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📌
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📌
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#返佣
#DOGE飙升
#BTC要挑战7W大关了吗？
#特朗普家族加密项目
$BTC
$ETH

$PEPE Buy! What are you waiting for? If not now, when? When the price is rising, you are waiting for a callback and say: you must buy at a certain position.
Now the callback has given you the opportunity, but you still say that you will buy at xxx position. Then I advise you not to buy, because the speed of decline will never catch up with the speed of your change.
Then you can only slap your thighs when it is rising and regret that you should buy all the positions when it fell to xxx position. This is the legendary missing out on a whole round of bull market. Haven't you heard of a saying? If you want to make money, you must be trapped first.
🇨🇳
See the picture: pepe's daily level 1:1 callback has been in place, and it has deeply callback to 1.618. At this position, you dare not buy all the positions. You can enter a first position, and then cover the position when it falls.
I really don't know what you are waiting for, I don't understand what you are afraid of in the spot. Can pepe return to zero? Definitely not. Can the big cake return to 50,000? It seems that it can't! Just remember that the general trend is upward, and don't create anxiety for yourself.
🇨🇳
Pepe also seems to be in the daily W-bottom pattern. Once the daily W-bottom is formed, at least the previous high will be seen. If it is fierce, it will not be a problem to see the new high. After talking about the good direction, let's talk about the bad expectations. Pepe's weekly level cannot fall below the position circled in the yellow box in the figure. If it falls below the 1313 support of the weekly level, it will go back to where 766 came from and return to its original shape.
I can only pray silently that the big cake will not continue to fall.
🇨🇳
Finally, students who want to buy spot should pay attention to the 3 positions marked in the figure, buy spot in batches and do a good job of position management.
Some students will ask what to do if the spot is full? Just lie down and wait for takeoff. The more it falls, the more it rises. There is a sea in your heart, and there are beaches wherever you go😃.
I hope my interpretation can help you.
$PEPE #PCE通胀降温 #USUAL走势分析 #比特币市场波动观察

$ETH Thoughts:
It's over, who can come out to save the market! Let's rebound and then fall again if the market keeps falling without turning back! It's unbearable to keep falling like this.
Is this still a bull market? Where is the bull? Has the bull returned home?
This year's bull market is one of the most difficult bull markets in history.
🐮
Look at the picture: The second cake rebounds to 3245 and falsely breaks through to recover a light position and short one hand, and falls back to 3111 and falsely breaks to recover one hand, with a stop loss.
Don't act rashly if there is no recovery, and pay attention to the changes in volume.
🐮
If the second cake daily level cannot recover to 3297 tomorrow, it will be completely useless, and look directly down to 3034-2866! Not to mention the exchange rate, go directly to the previous low of 0.03187 to test the support! If the support is effective, it can rebound, and if 0.03187 can't hold up, go to 0.027-0.023.
The second 15-minute level must break through 3240 and stabilize. It can look up to 3321-3379. If it can't go up, it will continue to fall. Meeting adjourned.
$ETH
#币安Alpha项目公布
#USUAL走势分析
#比特币市场波动观察

$BTC Evening View:
These few days of continuous new lows are just like the previous few days of continuous new highs. Why can many students only accept continuous new highs, but cannot accept continuous new lows? Only allow to rise, not fall?
Please tell me why? If you can't accept the retracement, don't come to this circle. Stay away as soon as possible to avoid sadness.
🌞
Look at the picture: If the US stock market opens at night, short one hand. Students who want to go long will wait for 93437 to give a light position to add one hand, and 94707 will be falsely broken and recovered.
The left side order must be light, and the stop loss band is good in the figure. Only choose one direction to do it, and never eat both long and short. Or which strategy comes first, do which one, long orders can only eat rebounds, not patterns.
🌞
The 1:1 retracement position of the Fibonacci 4-hour level is 93155, and continue to retrace to see 87200.
Only if the 1-hour level breaks through 95800, can we look up to 96827-97853.
At the 4-hour level, if the 94253 entity falls through, it will go to 90000.
$BTC
#币安Alpha项目公布
#USUAL走势分析
#比特币市场波动观察

🍺Market Insights on December 20.
$BTC 's Opinion:
The major coin seems to be forming a W bottom pattern on the hourly chart, but it must break the neckline at 98310 on the hourly level to continue moving upward. The target above is 99013-100200.

