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A simple pair trading idea based on the price movements of the last 1 week: ENS/AAVE In the last 1 week, AAVE has risen by exactly 12.72% while ENS has only managed to increase by 2.13%. In base terms, the percentage price difference change between them is exactly 10.59%, which means that AAVE has risen by approximately 11% more than ENS. AAVE and ENS are both highly popular tokens on the Ethereum network. Although they both have historical collinearities close to 1, they have shown some divergence in this period. We will use this divergence in our favor and open positions thinking that this 10% difference will close. What we need to do is very simple, for example, open a $100 ENS Long position and immediately open a $100 AAVE Short position. If the market turns down and both tokens fall, we would expect AAVE to fall more than ENS in our estimation. So, our AAVE position will bring us a profit of, for example, $5 because it is Short, while our ENS position will bring us a loss of, for example, $3 because it is Long. If we close both positions at the same time, our total profit will be 2 dollars out of 100 dollars. A gain of 2%! If the market is going up, and both tokens go up, we expect ENS to go up more than AAVE, and in this case, for example, our profit on ENS could be $10, while our loss on ENS could be $6. By closing both positions, we could make a total profit of $4! A gain of 4%! One beauty of Pair Trading is that you don't need to know the direction of the market! Whether the market is down or up, if your Pair idea makes sense, you can make money either way! I personally have $350 in this Pair Trading at the moment, I will keep you updated! Short AAVE for 100$ & Long ENS for 100$ to join me!
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How can you make big money from tokens like BIGTIME that rise very fast and instantly? Remember that in the financial world, you don't need to buy or long anything to make money. You can also make some pretty nice but “limited” amounts of money by shorting. Tokens like BIGTIME are highly volatile and like to move hard. The first movement of such tokens is noticed after they are vertically upward, and many people open short positions during this period, but such people are soon liquidated and out of the game, causing the token price to rise even higher. What you need to do at this point is to follow the plan below: (This example assumes you have $10,000 in total assets). First, wait for the vertical rise to end calmly and for the price to flatten a bit. During this sideways period, you first open a $100 position. Then, if the price falls, you can close it at any point and take your profit. However, with a high probability, the price will continue to make a few more vertical rises. At this point, what we need to do while the vertical rises continue is to keep our patience and not add anything. Then, when it flattens out again, we add another $100 and increase our position and give a better entry point. You continue this cycle until BIGTIME's price is where you expect it to be and congratulations, your patience has paid off handsomely! This tactic will definitely not make you incredibly rich in 1 day, but by doing it several times a day, you can accumulate large amounts of cumulative earnings.
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Never position all your money on a single token! Now I will give you 2 different scenarios, let's analyze the results of these scenarios together. (We will assume that you have $5000 in total.) Case 1: You opened a Long position on $LDO with all $5000 in your hand. 1 day later, the news broke that the SEC was investigating $LDO and $LDO fell by 30%! Meanwhile, $BTC rose by 5% and other altcoins rose by 8%! Total loss: $1500. Case 2: You split your $5000 into 5 parts and bought $ENS, $UNI, $LDO, $AAVE, and $PENDLE ($1000 each). 1 day later, news spread that the SEC was filing a lawsuit against $LDO and $LDO dropped by exactly 30%! Meanwhile, $BTC increased by 5% and other altcoins increased by 8%! Total change: -300$ + 4 x $80 = +20$. In Case 1, your total loss was exactly $1500, while in Case 2, you didn't make a loss, you made money! This is why spreading your risk is so important. It is always risky and dangerous to invest in a single token, or to open large positions in a single token. Manipulative news about that token can ruin your portfolio in an instant. So, to spread your risk, always invest your total balance in at least 5 different tokens. Since all the tokens in the example I gave above are from the Ethereum ecosystem, their long-term correlations will be similar, so dividing your money in this way will reduce your risk and will not reduce your earnings.
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If you want to become a real trader and not a gambler, you should read this article carefully and thoroughly. If you are opening 5x-10x positions with all your money, I can safely say that you are directly gambling. With such risky positions, the probability of liquidation is very high. This is because the crypto market is a highly volatile market and 10%-20% movements are quite normal. Even if you place a stop-loss, you will lose most of your principal in a small movement. The most important word when trading is “PATIENCE”. If you are an impatient person, I am sorry but you will NOT be a good trader. Let's see why patience is important. First of all, you should not open a 10x, not even a 1x position directly with your principal. Opening a 1x position is no different than guessing the direction of the market by flipping a coin. First of all, the positions you open should definitely be 5% of your principal (initial size). At this point, if your position turns into a profit, great! In this case, you can take profit at any time and move on. In the worst case scenario, i.e. when your position is reversed, all you have to do is wait patiently. Because your position may only affect 5% of your principal. If your position is reversed by the first 10%, then it's time to add to your principal. This way, you may find yourself in a more favorable position. As the market will return to the average again, it will of course come to your entry price. (Except for exceptional tokens.) What you need to do at this point is to wait for a while when your position is in the upside and then close your position by taking your profit.
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I get a lot of questions about Pair Trading, so it's time to answer them. 1. Which pairs should we choose? First of all, which couples you choose depends entirely on your style. For example, the tokens you choose can be from the same ecosystem or different ecosystems. They can be similar protocols or different protocols. For example, the last LDO/AAVE Pair Trading I shared consists of two different tokens in the same ecosystem. However, someone else could pair trade UNI and JUP tokens from Uniswap and Jupiter (one on Ethereum and one on Solana), which are similar protocols. For example, if you think that the Solana ecosystem will become more prominent in the near future, you can open a long position on JUP/UNI. 2. When should we open or close positions? When Pair Trading, you should ABSOLUTELY open and close positions for both different tokens simultaneously. The critical point here is to open both positions at the same time, otherwise the rate of this pair may change as market conditions will change. Therefore, you should open your long and short positions on time and at the same time. 3. How can I calculate the profit on my position? It is very easy to check the total profit or loss of your position. You can use TradingView for this. All you need to do is type “=LDOUSDT/AAVEUSDT” in the search field in TradingView and then select the exchanges for each token. This way, you can track the LDOUSDT/AAVEUSDT ratio. Make a note of the position you opened and follow the next rates. Multiply the percentage change of the ratio by your total position and congratulations, you have calculated your profit! Or, add up the profits and losses of your positions directly on Binance. 4. What is the Advantage of Pair Trading? When Pair Trading, you don't need to know the entire direction of the market directly. Because whether the market is going up or down, you can still make a profit with Pair Trading. This is because you will have both long and short positions when pair trading.
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