op喜欢接飞刀
江恩理论爱好者---推特@0xx1oop1oop
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In the end, missiles were still launched, and that negative impact should be about over, right? In the past bull market, it was always amidst a chorus of applause that positions were attacked by missiles. Now in the bear market, we know that missiles need to be launched, but positions also get attacked by missiles.
The uncertainty of the market is weighed down by macro factors, and it’s a pity to waste such a good offensive opportunity. However, it also lays a good foundation for next month’s market. Let’s hang in there a little longer.
The uncertainty of the market is weighed down by macro factors, and it’s a pity to waste such a good offensive opportunity. However, it also lays a good foundation for next month’s market. Let’s hang in there a little longer.
#加密市场反弹 #BTC走势分析 2026.2.27
The month conversion period is an important turning point. The next week is crucial; if it surpasses 70,000 dollars, can we see 80,000?
Currently, it is still a structural repair phase under a bearish trend. The right-side space is just a breath away from opening up, so don't be disturbed. KOL is ultimately an emotional indicator; don't look at 90,000 when it rises by 10% and 55,000 when it falls by 5%. Be patient and wait for the fluctuation to end; there is still time and opportunity.
The month conversion period is an important turning point. The next week is crucial; if it surpasses 70,000 dollars, can we see 80,000?
Currently, it is still a structural repair phase under a bearish trend. The right-side space is just a breath away from opening up, so don't be disturbed. KOL is ultimately an emotional indicator; don't look at 90,000 when it rises by 10% and 55,000 when it falls by 5%. Be patient and wait for the fluctuation to end; there is still time and opportunity.
#BTC突破7万大关 The entire line surged, with the largest daily increase recently!
A couple of days ago, I continuously posted tips that it was time to get on board, and I only realized last night to chase in, so I must have to suffer a bit.
Having just dealt with the mixed-brand air force, will it turn around to attack the long positions?
——-——
Yesterday, $70,000 faced pressure and fell back, reaching the 68k level for consolidation. During the Asian session, the price continued to stabilize around the weekly opening price, and the hourly trend is relatively strong. Although the smaller volume has contracted and is under pressure from the larger direction, the indicators are leaning towards a bearish trend. However, in terms of probability, the short-term upward direction remains unchanged. It is necessary to digest last night's rise through fluctuations, and this has been mentioned in earlier posts.
A couple of days ago, I continuously posted tips that it was time to get on board, and I only realized last night to chase in, so I must have to suffer a bit.
Having just dealt with the mixed-brand air force, will it turn around to attack the long positions?
——-——
Yesterday, $70,000 faced pressure and fell back, reaching the 68k level for consolidation. During the Asian session, the price continued to stabilize around the weekly opening price, and the hourly trend is relatively strong. Although the smaller volume has contracted and is under pressure from the larger direction, the indicators are leaning towards a bearish trend. However, in terms of probability, the short-term upward direction remains unchanged. It is necessary to digest last night's rise through fluctuations, and this has been mentioned in earlier posts.
#BTC
A single arrow穿云, thousands of troops come to meet!
The judgments made in advance on the 19th and 24th have all arrived.
The big V's were still saying yesterday that 65k broke down, looking bearish at 62500 dollars, and 62k will also go down, directly to 55k, or even starting with 4.
During the downtrend consolidation period, the timing, price, and position ratio of short-term and swing operations must be very strict. If the timing is wrong, attacking will score full marks, but defense will fail; no matter how you do it, there will be an explosion!
Now let's see how those who shorted BTS and chased the shorts in the altcoin market are doing?
The direction of the next consolidation will only come out, and then there will be fluctuations of tens of thousands of points.
Let's see if we can reach the next key node before March 2.
A single arrow穿云, thousands of troops come to meet!
The judgments made in advance on the 19th and 24th have all arrived.
The big V's were still saying yesterday that 65k broke down, looking bearish at 62500 dollars, and 62k will also go down, directly to 55k, or even starting with 4.
