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fulldeg

Full Time Trader Mathematician & Economist Using #Binance to trade. Twitter: @fulldeg
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Bearish
Oct 10–11 Flash Crash: what happened and what it means Context Late Oct 10 (US) into early Oct 11 (Europe) the market spiked lower, then snapped back. It is educational, not financial advice. DYOR. Why the drop accelerated - Thin liquidity in a quiet window, plus crowded leverage. - First support breaks triggered stops and forced liquidations that had to trade. - Market makers widened or pulled quotes, spreads grew, perps dislocated from spot. - BTC weakness spilled into ETH and high beta names where leverage was heavier. - Once forced flow exhausted and depth rebuilt, prices rebounded toward prior references. How to read a move like this - Separate mechanical flow (stops, liquidations) from informational flow (new data that shifts fair value). - Compare spot, perps, and dated futures. Brief perp overshoots that re anchor to spot suggest mechanics. - Watch repair signals: spreads narrow, 10 to 50 bps depth returns, funding cools, open interest resets lower. Risk notes - Sizing first. Cap leverage per asset and per time window. Survival is the edge. - Respect time of day. US evening and pre Asia can be thinner. Adjust size and stops. - Avoid clustered tight stops. Consider buffers and staggered exits. - Reduce single point of failure. Mix spot and perps, diversify venues, keep margin cushions. What to monitor next - Open interest and funding after the purge. - Spot demand versus leverage rebuild. - Order book resilience and fewer air pockets.
Oct 10–11 Flash Crash: what happened and what it means
Context

Late Oct 10 (US) into early Oct 11 (Europe) the market spiked lower, then snapped back. It is educational, not financial advice.

DYOR.

Why the drop accelerated
- Thin liquidity in a quiet window, plus crowded leverage.

- First support breaks triggered stops and forced liquidations that had to trade.

- Market makers widened or pulled quotes, spreads grew, perps dislocated from spot.

- BTC weakness spilled into ETH and high beta names where leverage was heavier.

- Once forced flow exhausted and depth rebuilt, prices rebounded toward prior references.
How to read a move like this

- Separate mechanical flow (stops, liquidations) from informational flow (new data that shifts fair value).

- Compare spot, perps, and dated futures. Brief perp overshoots that re anchor to spot suggest mechanics.

- Watch repair signals: spreads narrow, 10 to 50 bps depth returns, funding cools, open interest resets lower.

Risk notes

- Sizing first. Cap leverage per asset and per time window. Survival is the edge.

- Respect time of day. US evening and pre Asia can be thinner. Adjust size and stops.

- Avoid clustered tight stops. Consider buffers and staggered exits.

- Reduce single point of failure. Mix spot and perps, diversify venues, keep margin cushions.
What to monitor next

- Open interest and funding after the purge.

- Spot demand versus leverage rebuild.

- Order book resilience and fewer air pockets.
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Bullish
🤝 What is Pairs Trading? Remember when I said I consistently make profits? Here’s the why — and more importantly, the how. Pairs Trading is a market-neutral strategy rooted in statistics and mathematics, not gambling, guessing, or gut feelings. This is not luck. This is a quantitative model based on data and logic. 🔍 How Does It Work? Let me break it down simply: Pick a Pair: Choose two highly correlated assets (e.g., ETH & ETC). Monitor the Spread: Track the price difference (spread) between them. Model the Relationship: Use statistical methods to determine the “normal” spread range. Exploit Deviations: When the spread deviates significantly from the norm, go long on the undervalued asset and short the overvalued one. Profit on Reversion: As the spread returns to normal, the positions are closed — with a profit. 📐 Why It’s Not Gambling This approach is: ✅ Backed by historical data ✅ Grounded in mathematics ✅ Systematic and repeatable ✅ Free from emotion and noise I'm not just randomly buying and selling. I’m not chasing pumps. I’m a mathematician and a quant, with backgrounds in both Mathematics and Economics, and soon starting my Master’s in Quantitative Finance. This is research-backed strategy execution, not hope-based trading. 💡 In Short: I’m not trading based on hunches. I’m running a mean-reversion engine built on math. And often — just like the stats say — it works. 👍 Like this post if you're curious. 📚 Because in the next ones, I’ll share: How I select pairs What cointegration and z-score really mean A full working Pairs Trading script in Python Stay tuned. Stay smart.
🤝 What is Pairs Trading?

Remember when I said I consistently make profits?

Here’s the why — and more importantly, the how.
Pairs Trading is a market-neutral strategy rooted in statistics and mathematics, not gambling, guessing, or gut feelings.

This is not luck.

This is a quantitative model based on data and logic.

🔍 How Does It Work?

Let me break it down simply:

Pick a Pair: Choose two highly correlated assets (e.g., ETH & ETC).

Monitor the Spread: Track the price difference (spread) between them.

Model the Relationship: Use statistical methods to determine the “normal” spread range.

Exploit Deviations:

When the spread deviates significantly from the norm,

go long on the undervalued asset and short the overvalued one.

Profit on Reversion:

As the spread returns to normal, the positions are closed — with a profit.