If the major coin breaks above 97483 with volume and closes above 97483, go long on the right side, and set a stop loss.
If it pulls back to 95972 and falsely breaks down but closes back above, you can take a small long position, with the stop loss at the fake breakdown low. Do not go long without a recovery action.

If it breaks 95972 downwards directly, go short on the right side, and set a stop loss.
🍺
Pay attention to a 2b false breakout at 100591 to take a small short position, and set a stop loss above 101120. Keep an eye on volume changes.
For a conservative approach, wait for 94747 to go long one position, with a stop loss below 94260.
The major coin cannot break below 95597 on the 4-hour level; if it does and cannot recover, then look down to 94248-93775-92641.
🍺
Upper pressure levels: 98360-99414-100618
Lower support levels: 95902-94827-93893
All highs and lows on the hourly chart for the major coin are decreasing, and it has not yet formed a consolidation continuation. The direction is unclear; be patient and wait for the major coin to form a consolidation continuation before opening a position.

🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺🍺

$ETH Strategy:
The secondary coin breaks above 3466 with volume; go long on the right side and set a stop loss.
If it pulls back to 3376 and confirms support, take a small long position, with a stop loss below.

If it breaks down below 3376 with volume, go short on the right side and set a stop loss.
The secondary coin must break above 3462 to look at 3522-3638.
🍺
For the secondary coin, pay attention to 3566 to take a short position; set a stop loss above 3600.
For left-side orders, 3239 requires a long position; set a stop loss below 3200.
Upper pressure levels: 3460-3516-3560
Lower support levels: 3379-3322-3251
If the secondary coin breaks down below 3244 on the 4-hour level, then all the gains in the past few months will be negated, and it will return to 3023-2810.
$BTC
#币安Alpha项目公布
#加密市场回调
#萨尔瓦多增持BTC

From the perspective of long-term trading results, different rules will definitely have differences in capital returns. The higher the return, the more it aligns with price trends; this is the conceptual advantage. Trading is about trading your concepts, and the specific entry points are also a product of those concepts.
Therefore, one should not rigidly determine which point to go long and which point to go short. Both long and short can be correct, as prices move continuously, and this 'continuity' will produce many changes; only rules can handle price fluctuations.
$ETH
#币安Alpha项目公布
#美联储放鹰

Whether it can be executed with accurate quantification over a long period. For example, the turtle trading rule has been a publicly available trading system for many years, but very few people have been able to make money from it so far. Why is that? It is because of the lack of understanding of the drawdown periods of the trading system, a misunderstanding of trading, and inadequate control of psychological rhythms during the trading process.
🐊
Position management is chaotic; many friends mistakenly believe that having a good system is enough to make money. In fact, this is a grave misunderstanding. I personally believe that trading skills or trading strategies account for less than 10% of the trading process. The focus is on controlling positions during execution and maintaining the psychological costs of trading.
🐊
Some people are overly calculative; they cannot tolerate a loss even once and stop trading. After observing for a while, they feel the system is decent and enter again, only to encounter another drawdown period and stop trading again. They lose exactly what they should have lost and exit when they should have gained.
Is this a matter of luck or personal psychological issues? Regardless of the method used, those who can achieve long-term stable profits in the market are individuals with simple thoughts, open personalities, focused minds, and calm demeanors.
Too smart people are not suited for trading.
$BTC
#币安Alpha项目公布
#美联储放鹰
#加密市场回调

$DOGE I don't know if you have taken advantage of the decline in the early morning and this morning to buy the spot of doge. At least you should also enter a first position, in case there is another good news to pull it up, you will not miss it.
You may want to wait for a lower price to buy, but have you ever thought that waiting for a lower price to buy is also a manifestation of greed.
You should seize the opportunity given to you. Don't wait for a bigger opportunity when the opportunity comes, otherwise you will miss the whole wave of market.
🐶
Look at the picture and talk: look at the two pin positions pointed by the white arrows at the daily level, the classic double-pin bottoming pattern, but the needle is a little short😃.
At the same daily level, is this going to be an arc top pattern, or is it just a bluff. Doge cannot fall below 0.34 at the daily level. Once it falls below the strong support of 0.34 at the daily level, the two Ks marked by the yellow arrows are in the vacuum zone, rising rapidly, and falling through will be faster.
If it falls below 0.34, it will look down to 0.27-0.219-limit 0.183
It takes two K lines to rise, but only one K line to fall.
🐶
I always feel that doge has not fallen to the right place. According to the Fibonacci 1:1 position, it will go to around 0.3, but it has not reached 0.3. The indicator is just a reference tool, not an absolute value, so I can only comfort myself in this way.
Is doge going to make up for the decline? If doge wants to return to strength, it must break through and stand firm at 0.414 before it can look up to 0.429-0.466, otherwise it will go box consolidation. Students who are optimistic about doge and you haven't bought it yet, you can buy the spot first position at the current price of 0.03654 and then make up for the decline. It doesn't mean that you can fill the position all at once.
🐶
Every big drop in the bull market is an opportunity for you to increase your position, not just doge. Now as long as there is a copycat spot that you are optimistic about, you can buy it boldly. Adjournment.
$DOGE #币安Alpha项目公布 #美联储放鹰 #加密市场回调

