Is it a return? ? ?
Bitcoin soared in the short term, breaking through the $60,000 mark, with a daily increase of more than 4%. But before that, Bitcoin continued to fall. As of now, the trading price of Bitcoin is still about 20% lower than the historical high of $73,500 set this year.
Let's talk about the factors that affect Bitcoin:
Macroeconomics and monetary policy: The global macroeconomic situation and the monetary policies of central banks of various countries (such as interest rate adjustments, quantitative easing, etc.) have a significant impact on it. For example, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, especially the expectation of interest rate cuts, have an important impact on market sentiment and the prices of risky assets such as Bitcoin. Although interest rate cuts are generally seen as good news, they may also be accompanied by concerns about economic recession. This dual impact has exacerbated market uncertainty.
Market supply and demand relationship: The supply of Bitcoin is fixed, but its demand will change with market conditions. If the market demand for Bitcoin increases, such as investors' increased interest in Bitcoin and more institutional investors entering, it may drive prices up; conversely, reduced demand may lead to price declines.
Market sentiment and investor expectations: Investors' expectations of Bitcoin's future price, market panic or greed, etc., will be reflected in price fluctuations. For example, the "September effect". From historical data, Bitcoin usually performs poorly in September. In the past 13 years, 9 Septembers have seen declines. This seasonal effect has gradually formed a psychological expectation among investors.
Technological development and innovation: The development of blockchain technology, the improvement of Bitcoin's own technology, or the emergence of related new technologies may affect the market's confidence in Bitcoin and its long-term value expectations.
Behavior of large institutions and investors: The buying and selling behavior of large financial institutions and whales (investors holding a large amount of Bitcoin), changes in positions, etc., will have a greater impact on the market.
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