During the downtrend consolidation period, the timing, price, and position ratio of short-term and swing operations must be very strict. If the timing is wrong, attacking will score full marks, but defense will fail; no matter how you do it, there will be an explosion!
Now let's see how those who shorted BTS and chased the shorts in the altcoin market are doing?
The direction of the next consolidation will only come out, and then there will be fluctuations of tens of thousands of points.
Let's see if we can reach the next key node before March 2.
#BTC 2026.2.25
A week in advance assessment, can the given time frame be fully verified?
First node, a rebound close to 5%
Second node, currently there has also been a 3% rebound
Prices may vary, but time will not
From a cyclical perspective, we have now entered a mid-term phase of change; it's not to say that this position is the bottom, but the market has ground to this point, breaking 6 to enter 5 seems highly unlikely to me. Although the market is weak, some changes are still needed.
Are you prepared to welcome changes?
The public discussion group is on the Twitter homepage, welcome to join.
A week in advance assessment, can the given time frame be fully verified?
First node, a rebound close to 5%
Second node, currently there has also been a 3% rebound
Prices may vary, but time will not
From a cyclical perspective, we have now entered a mid-term phase of change; it's not to say that this position is the bottom, but the market has ground to this point, breaking 6 to enter 5 seems highly unlikely to me. Although the market is weak, some changes are still needed.
Are you prepared to welcome changes?
The public discussion group is on the Twitter homepage, welcome to join.
#BTC
In the tweet on the 21st, I mentioned that BTC is having a 'false rebound'.
Yesterday, the weekly close was done, marking a small climax.
Although the height of the false rebound was below expectations, missing by 1000 points, the bearish cycle is undeniable.
In terms of BTC's trend, liquidity is recovering, and volatility is expanding. From a chip perspective, it still needs to fully oscillate in the two ranges of 68k-70k-74k.
The 65k consolidation low was breached, and today it has come to 62k. The price is still operating within expectations; if one can retain profits in the short term and keep the principal safe, that is enough to outperform most people.
When others FOMO, I panic.
When others panic, I FOMO.
In the tweet on the 21st, I mentioned that BTC is having a 'false rebound'.
Yesterday, the weekly close was done, marking a small climax.
Although the height of the false rebound was below expectations, missing by 1000 points, the bearish cycle is undeniable.
In terms of BTC's trend, liquidity is recovering, and volatility is expanding. From a chip perspective, it still needs to fully oscillate in the two ranges of 68k-70k-74k.
The 65k consolidation low was breached, and today it has come to 62k. The price is still operating within expectations; if one can retain profits in the short term and keep the principal safe, that is enough to outperform most people.
When others FOMO, I panic.
When others panic, I FOMO.
#特朗普新全球关税
Tariff +5%, are you starting to imagine a financial crisis? The fear of a drop is stronger than the rise in tax rates.
The big pie hasn't even reached 5000 points, can this be called a crash, can this be called a big fluctuation? There's a bit of distance to 65k below, 67k is still there, why the rush to close long positions and open short ones, what's the hurry?
Tariff +5%, are you starting to imagine a financial crisis? The fear of a drop is stronger than the rise in tax rates.
The big pie hasn't even reached 5000 points, can this be called a crash, can this be called a big fluctuation? There's a bit of distance to 65k below, 67k is still there, why the rush to close long positions and open short ones, what's the hurry?
Number #BTC 15 sees a peak downwards, the 19th oscillates down before rebounding, following the script written in advance, moving to the rhythm.
On the evening of the 20th, both bulls and bears were fiercely killed, with various fluctuations being slain.
A slower rhythm means there will be significant fluctuations; last week, it was held down just below a certain height, and with the lower limit at 65k continuously holding without breaking, it must rise back! Rise to 69500-72500, continue the false rebound, and then come another round.
On the evening of the 20th, both bulls and bears were fiercely killed, with various fluctuations being slain.
A slower rhythm means there will be significant fluctuations; last week, it was held down just below a certain height, and with the lower limit at 65k continuously holding without breaking, it must rise back! Rise to 69500-72500, continue the false rebound, and then come another round.
