大仙说币
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大仙说币
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致力于比特币、以太坊、山寨币、外汇、现货等投资领域研究分析，驰骋金融市场十余年，拥有丰富的实盘操作经验，投资有风险，入市需谨慎。
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Big Deity Talks Coin: 6/26 U.S. tech stocks plunge collectively! Risk-hedging sentiment sweeps across the entire crypto market!The crypto market’s sell-off tsunami has not stopped—it has only intensified further. After Bitcoin broke below the $60,000 mark in the early hours of the 25th, late that night Beijing time, the market once again faced another wave of highly destructive, strong selling pressure. The main line of defense for the largest cryptocurrency by market cap, Bitcoin, has completely breached; the price has plunged relentlessly, at one point hitting close to the $58,000 level.
Meanwhile, Ethereum’s downturn has been even more brutal. Not only did it easily break below the crucial $1,600 psychological level, it even at one point pushed toward the $1,500 edge. The overall market has fallen into an atmosphere of extreme panic.
Big Deity Talks Coin: 6/26 U.S. tech stocks plunge collectively! Risk-hedging sentiment sweeps across the entire crypto market!
The crypto market’s sell-off tsunami has not stopped—it has only intensified further. After Bitcoin broke below the $60,000 mark in the early hours of the 25th, late that night Beijing time, the market once again faced another wave of highly destructive, strong selling pressure. The main line of defense for the largest cryptocurrency by market cap, Bitcoin, has completely breached; the price has plunged relentlessly, at one point hitting close to the $58,000 level.
Meanwhile, Ethereum’s downturn has been even more brutal. Not only did it easily break below the crucial $1,600 psychological level, it even at one point pushed toward the $1,500 edge. The overall market has fallen into an atmosphere of extreme panic.
Meanwhile, Ethereum’s downturn has been even more brutal. Not only did it easily break below the crucial $1,600 psychological level, it even at one point pushed toward the $1,500 edge. The overall market has fallen into an atmosphere of extreme panic.
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Big Man Says Coins: On June 25, the pullback from the intraday peak exceeded 9%! The Bitcoin bearish trend is clearly continuing!Bitcoin’s recent price correction not only tests investors’ confidence, but also challenges the claim that technical models have already explained the cryptocurrency market. After Bitcoin set a record high of $126,000 in October 2025, it has already seen a drop of as much as 50%.
At around 2:00 a.m. today, a terrifying scene unfolded. The price of Bitcoin fell steadily from the 24-hour high of 63,239, with the lowest wick dipping to 59,071—breaking below $60,000, a psychological level that the market widely regards as the watershed between bulls and bears. However, it has since stabilized slightly. As of the time of writing, the quoted price is 61,629. Ethereum also tumbled in tandem; the lowest it reached was 1,551, and as of the time of writing, it is quoted at 1,643. Since the June 16 high point, Bitcoin’s high has been 67,268, and Ethereum’s high has been 1,848. Together, both have evaporated more than 9.5% and 12% from their respective tops, and the downtrend is clearly ongoing with no sign of stabilizing.
Big Man Says Coins: On June 25, the pullback from the intraday peak exceeded 9%! The Bitcoin bearish trend is clearly continuing!
Bitcoin’s recent price correction not only tests investors’ confidence, but also challenges the claim that technical models have already explained the cryptocurrency market. After Bitcoin set a record high of $126,000 in October 2025, it has already seen a drop of as much as 50%.
At around 2:00 a.m. today, a terrifying scene unfolded. The price of Bitcoin fell steadily from the 24-hour high of 63,239, with the lowest wick dipping to 59,071—breaking below $60,000, a psychological level that the market widely regards as the watershed between bulls and bears. However, it has since stabilized slightly. As of the time of writing, the quoted price is 61,629. Ethereum also tumbled in tandem; the lowest it reached was 1,551, and as of the time of writing, it is quoted at 1,643. Since the June 16 high point, Bitcoin’s high has been 67,268, and Ethereum’s high has been 1,848. Together, both have evaporated more than 9.5% and 12% from their respective tops, and the downtrend is clearly ongoing with no sign of stabilizing.
At around 2:00 a.m. today, a terrifying scene unfolded. The price of Bitcoin fell steadily from the 24-hour high of 63,239, with the lowest wick dipping to 59,071—breaking below $60,000, a psychological level that the market widely regards as the watershed between bulls and bears. However, it has since stabilized slightly. As of the time of writing, the quoted price is 61,629. Ethereum also tumbled in tandem; the lowest it reached was 1,551, and as of the time of writing, it is quoted at 1,643. Since the June 16 high point, Bitcoin’s high has been 67,268, and Ethereum’s high has been 1,848. Together, both have evaporated more than 9.5% and 12% from their respective tops, and the downtrend is clearly ongoing with no sign of stabilizing.
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Big Man Talks Coins: The rate-cut expectations have been completely reversed on June 22! The crypto market is unlikely to break out of a weak and sideways consolidation in the near term!Bitcoin fell into a dead quiet early this morning. After being hit by last week’s first hawkish appearance by the Fed Chair Powell (Jerome Powell), Bitcoin has slid steadily from the $67,203 high it reached on June 16. Over the weekend, it has traded sideways around $64,000 with no rebound momentum. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is quoted at about $64,100, down 0.45% over the past 24 hours, and briefly dipped as low as $63,270 during the day. Ethereum is weakening in tandem as well; as of the time of writing, it is trading at $1,748, down about 0.36% over the past 24 hours. With the “hawkish shadow” weighing on the market, buy orders are nearly frozen.
