1. First of all, what is lottery? It refers to the coin with low market value and low daily trading volume in the secondary market, but it may be pulled by wild market speculators. Therefore, wild market speculators prefer Binance as the secondary spot exchange with large trading volume and high depth, which is convenient for pulling and selling. Based on this, how do we judge the track? First of all, the track is determined based on major positive news in the currency circle, relevant major policies, coin issuance of important projects, major technology companies in the US stock market and market trends;

– Mainly includes the following contents:

1. Determine the track and how to select small-cap projects in the track;

2. How to judge whether there is a banker accumulating funds and set up an ambush at the right time;

3. Lottery delivery point logic;

4. The main sources of secondary market information; as well as recommendations from relevant bloggers, how to judge favorable news, how to filter information and improve judgment;

5. How to allocate positions for small lottery tickets and configure long-term spot positions;

For example, chatgpt’s popularity confirmed the ai track, Shanghai’s upgrade + Cancun confirmed the lsd track, Apple held a VR conference and Meta, Sony launched a new VR product to determine the VR track, blur’s previous coin issuance determined the nftfi track, lens’s coin issuance determined the socialfi track, zksync’s coin issuance determined the zk track, BTC’s NFT chain determined the BTC ecological track, Hong Kong’s policy determined the concept of Hong Kong, and so on, but it is divided into long narrative and short narrative;

How to distinguish long narratives from short narratives? For example, the Shanghai upgrade in June is a long narrative because of the long time period and high speculation expectations, which can drive market sentiment very well. Because this long narrative has time to ferment, many people will gradually know about the LSD sector, so there will be more leeks, which will also facilitate the dealer to pull the market and sell. There will also be band shocks during this period, commonly known as shaking the warehouse to wash out unstable paper hands, which is convenient for pulling the market during the final breakthrough period.

But the HK concept is a little special, it is considered a short-term narrative (some friends asked "the Hong Kong policy was clearly implemented on June 1st, why is it a short-term narrative?"), so it is a little special, why? Because everyone knows that due to domestic policy reasons, the main market is not in China now, and the introduction of the Hong Kong policy did not receive everyone's attention at the beginning, but because $cfx cooperated with telecom, this king bomb came out, driven by $cfx alone

The whole HK concept is a bit dangerous, because this narrative is not that the sector drives the currency to rise, but that the sharp rise of a single currency drives the sector. This is the home of hot money, because most of the coins in this sector are old coins left over from the ICO in 2017 and 2018. Many people are stuck at high points, and related currencies cannot keep up with the technical iteration of the currency circle. There has been no movement on related tweets for a long time, so this kind of thing is to quickly pull and smash to make money from the hot spots, and you can't keep a memory;

There are also short-term narratives like Blur 2.14 coin issuance, because the positive impact is the biggest negative, so I cleared out the NFTFI coins on the 13th. Therefore, when you are ambushing, you must know how to distinguish between long narratives and short narratives, instead of just holding them blindly. Once the short-term narrative hot spots are exhausted, you will face the risk of being trapped.

2. Now that we have determined how to find small-cap lottery tickets, first we click on coinmarketcap and search for the track label you have determined. For example, if you choose ai, search for the ai label, which will list the relevant tokens and linkage concepts for you. If you can't find it, you can directly search for the sector leader. For example, if you search for $ldo for lsd, there will be labels about $ldo-related concepts. You can find small-cap stocks from them. It is best to find stocks with a market value of less than 50 million.

Secondly, it is best to choose the currency listed on Binance. After all, all the wild market capital is in Binance. Well, at this time, we should start screening. First, click on the official website of the small-cap currency to check its investors and partners, and then see whether the official Twitter is active and whether there are relevant technical updates. Join its telegram and discord to see the community activity. Generally speaking, the more active the better, and then gradually filter out lottery tickets from the small-cap currency accordingly;

3. After screening, how do we judge whether there is a wild dealer absorbing funds (I am not very professional in this part because it involves professional knowledge, and friends who understand can supplement it). First, you look at the daily trading volume. If it has been in the hundreds of thousands of daily trading volume for a long time, but suddenly there are pins up and down for a few days and there is a cross star at the bottom, it is likely that there is a wild dealer testing the market. If this coin rises for two consecutive days, and the trading volume of the two-day rise is around 5 million, it means that the volume is increasing.

I'll take today's $for as an example. Because it has no hot spots in the market and is just a simple pull, I bought it because of its small market value and a long interval from the last pull, so it is a typical wild dealer pull. You can see that in the few days before the spike on 2.16, the daily trading volume was only 20.30w, but on 2.16, there was a sudden increase of 8 million in volume. On 2.18, there was an obvious cross star, and the long and short forces were balanced, which facilitated the dealer to make the final large-scale pull.

If you are not sure whether there is a banker and dare not ambush when the daily trading volume is low, you can wait for it to appear a bottom cross star. Make sure it is in an upward trend. In layman's terms, this coin has not risen sharply, but has risen slowly little by little. This is in the rising area, so there is no need to worry about being trapped, unless you encounter a black swan event like 519.

3. Regarding the selling point of lottery tickets, generally, it starts at 20 points, so I start selling one-fifth of the total position at around 25 points, and then sell one-quarter of the total position every time it rises by about 15 points. If its 15-minute level line has reached the third wave, I will sell all of it, because when it reaches the third wave, it often starts to fall and sell. Let’s take $for as an example

The part at 0.02 is the first wave, the part at 0.029 is the second wave, and the last two big positive columns that hit 0.037 are the third wave. As long as the 15-minute level line appears, the three waves with two positive columns can basically run through, and then look for the next lottery to slowly roll over.

4. Regarding how to filter secondary information, let me give you an example. Everyone is basically following Chang Weixi. Many people think he is a shouting blogger. In fact, I think he is an information collection blogger, because he posts more than ten tweets a day. There are too many currencies, so people can't just rush in without thinking. You have to gradually filter out which ones are beneficial information from the sources of information he posts. First, as I said before, you have to determine the general direction of the track, and then from the sources of information he posts

See if it is related to the coin you are optimistic about. Secondly, if it is a coin that has already seen a large increase and is at the top of the market value (top 100), don't get involved. We should look for small-cap coins that meet the expectations of the track and are in an upward cycle but have not seen a huge increase.