The probability of a 25-point rate cut in September is 37%, while the probability of a 50-point rate cut has risen to 63%. The probability of a 50-point rate cut is constantly increasing. Will the first rate cut be a killer move?
At present, all students can only wait patiently for the answer to be announced at 2 a.m. on the 19th. A 25-point rate cut will cause a market reversal, and a 50-point rate cut will spread panic.
Finally, we have to wait for Powell to speak on February 30. He explained the rebound clearly but not the plunge. Will there be a two-level reversal in the end? Now the rate cut of 50 points is pushing up. If the result is 25 when the rate cut is announced, it will be interesting.
Enter the copy:
🥮9.17 market view. 🥮
$BTC view:
Today is Mid-Autumn Festival㊗️ Happy Mid-Autumn Festival to all students! Remember to eat moon cakes.
The big cake broke through 58172 hourly level with volume and closed above 58172. Chase more on the right and withdraw the stop loss. Don't move if the entity can't stand up.
The big cake fell below 57627 with volume and could not be recovered. The right side of 57627 was chased short and the stop loss was recovered. The big cake is moving in a triangle convergence and is choosing a direction.
Pay attention to the 2b false breakthrough of 58975 above the big cake. You can short one hand. The high point of the false breakthrough is the stop loss. Don't hold the order.
If the big cake falls back to 56435, you can gamble with a small long position of 10,000. Note that it is a small long position. There will be a rebound in the first test of the small level support of 56435. It is not a reversal. Pay attention to the change of volume.
Pressure above the big cake 58347-59235-60225
Support below the big cake 57584-57048-56594
Flexibly use the support and resistance levels and wait patiently for the boarding position.
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🎈$ETH Thoughts: 🎈
The second cake is really tasteless to me, but it is a pity to throw it away.
The second cake breaks through 2294 and chases more on the right side, and withdraws the stop loss. Can you be tough for a second cake?
The second cake falls below 2271 hour level or 15 minute level with volume and cannot be withdrawn to chase short on the right side, and withdraw the stop loss. The second cake is likely to go around 2100.
Pay attention to 2342 above the second cake. If it is given, you can go short one hand, and stop loss after breaking through and standing firm.
The second cake falls back to 2215 and there is a false break and quickly withdraws one more hand. The low point of the false break is the stop loss position. Don't take more if there is no quick withdrawal.
The pressure above the second cake is 2336-2387-2416
The support below the second cake is 2264-2204-2181
The help from the classmates passing by (click on the follow + follow) is the greatest encouragement and support to me, thank you. The meeting is adjourned.
