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Let's go through history to see Bitcoin's performance in election years 👇
2012
➜ 5 months of consolidation from July to November
➜ Breakout in December, which resulted in a new ATH
2016
➜ 4 months of consolidation from July to October
➜ Breakout in November leading to a new ATH
2020
➜ 4 months of consolidation from July to October
➜ Breakout and new ATH in Q4
BTC has consolidated from July to October in every election year before hitting a new ATH.
Something similar will happen again, but with a bigger magnitude, as probably for the first time, the US will have a Bitcoin and crypto-friendly president.
PEOPLE ARE WORRIED ABOUT MT. GOX DUMP AND THE OTHER BEARISH FACTORS, BUT THERE'S SOMETHING THAT WILL TAKE THE CRYPTO MARKET TO NEW HIGHS.
THE FTX IS PLANNING TO DISTRIBUTE MORE THAN $16 BILLION TO ITS CREDITORS
HERE'S THE TIMELINE 👇
➜ AUGUST 16: VOTING DEADLINE FOR FTX CUSTOMERS
➜ OCTOBER 7: JUDGE DORSEY’S DECISION ON PLAN APPROVAL
IF THE COURT APPROVES, FTX WILL REIMBURSE CREDITORS WITHIN TWO MONTHS.
AS PER THE TIMELINE, THIS'LL OCCUR IN Q4 2024 TO Q1 2025.
THIS PERFECTLY MATCHES WITH OTHER BULLISH FACTORS LIKE RATE CUTS, FASB ACCOUNTING RULE IMPLEMENTATION, AND US ELECTION RESULTS.
GIVEN THAT MOST OF THE FTX CUSTOMERS WERE CRYPTO BROS, A HUGE CHUNK OF $16 BILLION WILL ENTER THE CRYPTO MARKET THIS WILL BE THE BIGGEST CATALYST FOR HIGHER PRICES.
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