After 10 years of ups and downs in the blockchain market, he survived in two bear markets and thrived in two bull markets. An old blockchain investor, a cryptocurrency trend analyst, senior analyst, top first and second level resources, and his own investment research team.
China has become more powerful after the US interest rate cut.
The US interest rate cut is like a stone thrown into a lake, causing ripples in China. As China quickly follows up with the interest rate cut policy, a series of changes after the National Day are full of expectations.
Benefits of US interest rate cuts to China:
1. The US interest rate cut has brought a broader stage for Made in China. Robotic arms are waving around the world, orders are coming in like snowflakes, and foreign trade companies are smiling brightly. Relying on its strong manufacturing strength, China has continuously exported high-quality products to all parts of the world, making the name of "Made in China" even more famous.
Powell's speech attracted market attention, and the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy attracted attention
At 1:55 a.m. on October 1, 2024, Beijing time, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech at the National Association for Business Economics, which was like dropping a bombshell in the financial market. In this speech, Powell made it clear that the recent 50 basis point rate cut should not be seen as a signal of equally radical future measures, and the next step will be smaller in scale. At the same time, if economic data remains consistent, there may be two more rate cuts this year, with a total of 50 basis points. Prior to this, the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point interest rate cut on September 18, which has attracted great attention from the market. Powell's speech this time is undoubtedly a further elaboration on the future direction of monetary policy, and its importance is self-evident.
Big events in the cryptocurrency world in October!!!
1. US non-farm data
Job growth expectations: The market usually speculates on changes in non-farm payrolls based on the overall economic trend, industry dynamics, and trends in previous data. If economic growth is stable, it may be expected that the number of jobs will increase to a certain extent; if the economy faces uncertainties, such as trade tensions, global economic slowdown and other factors, job growth may be suppressed. Wage growth: Wage growth is also one of the key points of attention. Higher wage growth may indicate a tight labor market, and companies will increase salaries to attract and retain talent. This may have an impact on inflation and affect the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. Industry differences: Employment conditions in different industries may vary greatly. For example, the development of the technology industry may drive employment growth in related fields, while traditional manufacturing may face employment pressure due to factors such as the global trade situation.
Why do we say that if the cryptocurrency market doesn’t rally, funds will quickly flow out to other markets!
In the financial world, the cryptocurrency market is unique, but it also faces many challenges. Why is there a saying that "if the cryptocurrency market is not pumped up, funds will quickly flow out to other markets"?
First, the cryptocurrency market is still a new market with a relatively small scale. Compared with traditional large markets such as the global stock market and real estate market, the size of the cryptocurrency market is insignificant. This means that it is naturally in a weak position in terms of capital attraction. Once other markets show stronger appeal, the flow of funds is likely to change.
You are waiting for the bull market, I am waiting to short BTC!
The BTC market share, which has been rising for 2 years, may have peaked. The last round in 2019 peaked after the first interest rate cut, which means that BTC will change from a blood-sucking state to a continuous capital outflow, and there will be more opportunities for copycats. I am planning a medium- and long-term BTC short position
Five iron rules for top cryptocurrency traders! Each one is valuable!!!
1. Never buy high stocks The charm of the market lies in its uncertainty. When asset prices rise wildly, people are often driven by greed and eager to gain more profits by adding positions. However, as the iron law warns, the market will never be exactly what we imagine. Behind every seemingly attractive rise may be a huge risk. Heavily holding high positions is like dancing on the edge of a cliff. If you are not careful, you will fall into the abyss. Veterans know this well. They understand that market changes are unpredictable and impulsive behavior often brings heavy costs. Therefore, staying calm and restraining the urge to chase high prices is an important step to protect your wealth.
Huang Guangyu enters Web3: The new journey of traditional business giants
In the era of continuous integration and development of technology and business, an eye-catching news came - Huang Guangyu entered the Web3 field.
Huang Guangyu, once a powerful figure in the traditional business field, has undoubtedly attracted widespread attention and heated discussions with this move. Web3 represents the development direction of the new generation of the Internet, full of innovation and opportunities. For Huang Guangyu, this is a bold exploration and transformation.