The main pressure behind this slump comes from the FOMC meeting on June 17. The newly appointed Fed Chair Powell presided over the decision-making for the first time. Although the interest-rate range remained unchanged at 3.5%–3.75%, the dot plot was significantly revised upward for both inflation and the interest-rate path. Nine officials expect at least one rate hike by year-end. The market has started repricing for hikes rather than cuts, putting risk assets under immediate pressure.
Big Man Talks Coins: The rate-cut expectations have been completely reversed on June 22! The crypto market is unlikely to break out of a weak and sideways consolidation in the near term!
Bitcoin fell into a dead quiet early this morning. After being hit by last week’s first hawkish appearance by the Fed Chair Powell (Jerome Powell), Bitcoin has slid steadily from the $67,203 high it reached on June 16. Over the weekend, it has traded sideways around $64,000 with no rebound momentum. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is quoted at about $64,100, down 0.45% over the past 24 hours, and briefly dipped as low as $63,270 during the day. Ethereum is weakening in tandem as well; as of the time of writing, it is trading at $1,748, down about 0.36% over the past 24 hours. With the “hawkish shadow” weighing on the market, buy orders are nearly frozen.
The main pressure behind this slump comes from the FOMC meeting on June 17. The newly appointed Fed Chair Powell presided over the decision-making for the first time. Although the interest-rate range remained unchanged at 3.5%–3.75%, the dot plot was significantly revised upward for both inflation and the interest-rate path. Nine officials expect at least one rate hike by year-end. The market has started repricing for hikes rather than cuts, putting risk assets under immediate pressure.
The main pressure behind this slump comes from the FOMC meeting on June 17. The newly appointed Fed Chair Powell presided over the decision-making for the first time. Although the interest-rate range remained unchanged at 3.5%–3.75%, the dot plot was significantly revised upward for both inflation and the interest-rate path. Nine officials expect at least one rate hike by year-end. The market has started repricing for hikes rather than cuts, putting risk assets under immediate pressure.
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Crypto Guru Says: 6.15 U.S.-Iran Conflict Resolved, Strait Reopens, Two Major Cryptos Bounce Back, Future Markets Anchor on Fed Decision!The U.S. and Iran announced on the 14th that they have reached a peace agreement, agreeing to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The formal signing ceremony will take place on Friday in Switzerland. The Strait of Hormuz is a crucial choke point for global oil transport; its reopening is expected to trigger a drop in oil prices, and the market's inflation expectations are likely to be revised downwards.
Bitcoin, as a risk asset and inflation hedge, quickly surged following the drop in oil prices. Over a 24-hour period, on-chain Bitcoin trading volume jumped by 8%. As of the morning of the 15th, Bitcoin was priced at $66,000, marking a strong rebound of nearly 10% from the June 6 low of $59,353. Ethereum peaked at $1,732, also rising from a low of $1,522, with a 24-hour increase of 1.34%. Last week's panic selling is gradually being absorbed, but whether the bulls can maintain their footing will depend on the Federal Reserve's FOMC interest rate decision and the comments from the new Fed chair this Wednesday.
Crypto Guru Says: 6.15 U.S.-Iran Conflict Resolved, Strait Reopens, Two Major Cryptos Bounce Back, Future Markets Anchor on Fed Decision!
The U.S. and Iran announced on the 14th that they have reached a peace agreement, agreeing to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The formal signing ceremony will take place on Friday in Switzerland. The Strait of Hormuz is a crucial choke point for global oil transport; its reopening is expected to trigger a drop in oil prices, and the market's inflation expectations are likely to be revised downwards.
Bitcoin, as a risk asset and inflation hedge, quickly surged following the drop in oil prices. Over a 24-hour period, on-chain Bitcoin trading volume jumped by 8%. As of the morning of the 15th, Bitcoin was priced at $66,000, marking a strong rebound of nearly 10% from the June 6 low of $59,353. Ethereum peaked at $1,732, also rising from a low of $1,522, with a 24-hour increase of 1.34%. Last week's panic selling is gradually being absorbed, but whether the bulls can maintain their footing will depend on the Federal Reserve's FOMC interest rate decision and the comments from the new Fed chair this Wednesday.
Bitcoin, as a risk asset and inflation hedge, quickly surged following the drop in oil prices. Over a 24-hour period, on-chain Bitcoin trading volume jumped by 8%. As of the morning of the 15th, Bitcoin was priced at $66,000, marking a strong rebound of nearly 10% from the June 6 low of $59,353. Ethereum peaked at $1,732, also rising from a low of $1,522, with a 24-hour increase of 1.34%. Last week's panic selling is gradually being absorbed, but whether the bulls can maintain their footing will depend on the Federal Reserve's FOMC interest rate decision and the comments from the new Fed chair this Wednesday.
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The Guru Says: With the 6.9 CPI data approaching, the crypto market faces increased pressure and risks!Bitcoin has plummeted from its peak of $77,398 on May 26, crashing over two weeks to hit a low of $59,087 on June 6, marking the steepest decline since February 2026. As of 9 AM today, Bitcoin is oscillating around a low of $62,569, down approximately 1.21% in the last 24 hours, with a trading range between $64,200 and $62,408. Ethereum is also showing weakness, currently priced at $1,670, having evaporated over 20% from its May 26 high of $2,126, and briefly dipping to a low of $1,522 during the week. Market sentiment has plunged into an ice valley, with rebound momentum still weak.
This drop didn't come out of nowhere; multiple negative catalysts have ignited the market. Since its launch in 2024, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF saw a staggering outflow of $3.4 billion last week alone, setting a historical record. The cumulative outflow has now persisted for 13 trading days, totaling $4.33 billion, with clear signs of institutional sell-offs.
