Market analysis + script killing prediction: #btc #行情分析 #剧本杀

No nonsense, conclusion first!
The brothers in the community like to hear me shout directly. I am more inclined to enter the consolidation stage after hitting the four-hour level downward trend line, and then absorb funds to break through the trend angle line, and then continue to hit higher points!

Reason:
Pay attention to the previous high point at the four-hour level. After there is a clear signal of consolidation at the top, it starts to fall slowly, and then falls in large volume📉.
I think the core reason for the upward breakthrough at this position is that the top of the bottom before the four-hour level rise has been stepped back, which is a relatively stable upward pattern, unlike the previous low point, which fell sharply and then rose quickly! So I personally prefer that this breakthrough will be a continuous rise in the big cycle, and there will only be a small callback.

Operation strategy:
You can enter the market now and take profit near 61457 (wait for the consolidation to end), and then look for a long order to enter the market again to take advantage of the breakthrough.
Of course, there is another scenario, which is that the price above 61000 starts to fall sharply and returns to 60000 to kill liquidity. We will adapt to the situation and change according to the overall market situation at that time~ This is one scenario at present! ⬇️

Market analysis + script killing prediction: #BTC☀ #剧本杀

BTC daily level:
Bitcoin trend has been strong recently~ Pay attention to the five consecutive positive lines of the daily K line (shrinking volume and rising 📈), wait for the sixth day K line to close the cross Yin or shrinking cross Yang after five consecutive positive lines, and then you can open a short position! I will also shout out the entry time in the community at any time.

Operation idea:
Short layout below 58700, pay attention to the strong pressure level of 58700 at the four-hour level, and do not force entry at this position! The daily level closes the cross star, and you can enter the market at the hourly level to find a buying point!
(I wish everyone can make money, analysis is not easy, everyone remember to like it after reading it👍)

This is an article about the analysis and prediction of the future market of #BTC and the layout of the medium and long-term script: #BTC #剧本杀

The monthly line of the big cake closed below the 60,000 key integer mark at 0:00 on August 31 ⬇️, which is a very dangerous signal ⚠️. The new monthly line is a low opening and low closing, which is a very weak form.

The overall market contract positions and transaction volume are gradually decreasing, and the U price in the market has always been around 7.12. The coin price has been 📉, but the U price has not 📈. The logic behind the rise in the U price is: after the coin price fell to a price that is recognized by funds in the market, many people began to buy U to buy the bottom, or buy U plus margin (long orders are trapped), but obviously there is no sign of large funds entering to buy the bottom, and the contract position is also very small. This price does not meet market expectations. The conclusion is: the probability of continuing to explore is very high!

Mid- and long-term script-killing layout🥷:⬇️Figure
This time I will bring you the daily script-killing trend. Before, I always gave you the hourly level #剧本杀 , so the accuracy is very high. This is the first time I try the daily script-killing. I personally tend to have a consolidation bottoming phenomenon near the range of 52856-50553, and then judge whether there will be a definite reversal signal based on the on-chain data at that time📶

⚠️ (Trading tests human nature, the market changes rapidly, everyone must set a stop loss for themselves when placing orders, there is no permanent profit master👨‍🏫)

I have finished watching the Bitcoin Conference, presidential candidate: Donald Trump’s 50-minute speech. Let me sort out the key points of this speech⚠️
#Bitcoin #Trump2024 #Binance

1⃣: Support for Cryptocurrencies: Trump has expressed support for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, a significant departure from his previous skepticism. He stresses that Bitcoin will “fly to the moon” and wants the U.S. to lead in cryptocurrency
2⃣: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: There are rumors that Trump may propose the establishment of a US Bitcoin strategic reserve. This would involve governments holding large amounts of Bitcoin, potentially affecting market dynamics and signaling strong government support for cryptocurrencies
3⃣: Regulatory environment: Trump attended the conference and made positive remarks, indicating that under his leadership, there may be a shift to a more friendly cryptocurrency regulatory environment. This could include reducing regulatory barriers and supporting policies for cryptocurrency businesses and investors
4⃣: Campaign Donations: Trump’s campaign has begun accepting donations in various cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin. The move is in line with his efforts to win votes from the crypto community and signal wider acceptance of digital currencies in political fundraising
5⃣: Political Impact: Trump’s attendance and speech at the conference is seen as a strategic move to attract votes from the growing crypto community. This development could put pressure on other politicians, especially the Biden administration, to take a more favorable stance on cryptocurrencies to remain competitive
6⃣: Wider political interest: The conference also featured other high-profile political figures such as Robert F. Kennedy and Vivek Ramaswamy, who shared their vision for integrating blockchain technology into government services, and plans to increase the use of Bitcoin in the financial system

"How is the trend of#BTCafter halving?" #BTC☀

Technical aspect: Oscillating downward, serious daily-level washout, the market is mainly jumping up and down, constantly washing high-leverage, and collapsing altcoins by the way, and the altcoins have basically fallen by more than 50%.