Web3, with its decentralization, blockchain technology and smart contracts, has brought new possibilities to business. Huang Guangyu's entry may mean that he sees the huge potential of this field. On the one hand, Web3 can bring more efficient and transparent transaction models and supply chain management to traditional business. Through blockchain technology, problems such as product traceability and authenticity verification can be better solved, enhancing consumer trust. On the other hand, cryptocurrencies and digital assets in Web3 also provide new channels for business financing and investment.
This round of token unlocking is a must-see! Be sure to finish watching!!!
1. Optimism (OP) Optimism is considered to be one of the representatives of harvesting leeks in this round of VC projects. Its market value continues to rise, but its price has been falling, showing the same trend as its good brother ARB. Despite this, OP has strong core technology and a good project foundation, which makes short sellers panic. Its future development depends on the market's recognition of its technology and the project's operating strategy.
2. Maverick (MAV) Maverick's market value is only 90 million, and the unlocked tokens are close to 10 million. In this case, the project team is likely to ship the unlocked tokens. The low market value makes it easy to manipulate, and there may be a situation where the price is first pulled up and then shipped, which is a great test for investors' mentality. Investors need to be extra cautious when participating in this project and fully consider its risk factors.
3. Sui (SUI) Sui attracted attention a few days ago when the price was 1.73. It has 110 million US dollars in tokens, and a decline seems to be an inevitable trend. The current price has reached 1.66. For investors, Sui still has some room for operation, but it is necessary to pay close attention to market dynamics and the development of the project in order to adjust the investment strategy in time.
IV. ZetaChain (ZETA) ZetaChain has a market value of 300 million and unlocks 40 million tokens. This project is considered a junk project and junk coin, and there is no spot on some trading platforms. It previously used the new public chain to pull the market and rose 80% from the bottom. It has been removed from the watch list and is no longer worthy of further attention.
Congratulations on seeing this: This heavyweight player is the modular area, the blockchain leader Celestia (TIA), with a market value of 1.3 billion US dollars. At the end of October, 175 million tokens were unlocked. According to the current value, it exceeds 1 billion US dollars. Just go short it for me, short it until the end of the month, follow me, don’t make money, come and cut me.
I just read Santiment’s analysis and discovered the profit dynamics of Dogecoin, Shiba Inu Coin and Pepe Coin! These Memecoins are getting really interesting. Who knew they had so much potential?
The pie is smashing, but the copycats won’t follow suit! Altcoins are about to see a return in value in October.
First, various currencies showed significant differentiation after the interest rate cut. It is not difficult for careful investors to find that some niche tokens show amazing growth potential. Emerging tokens represented by WIF, ORDI and JUP increased by 45.9%, 33.5% and 25.5% respectively. The strong altcoins are clear at a glance.
In the world of cryptocurrencies, XRP has always been one of the most talked-about coins. Recently, a discussion initiated by Crypto Tank, a well-known figure in the XRP community, has reignited the heated debate on whether XRP has the potential to reach a value of $1,000 per token.
XRP’s role in global finance and the case for integration with SWIFT
First, we must examine the role of XRP in the global financial system. As the core of international financial information transmission, SWIFT handles a huge number of transaction instructions every day, but has obvious limitations in speed and cost. Transaction settlement can take days, and each transaction costs between $20 and $50. In contrast, innovative solutions such as RippleNet combine messaging with settlement, which is expected to complete transactions in seconds and at a much lower cost. Financial institutions can save hundreds of billions of dollars in fees each year by adopting RippleNet, which opens up a broad space for the application of XRP.
It will definitely fall below 60,000 before the end of October!
I’ll post this as proof. If it doesn’t fall below 60,000 by the end of October, come to me and get a health package (Select 5 guests in the comment section of this post)
Will Apple's purchase of Bitcoin accelerate Bitcoin's push to the $100,000 mark?
At present, the statement that "Apple is about to buy Bitcoin" is just speculation.