The Guru Says: With the 6.9 CPI data approaching, the crypto market faces increased pressure and risks!
Bitcoin has plummeted from its peak of $77,398 on May 26, crashing over two weeks to hit a low of $59,087 on June 6, marking the steepest decline since February 2026. As of 9 AM today, Bitcoin is oscillating around a low of $62,569, down approximately 1.21% in the last 24 hours, with a trading range between $64,200 and $62,408. Ethereum is also showing weakness, currently priced at $1,670, having evaporated over 20% from its May 26 high of $2,126, and briefly dipping to a low of $1,522 during the week. Market sentiment has plunged into an ice valley, with rebound momentum still weak.
This drop didn't come out of nowhere; multiple negative catalysts have ignited the market. Since its launch in 2024, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF saw a staggering outflow of $3.4 billion last week alone, setting a historical record. The cumulative outflow has now persisted for 13 trading days, totaling $4.33 billion, with clear signs of institutional sell-offs.
This drop didn't come out of nowhere; multiple negative catalysts have ignited the market. Since its launch in 2024, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF saw a staggering outflow of $3.4 billion last week alone, setting a historical record. The cumulative outflow has now persisted for 13 trading days, totaling $4.33 billion, with clear signs of institutional sell-offs.
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Crypto Guru Says: After the 6.8 Non-Farm Shock, Coin Prices Rebound! Wednesday's CPI is the Key Indicator!On the evening of June 5th at 8:30 PM, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the latest non-farm payroll data, showing that the U.S. added 172,000 jobs in May, exceeding the expected 85,000. The unemployment rate for May held steady at 4.3%, marking the second consecutive month in line with market expectations. As a result, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility, momentarily dropping below the $60,000 level to a low of $59,087, while Ethereum also took a hit, plunging below the $1,600 support to a low of $1,504.
Meanwhile, the U.S. interest rate futures market has significantly ramped up bets on the Fed hiking rates at the December meeting. Previously, the odds of a rate hike in December were pegged at 48%, but following the release of the non-farm data, the probability has surged to 65%. For the June rate meeting, the market still generally believes the Fed will keep rates steady in the 3.5%-3.75% range. Stronger-than-expected employment data indicates that the U.S. labor market remains resilient, further diminishing expectations for a rate cut in the near term, while also bolstering investor sentiment regarding the Fed potentially resuming rate hikes to tackle inflation pressures.
Crypto Guru Says: After the 6.8 Non-Farm Shock, Coin Prices Rebound! Wednesday's CPI is the Key Indicator!
On the evening of June 5th at 8:30 PM, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the latest non-farm payroll data, showing that the U.S. added 172,000 jobs in May, exceeding the expected 85,000. The unemployment rate for May held steady at 4.3%, marking the second consecutive month in line with market expectations. As a result, Bitcoin experienced significant volatility, momentarily dropping below the $60,000 level to a low of $59,087, while Ethereum also took a hit, plunging below the $1,600 support to a low of $1,504.
Meanwhile, the U.S. interest rate futures market has significantly ramped up bets on the Fed hiking rates at the December meeting. Previously, the odds of a rate hike in December were pegged at 48%, but following the release of the non-farm data, the probability has surged to 65%. For the June rate meeting, the market still generally believes the Fed will keep rates steady in the 3.5%-3.75% range. Stronger-than-expected employment data indicates that the U.S. labor market remains resilient, further diminishing expectations for a rate cut in the near term, while also bolstering investor sentiment regarding the Fed potentially resuming rate hikes to tackle inflation pressures.
Meanwhile, the U.S. interest rate futures market has significantly ramped up bets on the Fed hiking rates at the December meeting. Previously, the odds of a rate hike in December were pegged at 48%, but following the release of the non-farm data, the probability has surged to 65%. For the June rate meeting, the market still generally believes the Fed will keep rates steady in the 3.5%-3.75% range. Stronger-than-expected employment data indicates that the U.S. labor market remains resilient, further diminishing expectations for a rate cut in the near term, while also bolstering investor sentiment regarding the Fed potentially resuming rate hikes to tackle inflation pressures.
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The Guru Says: 6.4 Institutions Selling Off Weighs Down Bitcoin! 61000 Becomes a Key Support Level!Bitcoin dropped to 61329 around 10 AM on June 4, continuing to lose ground from yesterday's high of 66000, marking a new low for the past 14 days, with a 24-hour drop of 7.11%. Ethereum followed suit, currently priced at 1743, down 7.28% in the last 24 hours, with the recent high of 2147 now just a distant memory.
In the past two days, multiple bearish news triggered a sell-off in the crypto market. The U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net outflow of $519 million on June 2, with BlackRock being the main seller, signaling a clear institutional sell-off. Saylor sold 32 Bitcoins for the first time in four years; while the amount isn't significant, the symbolic meaning is huge, sparking a strong emotional reaction in the market.
The Guru Says: 6.4 Institutions Selling Off Weighs Down Bitcoin! 61000 Becomes a Key Support Level!
Bitcoin dropped to 61329 around 10 AM on June 4, continuing to lose ground from yesterday's high of 66000, marking a new low for the past 14 days, with a 24-hour drop of 7.11%. Ethereum followed suit, currently priced at 1743, down 7.28% in the last 24 hours, with the recent high of 2147 now just a distant memory.
