We are now in the monkey market stage between the small bull market and the big bull market.

The currency circle goes through a complete cycle in four years, including one year of bear market, one year of bottoming out, half a year of bull market, half a year of monkey market and one year of bull market. Before a big bull market comes, there will usually be a monkey market for half a year to clean up the floating chips in the market.

This round of calf market started in December 2023 and ended in June 2024, lasting about half a year.

The subsequent monkey market will start in July 2024 and is expected to last until the end of the year. The cleaning effect of the Monkey Market will determine its end time. If the cleaning is thorough, the Monkey Market may end early, otherwise, it will continue until the end of the year.

A striking feature of this round of bull market is that Bitcoin has risen too much and too fast, far exceeding expectations.

This is mainly due to the excessive amount of funds in spot ETFs, which has promoted the rise of Bitcoin. Compared with the bull market in 2021, the warm-up phase of the calf market before this round of bull market was more enthusiastic, even exceeding the high point of the previous bull market.

Starting from May 2024, Bitcoin has maintained high volatility. At this stage, most investors have realized that the bull market is coming and expect the increase to reach more than 100,000 US dollars, and altcoins can also earn dozens of times the income. However, the market is often contrary to investors' expectations, and the market begins to fall and correct to clean up the market. Because if there is no buying from retail investors, it will be difficult for the dealer to ship.

We saw that in June 2024, Bitcoin fluctuated in a wide range and altcoins continued to be shipped. Don't imagine that smart money will pull the market at a high level, they will only sell the market at a high level. Similarly, if the dealers don't pick up cheap chips at low prices, they won't start a big bull market. Because the dog dealers are premeditated, they will use Bitcoin's small new high and the halving event to ship.

Now, Bitcoin has fallen below $60,000, reaching as low as $572.38 million, while most altcoins have fallen below the lowest point of the bear market. The currency market is at the bottom of the first wave of decline in the monkey market. After a rebound, there will be a second wave of decline, and after another rebound, there will be a third wave of decline. Although the market outlook may continue to fall, many potential currencies have now fallen very cheap and are worth lurking for a long time.

#美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布

There are four reasons why the cryptocurrency market may see a bull market in 2025:

1. Technological leap: The continuous innovation of blockchain technology will greatly enhance the security, scalability and efficiency of digital currencies, broaden its application in finance, supply chain, Internet of Things and other fields, attract more enterprises and institutions to join, and promote market prosperity.
2. Macroeconomic factors: Global economic uncertainty and inflationary pressure have prompted investors to seek new ways to preserve and increase the value of assets. With its decentralized characteristics, digital currency has become one of the preferred options for investors to diversify risks and pursue high returns.
3. Clear supervision: The gradual clarification of digital currency regulatory policies by governments has reduced market uncertainty, enhanced investor confidence, attracted compliant funds to enter the market, and laid the foundation for the stable development of the market.
4. Increased market participation: With the popularization of digital currency knowledge and the deepening of investor education, the number of market participants has increased, the capital pool has expanded, and the trading activity has increased, injecting momentum into the continued growth of the market.
However, the high risk of the digital currency market cannot be ignored. Investors should fully understand the risks and make rational decisions. #比特币行情 #以太坊ETF通过 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 $BTC $ETH

Good news keeps coming, let's keep the happiness going😏#比特币行情 #以太坊ETF通过 $BTC $ETH #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

BTC has fallen below $60,000 again. Since it fell below $60,000 on June 24, the supply on the exchange has increased instead of decreased (931.02k on June 24, 938.32k on July 4), an increase of 7.3k coins, indicating that the market's buying demand is not strong. If the price drops again, the additional supply may bring selling pressure, and the selling of the additional supply may lead to a further decline in the price of Bitcoin$BTC

#非农就业数据即将公布 #币安合约锦标赛 #以太坊ETF批准预期 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

The latest report from Golden 10 Data points out that copper futures prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) have climbed for the fourth consecutive trading day. There are multiple positive factors behind this rise. The primary factor is that China's market demand shows signs of strengthening. As the world's largest metal consumer, the rebound in China's copper demand has significantly boosted market confidence and sentiment. At the same time, algorithm-driven funds have jumped into the market to buy, and their trading activity has added additional impetus to the upward momentum of copper prices.
It is worth noting that copper prices have always been regarded as a barometer of the health of the global economy, and its trends often reflect the pulse of the global economy. The continuous rise in copper prices is not only a positive response to the recovery in China's economic demand, but also reflects the market's optimistic expectations for the prospects of global economic recovery.
In addition, the weak performance of U.S. economic data, especially the slowdown in the job market and the decline in inflation, has further strengthened market expectations that the Federal Reserve may start an interest rate cut cycle in September this year. Cutting interest rates will directly reduce credit costs, which is expected to inject new vitality into economic growth and indirectly boost demand for commodities. The base metal market, including copper, will benefit from this. Therefore, under the combined effect of multiple positive factors, copper prices are expected to continue to maintain their upward trend. #伦敦证券交易所 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期

The current market is in the "monkey market" stage of transition from a small bull market to a big bull market, which is an indispensable part of the four-year cycle of the currency circle, following the six-month small bull market. This stage aims to clean up floating chips through market fluctuations and pave the way for the upcoming big bull market.