📐 Why It’s Not Gambling

This approach is:

✅ Backed by historical data
✅ Grounded in mathematics
✅ Systematic and repeatable
✅ Free from emotion and noise

I'm not just randomly buying and selling. I’m not chasing pumps.

I’m a mathematician and a quant, with backgrounds in both Mathematics and Economics, and soon starting my Master’s in Quantitative Finance.

This is research-backed strategy execution, not hope-based trading.

💡 In Short:

I’m not trading based on hunches.
I’m running a mean-reversion engine built on math.
And often — just like the stats say — it works.

👍 Like this post if you're curious.
📚 Because in the next ones, I’ll share:

How I select pairs

What cointegration and z-score really mean

A full working Pairs Trading script in Python

Stay tuned.

Stay smart.
fulldeg
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Bullish
💰 I keep printing money. Curious how?

It's called Pairs Trading — and it's not luck, it's strategy.

🔥 Smash that like if you're intrigued,

because my next post will drop the alpha.

Get ready to learn how I do this step-by-step.

📈 Stay tuned, stay profitable.
--
Bullish
💰 I keep printing money. Curious how? It's called Pairs Trading — and it's not luck, it's strategy. 🔥 Smash that like if you're intrigued, because my next post will drop the alpha. Get ready to learn how I do this step-by-step. 📈 Stay tuned, stay profitable.
💰 I keep printing money. Curious how?

It's called Pairs Trading — and it's not luck, it's strategy.

🔥 Smash that like if you're intrigued,

because my next post will drop the alpha.

Get ready to learn how I do this step-by-step.

📈 Stay tuned, stay profitable.
S
SUIUSDT
Closed
PNL
+121.28USDT
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Bullish
Uhhhh, I am very sorry for $OM FUDders. Now watch the pump ;) 1$ soon my bois.
Uhhhh, I am very sorry for $OM FUDders. Now watch the pump ;)

1$ soon my bois.
B
OMUSDT
Closed
PNL
-5,884.20USDT
$OM fam, we need high volume ASAP. $OM => 1$ — when? SOON! LFG!
$OM fam, we need high volume ASAP.

$OM => 1$ — when? SOON!

LFG!
B
OMUSDT
Closed
PNL
-5,884.20USDT
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Bullish
Following $OM like this. And no, I didn't sell my single $OM , yet. 1$ is coming.
Following $OM like this. And no, I didn't sell my single $OM , yet.
1$ is coming.
B
OMUSDT
Closed
PNL
-5,884.20USDT
I said, you didn't listen — now watch. $OM to 1$
I said, you didn't listen — now watch.

$OM to 1$
B
OMUSDT
Closed
PNL
-5,884.20USDT
Keep shorting 🤣 $OM to 1$.
Keep shorting 🤣 $OM to 1$.
B
OMUSDT
Closed
PNL
-5,884.20USDT
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Bullish
🚀🚀 $OM - DOWNTREND BROKEN 🚀🚀 Next will be fun — mark my words: $OM to 1$.
🚀🚀 $OM - DOWNTREND BROKEN 🚀🚀

Next will be fun — mark my words: $OM to 1$.
B
OMUSDT
Closed
PNL
-5,884.20USDT
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Bullish
Sunday will be fun. $OM to 1$
Sunday will be fun.

$OM to 1$
B
OMUSDT
Closed
PNL
-5,884.20USDT
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Bullish
Having $OM will be fun next week. I am full ready — send it.
Having $OM will be fun next week. I am full ready — send it.
B
OMUSDT
Closed
PNL
-5,884.20USDT
GM $OM fam. Very excited for Sunday. $OM = 1$
GM $OM fam.

Very excited for Sunday.

$OM = 1$
B
OMUSDT
Closed
PNL
-5,884.20USDT
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Bullish
You cannot fade this man. $OM to 1$. Comeback is real.
You cannot fade this man.

$OM to 1$. Comeback is real.
B
OMUSDT
Closed
PNL
-5,884.20USDT
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Bullish
Watching $OM like this. Tell after me: DO NOT FADE ME. $OM to ONE DOLLAR.
Watching $OM like this. Tell after me:

DO
NOT
FADE
ME.

$OM to ONE DOLLAR.
B
OMUSDT
Closed
PNL
-5,884.20USDT
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Bullish
Do not fade $OM . You are not ready what is coming. (Spoiler: $1) {spot}(OMUSDT)
Do not fade $OM .

You are not ready what is coming. (Spoiler: $1)
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Bullish
SIGNAL | Long $OM TP: $1 Stop Loss: $0 {spot}(OMUSDT)
SIGNAL | Long $OM

TP: $1
Stop Loss: $0
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Bullish
GM fam, will go and eat some dip of $OM . I'm retiring this summer.
GM fam, will go and eat some dip of $OM .

I'm retiring this summer.
B
OMUSDT
Closed
PNL
-903.54USDT
keep shorting 🤣🤣🤣 $OM to $1.
keep shorting 🤣🤣🤣 $OM to $1.
$OM is coming and you cannot do anything about it.
$OM is coming and you cannot do anything about it.
B
OMUSDT
Closed
PNL
-903.54USDT
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