In the past two days, multiple bearish news triggered a sell-off in the crypto market. The U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net outflow of $519 million on June 2, with BlackRock being the main seller, signaling a clear institutional sell-off. Saylor sold 32 Bitcoins for the first time in four years; while the amount isn't significant, the symbolic meaning is huge, sparking a strong emotional reaction in the market.
In the past two days, multiple bearish news triggered a sell-off in the crypto market. The U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net outflow of $519 million on June 2, with BlackRock being the main seller, signaling a clear institutional sell-off. Saylor sold 32 Bitcoins for the first time in four years; while the amount isn't significant, the symbolic meaning is huge, sparking a strong emotional reaction in the market.
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Crypto Guru Says: Major Correction in the Market on 5.27! Market Sentiment is Cautious!On May 27th, Beijing time, the crypto market faced intense sell pressure, with Bitcoin plummeting from the 78000 level seen on the evening of the 26th. It has broken through key support levels, falling below 76000 and 75000. As of the time of writing, the lowest quote is 74730. Meanwhile, Ethereum is also experiencing a sharp decline, breaking through the 2100 mark again, with a current low quote of 2050, entering a psychological battle to defend the 2000 USD level.
This sudden drop caught many long contract investors off guard. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation amount in the crypto derivatives market has reached a staggering 134 million USD.
Crypto Guru Says: Major Correction in the Market on 5.27! Market Sentiment is Cautious!
On May 27th, Beijing time, the crypto market faced intense sell pressure, with Bitcoin plummeting from the 78000 level seen on the evening of the 26th. It has broken through key support levels, falling below 76000 and 75000. As of the time of writing, the lowest quote is 74730. Meanwhile, Ethereum is also experiencing a sharp decline, breaking through the 2100 mark again, with a current low quote of 2050, entering a psychological battle to defend the 2000 USD level.
This sudden drop caught many long contract investors off guard. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation amount in the crypto derivatives market has reached a staggering 134 million USD.
This sudden drop caught many long contract investors off guard. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation amount in the crypto derivatives market has reached a staggering 134 million USD.
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#$BTC The price action we analyzed earlier is pretty much playing out as expected. We're currently at the target levels for this phase of the market, so the next key thing to watch is whether we get that anticipated pullback. Overall, it's a time to stay patient and keep an eye on the charts for direction. Let's keep tracking the market changes together with the experts.
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
#$BTC The price action we analyzed earlier is pretty much playing out as expected. We're currently at the target levels for this phase of the market, so the next key thing to watch is whether we get that anticipated pullback. Overall, it's a time to stay patient and keep an eye on the charts for direction. Let's keep tracking the market changes together with the experts.
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Crypto Guru Says: 5.20 Bitcoin Finds Support and Bounces Back! Shorts May Be Exhausted but No Reversal Yet!Market recap:
As shown in the chart, Bitcoin faced support around 76000 after yesterday's drop and bounced back into the 77160-78600 range. As of this writing, Bitcoin is priced at 77319, up about 2.01% in the last 24 hours.
Bitcoin four-hour chart
Bitcoin's current trend has entered a phase known as 'short-squeeze rebound window', but let's be clear, this isn't a full reversal yet, so don't rush into positions.
First, let's look at Fibonacci. This round dropped sharply from 82799 to 76010. Now Bitcoin has bounced back to around 77300, battling the 0.236 level, which is 77612. It's currently hovering below this level, unable to establish a solid position. Looking higher, there's strong resistance at 0.382, 78600, which is a significant hurdle. So, to put it simply, we're in a recovery phase after a deep drop. As long as it doesn't stabilize above 78600, the upward potential remains limited—don't expect it to skyrocket.
Crypto Guru Says: 5.20 Bitcoin Finds Support and Bounces Back! Shorts May Be Exhausted but No Reversal Yet!
Market recap:
As shown in the chart, Bitcoin faced support around 76000 after yesterday's drop and bounced back into the 77160-78600 range. As of this writing, Bitcoin is priced at 77319, up about 2.01% in the last 24 hours.
Bitcoin four-hour chart
Bitcoin's current trend has entered a phase known as 'short-squeeze rebound window', but let's be clear, this isn't a full reversal yet, so don't rush into positions.
First, let's look at Fibonacci. This round dropped sharply from 82799 to 76010. Now Bitcoin has bounced back to around 77300, battling the 0.236 level, which is 77612. It's currently hovering below this level, unable to establish a solid position. Looking higher, there's strong resistance at 0.382, 78600, which is a significant hurdle. So, to put it simply, we're in a recovery phase after a deep drop. As long as it doesn't stabilize above 78600, the upward potential remains limited—don't expect it to skyrocket.
As shown in the chart, Bitcoin faced support around 76000 after yesterday's drop and bounced back into the 77160-78600 range. As of this writing, Bitcoin is priced at 77319, up about 2.01% in the last 24 hours.
Bitcoin four-hour chart
Bitcoin's current trend has entered a phase known as 'short-squeeze rebound window', but let's be clear, this isn't a full reversal yet, so don't rush into positions.
First, let's look at Fibonacci. This round dropped sharply from 82799 to 76010. Now Bitcoin has bounced back to around 77300, battling the 0.236 level, which is 77612. It's currently hovering below this level, unable to establish a solid position. Looking higher, there's strong resistance at 0.382, 78600, which is a significant hurdle. So, to put it simply, we're in a recovery phase after a deep drop. As long as it doesn't stabilize above 78600, the upward potential remains limited—don't expect it to skyrocket.