Fundamentals: Zhao Changpeng's judgment, a large number of altcoins have been unlocked, interest rate cut dot matrix, and the Fed's interest rate cut expectations

✅ In fact, the impact of various news is to guide investors in the market to make wrong judgments. Only a few people can make money in the market. In the absence of knowing what the future market will be like, they can only control their hands and only do deterministic transactions. What is deterministic trading? It means that the market begins to show a right-side breakthrough trend in a period of oscillating trend, and chases in, because in the previous oscillating trend, most of the players who love the band have been washed out, and the price will leave the oscillation range to find the next position to continue a new round of trend.

Conclusion: It is currently in a daily level oscillating downward, waiting for a round of new highs to go long at the retracement position!

"Can the bull still come back to life?" #BTC #行情分析

Recently, all social networks and Twitter are in a state of panic. In fact, no one can say where the price of Bitcoin has fallen so far. We can only do some data backtesting and try to find the right sword.
1⃣️The current daily level is 56540, the first time from the highest point to the lowest point in the previous round of rebound, with a drop of 23.35%. This round of decline from the highest point to the current 56686 is 21.24%.
2⃣️The trend after falling below 60,000 is basically rising with a rapid rebound trend. I call this position a vacuum bag, because the price comes here and does not want to stay here for too long.
3⃣️The trend above is the same. They all rebounded at 60,000, but the amplitude is different. Then they broke below 60,000 and fell directly back to around 56,000.

To sum up, you can see that the script of this decline is extremely similar to the previous round of decline. The only difference is that this round of wash-out is very fast, and the rebound encountered in the middle is very small. Now you can go long with a light position to try the rebound strength of this position. Remember to set a stop loss!

⭕️After being in this circle for a long time, I don’t seem to have any idea about a few hundred dollars. Many people in the circle can easily make millions or hundreds of thousands of dollars in profit. There are so many A8A9 bosses, and everyone seems to be very high-end.

➡️But I still work hard to lead my group members to make a few hundred dollars every day. Today’s profit is 300 dollars, which is 2,100 RMB at least!
I don’t like going out to socialize more and more. Every day, a bunch of people talk about projects and businesses of hundreds of millions or tens of millions. I don’t know how much money I have in my pocket. I can’t change the outside circle, but in my community, I focus on being real, making money together, and reviewing when I lose money!
(Finally: Health comes first☝️, making money comes second.)
Note: To join the community, private me on Twitter @0x_henry8

At 2 a.m. tonight, the Fed kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.5% for the seventh time, in line with market expectations. #美联储连续第七次维持基准利率不变

Hawkish dot plot:
Shows that the Fed has delayed the start of rate cuts, which may be as late as December. Fed officials believe that there will be at most one rate cut this year, two fewer than expected in March, because the inflation rate is approaching the 2% target at a slower rate than expected. The dot plot shows that among the 19 officials, four officials believe that there will be no rate cuts this year, seven officials believe that there will be one rate cut, and eight officials believe that there will be two rate cuts. #美联储何时降息？

➡️
It seems that the Fed will cut interest rates later and slower than investors expected, but the Fed's policy rate is expected to fall rapidly next year, with a full percentage point cut in both 2025 and 2026.

2024.6.12 #BTC Market analysis:
It is highly likely that the price of Bitcoin will form a head and shoulders top pattern and come to the position of 64854, which is a strong support. If the price of Bitcoin falls to this point, enter 50% of the position directly in the spot market and try to choose strong copycats.
News: May CPI annual rate at 8:30 tonight, previous value: 3.4%, forecast value: 3.4%, published value: ? ? ? (Published value > forecast value = good for the US dollar 💲) You can also wait for the data to be released and enter the market after the shock.
Friends who enter the market in advance, if they have a wave of gains near the evening, they will close their positions and wait and see, and wait for the data to be released before entering the market.

#RNDRUSDT "The longer it goes sideways,????" Add the next sentence yourself
AI sector market value $2.9 billion, the "little Nvidia" in AI
I personally have been adding positions on dips, the fundamentals are good, and the support price is around 10 yuan.

