#庄家思维 looks at $BTC , what does the dealer want to do?

The current market trend of BTC is likely a carefully planned long-short conversion operation by the dealer. From a weekly perspective, after experiencing a wedge adjustment for half a year, the market has initiated a new wave of upward momentum, with bullish sentiment running high and retail investors aggressively chasing the rise. However, with five weeks of overbought performance, the dealer has fully utilized the market's optimistic sentiment to complete a round of high-level distribution.

Recently, BTC has fallen to the upper Bollinger Band and has broken through the critical Fibonacci 1.15 support, while also testing the EMA7 support level, signaling a clear retracement. This is indicative of the dealer using technical retracement to wash out and clear out the floating funds.

From the indicators, the weekly MACD bullish volume is gradually weakening, the fast line is turning downward but still in the bullish zone, indicating that the dealer has not completely turned bearish, but is intentionally creating a false illusion of a retracement to lower market expectations and suppress retail confidence.

The daily MACD bearish volume has exploded, with the fast and slow lines turning downward, further reinforcing the short-term bearish atmosphere, attracting panic selling and counter-trend shorting funds. The dealer is likely using this operation to create the illusion that "the bulls are dead," while in reality, they are accumulating at low prices to prepare for the next round of upward movement.

Additionally, from market news, the recent hawkish remarks from the Federal Reserve and the decline in interest rate cut expectations are undoubtedly important tools for the dealer to harvest the bulls. These bearish factors, combined with market adjustments, not only amplify retail panic but also provide ample chips for the dealer to accumulate at low prices. The actions of Trump and his family fund WLFI quietly bottoming out ETH and LINK tokens further validate the possibility of the dealer's strategic positioning behind the scenes. This unusual market dynamic indicates that the current strong retracement is more like a planned harvesting under the cooperation of the dealer and policies.

In summary, the current BTC trend is not simply the end of a bull market, but a necessary means for the dealer to create short-term panic and adjust the rhythm. In the dealer's operational logic, every retracement is a process of accumulation and clearing floating funds, especially near key support levels (such as EMA55 and Fibonacci 1.382), which often serve as the starting point for the next bullish launch. One should avoid being influenced by short-term market emotions, rationally analyze technical signals and market dynamics, and wait for the new round of upward signals after the dealer completes their accumulation.