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Bitcoin and other investments in a sovereign debt crisis
Bitcoin:
Potential usefulness: In the event of a debt crisis, Bitcoin could be seen as an alternative to fiat currencies whose value is threatened.
Risks: Bitcoin is a very volatile asset.
Other investments:
Traditional Investments: Traditional investments like stocks and bonds can offer some protection against inflation and the depreciation of fiat currencies.
Alternative investments: Alternative investments like gold and commodities can also be attractive in times of crisis.
Potential usefulness: In the event of a debt crisis, Bitcoin could be seen as an alternative to fiat currencies whose value is threatened.
Risks: Bitcoin is a very volatile asset.
Other investments:
Traditional Investments: Traditional investments like stocks and bonds can offer some protection against inflation and the depreciation of fiat currencies.
Alternative investments: Alternative investments like gold and commodities can also be attractive in times of crisis.
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Probability of explosion of a sovereign debt crisis
Preamble:
The likelihood of a debt crisis explosion is difficult to assess precisely because it depends on many complex and interconnected factors.
Factors:
Debt Level: Global debt has reached record levels, exceeding 250% of global GDP in 2021.
Interest rates: Rising interest rates make servicing debt more expensive, increasing the risk of default.
Economic Growth: Low or no economic growth makes it more difficult to repay debt.
The likelihood of a debt crisis explosion is difficult to assess precisely because it depends on many complex and interconnected factors.
Factors:
Debt Level: Global debt has reached record levels, exceeding 250% of global GDP in 2021.
Interest rates: Rising interest rates make servicing debt more expensive, increasing the risk of default.
Economic Growth: Low or no economic growth makes it more difficult to repay debt.
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$Btc Analysis daily Kif Kif
The probabilities of the Bitcoin price rising and falling are approximately equal. Here are the elements that allow me to draw this conclusion:
Technical indicators:
MACD: The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) line is below the signal line, which indicates a downtrend. However, the bullish divergence between the MACD and Bitcoin price suggests that the trend could reverse.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 56.87, which is slightly above the neutral zone (50). This indicates that Bitcoin is slightly overvalued, but it is not yet in overbought territory.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Bitcoin price is above the 20 EMA and 50 EMA, but below the 100 EMA and 200 EMA. This indicates that the short trend term is bullish, but the long-term trend is bearish.
Other factors:
News: The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing some uncertainty due to regulation and economic conditions.
Market Sentiment: Market sentiment is currently mixed, with some analysts predicting a further rise and others predicting a decline.
In conclusion, it is difficult to say with certainty which direction the Bitcoin price will take in the short term. Technical indicators are mixed and other factors do not allow a definitive conclusion to be drawn. The probabilities of rise and fall are therefore approximately equal.
The probabilities of the Bitcoin price rising and falling are approximately equal. Here are the elements that allow me to draw this conclusion:
Technical indicators:
MACD: The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) line is below the signal line, which indicates a downtrend. However, the bullish divergence between the MACD and Bitcoin price suggests that the trend could reverse.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 56.87, which is slightly above the neutral zone (50). This indicates that Bitcoin is slightly overvalued, but it is not yet in overbought territory.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Bitcoin price is above the 20 EMA and 50 EMA, but below the 100 EMA and 200 EMA. This indicates that the short trend term is bullish, but the long-term trend is bearish.
Other factors:
News: The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing some uncertainty due to regulation and economic conditions.
Market Sentiment: Market sentiment is currently mixed, with some analysts predicting a further rise and others predicting a decline.
In conclusion, it is difficult to say with certainty which direction the Bitcoin price will take in the short term. Technical indicators are mixed and other factors do not allow a definitive conclusion to be drawn. The probabilities of rise and fall are therefore approximately equal.
$btc to break resistance in next hours !? This and a good Volume trasaction shoul open road to around 83 !
Break up
Break down
9 hora(s) restante(s)
La bourse est un endroit où l'on se bat pour des bouts de papier dont la valeur est déterminée par l'opinion de gens que l'on ne connaît pas." - Mark Twain
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$BTC $ETH
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a technical indicator that helps identify overbought and oversold areas of an asset. An RSI above 70 indicates that the asset is in the overbought zone, meaning its value is likely to decline. However, this doesn't necessarily mean you have to sell immediately.
Several factors should be considered before making a selling decision:
The market trend: If the market is in an uptrend, it is possible for the RSI to reach 70 or more without this necessarily signifying a trend reversal. In this case, it may be wise to hold your position.
Trading volume: High trading volume coupled with a high RSI can indicate a high probability of a trend reversal.
Your Trading Strategy: If you are using a trend following strategy, you may choose not to sell until the uptrend is over.