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Crypto Guru Says: 5.19 Geopolitical Storm Strikes! Crypto Market Experiences Intense Volatility, Bitcoin Shows a Violent Spike Overnight!Early this morning at 3 AM, the crypto market experienced a synchronized spike, with Bitcoin plummeting from yesterday's high of $77,800 to a low of $76,051, even touching $76,201 at its lowest. Ethereum dipped to $2,081, SOL hit a low of $83.78, and XRP fell to $1.3638. All four coins hit their lows nearly simultaneously, then staged a V-shaped recovery. By 9:08 AM Beijing time, Bitcoin had rebounded to $77,110, Ethereum rose to $2,136, as the long and short positions flipped dramatically within a few hours.
The main reason for the pressure on risk assets is that, on May 18th at 3 AM EST, President Trump publicly warned of potential military action against Iran, triggering a market alert to geopolitical risks. Oil prices skyrocketed to $108, which was the direct catalyst for this spike.
Crypto Guru Says: 5.19 Geopolitical Storm Strikes! Crypto Market Experiences Intense Volatility, Bitcoin Shows a Violent Spike Overnight!
Early this morning at 3 AM, the crypto market experienced a synchronized spike, with Bitcoin plummeting from yesterday's high of $77,800 to a low of $76,051, even touching $76,201 at its lowest. Ethereum dipped to $2,081, SOL hit a low of $83.78, and XRP fell to $1.3638. All four coins hit their lows nearly simultaneously, then staged a V-shaped recovery. By 9:08 AM Beijing time, Bitcoin had rebounded to $77,110, Ethereum rose to $2,136, as the long and short positions flipped dramatically within a few hours.
The main reason for the pressure on risk assets is that, on May 18th at 3 AM EST, President Trump publicly warned of potential military action against Iran, triggering a market alert to geopolitical risks. Oil prices skyrocketed to $108, which was the direct catalyst for this spike.
The main reason for the pressure on risk assets is that, on May 18th at 3 AM EST, President Trump publicly warned of potential military action against Iran, triggering a market alert to geopolitical risks. Oil prices skyrocketed to $108, which was the direct catalyst for this spike.
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The Fed's April rate decision stays steady, and the crypto market is waiting for policy signals
At 2 AM Beijing time on April 30, the Fed will announce the April FOMC rate decision. The market expects the federal funds rate to remain unchanged in the 3.50%-3.75% range, with a 99.9% probability. This is also Powell's last policy meeting before stepping down.
This decision is a no-brainer, but the market is focused on the post-meeting statement and Powell's speech. Current U.S. inflation remains sticky, and the geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East are pushing oil prices up, leaving the Fed with little room for rate cuts in the short term. In a high-rate environment, the dollar and U.S. bond yields remain strong, putting noticeable pressure on crypto assets as risk assets.
Bitcoin has been oscillating around $77,000 recently, with market trading being cautious. If Powell sends out dovish signals, hinting at a rise in rate cut expectations, Bitcoin might rebound in the short term; however, if he maintains a hawkish tone, emphasizing the continuation of high rates, the crypto market is likely to experience narrow fluctuations, with altcoins facing greater correction pressure.
After this decision, the market will continue to monitor the Fed's subsequent policy path and the policy shift after the new chair takes over in May, with the crypto market still set to fluctuate with macro liquidity expectations. #BTC跌破$77K
The Fed's April rate decision stays steady, and the crypto market is waiting for policy signals
At 2 AM Beijing time on April 30, the Fed will announce the April FOMC rate decision. The market expects the federal funds rate to remain unchanged in the 3.50%-3.75% range, with a 99.9% probability. This is also Powell's last policy meeting before stepping down.
This decision is a no-brainer, but the market is focused on the post-meeting statement and Powell's speech. Current U.S. inflation remains sticky, and the geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East are pushing oil prices up, leaving the Fed with little room for rate cuts in the short term. In a high-rate environment, the dollar and U.S. bond yields remain strong, putting noticeable pressure on crypto assets as risk assets.
Bitcoin has been oscillating around $77,000 recently, with market trading being cautious. If Powell sends out dovish signals, hinting at a rise in rate cut expectations, Bitcoin might rebound in the short term; however, if he maintains a hawkish tone, emphasizing the continuation of high rates, the crypto market is likely to experience narrow fluctuations, with altcoins facing greater correction pressure.
After this decision, the market will continue to monitor the Fed's subsequent policy path and the policy shift after the new chair takes over in May, with the crypto market still set to fluctuate with macro liquidity expectations. #BTC跌破$77K
At 2 AM Beijing time on April 30, the Fed will announce the April FOMC rate decision. The market expects the federal funds rate to remain unchanged in the 3.50%-3.75% range, with a 99.9% probability. This is also Powell's last policy meeting before stepping down.
This decision is a no-brainer, but the market is focused on the post-meeting statement and Powell's speech. Current U.S. inflation remains sticky, and the geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East are pushing oil prices up, leaving the Fed with little room for rate cuts in the short term. In a high-rate environment, the dollar and U.S. bond yields remain strong, putting noticeable pressure on crypto assets as risk assets.
Bitcoin has been oscillating around $77,000 recently, with market trading being cautious. If Powell sends out dovish signals, hinting at a rise in rate cut expectations, Bitcoin might rebound in the short term; however, if he maintains a hawkish tone, emphasizing the continuation of high rates, the crypto market is likely to experience narrow fluctuations, with altcoins facing greater correction pressure.
