of ETHW is 833% lower than the historical high of $28 on September 16.
#ethw #ETH. $ETH

What will be the subsequent impact of the reconciliation between Zhao Changpeng, the richest Chinese man, and the United States?
1. The risk is completely realized (Binance’s hidden mine is completely realized)
2. Fund security (Zhao Changpeng denies misappropriation of user funds)
3. Binance’s new CEO, Charlie, takes over and is expected to lead the web3 industry to a new level (Charlie has many years of financial experience)
4. Long-arm jurisdiction
5. The big-ticket spot ETF will soon pass
This incident heralds Binance’s complete settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This brings an end to Binance’s five-year tortuous and long development path. $BTC $BNB #BNB🔥

Recently, Lido has been exposed to more and more problems. The final script of the white-glove Lido agreement is nothing more than the following:
1. A private key vulnerability suddenly emerged, resulting in theft, and 50% of the ETH deposits were compromised.
2. There was a problem with the contract, and a large part of the ETH was locked on the chain "forever". The two factions began to fight, discussing whether to fork Ethereum.
3. The contract logic was mistaken when a programmer deployed it. The version number might be v4v5 or something, and the one-time withdrawal became a linear withdrawal.
At present, Ethereum is currently facing these two huge problems. One is Lido and the other is Ethereum’s response to today’s Layer 2.
PS: Layer 2 explodes with thunder and damages the fur, Lido explodes with thunder and damages the muscles and bones.
Another piece of not-so-cold knowledge: Justin Sun is the largest pledger of Ethereum. $ETH #ETH

The pie encountered some resistance here at 38,000
Test a few times
But I should still have to go up in the end.
Then from 38,000 to 42,000 there is only 10% left
20% would be 46,000

Big Pie: Give me some time, you know me
The price is really hard to break
Here at 45000-50000
There are two line-level tops in this range
A lot of trapped funds were released at this position $BTC
#BTC #ETH