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15 日連続で増加しているだけなので、多すぎます。
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$BIGTIME - A good short leg for your portfolio. Why? 1) Although the price trend is upwards, there is a sharp decline in volume. This means that this trend will be broken soon. 2) Although the price is in an uptrend, there is a downtrend on the RSI side, which appears as a Bearish indicator. If you already have a portfolio and do not want to sell profits, you can hedge yourself against possible declines by shorting BIGTIME instead. It has always made sense to short bad coins during the bull season. Instead of selling your good coins, short bad coins and manage your risk. BIGTIME = SHORT
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Trading Adventure #1: From $100 to $1,000,000 ----------------------------------------------------------- Turning $100 into $1,000,000 is a bold goal that demands strategy, discipline, and smart risk management. Here's a streamlined approach to embark on this trading journey. Step 1: Set Incremental Goals Breaking down the massive goal into smaller milestones makes it manageable: $100 → $1,000 $1,000 → $10,000 Continue scaling up until $1,000,000 Step 2: Choose the Right Market Cryptocurrencies are ideal due to their high volatility, offering significant growth potential. However, they carry higher risk compared to stocks or forex. Select a market that aligns with your risk tolerance and expertise. Step 3: Develop a Simple Trading Strategy Use a 10% Gain Per Trade strategy with reinvestment: Initial Capital: $100 Trade 1: 10% gain → $110 Trade 2: 10% of $110 → $121 Continue this pattern… Growth Calculation: Final Amount=100×(1.10)^n To reach $1,000,000: n≈93 trades Step 4: Manage Your Risk Protect your capital by: Risking Only 1-2% per Trade: Limits losses. Using Stop-Loss Orders: Automatically exit losing trades. Diversifying Investments: Spread risk across multiple assets. Step 5: Track and Refine Maintain a trading journal to log each trade’s outcome and learn from successes and mistakes. This continuous improvement is crucial for long-term growth. Example Progress: Start: $10 0After 10 Trades: ≈ $259 After 20 Trades: ≈ $670 After 50 Trades: ≈ $11,467 After 93 Trades: ≈ $1,000,000 Conclusion Achieving $1,000,000 from $100 is challenging but possible with a disciplined approach. Set clear milestones, choose the right market, implement a solid strategy, manage risks effectively, and continuously refine your methods. Patience and persistence are your allies on this ambitious trading adventure. For Reference: Initial Capital: $100 Target: $1,000,000 Trades Needed: ~93 (with 10% gain each) $BTC $ETH $BNB
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Quant Strategies #2: Statistical Arbitrage in Cryptocurrency Trading Statistical arbitrage is a popular quantitative strategy in cryptocurrency trading that seeks to exploit price inefficiencies between related crypto assets. By leveraging mathematical models and historical data, traders can identify and capitalize on temporary price discrepancies. What is Statistical Arbitrage? Statistical arbitrage involves trading pairs or baskets of cryptocurrencies that historically move together. When their prices diverge beyond a typical range, the strategy assumes they will revert to their mean, allowing traders to profit from the convergence. Key Steps to Implement Statistical Arbitrage: Identify Cointegrated Pairs: Select cryptocurrencies that have a strong historical correlation. For example, $BTC and $ETH often show similar market movements. Calculate the Spread: Determine the price difference between the two assets. Example Calculation: $BTC Price: $30,000 $ETH Price: $2,000 Spread = $30,000 - ($2,000 * 15) = $0 (assuming 1 BTC ≈ 15 ETH) Set Trading Thresholds: Define upper and lower limits for the spread. If the spread widens beyond the upper limit, sell the overperforming asset and buy the underperforming one. Reverse the actions when the spread narrows below the lower limit. Execute Trades Automatically: Use algorithms to monitor the spread in real-time and execute trades when thresholds are breached. Example Scenario: Suppose historical data shows that $BTC and $ETH typically maintain a 15:1 ratio. Suddenly, $BTC rises to $31,000 while $ETH drops to $1,900. The spread widens, triggering the strategy: Sell $BTC at $31,000Buy $ETH at $1,900 When the prices revert to the mean ratio: $BTC drops to $30,000$ETH rises to $2,000 Buy back $BTC and sell $ETH, locking in the profit from the convergence. Backtesting Results: Over the past six months: Trades Executed: 20 Winning Trades: 14 Losing Trades: 6 Net Profit: +12%