$ETH Evening Thoughts:
The second coin dropped quite sharply yesterday, and the exchange rate is even more dismal. Looking at the chart, the second coin on the 4-hour level seems to be forming a W bottom. The pullback at the 4-hour level has already occurred, and the candle body did not close below the previous low of 3560. Therefore, forming a W bottom pattern is reasonable, and once the W bottom is established, it may challenge the previous high since it has dipped sufficiently deep.
🥤
Speaking with the chart: do whichever one comes first, if not, just watch the show. Be sure to set stop-losses; if you don’t understand, ask. The second coin needs to break above 3780 on the hourly level to change the current minor downtrend, with upper targets at 3837-3911. If there are no positive news in the near term, it is highly likely that it will enter a consolidation phase to repair the market. The daily closing price for the second coin cannot close below 3624; if it does, then it will drop to 3467-3248. If it goes that way, just imagine what the imitation coins will look like; it’s hard to imagine. Meeting adjourned.
$ETH
#币安Alpha项目公布
#美联储放鹰
#加密市场回调

$BTC Evening Perspective:
Now everywhere there are bloody chips, do you dare to pick them up? I wonder how those who chased high before are doing? It's cool on the mountaintop, but don't worry, the overall trend is still upward; after a few days, it has gone up. Remember one thing: once a trend is formed, it is hard to change.
📌
Let the chart do the talking: If Bitcoin breaks above 102169 with volume, go long on the right side; if it falls below 101681, go short on the right side, and set proper stop losses.
Let’s see if tonight's US stock market opening can drive Bitcoin up a bit, after all, both US stocks and Bitcoin have fallen so much, it's time for an oversold rebound.
Bitcoin must stay above 102707 on the hourly level to look towards 103577-104389; if Bitcoin retests and falls below 100000 again, and 99200 can't hold, it will likely break down to around 94500.
$BTC
#币安Alpha项目公布
#美联储放鹰
#加密市场回调

💣12.19 Market Opinion at Noon.💣

The interest rate meeting concluded with a 25 basis point rate cut, which is not considered positive news, as this cut was expected and already priced in.
The dot plot indicates only two rate cuts in 2025, totaling only 50 basis points, which is the primary reason for today's early morning decline. Additionally, Powell's somewhat hawkish remarks further exacerbated the market situation.

$BTC Opinion:
Bitcoin broke through 100313 with volume, closing above 100313 on the hourly level; go long on the right side and recover stop loss.
If Bitcoin retraces to 98744 and shows a false break below, it can be bought one more lot; the low of the false break is the stop loss level. Do not go long without a recovery action.

Watch for a 2b false breakout at 101844; lightly short one lot, with the high of the false breakout as the stop loss.
If it breaks below 98744 with volume and fails to recover, short on the right side and recover stop loss. Pay attention to changes in volume.
💣
Conservative traders should wait for 97434 to go long directly, with a stop loss below 97000.
The 4-hour level Bitcoin has completed a 1:1 retracement; if it continues to retrace, the 1.618 level is around 96757.
Bitcoin must break and hold above 101753 at the hourly level to look upwards towards 102992-104182.
💣
Currently, Bitcoin at the 4-hour level has not truly broken below 99298; observe whether it closes below 99298 at 12 o'clock. If it closes below 99298, look down to 97365-94332.
Upper resistance 101775-102751-103555
Lower support 100269-99569-98344
This afternoon there is also a Bank of Japan meeting; hopefully, there will be some positive impact to counter the negativity from earlier.

💣💣💣💣💣💣💣💣💣💣💣

$ETH Thoughts:
Ethereum broke through 3662 with volume; go long on the right side and recover stop loss.
If it retraces to 3540, confirming support is effective, lightly buy one lot; if it breaks below 3500, stop loss is required.