A complete cycle of the currency circle covers five stages: bear market, consolidation, small bull market, monkey market and big bull market. Among them, the monkey market, as a prelude to the big bull market, usually lasts about half a year, starting from July 2024, and its length will be flexibly adjusted according to the thoroughness of market cleaning.

This round of small bull market started at the end of 2023 and ended in mid-2024. During this period, the surge in Bitcoin was particularly eye-catching. Its rapid rise exceeded market expectations, mainly due to the influx of spot ETF funds. Compared with the previous bull market, this round of small bull market showed strong momentum in the warm-up stage, and even touched and surpassed the previous highs.

Since May 2024, Bitcoin has entered a high-level oscillation period. The market generally expects that the bull market will bring high returns, but the reality is often the opposite. The market balances supply and demand through callbacks to ensure that the dealer's delivery strategy can be implemented. In June, Bitcoin volatility intensified, and altcoins experienced a wave of shipments, highlighting the cruelty of market cleansing.

The price of Bitcoin has fallen below the $60,000 mark, and some altcoins have even hit a new low since the bear market. We are at the bottom of the initial decline in the monkey market, and it is expected that we will experience multiple rebounds and declines in the future until the market bottom is stable. Although the market may continue to be under pressure in the short term, many potential currencies have shown good investment value, providing a rare opportunity for long-term layout. Investors should remain patient, pay close attention to market dynamics, and seize the opportunity to buy at a low price.

If you don't know how to layout next, don't know what coin to buy, and are confused, you can check my homepage profile, and I will share more relevant information and communication opportunities for free.
#美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

The decline of Bitcoin has led to the decline of Shanzhai, so the overall market may be sideways this week!

#美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

The fourth and fifth bullets are very embarrassing and annoying when you lose or win #比特币行情 #以太坊ETF通过 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 $BTC $ETH

The opportunity has come #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期

The small non-agricultural data once again brought unfavorable news. Although the market has shown signs of fatigue, this bad news seems to make things worse. The market generally speculates that this may be the last violent wash before the market breaks out. In the evening, many observers have bearish expectations for the trend of Bitcoin (BTC), and some even predict that it will fall below the $57,000 mark and seek a rebound. However, I personally hold a more cautious attitude and think that the situation may not be so serious. Imagine that if Bitcoin really falls below the psychological barrier of $57,000 in one fell swoop, the altcoin market will undoubtedly be under tremendous pressure, and panic may spread throughout the cryptocurrency market. In such an environment, any prediction seems pale and powerless, because the real direction of the market is often beyond our imagination. The strategy of the banker is even more elusive. They may be watching and waiting for the best time to attack. As for Ethereum (ETH), its trend is largely driven by Bitcoin. Before Bitcoin fails to clarify its direction, the trend of Ethereum also seems confusing. But in any case, we should remain calm and patient, wait and see how this market drama unfolds. Let us wait and see together, and look forward to the market bringing us more surprises and inspirations.
#美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布 #币安合约锦标赛 #以太坊ETF批准预期
We share this valuable information with you unconditionally. If we have the same goal, then let us join hands and enter the circle.

On July 3, SOL applied for an ETF. SOL stock broke through a resistance level but encountered selling pressure at SMA50 of $156. Despite the strong performance of the US market and the decline of the US dollar index, SOL stock continued to fall. The current price is below the EMA50 of $145, and the RSI is in the neutral zone, showing obvious signs of weakness. It is expected that SOL stock may continue to fluctuate between $116 and $156.

If you want to know more about the relevant knowledge and first-hand cutting-edge information of the currency circle, pay attention to my cooking page. Junyangli publishes market analysis and recommends high-quality potential currencies every day.

#以太坊ETF批准预期 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布

$BTC
Sun Ge made a big move again, good news, Sun Ge negotiated with the German government to buy all bitcoins off-site
German government address changed again, bitcoins were liquidated
#美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期

Ether 3388 short, fell to 3348, gained 40 points of space and 20,000 oil bullets. Maintain a tenacious mentality of not being arrogant when winning and not being discouraged when losing, and meet every challenge with a frank and true attitude!