1. Possibility Analysis
1. Diversified investment needs Apple has a huge cash reserve and has been looking for new investment channels to diversify its assets. As an emerging asset class, Bitcoin has high risk and return potential and may attract Apple's attention. If Apple believes that Bitcoin has long-term investment value, it may consider investing part of its funds in the Bitcoin market.
2. For example, some large institutional investors have begun to include Bitcoin in their investment portfolios to hedge against inflation and risks in traditional financial markets. Apple may learn from the practices of these institutions and explore the feasibility of Bitcoin investment.
On September 30, 2024, Pepe has shown an interesting price dynamic in the cryptocurrency market. In the past week, Pepe has increased by 36%, and in the past 24 hours, it has also increased by 0.9%, and as of 12:40 am EST, it is trading at $0.00001126. However, the trading volume has decreased by 8% to $2.2 billion.
From a technical analysis perspective, the PEPE/USD price action is showing some key signs. Among them, the falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern that stands out, suggesting that prices may rise after a period of consolidation. The wedge seems to be narrowing, and the price is approaching a possible breakout point, which is expected to trigger a sharp rise. At the same time, the support zone has been established, and the price has repeatedly tested and rebounded from this level, showing strong buying pressure and preventing further declines.
It has long been said that BTC is mainly short-term high-altitude, supplemented by low-long, and bearish in the long term.
Pay attention to the 66000 position to arrange high-level shorts. This view has been verified. At present, the upper focus is on the 6500-65500 position to continue to look down.
Support below: 64200-63500-62500
It is still mainly high-altitude and supplemented by low-long. This week is a data week, and the daily fluctuations will be larger. It happens to be the National Day holiday, which is a good opportunity!
The protagonists all started out as supporting roles, "Zhao Changpeng"
In 2014, Zhao Changpeng sold all his properties in Shanghai and bought Bitcoin. In less than a year, the price of Bitcoin was halved. The housing prices in Shanghai increased by 100%. Despite the huge loss, he did not go bankrupt, but instead strengthened his belief in Bitcoin. Because a talented young man and industry veteran like him suffered a loss again. It shows that Bitcoin is indeed promising! Soon, in 2017, the opportunity he was waiting for came.
1. Poker Game In 2013, Shanghai. Several middle-aged men were sitting together playing cards. The room was an ordinary private room, and they were playing the usual way. No one could see anything special. Only Zhao Changpeng vaguely felt that his life might take an exciting turn here. Why? Outsiders generally don't know, but he knows it very well. Not everyone can play cards. Let's put it this way, if you throw a brick into the sky now, anyone who hits it will be an entrepreneur or founder.
On September 27, 2024, Binance co-founder and former CEO Changpeng Zhao finally ended his 4-month imprisonment.
Changpeng Zhao, often referred to as "CZ," was sentenced for failing to maintain an effective anti-money laundering (AML) program at Binance. This failure allowed the Binance platform to be abused by cybercriminals and terrorist organizations. As part of the plea agreement, Zhao paid a $50 million fine and agreed to resign from his position at Binance.
After serving time in a minimum-security prison in California, Zhao was sent to a halfway house in Long Beach. Although he has fulfilled his legal obligations, the plea agreement permanently prohibits him from holding any executive position at Binance. Even so, Zhao Changpeng remains a significant shareholder in Binance and has become one of the richest people in the world with a net worth of approximately $30 billion.
1. Before the Fed cut interest rates, the US stock market had already stimulated two sell-offs in August and early September
2. After the interest rate cut, the negative news has landed and the sentiment has been repaired
3. At present, domestic policy stimulus, big A Afghanistan, now people who do not trade stocks have begun to pay attention to the stock market
4. The election will be completed in early November, and the new president will have policy stimulus. Therefore, many large institutions will rush to speculate on future expectations in October
Conclusion: From the basic surge and plunge from March to now, it can be seen that no rise has broken through the previous high point. It is predicted that it will fall to the first position of 60,000 and the second position of 54,000. I have already shorted at 65,300.