If it breaks below 3540 with volume, short on the right side and recover stop loss.
Ethereum at the 4-hour level should not break below 3565; a spike down does not count; once it breaks below 3565, look for support at 3440-3282.
💣
For Ethereum, watch for a short entry at 3797 with light volume; stop loss above 3828. Do not hold positions.
Ethereum must break and hold above 3711 at the hourly level, targeting 3783-3831.
💣
Left-side order at 3505 to go long directly; stop loss below 3470.
Upper resistance 3701-3751-3800
Lower support 3632-3593-3540
The 4-hour level for Ethereum shows a three-pin bottom structure that hopefully holds; meeting adjourned.
$BTC
#币安Alpha项目公布
#加密市场回调

No matter what you do, there will be losses, unless you do nothing. We are not looking at a single instance, but at the overall account. Any business activity has a profit model, and trading is also a business activity, so it must have its profit model. I believe the profit model of trading is: to profit and incur losses using one’s own trading system, but the trading system has a win-loss ratio (must be greater than 1), so the market will give me more.
☕
This is a rolling forward model, fighting to sustain fighting, a virtuous cycle.
Can you definitely make money in the market with a good trading system? In fact, many very simple technical methods can theoretically make money.
$ETH
#币安Alpha项目公布
#USUAL现货上线币安
#加密市场盘整

The foundation of sustained profitability is long-term adherence to "consistency."
(1) The laws of price fluctuations are known, but the processes and details are unknown, so we can only rely on probabilistic advantages.
(2) The acquisition of probabilistic advantages relies on consistent signals, positions, and targets.
(3) Taking profits and stop-losses during consolidation is indeed very difficult to execute, but this is the norm on the road to success. Those who cannot manage their psychology will not last.
(4) Persisting in the above three points, understanding them thoroughly, and being able to navigate freely will surely lead to success.
(5) Sticking to execution may look foolish, but in a few years, you might be the one laughing last.
$BTC
#币安Alpha项目公布
#USUAL现货上线币安
#加密市场盘整

$ETH Evening Thoughts:
Do not go long against the market during a downtrend, and do not forcefully short during an uptrend. Follow the trend; one cannot row against the current.
🖌️
Speaking through the chart: Currently, the market for 'second pancake' is only suitable for shorting on rebounds and not for going long. This is because the hourly high points are decreasing, and the low points are also decreasing. Unless we stop making lower lows and start making higher highs, then we can consider going long on the right side.
For 'second pancake' to rise, it needs to break through 3897 first! If it can't break 3897, don't think it will go up. The altcoin doesn't follow the rise, but it definitely follows the fall.
The exchange rate for 'second pancake' has gained temporary support around 0.036, but this support at 0.036 is unlikely to hold for the exchange rate of 'second pancake'.
Follow the marked positions on the chart; if the position is given, act; if not, wait patiently for the opportunity to enter. Pay attention to the volume-price relationship and set appropriate stop-losses. Meeting adjourned.
$ETH
#加密市场盘整

$BTC Evening Perspective:
The drop naturally rebounds for a second test; if the second test does not create a lower low or a higher high, regardless of whether you hold long or short positions, you should exit. It may not drop further or rise anymore.
Do you think today's drop has ended?
It may have just begun. At 3 AM on the 19th, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision on whether to cut rates and by how much. Everyone knows that a 25% rate cut is expected, and this expectation has almost been fully priced in.
Without a new narrative, it will be hard for the market to rise again. Please remember that rallying takes money, whereas crashing only requires a simple click of the mouse.
If Powell's speech at 3:30 PM includes a statement about slowing down rate cuts, the market will start to drop immediately.
🦐
Talking through the chart: The major cryptocurrency breaks through 104342 with volume on the right side to chase long positions; you can only take a bounce and not change the trend. 103906 breaks down with volume on the right side to chase short positions; pay attention to the change in volume.
For the major cryptocurrency to be strong, it must break and hold above 104744; otherwise, it is useless.
Currently, the major cryptocurrency is in a consolidation phase on an hourly level; if it directly breaks below 103270, it will drop further. For conservative traders, wait until tomorrow to open positions at 102636-101431-100627; otherwise, the price may fluctuate easily and trigger stop losses.
Aggressive traders don’t need to care about that; just go for it without hesitation 😃.
$BTC
#加密市场盘整

Israel encountered resistance when it marched to Damascus. The Syrian anti-government forces said: If you go forward, I will counter you! The Kurdish armed forces said that they would hang the flag of the new government in northern Syria. They are not good at anything and are the first in internal strife.
The Kurds and the anti-government forces are ready to unite to fight against the invasion of Israel. It is right to be united against the enemy invasion. Even if you two beat the enemy away and you two are fighting internally, it is admirable.
There are only two ways for Syria to go at present. The first is to be disintegrated, and the second is to become a puppet government. Choose for yourself!