Your Risk Tolerance: If you have a low risk tolerance, you may choose to sell as soon as the RSI hits 70 to limit your potential losses.
In conclusion, there is no universal answer to the question of whether to sell when the RSI is above 70. The decision to sell should be made based on your market analysis and strategy trading.
Here are some additional tips for using RSI:
Do not use RSI as the sole indicator to make your trading decisions. Combine it with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis.
Do not blindly trust RSI signals. This is a probabilistic tool and cannot guarantee the success of your trades.
Use the RSI to identify overbought and oversold areas, but do not use it as an outright buy or sell signal.
I hope this helps you make more informed trading decisions.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a technical indicator that helps identify overbought and oversold areas of an asset. An RSI above 70 indicates that the asset is in the overbought zone, meaning its value is likely to decline. However, this doesn't necessarily mean you have to sell immediately.
Several factors should be considered before making a selling decision:
The market trend: If the market is in an uptrend, it is possible for the RSI to reach 70 or more without this necessarily signifying a trend reversal. In this case, it may be wise to hold your position.
Trading volume: High trading volume coupled with a high RSI can indicate a high probability of a trend reversal.
Your Trading Strategy: If you are using a trend following strategy, you may choose not to sell until the uptrend is over.
Your Risk Tolerance: If you have a low risk tolerance, you may choose to sell as soon as the RSI hits 70 to limit your potential losses.
In conclusion, there is no universal answer to the question of whether to sell when the RSI is above 70. The decision to sell should be made based on your market analysis and strategy trading.
Here are some additional tips for using RSI:
Do not use RSI as the sole indicator to make your trading decisions. Combine it with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis.
Do not blindly trust RSI signals. This is a probabilistic tool and cannot guarantee the success of your trades.
Use the RSI to identify overbought and oversold areas, but do not use it as an outright buy or sell signal.
I hope this helps you make more informed trading decisions.
L'art de l'investissement consiste à acheter lorsque les autres vendent et à vendre lorsque les autres achètent." - Sir John Templeton
$BTC
$BTC
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On the stock market you have two choices: get rich slowly or get poorer quickly." - André Kostolany
$BTC
$BTC
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Strategies for Reading Bollinger Bands
Strategies for Reading Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands are a popular technical indicator for analyzing market volatility and trends. They are made up of three bands: The upper band: it is calculated by adding a standard deviation (often 2) to the simple moving average (SMA) of the price. The lower band: it is calculated by subtracting a standard deviation from the SMA of the price. The central band: it corresponds to the SMA of the price. Here are some strategies for reading the Bollinger bands:1. Identifying overbought and oversold zones: Overbought: When the price reaches the upper band, it may indicate that the market is overbought and a correction is possible. Oversold: When the price reaches the lower band, it may indicate that the market is oversold and a rebound is possible.2. Trend Confirmation: Uptrend: When the price holds above the central band and the bands move apart, it may indicate an uptrend. Downtrend: When the price holds below the central band and bands move apart, this may indicate a downtrend.3. Identifying entry and exit points:Buy: When the price bounces off the lower band, it can be a buy signal.Sell: When the price falls back from the upper band, it can be a sell signal.4 . Detecting Changes in Volatility:Increase in Volatility: When the bands move apart, it may indicate an increase in volatility.Decrease in Volatility: When the bands tighten, it may indicate a decrease in volatility.It is important Note that Bollinger Bands are not a perfect indicator and should be used in conjunction with other indicators and analyses. Here are some tips for using Bollinger Bands: Choose the time frame to calculate the SMA based on of your investment horizon.Use other indicators to confirm Bollinger Bands signals. Do not make investment decisions based solely on Bollinger Bands. Manage your risk by using stop-losses and take-profits.
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Probable outcome of the XRP trial
$XRP Preamble:It is important to note that these are only speculations based on analysis of the available facts. The final verdict of the trial is impossible to predict with certainty. The key points: SEC arguments: The SEC accuses Ripple Labs of selling XRP as unregistered securities, in violation of securities laws. Ripple arguments : Ripple Labs claims that which gives Ripple an advantage.Possible agreement: It is possible that both sides reach an agreement before a final verdict.Probable scenarios:1. Ripple Victory: Judge Torres rules that XRP is not a security and that the SEC does not have jurisdiction to regulate its sale. Ripple Labs is free to continue selling XRP without restriction. The price of XRP could rise significantly. 2. SEC Victory: Judge Torres rules that XRP is a security and that Ripple Labs violated securities laws. Ripple Labs ordered to pay fines and restitution. The price of XRP could fall significantly.3. Agreement: Both parties reach an agreement before a final verdict. The terms of the agreement could include an injunction against Ripple Labs, fines and/or restrictions on the sale of XRP. The impact on the price of XRP is difficult to predict. Factors to consider: Developments in the cryptocurrency market. The SEC's decision to prosecute other participants in the cryptocurrency market. Technological developments in the field of cryptocurrencies. Conclusion :The outcome of the XRP lawsuit is still uncertain, but the different possible scenarios have important implications for the future of Ripple Labs and the cryptocurrency market. It is important to note that this is just speculation and the verdict The outcome of the trial is impossible to predict with certainty.
