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U.S. Avoids Government Shutdown as Senate Passes Budget Deal

The U.S. Senate has passed a budget bill, narrowly avoiding what could have been the first federal government shutdown since 2019. The legislation, approved by an 85-11 margin, follows the House of Representatives' earlier approval and now heads to President Joe Biden for his signature, according to BBC.Key Highlights of the Budget Deal:The bill excludes President-elect Donald Trump’s demand to raise the federal borrowing limit, showcasing limits to his influence over Republican lawmakers.Includes $100 billion for disaster relief and $10 billion in aid for farmers.Strips provisions from earlier drafts, such as pay raises for lawmakers, healthcare reforms, and funding for infrastructure projects like the Baltimore bridge.Without this deal, millions of federal employees could have faced unpaid leave or worked without pay, with public services and assistance programs severely disrupted. The last government shutdown in 2019 lasted 35 days, the longest in U.S. history.Behind-the-Scenes NegotiationsThe legislation faced significant hurdles as it underwent intense scrutiny and revisions. The 118-page "American Relief Act, 2025" saw opposition from Trump and Elon Musk, who urged Republicans to reject earlier versions. Despite Musk’s lobbying, key Democratic provisions and Trump’s debt-limit demands were excluded from the final version.Political DynamicsSpeaker of the House Mike Johnson faced criticism from his own party over his handling of the process but expressed gratitude after the bill’s passage, calling it a setup for a "big and important new start" in January. He credited frequent communication with Trump and Musk during the negotiations for the bill’s eventual approval.Musk, who has been tapped by Trump to focus on government spending reductions, praised Johnson's leadership, describing the final bill as significantly streamlined compared to earlier drafts.Implications for the FutureThe intense negotiations signal potential legislative challenges ahead, with Republicans set to take control of both chambers of Congress in January. As Speaker Johnson and President-elect Trump prepare for their next term, the budget fight offers a glimpse of the tense policy battles to come.
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Bitcoin's Bull Market Shows Reduced Pullbacks Amid Growing Institutional Interest

According to Odaily, Glassnode recently shared insights on the X platform, noting an interesting trend in the Bitcoin market. As the market expands, the severity of Bitcoin's pullbacks during bull market uptrends has decreased. The deepest pullback in this cycle was recorded at -32% on August 5, 2024. Most corrections have only seen a decline of about 25% from previous highs. This trend reflects the demand for spot ETFs and increasing institutional interest.
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Federal Reserve's Shift Impacts Markets, Bitcoin Experiences Decline

According to PANews, the Federal Reserve confirmed a long-anticipated policy shift this week, significantly impacting the markets. Market participants now expect a rate cut of approximately 40 basis points by December 2025, leading to a rise in U.S. Treasury yields. Earlier this week, Bitcoin fell from its all-time high, continuing its decline during European trading on Friday, nearing $95,000. This follows Bitcoin's recent peak of over $108,000. The downturn in the cryptocurrency market has affected altcoins like Ethereum and Dogecoin more severely. Additionally, U.S. exchange-traded funds (ETFs) directly investing in Bitcoin ended a 15-day streak of inflows, recording an outflow of $680 million, highlighting a shift in market sentiment. With Christmas approaching, the market is expected to be relatively calm next week, though some significant data releases could still influence it. However, due to thin liquidity, market volatility might increase. Key points to watch in the upcoming week include the U.S. December Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index on Monday at 23:00 (UTC+8) and the initial jobless claims for the week ending December 21 on Thursday at 21:30 (UTC+8). For the U.S. dollar, the Federal Reserve's overall hawkish stance suggests it will maintain its strength, despite potential volatility due to low trading volumes during the holiday period. Any market turbulence during the holidays is more likely to impact U.S. stocks and bonds negatively. The Fed's hawkish position has not been well-received on Wall Street, and with U.S. Treasury yields continuing to rise, sell-offs may intensify.
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Ethereum Price Faces Resistance Amid Market Trends

According to Cointelegraph, Ethereum's price is currently experiencing challenges in maintaining levels above $4,000, as noted by a crypto analyst. The digital currency has repeatedly surpassed this psychological barrier, peaking at $4,077 on December 6, but has struggled to sustain this price, based on CoinMarketCap data. The pseudonymous crypto trader, Rekt Capital, highlighted in a December 20 market report that Ethereum is likely to remain range-bound between two significant psychological levels. The $3,000 mark has emerged as a crucial support level, a price point last reached on November 9. Prior to this, Ethereum had been trading below $3,000 since August 3. Rekt Capital suggests that Ethereum might consolidate between $3,000 and $4,000 in the near term. However, there is a possibility of a short-term dip of over 10% from its current price of $3,466, potentially nearing the $3,000 region. Rekt Capital also mentioned the potential for Ethereum to form a bottom around this area, which could lead to the development of a right shoulder in an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. This pattern is typically a reversal indicator, suggesting a possible change in trend direction. Analysts have pointed to factors such as the decreasing supply of Ethereum on exchanges and the rising inflows into spot Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as potential drivers for strong price momentum. On December 17, Cointelegraph reported that data from CryptoQuant, an on-chain market intelligence firm, indicated that Ethereum balances on exchanges had reached an 8.5-year low of 9.2 million ETH, marking a nearly 10% decrease over the past year. Meanwhile, some analysts remain optimistic about the growing momentum of spot Ether ETF inflows, which could potentially outperform Bitcoin ETFs by 2025. Spot Ether ETFs have accumulated approximately $2.43 billion since their launch in the United States on July 23, according to Farside data. Analysts anticipate this upward trend to persist into 2025, particularly if regulators permit the funds to generate yields from staking. Asset manager VanEck has projected that Ethereum's spot price could reach $6,000 by the fourth quarter of 2025. When spot Ether ETFs were introduced in July, there was initial optimism that Ethereum might mirror Bitcoin's performance following the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January. However, the comparatively weak initial inflows have tempered expectations of Ethereum surpassing its all-time high and reaching $5,000 by the end of the year.
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