🥤12.18 noon market view. 🥤
$BTC view:
The big cake broke through 106002 with volume, and the hourly level closed above 106002. Chase more on the right side and withdraw the stop loss.
104985 broke through the right side with volume and chased short, and withdraw the stop loss.

If the price falls back to 103442, buy one lot with a light position. If it falls below 103000, stop loss.
Pay attention to the false breakout of 2b at 107610 above the big cake, and sell one lot. Stop loss at the high point of the false breakout. Pay attention to the changes in volume.
🥤
Steady players wait for 102545 to give a light position to buy one lot. If it falls below 102000, stop loss must be made. The left side order must be a light position.
Pray that the big cake hourly level will not fall below 103533. If it falls below, it will go to 102545-101844-100561 to find strong support.
🥤
Pressure above 106495-107230-108366
Support below 104790-103458-102603
There will be risk aversion when the US stock market opens tonight, causing the big cake to fall. The content of Powell's speech on the 19th dot chart is a potential mine. Pay attention to short-term violent fluctuations tonight.

🥤🥤🥤🥤🥤🥤🥤🥤🥤🥤

$ETH Idea:
The second cake breaks through 3882 with volume, chase long on the right side, and withdraw the stop loss.
3836 breaks through the right side with volume, chase short, and withdraw the stop loss.

The second cake steps back to 3730 to confirm that the support is effective, and a small long position is a lot. If it falls below 3700, stop loss.
The second cake hourly level 3833 falls below and looks down to 3766-3700!
🥤
The second cake pays attention to 3963, which can be shorted, and the stop loss is broken through 4000.
Left side order: 3614 is given directly to long, and the stop loss is broken below 3580.
Upper pressure 3921-3957-4000
Lower support 3833-3797-3740
The exchange rate is terrible without looking at it, and the meeting is adjourned.
$BTC #BTC再创新高 #PENGU开盘 #币安Alpha

Stick to consistent continuity! If you want to achieve consistently continuous results, then understanding and controlling your perception of the market is the most important thing. Those traders who chase inner satisfaction by 'shorting today' and 'shorting tomorrow' will eventually face consequences sooner or later.
The market is neutral and does not control our interpretation of information, nor does it control our decisions and actions.
It is the price that influences demand, while traders continuously influence the price, and it is also the price that creates news, which in turn affects the price.
$ETH
#BTC再创新高
#PENGU开盘
#币安Alpha

Short cycles earn more, but they are also more difficult, so you need to choose based on your own strength. If you like to do short cycles (short-term), you must understand some concepts: price slippage, high-frequency kills, on-site traders working hard to trigger stop losses, price priority, time priority, position closing priority, etc. The key is whether your strategy can withstand them. This is the roadblock of short cycles and is precisely the lubricant for long cycles.
⚽
Almost all failing traders switch methods, switch varieties, and switch operating cycles. Because human nature does not change, the laws of market fluctuations have not changed for hundreds of years. Just follow a verified and feasible method; risks usually come from random operations.
There is no need to emphasize "execution power, mindset" too much; what is essentially lacking is not execution power, but how to execute (lack of operational rules). With rules, it's much better; do it when it's in place, and don't do it when it's not.
⚽
Without paying enough tuition to the market, these rules cannot be learned. How long it takes to learn depends on understanding and discipline. There are no masters in the world, they just have a grasp of probabilistic advantages; there is no instinct for the market, it's just dynamic categorization of trends.
The essence of making money is not in precise buying and selling, but in reasonable positions, and then waiting. A reasonable position is based on probabilistic advantages; everything is about probabilistic advantages.
⚽
Finding reasons to go long + finding reasons to go short = stable losses. Long and short do not need reasons; just place orders based on the chart. People often subjectively want to go long or short and then find reasons to support their views. Only by letting go of subjectivity and following the market's arrangements can one walk on the path to success.
$BTC
#BTC再创新高
#PENGU开盘
#币安Alpha