In the face of the weakness of the persimmon field, we only need to adapt to the current weak trend and go with the flow. #以太坊ETF批准预期 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期

In the current market environment, it may be a bit hasty to rush into trading. If the weak rebound before the market took a sharp turn for the worse is used as a reference high point, Bitcoin is experiencing a consolidation phase with gradually narrowing upper and lower boundaries, showing a potential triangle convergence pattern.

In view of this, the best trading strategy should be to wait for a clear breakthrough of this convergence pattern. Before this, any trading behavior based on subjective judgment can be regarded as a left-side transaction, and the solid entry signal of the right-side transaction should be used as the basis for the safe exit of the left-side transaction.

The market seems to be caught in a shock without a clear direction, but the continued rise in volatility reveals a signal that this is not a simple consolidation, but a prelude to a larger trend, or a brewing stage of a reversal. Therefore, we should be patient, keep a steady mind, wait for the opportunity, and be fully prepared for the next market changes.

If you can't find the direction in the currency circle and don't know what currency to buy, find me at Zhuye Brief and share more information and strategies related to the currency circle for free.
#美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

Yesterday, the large-scale asset movement of Mentougou wallets caused BTC to fall back. This should be considered a small black swan. In fact, in the long run, BTC is still in a continuous upward trend. For Mentougou, the most suitable time for compensation is always later, and there is no legal order to force it to repay in the near future. It is unlikely that Mentougou will continue to smash the market and compensate in the near future. But on the contrary, if Mentougou opens a short order in advance, the mobile wallet can make a profit on the short order (although I have no evidence). The actual impact of Mentougou's communication and smashing the market may not be as great as the impact of the event on market sentiment. But in the final analysis, it is not a big black swan.

If you don't know how to screen strong coins, then I suggest you follow me. Whether it is spot or contract, a slight move may be your limit. The opportunity is short and you must seize it! Success is not based on luck, choice is greater than effort, and the circle determines destiny. In the currency circle, in addition to having a sharp eye for judging the situation, you must also keep up with a good team and a good leader. If you follow me, you are already halfway successful in the currency circle! Near Junyang + Wei: BTC09199

#美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #非农就业数据即将公布 #币安合约锦标赛

This market is too difficult at present.
The news from several aspects directly consumes the market heat.
Mentougou Mt. Gox repays the hype of the lost pie before.
The major countries secretly and openly sell their BTC, the volume is large, and the panic is increasing.
The continuous squeeze between small data is good for a while and bad for a while, and the big data is always delayed, and no clear view is given.
The current market is like a stretched rubber band, and there is no way to bear extra force.
At present, it is a key to test people's inner nerves. Brothers, don't open orders against the trend recently.
Don't cut losses easily in spot. Some brothers have been trapped a lot, and it is not meaningful to cut losses now.
Hold on to your chips. If you can't help it, just buy the big cake and the second cake.
As long as you hold on to the last checkpoint,

The clouds will eventually clear and the moon will be bright.

Brothers, hold on to your chips. As long as you don't sell, the spot will be a floating loss. Only those who are patient can truly profit from the currency circle.

#非农就业数据即将公布 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #币安合约锦标赛

The market comes fast and goes faster, only time is your own. Learn and wait for the wind to come.
Why does the transaction volume shrink during the callback of the rising coin, and it is best to shrink it to the transaction volume before the band starts, which means that it has fallen to the bottom and is about to turn and rebound? It can be understood as follows:

1. The transaction volume is an indicator of the activeness of coin trading. Usually before the pull-up starts (before the dealer enters), the daily transaction volume can be regarded as the amount of buying and selling between retail investors only, usually fluctuating around a "fixed value".

2. Suddenly one day the transaction volume is significantly enlarged, several times the "fixed value", and the coin price rises sharply. In addition to the stimulation of strong good news, it will only be the dealer who brings huge funds to the market and raises the coin price in a short time.

3. The next step is to attract retail investors to chase high prices, and the daily transaction volume is getting bigger and bigger, while the coin price is climbing.
4. Here comes the point: Suddenly one day the dealer starts to smash the market, the main purpose is to induce the retail investors who chased the high to sell their stocks (clear the floating chips), at this time the daily transaction volume gradually changes from large to small, or from small to large, or jumps between large and small, and the price of the currency continues to fall. How to judge that the retail investors who chased the high (floating chips) have been cleared? That is, when the transaction volume returns to the "fixed value" before the pull-up starts, it means that the excess floating chips (retail investors who chased the high) have basically been cleared, and the dealer absorbs enough chips from retail investors to sell their stocks, and then it will continue the next wave of pull-ups.

Therefore, to see whether the currency price will continue to fall during the callback period, it is an objective and highly operational method to compare the daily transaction volume with the transaction volume before the start.

#VanEck提交首个SolanaETF #美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期

Again, at this stage, we are all planning some good currencies
Those who believe, are interested, and want to witness the strength
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