RNDR liquidation heat map is about to liquidate a large number of short orders, getting closer and closer, waiting to take off. Moreover, most of the short orders are 50 times leveraged contracts, and this wave of ups and downs is strong, and it is rising 📈

《狂暴大牛市即将来临，6月份后市关注什么？》 #BTC #ETH
大饼连续横盘数天后，周一上午拉了起来，现在市场的节奏是：大饼横盘，山寨。大饼下跌，山寨回调。大饼上涨，山寨普涨。山寨已经逐渐脱离大饼控盘的节奏。

极度需要关注的几个赛道：
#RWA ：HIFI
#MEME ：pepe -bome -wif
#AI ：RNDR- AGIX- ARKMD
符文 ：DOG- RUNECOIN- LOBO -即将上线（EPIC）

6月份以后重点关注的几个宏观消息面：
1⃣：五月份非农数据新鲜出炉
2⃣：11.5号美国总统大选（往年总统大选都是暴涨！）
3⃣：美联储预计今年9-11月份会降息一次
4⃣：6-7月是粉丝币季节，可能会带动一波整体市场

技术面角度：
比特币日级别在67000形成了强硬的防守阵营，保证市场砸不破到达60000，新一波的拉升，给足了比特币向下回调的空间，足够比特币进行驻底反弹行为，这是牛市来临前 比较良好的表现，而且从时间周期来看，比特币4.20号减半以来，下破56000后作为拐点，一直在持续性的震荡上行，为下半年的狂暴大牛市做准备。

The market is bleak over the weekend, with almost no fluctuations on the market. This is also the best time for a trader to calm down, learn, think and review! #BTC #Crypto #交易

I found a relatively awesome "cryptocurrency filter" that helps traders or retail investors find high-quality currencies at the fastest speed. You only need to enter your personal currency selection logic and data, and it will automatically filter out the currencies that meet your trading strategy.

According to:
1⃣ Rating 2⃣ Market value 3⃣ FD market value 4⃣ Trading volume/market value 5⃣ Address with balance 6⃣ Trading volume 7⃣ Trading volume change% 8⃣ USD trading volume 9⃣️ Up and down%🔟 Performance% etc. ~ to make corresponding selection of high-quality coins

You can also directly select the screening of the corresponding popular sectors. This step actually greatly improves the time of selecting coins and is very suitable for most traders and retail investors.
(If you find it useful, please like and forward it for me and follow me. I will find more similar functional software and tools🔧 to share)

Tonight Beijing time: 20:30 The United States announced the annual rate of the core PCE price index in April. #美国4月份核心PCE #美联储
This data is a key indicator used to measure the inflation of private consumption in the United States. If the annual rate of core PCE increases by more than 2%, the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy, which is beneficial to the US dollar.
(Announced value > predicted value = favorable for the US dollar)
Forecast value: 2.8% Previous value: 2.8% Announced value: ? ? ? (The probability is also 2.8%)
The last announcement was on April 26, and the big cake first pulled up and then fell again
📉, this time I estimate that it will also pull up first and then smash, or directly fall and insert a needle. Everyone should do a good job of risk control and reduce contract positions. Don't think about hanging a short order in advance, a needle will send you to the west~

The altcoin is coming soon! Which coins should be bought at the bottom: #BTC #ETH
After several rounds of decline, the altcoin has reached a very suitable position for buying at the bottom, and has also begun to slowly break away from the big cake and move independently.
1⃣️ HIFI: RWA sector fully circulated low market value token (0.830 entry)
2⃣️ ETHFI: known as "Little Ether" (4.324 entry)
3⃣️ RNDR: Functional token, 9.92 is the defense zone of strong dealers (10.0 entry)
I am currently only optimistic about these tokens. If you have other recommendations, you can share them in this comment area!

2024.5.29: #BTC #行情分析
Bitcoin has been consolidating in a horizontal area for five consecutive days and has not moved in a certain direction. Now it is possible for both long and short positions to move, so it is not recommended to do left-side trading. Just wait and see. The net inflow of spot funds is also gradually decreasing. Pay attention to the risk of falling. I also said in my last tweet that I have seen the decline to 66,000 and it has not moved in a certain direction yet, so my opinion remains unchanged!

How to find high-quality altcoins in the currency circle? What conditions need to be met?
#BTC #ETH #Crypto

1. Project team Conditions: Background, experience and reputation of team members. Check whether they have successful project experience in blockchain or related fields.
Example: Ethereum: Founder Vitalik Buterin and other team members have rich experience and reputation in the blockchain field. Cardano: Led by Charles Hoskinson, one of the co-founders of Ethereum.

2. Technology and innovation Conditions: Whether the project provides technological innovation or solves certain problems of existing blockchains.
Example: Chainlink: It solves the problem of smart contracts interacting with external data through decentralized oracles. Polkadot: It provides cross-chain interoperability, allowing information and assets to flow between different blockchains.

3. Community and ecosystem Conditions: Whether the project has an active and growing community, and whether it has a large number of developers and users to support it.
Examples: Ethereum: has the largest developer community and numerous DApps (decentralized applications). Binance Coin: supported by Binance exchange, with a large user base and ecosystem.

4. Practical Application and Adoption Condition: whether the project has practical application scenarios and user adoption cases.
Example: VeChain: has been put into practical use in supply chain management and cooperates with multiple large enterprises. Basic Attention Token (BAT): used to reward Brave browser users and content creators, with a real user base.

