Us inflation data comes better than they expected. This means inflation is reduced. fundamentally it's bearish news for the dollar and bullish news for Crypto , stocks and commodities and you may have noticed how everything moved up within minutes.
Fundamentally driven moves are short lived.
it's always up to the market makers which way they want to run the market. Talking about $BTC it is still trading below the key weekly zone $60k ish and I'll remain cautious being bullish as long as it's trading below this key zone.
Take the money out any time you think it's done. Do not marry a coin, There will be countless opportunity.
Everyone can make money during the bull market. The real struggle it not losing your profits and 90% will fail to do that they will keep watching the money going up and then coming back down to same value where they started.
Crypto Market Is Dipping Hard | When This Will Stop?
Crypto market took a big hit last week $BTC Alone did a 15% drop. The fear is now taking over as Altcoins market is down over 50% on average since the last peak. Will the market continue to push down or the worst is over? This is what we will discuss in this article. We will have a look at Bitcoin weekly chart and see what we can expect based on my observance. Before we Dig into current price action let me share what I said in my last BTC update.
In my last Bitcoin update i mentioned i have not seen BTC doing what it is doing right now in the last 3 bull runs. i Also mentioned that $59-60k zone will be a key zone to hold for bulls on weekly scale. Last week we saw price broke under $59k and dipped down to $53600 Now Lets take a look at what we can expect next based on charts. BTCUUSD (Weekly)
Without any doubt Bitcoin clearly broke below the range it was forming for the last 16 weeks. Not being a bias trader we need to accept that the structure on the weekly is broken unless we see the price bounce back above $60k and holds. What can we expect? As long as we don't see price bounce back above $60k on the weekly closing basis, You can expect more down side from BTC. The next closet zone we have on the weekly chart is an area between $45k- $51900.
Bitcoin dipping down to this zone can represent a great opportunity to slowly buy if the zone comes. What is the scenario if price doesn't drop? For every trade plan there is an invalidation level and just like that if BTC moves back above $60k and it holds up there. This will likely indicate that bears should not expect more downside and flip their bias. Something like this lets say. 👇
A weekly close back inside the broken range will make this a fake out and price will start to push higher. BTCUSD (Daily)
When the high timeframe is bearish lower timeframes will always provide bounce in between specifically when everyone starts calling for lower price. Whales take the opportunity to liquidate them. After weekly candle close there were multiple posts people were calling for lower prices and it's always favor the MM's to run the market into opposite direction. Looking at the daily chart you can clearly see the price is trading below the key daily support and in my opinion this current bounce in market changes nothing.
As long as we don't see this happen i'll be on the bears side. I do not have any reason to be bullish on $BTC knowing the fact that we have a weekly consolidation break down. I mentioned the invalidation plan as well. I will wait for a better trader opportunity based on weekly scale.
I hope you learned something from this update and i would love to read your thoughts on BTC as well. Let me know what you think.
Well technically price is currently trading below the weekly range we had for the past 16 weeks.
A weekly close below $59k will make me think that price may revisit this week's low again as long as we don't see it reclaim this broken low. While the weekly close back above the range lows would be bullish.
Lets see where this week ends, so far it's not a good looking candle even after that bounce as it's below the weekly structure.
Crypto mechanic wrote a brief article telling you $BTC might get in trouble because this bull market price action is different from others.
I hope you heard and safe 🤝
LIVE
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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Bitcoin Might Get In Trouble And Here Is Why
I was going through Bitcoin last 3 bull markets to see the reaction when price broke previous all time high and found that $BTC Current price action at All time high ($69k) is totally different from the previous bull markets. Let me show you how.
Lets go back to the previous Bitcoin bull markets. Bitcoin 2013 Bull market
And this is what happened when price broke that high. Straight up 👇
Bitcoin 2017 Bull market
in 2017 BTC bull market price consolidated under 2013 ATH and once it had a breakout we see it started to move up non stop like it did in 2013 bull market.
Bitcoin 2017 Bull market high #Bitcoin Did the same in 2020-2021 bull market, Price consolidated for 2-3 weeks under 2017 ATH and then we a similar move it had in 2013 and 2017 bull market
Now Let me show you what Bitcoin is doing right now Bitcoin made a high of $69k in 2021
In current bull market bitcoin is getting continuous rejections from the previous All time high and spending so much time around the highs which is definitely something different than we saw in previous bull markets outlook.
Based on my trading experience a legit breakout doesn't take this much time. Once price breaks a key level its just keeps going up like we see in above bull market charts, There was no stop. When price doesn't provide continuation after breaking a key level it usually ends up a failed break. Where will you get confirmation of a failed break? You somehow have some early indications looking at how price is failing to sustain above previous ATH $69k level. But somehow we have a weekly range here on weekly chart.
Following the technical Analysis Bitcoin is ranging between $60k-72k zone. As long as price is within this range we can consider that Bitcoin is consolidating at the previous ATH. But just in case weekly chart drops under $59200 level and holds below it, I think Bitcoin will go for a Deep dive down. We will discuss the price targets once it happened.
I hope you understand what i tried to show you here, we are witnessing a different bull market ATH breakout than previous breaks. Lets see where it ends. Holding The weekly range low will be a key for bulls.
Staying out of the market turned out to be a truly good decision for my account .
I'm still not looking to do anything . My plan is to play a big swing based on high time-frames and high tf are not looking good at all.
The rest of the week is going to play an important role going forward. $BTC hold below $59k-60k can turn out to be worse.
LIVE
CRYPTO MECHANIC
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Just posted some Weekly Altcoin charts. Remember that weekly charts show high time frame trend, i talked about each levels that a coin has on the chart. These levels may look bigger on chart but this is how you draw high timeframe levels.
Most of the charts are just lagging and need to show some volume to be attractive. This is also the reason why i am not talking about Altcoins much and playing with the $BTC moves only. So far the decision is right and i will continue to do that unless i see the money is finally going to Alts. i do not like to trade boring price actions.