After this decision, the market will continue to monitor the Fed's subsequent policy path and the policy shift after the new chair takes over in May, with the crypto market still set to fluctuate with macro liquidity expectations. #BTC跌破$77K
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Crypto Guru Says: FOMC Meeting Approaches Amid Geopolitical Crisis! Crypto Market Plunges, Sentiment Falls into Panic!The good days for the bulls are over. Bitcoin soared to a near two-week high of $79,438 on April 23, but has been bleeding ever since. By around 9 AM on April 28, it plummeted to a low of $76,324, currently quoted at $76,563, with a 24-hour drop of 3.26%. Ethereum is in even worse shape, crashing from yesterday's intraday high near $2,400 down to a low of $2,263, breaching the $2,300 mark decisively, and as of the time of writing, it's priced at $2,283, reflecting a 24-hour decline of about 4.01%. This widespread downturn has resulted in many long positions getting liquidated.
Behind this sharp sell-off, at least three forces are at play simultaneously. First is the pressure from the upcoming FOMC meeting. The Federal Reserve is holding a decision-making meeting from April 28 to 29, with results to be announced in the early hours of April 30 Beijing time. Currently, the market is pricing in a 99.9% probability of maintaining interest rates at 3.5%-3.75%. However, the concern is not about an interest rate hike but rather that Powell's stance may lean hawkish in his last meeting before stepping down on May 15, especially with the shadow of March's CPI-induced stagflation still looming; any hawkish remarks could suppress risk assets.
Crypto Guru Says: FOMC Meeting Approaches Amid Geopolitical Crisis! Crypto Market Plunges, Sentiment Falls into Panic!
The good days for the bulls are over. Bitcoin soared to a near two-week high of $79,438 on April 23, but has been bleeding ever since. By around 9 AM on April 28, it plummeted to a low of $76,324, currently quoted at $76,563, with a 24-hour drop of 3.26%. Ethereum is in even worse shape, crashing from yesterday's intraday high near $2,400 down to a low of $2,263, breaching the $2,300 mark decisively, and as of the time of writing, it's priced at $2,283, reflecting a 24-hour decline of about 4.01%. This widespread downturn has resulted in many long positions getting liquidated.
Behind this sharp sell-off, at least three forces are at play simultaneously. First is the pressure from the upcoming FOMC meeting. The Federal Reserve is holding a decision-making meeting from April 28 to 29, with results to be announced in the early hours of April 30 Beijing time. Currently, the market is pricing in a 99.9% probability of maintaining interest rates at 3.5%-3.75%. However, the concern is not about an interest rate hike but rather that Powell's stance may lean hawkish in his last meeting before stepping down on May 15, especially with the shadow of March's CPI-induced stagflation still looming; any hawkish remarks could suppress risk assets.
Behind this sharp sell-off, at least three forces are at play simultaneously. First is the pressure from the upcoming FOMC meeting. The Federal Reserve is holding a decision-making meeting from April 28 to 29, with results to be announced in the early hours of April 30 Beijing time. Currently, the market is pricing in a 99.9% probability of maintaining interest rates at 3.5%-3.75%. However, the concern is not about an interest rate hike but rather that Powell's stance may lean hawkish in his last meeting before stepping down on May 15, especially with the shadow of March's CPI-induced stagflation still looming; any hawkish remarks could suppress risk assets.
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Last night’s strategy clearly indicated to go long on BTC at 77800 for a short-term play. The market reacted as expected, spiking up to the 79000-80000 resistance zone before facing a pullback.
Bulls showed weakness at the peak, leading to a consolidation and a precise retracement to the 77800–76700 support zone, perfectly aligning with our predictions.
The rhythm of the highs and lows was nailed, providing ample space for long positions, and short-term arbitrage opportunities materialized right away. This swing trade has yielded impressive profits, and you can calculate your specific gains accordingly. $BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
#加密市场反弹
Last night’s strategy clearly indicated to go long on BTC at 77800 for a short-term play. The market reacted as expected, spiking up to the 79000-80000 resistance zone before facing a pullback.
Bulls showed weakness at the peak, leading to a consolidation and a precise retracement to the 77800–76700 support zone, perfectly aligning with our predictions.
The rhythm of the highs and lows was nailed, providing ample space for long positions, and short-term arbitrage opportunities materialized right away. This swing trade has yielded impressive profits, and you can calculate your specific gains accordingly. $BTC
#加密市场反弹
Bulls showed weakness at the peak, leading to a consolidation and a precise retracement to the 77800–76700 support zone, perfectly aligning with our predictions.
The rhythm of the highs and lows was nailed, providing ample space for long positions, and short-term arbitrage opportunities materialized right away. This swing trade has yielded impressive profits, and you can calculate your specific gains accordingly. $BTC
#加密市场反弹
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Crypto Guru Says: 4.22 Rate Cut Expectations Combined with Extended Ceasefire! Bitcoin Strongly Breaks Through $78,000!After experiencing a V-shaped recovery, Bitcoin has entered a short-term consolidation phase. Since hitting a low of $70,678 at 17:00 on April 13, buy orders have gradually returned. By around 9 AM this morning, it was priced at $76,323, fluctuating within a tight range of $74,821 to $76,927 over the last 24 hours. Ethereum has continued its recovery trend, rebounding from a low of $2,164 at 22:00 on April 9, reaching a peak of $2,451 at 01:00 on April 18, and this morning it has narrowly reclaimed the $2,300 mark, currently at $2,324, with a 24-hour increase of +0.12%.
As of today afternoon on the 22nd, Bitcoin has surged past the $78,000 mark, driven by a rebound in risk appetite following the extended ceasefire between the US and Iran, along with the dovish expectations surrounding next Tuesday's FOMC meeting. The current price is $78,394, reflecting a 3.19% increase and reaching a peak not seen in nearly two weeks. Ethereum followed suit, currently priced at $2,408, up 3.26%, just 2.4% shy of its April 18th peak at $2,451.