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Quant Strategies #1: Algorithmic Trading for Crypto Markets Algorithmic trading is transforming cryptocurrency markets by enabling traders to execute strategies with speed and precision that manual trading can't achieve. Let’s break down how it works: What is Algorithmic Trading? Algorithmic trading uses computer programs to follow a set of rules for placing trades. These rules are based on factors like price, volume, and timing, allowing trades to be executed automatically without human intervention. Key Steps to Implement Algorithmic Trading: Define Your Strategy: For example, a Moving Average Crossover strategy uses two moving averages: a short-term (e.g., SMA50) and a long-term (e.g., SMA200). Buy Signal: When SMA50 crosses above SMA200. Sell Signal: When SMA50 crosses below SMA200. Backtest Your Strategy: Use historical data to test how your strategy would have performed. Suppose for $BTC: SMA50 = $30,000 SMA200 = $28,000 SMA50 > SMA200 → Buy Signal For $ETH: SMA50 = $2,000 SMA200 = $2,100 SMA50 < SMA200 → Sell Signal Execute Trades Automatically: Once signals are generated, the algorithm places buy or sell orders instantly based on the predefined rules. Example Calculation: Imagine you backtest this strategy over the past year: $BTC: Total Trades: 10 Winning Trades: 7 Losing Trades: 3 Net Profit: +15% $ETH:Total Trades: 8 Winning Trades: 4 Losing Trades: 4 Net Profit: -5% Conclusion: Algorithmic trading removes emotions from trading decisions, ensuring consistent execution of your strategy. In our example, $BTC showed a profitable outcome, while $ETH did not, emphasizing the need to choose the right strategy for each asset. By leveraging algorithmic trading, you can enhance efficiency and potentially increase returns in the volatile crypto markets. For Reference: $BTC - SMA Crossover Profit: +15% $ETH - SMA Crossover Profit: -5%
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Trading Strategies #1 - Understanding Support and Resistance Levels I will talk about the concept of Support and Resistance in trading. Before that, let's understand why these levels are important. Support Level: This is the price level where an asset tends to stop falling. It's like the floor that supports the price. Resistance Level: This is the price level where an asset tends to stop rising. Think of it as the ceiling that resists the price from going higher. Why Are They Important? These levels help traders make decisions about entry and exit points. Example of Support: Suppose Asset X has fallen to $50 multiple times but hasn't gone lower. This $50 level is acting as support. Example of Resistance: Asset X has risen to $70 several times but hasn't surpassed it. This $70 level is acting as resistance. How to Use Them in Trading Buying at Support: If the price approaches a known support level, traders might consider buying, expecting the price to rise. Selling at Resistance: When the price nears a resistance level, traders might sell or short, anticipating a price drop. Breakouts: Sometimes, the price breaks through support or resistance levels. Breaking Support: If the price falls below support, it might continue falling. Breaking Resistance: If the price rises above resistance, it might continue rising. Example Trade: You notice Asset X has support at $50 and resistance at $70. Strategy: Buy at $52, anticipating the price will rise to $70. Set Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss at $49 to limit potential losses. Take-Profit: Set a take-profit at $68. Calculations: Potential Loss: $52 - $49 = $3 per share.Potential Gain: $68 - $52 = $16 per share. Risk-Reward Ratio: $3 / $16 ≈ 1:5. This means you're risking $1 to potentially make $5, which is a favorable ratio. Why This Matters Understanding support and resistance helps you: Identify potential reversal points. Plan your trades with better entry and exit points. Improve your risk management. $BTC $ETH $DOGE
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