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Why is it important to read USDT dominance to anticipate the market?
What is USDT dominance?USDT dominance, expressed as a percent, represents the market share of Tether (USDT) relative to the total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market. In other words, it indicates what proportion of the total value of all cryptocurrencies is represented by USDT.Calculation of USDT dominance:USDT dominance is calculated by dividing the market capitalization of the USDT by the total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market and multiplying by 100.Why is USDT dominance important?USDT dominance is an important indicator of the health and maturity of the crypto market currencies. It can tell us about: Investor confidence in stablecoins: High USDT dominance may indicate that investors are turning to stablecoins as a safe haven in times of market uncertainty.The use of stablecoins in trading : USDT is widely used for trading cryptocurrencies. High USDT dominance may therefore indicate significant trading activity in the market.Cryptocurrency adoption: Decreasing USDT dominance may mean investors are adopting other cryptocurrencies, which is typically considered a positive sign for market growth. Factors influencing USDT dominance: Market volatility: USDT dominance tends to increase during times of market volatility, as investors turn to stablecoins for protection losses.Stablecoin Adoption: The growing adoption of stablecoins for other use cases, such as payments and decentralized finance (DeFi), may also increase USDT's dominance.Regulation: Government regulations on Cryptocurrencies can impact USDT's dominance, particularly if they target centralized stablecoins like USDT.Conclusion:USDT dominance is an important indicator to watch for cryptocurrency investors. It can provide useful insights into market health, investor trends, and cryptocurrency adoption.$usdt
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General logic:
1️⃣ Find a nice entry on $BTC
2️⃣ Have good management between $ETH and $BTC
3️⃣ Alt picking to accumulate ETH and BTC
4️⃣ Exit the market
1️⃣ Find a nice entry on $BTC
2️⃣ Have good management between $ETH and $BTC
3️⃣ Alt picking to accumulate ETH and BTC
4️⃣ Exit the market
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💬 “Owning a#bitcoinETF is like saying you have a girlfriend, but she lives in BlackRock's apartment and BlackRock sends you a photo of her every quarter. »
-Joe Burnett.
-Joe Burnett.
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The next Bitcoin halving event is scheduled in less than 100 days, on May 10, 2024. This process involves halving the reward to miners for validating blocks on the Bitcoin blockchain.
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Stock Sales Weigh on Bitcoin Price
Former White House communications director Anthony Scaramucci said the fall in Bitcoin's price was partly due to sales of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) shares. This index fund, which is traded on an exchange, allows investors to position themselves in Bitcoin without having to buy it directly.
“Bitcoin sales volume is very strong right now,” Scaramucci said. “I expect the excess supply to be cleared in the next six to eight days.”
Tom Lee predicts a sharp rise in Bitcoin
Tom Lee, CEO of Fundstrat Global Advisors, is an analyst who is known for his optimistic Bitcoin predictions. In a recent interview with CNBC, Lee said he expects Bitcoin to reach over $100,000 in the next 12 months, or even $150,000.
BlackRock buys Bitcoin for its ETF
BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, announced that it now holds 11,439 bitcoins for its Bitcoin Trust ETF. This represents a value of over $497 million.
SEC Not Expected to Approve Ethereum Spot ETF in Near Future
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has yet to approve an Ethereum spot ETF. According to analysts at TD Cowen and JP Morgan, the SEC is unlikely to approve such an ETF in the near future.
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Stock Sales Weigh on Bitcoin Price
Former White House communications director Anthony Scaramucci said the fall in Bitcoin's price was partly due to sales of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) shares. This index fund, which is traded on an exchange, allows investors to position themselves in Bitcoin without having to buy it directly.
“Bitcoin sales volume is very strong right now,” Scaramucci said. “I expect the excess supply to be cleared in the next six to eight days.”
Tom Lee predicts a sharp rise in Bitcoin
Tom Lee, CEO of Fundstrat Global Advisors, is an analyst who is known for his optimistic Bitcoin predictions. In a recent interview with CNBC, Lee said he expects Bitcoin to reach over $100,000 in the next 12 months, or even $150,000.
BlackRock buys Bitcoin for its ETF
BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, announced that it now holds 11,439 bitcoins for its Bitcoin Trust ETF. This represents a value of over $497 million.