Crypto Guru Says: 4.22 Rate Cut Expectations Combined with Extended Ceasefire! Bitcoin Strongly Breaks Through $78,000!
After experiencing a V-shaped recovery, Bitcoin has entered a short-term consolidation phase. Since hitting a low of $70,678 at 17:00 on April 13, buy orders have gradually returned. By around 9 AM this morning, it was priced at $76,323, fluctuating within a tight range of $74,821 to $76,927 over the last 24 hours. Ethereum has continued its recovery trend, rebounding from a low of $2,164 at 22:00 on April 9, reaching a peak of $2,451 at 01:00 on April 18, and this morning it has narrowly reclaimed the $2,300 mark, currently at $2,324, with a 24-hour increase of +0.12%.
As of today afternoon on the 22nd, Bitcoin has surged past the $78,000 mark, driven by a rebound in risk appetite following the extended ceasefire between the US and Iran, along with the dovish expectations surrounding next Tuesday's FOMC meeting. The current price is $78,394, reflecting a 3.19% increase and reaching a peak not seen in nearly two weeks. Ethereum followed suit, currently priced at $2,408, up 3.26%, just 2.4% shy of its April 18th peak at $2,451.
As of today afternoon on the 22nd, Bitcoin has surged past the $78,000 mark, driven by a rebound in risk appetite following the extended ceasefire between the US and Iran, along with the dovish expectations surrounding next Tuesday's FOMC meeting. The current price is $78,394, reflecting a 3.19% increase and reaching a peak not seen in nearly two weeks. Ethereum followed suit, currently priced at $2,408, up 3.26%, just 2.4% shy of its April 18th peak at $2,451.
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Master Says Coin: 4.17 Bears Strongly Counterattack, Bitcoin Dips to 73300! The Market Weakens Across the Board!Around 10 PM Beijing time, the market trend sharply declined, and Bitcoin faced strong resistance, quickly falling below the $74,000 threshold, dipping as low as around $73,300. Meanwhile, Ethereum also did not escape, following the market plunge and losing the important psychological support level of $2,300, causing market sentiment to shift instantly from optimistic to cautious.
This sudden sharp decline caught many contract investors who were bullish about the market off guard, leading to a massive wave of liquidations in the derivatives market. In the past 24 hours, a total of up to 137,000 people across the cryptocurrency network suffered liquidation. The total amount of liquidation surged to $350 million, indicating that the strength of the market's bearish counterattack is extremely strong, with long positions becoming the primary victims.
Master Says Coin: 4.17 Bears Strongly Counterattack, Bitcoin Dips to 73300! The Market Weakens Across the Board!
Around 10 PM Beijing time, the market trend sharply declined, and Bitcoin faced strong resistance, quickly falling below the $74,000 threshold, dipping as low as around $73,300. Meanwhile, Ethereum also did not escape, following the market plunge and losing the important psychological support level of $2,300, causing market sentiment to shift instantly from optimistic to cautious.
This sudden sharp decline caught many contract investors who were bullish about the market off guard, leading to a massive wave of liquidations in the derivatives market. In the past 24 hours, a total of up to 137,000 people across the cryptocurrency network suffered liquidation. The total amount of liquidation surged to $350 million, indicating that the strength of the market's bearish counterattack is extremely strong, with long positions becoming the primary victims.
This sudden sharp decline caught many contract investors who were bullish about the market off guard, leading to a massive wave of liquidations in the derivatives market. In the past 24 hours, a total of up to 137,000 people across the cryptocurrency network suffered liquidation. The total amount of liquidation surged to $350 million, indicating that the strength of the market's bearish counterattack is extremely strong, with long positions becoming the primary victims.
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The Great Master Speaks: The Hormuz blockade is in effect on 4.15! Bitcoin stabilizes at the 74,000 mark!On April 13 at 10 AM Eastern Time, the Strait of Hormuz was fully sealed off. According to common sense reasoning, this should be a signal for another downturn in the crypto market—geopolitical crisis escalation, energy supply interruption risks, and rising global risk aversion sentiment. But the actual market trend is completely opposite.
Bitcoin rose instead of falling after the seal was enforced, reaching a peak of $76,063 yesterday, and stabilizing at $74,167 this morning. Ethereum also began to correct from a high of $2,417, and as of the time of writing, Bitcoin is quoted at $74,258, and Ethereum at $2,328. Accompanying this rebound, a total of $434 million was liquidated involving 180,000 traders; the market did not collapse due to the seal order, but instead completed a short squeeze with the blood of short sellers.
The Great Master Speaks: The Hormuz blockade is in effect on 4.15! Bitcoin stabilizes at the 74,000 mark!
On April 13 at 10 AM Eastern Time, the Strait of Hormuz was fully sealed off. According to common sense reasoning, this should be a signal for another downturn in the crypto market—geopolitical crisis escalation, energy supply interruption risks, and rising global risk aversion sentiment. But the actual market trend is completely opposite.
Bitcoin rose instead of falling after the seal was enforced, reaching a peak of $76,063 yesterday, and stabilizing at $74,167 this morning. Ethereum also began to correct from a high of $2,417, and as of the time of writing, Bitcoin is quoted at $74,258, and Ethereum at $2,328. Accompanying this rebound, a total of $434 million was liquidated involving 180,000 traders; the market did not collapse due to the seal order, but instead completed a short squeeze with the blood of short sellers.