5. Market Performance and Liquidity Condition: the performance of the project in the market, including market value, trading volume and liquidity.
Example: Litecoin: as a "beta" version of Bitcoin, it has been stable in the market for a long time and has good liquidity. Chainlink: the market value and trading volume have been growing steadily, showing that the market recognizes it.

6. Compliance and Transparency Condition: the legal compliance of the project and the transparency of the team, including regular progress reports and transparent financial situation.
Example: Ripple: Despite facing some legal challenges, its team has maintained a high level of transparency and worked hard with regulators.Stellar: The team publishes regular progress reports and works with multiple financial institutions to ensure compliance.

Summary: Finding high-quality altcoins requires comprehensive consideration of multiple factors, including the background of the project team, technological innovation, community and ecosystem support, actual application and adoption, market performance, and compliance and transparency. By carefully studying and analyzing these conditions, investors can better identify altcoins with potential.

For example, Ethereum has always been considered a top altcoin due to its strong technical foundation and large developer community; and Chainlink has also become a high-profile project due to its unique technical solutions and market recognition. In short, by comprehensively evaluating these conditions, investors can find high-quality altcoins in the currency circle.

A day in the life of a post-00s trader: #交易员 #BTC

) Get up at 8am: have breakfast, turn on the computer, reply to Twitter messages, check Twitter, and see the market hotspots of the day

) 10am: Start writing market analysis of the market (review + data research) and organize it into short articles and publish it on various platforms and communities. ) 12pm Watch the K-line analysis of major YouTube bloggers and collect different voices to judge the direction of the future market.

Most of the afternoon is spent paying attention to the trends of various valuable communities, and then I personally look for opportunities to do short-term trading (earn living expenses).
I will also rush to the local dog, which is to follow the news of friends. I personally have not studied this area~ At night, I relax and play games, sometimes watch food broadcasts, watch TV series, and then go out to play billiards until midnight and go home to sleep😪
How about you? I want to know how everyone lives😄

2024.5.16 BTC market analysis: #BTC #ETH #美联储

Conclusion first: The first support level: 64560 (pay attention to the consolidation situation, whether it stabilizes). The second support level: around 63000 (the bottom of the phased correction, breaking here is a new round of downward trend) 📉

The short-term positive of the big cake CPI pulled up to 66670, breaking through the key downward range resistance level in front: (around 64854). This pull-up is the fundamental positive pull-up. As for the future market trend, can it continue to rise? 📈
1⃣️: Mainly depends on whether the purchasing power of the two key bottoms of the correction is strong (demand)
2⃣️: Fundamentals (April core PCE data) are also one of the data that the Federal Reserve is most concerned about, and it will be released on May 31.

Summary: Without the support of VC institutions and Wall Street funds, the market can rebound significantly with retail investors' funds alone. In fact, more attention should be paid to the net inflow data of spot funds and the fundamentals of the Federal Reserve data. There is no need to worry about the various technical indicators. Just looking at this round of decline, it has already fallen below many technical patterns~

Ten years of market experience is not as good as a trading system built in one year

Retail guerrilla trading or trader equation trading "How should you choose?"

Personal experience summary, six trading rules!

🎁

Develop your own trading system~

💹

The content is as follows:
1. Learn market knowledge: First, traders need to learn and understand the basic knowledge of financial markets, including market participants, trading tools, market indicators and price patterns. This can be done by studying relevant books, attending training courses, tracking financial news and market reports, etc.
2. Develop a trading plan: Traders need to develop their own trading plan, which includes trading goals, risk tolerance, money management strategies and market analysis methods. Trading plans should be individualized to suit personal style and preferences.
3. Technical analysis and fundamental analysis: Traders can use technical analysis and fundamental analysis to identify potential trading opportunities. Technical analysis involves studying price charts and indicators to find price trends and patterns. Fundamental analysis involves evaluating economic and market fundamentals data to determine the value and prospects of assets.
4. Practice Trading: Traders need to gain experience and improve their skills through practice trading. This can be achieved through simulated trading accounts or small real trades. When practicing trading, traders should record trading decisions, executions and results for later analysis and reflection.
5. Risk Management: Traders' trading systems should include effective risk management strategies to control risks and protect funds. This may involve measures such as setting stop-loss orders, developing risk-return ratio rules and position management.
6. Continuous Learning and Improvement: Successful trading systems require continuous learning and improvement. Traders should continue to track market changes, pay attention to the effectiveness of trading strategies, and adjust and improve them based on market feedback and personal experience.
⭕️
: It should be noted that each trader's trading system may be different because it is customized according to personal experience, risk tolerance and market preferences. In addition, the cultivation of a trading system is a long-term process that requires continuous learning, practice and self-reflection.
📛⛔️⛔️