SEC Not Expected to Approve Ethereum Spot ETF in Near Future
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has yet to approve an Ethereum spot ETF. According to analysts at TD Cowen and JP Morgan, the SEC is unlikely to approve such an ETF in the near future.
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🔔 𝙇𝙀 𝙍𝙀𝘾𝘼𝙋 𝘿𝙀𝙎 𝙉𝙀𝙒𝙎 - 𝘽𝙮 𝘾𝙧𝙮𝙥𝙩𝙤 𝙂𝙤𝙠𝙪 🗞
🚨✅ ALL#Bitcoinspot ETFs are approved!
SEC approves 11 Spot#BitcoinETFs from VanEck, Bitwise, Fidelity, Franklin, Valkyrie, Hashdex, ArkInvest, Grayscale, BlackRock, WisdomTree, Invesco Galaxy.
💬 “Today the Commission approved the listing and trading of a number of spot bitcoin ETPs”
“We have neither approved nor endorsed bitcoin.”
- Gary Gensler in an official press release on the SEC website
🇺🇸 US Senators call Gary Gensler and the SEC to account on the “compromise” post on the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
“It is unacceptable that the agency charged with regulating the epicenter of global financial markets would make such a colossal mistake.”
🖼️X has reportedly removed support for NFT profile photos from its X Premium support page.
This would mean removing the ability to set an NFT as your profile photo.
💬 🇪🇺 “It is very unlikely that the ECB will ever buy bitcoins.”
These are the words of the European Central Bank.
🚨 Bitwise will donate 10% of profits from its Spot Bitcoin ETF to three nonprofits that fund open-source development of #Bitcoin: Brink, OpenSats, and the Human Rights Foundation's Bitcoin Development Fund man.
🏹 Robinhood plans to list#Bitcoinspot ETFs as soon as possible.
🚨✅ ALL#Bitcoinspot ETFs are approved!
SEC approves 11 Spot#BitcoinETFs from VanEck, Bitwise, Fidelity, Franklin, Valkyrie, Hashdex, ArkInvest, Grayscale, BlackRock, WisdomTree, Invesco Galaxy.
💬 “Today the Commission approved the listing and trading of a number of spot bitcoin ETPs”
“We have neither approved nor endorsed bitcoin.”
- Gary Gensler in an official press release on the SEC website
🇺🇸 US Senators call Gary Gensler and the SEC to account on the “compromise” post on the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
“It is unacceptable that the agency charged with regulating the epicenter of global financial markets would make such a colossal mistake.”
🖼️X has reportedly removed support for NFT profile photos from its X Premium support page.
This would mean removing the ability to set an NFT as your profile photo.
💬 🇪🇺 “It is very unlikely that the ECB will ever buy bitcoins.”
These are the words of the European Central Bank.
🚨 Bitwise will donate 10% of profits from its Spot Bitcoin ETF to three nonprofits that fund open-source development of #Bitcoin: Brink, OpenSats, and the Human Rights Foundation's Bitcoin Development Fund man.
🏹 Robinhood plans to list#Bitcoinspot ETFs as soon as possible.
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💬 ETF expert Eric Balchunas said he estimates a 70% chance that spot ETH ETFs will be approved by May.
May 23 is the deadline to make a decision on VanEck's ETH ETF spot
He cannot see a scenario where spot Bitcoin ETFs are approved but spot Eth ETFs are not.
He also noted that he had heard "behind the scenes" that spot Eth ETFs were "doing well."
🗞 coindesk
May 23 is the deadline to make a decision on VanEck's ETH ETF spot
He cannot see a scenario where spot Bitcoin ETFs are approved but spot Eth ETFs are not.
He also noted that he had heard "behind the scenes" that spot Eth ETFs were "doing well."
🗞 coindesk
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💬 “I'm open to the idea of using#Bitcoinon X”
This is what Elon Musk declared in an X space organized by Cathie Wood on the occasion of the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
$BTC
This is what Elon Musk declared in an X space organized by Cathie Wood on the occasion of the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
$BTC
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🚨 Bitwise will donate 10% of profits from its Spot Bitcoin ETF to three nonprofits that fund open-source development of #Bitcoin: Brink, OpenSats, and the Human Rights Foundation's Bitcoin Development Fund man.
“Bitcoin was launched 15 years ago without fundraising and has always been maintained by a dedicated community of open source developers”
“It is important to support the development of Bitcoin Core in a sustainable way in the long term”
“Bitcoin was launched 15 years ago without fundraising and has always been maintained by a dedicated community of open source developers”
“It is important to support the development of Bitcoin Core in a sustainable way in the long term”
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