Bitcoin rose instead of falling after the seal was enforced, reaching a peak of $76,063 yesterday, and stabilizing at $74,167 this morning. Ethereum also began to correct from a high of $2,417, and as of the time of writing, Bitcoin is quoted at $74,258, and Ethereum at $2,328. Accompanying this rebound, a total of $434 million was liquidated involving 180,000 traders; the market did not collapse due to the seal order, but instead completed a short squeeze with the blood of short sellers.
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The great master says: On 4.10, the situation in the Middle East changes again! The failure of the ceasefire pushes global oil prices upward!In the past 12 hours, the screens of global risk asset traders have been filled with three events: on April 9, U.S. stocks closed in the green amidst optimistic sentiments regarding a potential ceasefire, but Iran immediately denied the ceasefire after hours, causing oil prices to rebound. On April 10, at 8:30 AM Eastern Time, the U.S. will announce March's CPI. Alongside this, the implied volatility in the crypto market is quietly dropping to its lowest since January.
Bitcoin four-hour chart
The great master gives the conclusion first: the current price has entered the 'pressure level game zone'. Although the bullish strength is strong, a pullback may occur at any time. In summary: the trend is biased towards bullish, but this is 'the position where divergence should occur'.
The great master says: On 4.10, the situation in the Middle East changes again! The failure of the ceasefire pushes global oil prices upward!
In the past 12 hours, the screens of global risk asset traders have been filled with three events: on April 9, U.S. stocks closed in the green amidst optimistic sentiments regarding a potential ceasefire, but Iran immediately denied the ceasefire after hours, causing oil prices to rebound. On April 10, at 8:30 AM Eastern Time, the U.S. will announce March's CPI. Alongside this, the implied volatility in the crypto market is quietly dropping to its lowest since January.
Bitcoin four-hour chart
The great master gives the conclusion first: the current price has entered the 'pressure level game zone'. Although the bullish strength is strong, a pullback may occur at any time. In summary: the trend is biased towards bullish, but this is 'the position where divergence should occur'.
Bitcoin four-hour chart
The great master gives the conclusion first: the current price has entered the 'pressure level game zone'. Although the bullish strength is strong, a pullback may occur at any time. In summary: the trend is biased towards bullish, but this is 'the position where divergence should occur'.
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Master Says Coin: Geopolitical risks eased on April 9! The crypto market stops falling and rebounds to welcome a phase of recovery!The beautiful fire of the announcement suddenly ignited the long-silent crypto market. Bitcoin surged from a 24-hour low of $68,900 in the morning of the 8th Beijing time, breaking through the $70,000 mark and continuing to rise, reaching a daily high of $72,700, with a daily increase of about 5%. However, as of the time of writing, it has retreated to a quote of $70,736. Ethereum performed even stronger, with a highest price of $2,270 on the 8th, and a 24-hour increase of 7%. Similarly, it has also retreated at the time of writing, currently quoted at $2,177, with bullish sentiment reignited in Asia in the early hours of the 8th.
Master Says Coin: Geopolitical risks eased on April 9! The crypto market stops falling and rebounds to welcome a phase of recovery!
The beautiful fire of the announcement suddenly ignited the long-silent crypto market. Bitcoin surged from a 24-hour low of $68,900 in the morning of the 8th Beijing time, breaking through the $70,000 mark and continuing to rise, reaching a daily high of $72,700, with a daily increase of about 5%. However, as of the time of writing, it has retreated to a quote of $70,736. Ethereum performed even stronger, with a highest price of $2,270 on the 8th, and a 24-hour increase of 7%. Similarly, it has also retreated at the time of writing, currently quoted at $2,177, with bullish sentiment reignited in Asia in the early hours of the 8th.
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Master Says Coin: Panic Index at 4.2 Hits Historical Low! Crypto Market Weakens!The cryptocurrency market kicked off the second quarter of 2026 with a subtle balance. Bitcoin closed at 68300 USD on March 31, achieving its first monthly positive growth since September 2025. However, data shows that confidence has not fully returned behind this rebound.
The panic index fell to 8 yesterday, a level that has only been seen 7 times since 2018, and today it has slightly rebounded to 12, with market sentiment still frozen in the extreme fear zone. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin fluctuated from a daily high of 69171 to around 66230. The 24-hour decline is 2.63%. Ethereum followed a similar trend, dropping to around 2032, with a 24-hour decline of 1.13%, reflecting a contradictory market of 'high fear and low volatility.'
Master Says Coin: Panic Index at 4.2 Hits Historical Low! Crypto Market Weakens!
The cryptocurrency market kicked off the second quarter of 2026 with a subtle balance. Bitcoin closed at 68300 USD on March 31, achieving its first monthly positive growth since September 2025. However, data shows that confidence has not fully returned behind this rebound.
The panic index fell to 8 yesterday, a level that has only been seen 7 times since 2018, and today it has slightly rebounded to 12, with market sentiment still frozen in the extreme fear zone. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin fluctuated from a daily high of 69171 to around 66230. The 24-hour decline is 2.63%. Ethereum followed a similar trend, dropping to around 2032, with a 24-hour decline of 1.13%, reflecting a contradictory market of 'high fear and low volatility.'
The panic index fell to 8 yesterday, a level that has only been seen 7 times since 2018, and today it has slightly rebounded to 12, with market sentiment still frozen in the extreme fear zone. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin fluctuated from a daily high of 69171 to around 66230. The 24-hour decline is 2.63%. Ethereum followed a similar trend, dropping to around 2032, with a 24-hour decline of 1.13%, reflecting a contradictory market of 'high fear and low volatility.'
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