#BTC 2026.2.16
Wishing everyone a happy New Year's Eve in advance!~🧨
——-——
Don't be a rogue air force!
I mentioned in tweet 13 that a short-term peak will form from the 14th to 16th.
After the short-term target is realized tonight, the market experienced a rapid decline, and the speed was very decisive. However, time has not yet run out, and the price peak has not met expectations.
Since it is the weekend, plus the U.S. stock market is closed tomorrow, but the futures market will still provide liquidity, I think there may be two possible routes:
68000 is an important threshold, and it has already been tested once in the evening. If it does not break during the day, it will continue to test upwards towards 71000-72000. If it breaks below 68000, then we can consider the market to be weakening, looking down towards around 66500. We still need to wait for time to pass before confirming more safely.
Wishing everyone a happy New Year's Eve in advance!~🧨
——-——
Don't be a rogue air force!
I mentioned in tweet 13 that a short-term peak will form from the 14th to 16th.
After the short-term target is realized tonight, the market experienced a rapid decline, and the speed was very decisive. However, time has not yet run out, and the price peak has not met expectations.
Since it is the weekend, plus the U.S. stock market is closed tomorrow, but the futures market will still provide liquidity, I think there may be two possible routes:
68000 is an important threshold, and it has already been tested once in the evening. If it does not break during the day, it will continue to test upwards towards 71000-72000. If it breaks below 68000, then we can consider the market to be weakening, looking down towards around 66500. We still need to wait for time to pass before confirming more safely.
#CPI数据 Today's CPI is actually difficult to predict, with the expected range around 2.5%–2.7%.
The reason is that the impact of Trump's tariffs on CPI is sticky, and it will take time for CPI to become desensitized to tariffs. However, the Federal Reserve currently pays less attention to CPI data than to employment data. Even if today's CPI data is lower than expected, it is difficult to offset the excellent unemployment data and non-farm employment population data from the 11th.
This leads to the market's expectation that interest rates will not be cut before May, which is currently hard to shake.
——-——
The release of the CPI will definitely affect short-term price trends,
and the decline in the U.S. stock market opening has already pushed prices back down to around the low point of the 11th.
Is it the end of bad news, leading to a period of fluctuating rebound? Or will it continue to break down?
The reason is that the impact of Trump's tariffs on CPI is sticky, and it will take time for CPI to become desensitized to tariffs. However, the Federal Reserve currently pays less attention to CPI data than to employment data. Even if today's CPI data is lower than expected, it is difficult to offset the excellent unemployment data and non-farm employment population data from the 11th.
This leads to the market's expectation that interest rates will not be cut before May, which is currently hard to shake.
——-——
The release of the CPI will definitely affect short-term price trends,
and the decline in the U.S. stock market opening has already pushed prices back down to around the low point of the 11th.
Is it the end of bad news, leading to a period of fluctuating rebound? Or will it continue to break down?
#失业率 #非农就业人口
Let's predict, today the unemployment rate is likely to fall at 4.4%, at most slightly higher at 4.5%;
Non-farm payrolls are expected to add around 100,000 jobs!
Overall, the data will closely align with the Federal Reserve's expectations.
Even if it slightly exceeds expectations, it will not provide any substantial impetus for interest rate cuts.
It is almost certain that before the change of the Federal Reserve Chair in May, there will be no interest rate reductions!
Many people might want to know what impact this situation will have on the market. Without discussing macro factors, just looking from different markets:
For U.S. stocks, the impact is small and limited, as with the approach of earnings season, market performance will return to the logic of company profits and valuations, and the weight of monetary policy's impact will decrease.
For cryptocurrencies, we need to wait until the U.S. earnings season ends before we may see a volatility window. Therefore, it is likely that the market will maintain a consolidation structure before March.
The big market movements will still have to wait until Powell steps down in May, and the new Chair takes over for any signs of direction.
Moreover, it is likely to continue to decline; the bull market has ended, but the bear market has just begun.
Let's predict, today the unemployment rate is likely to fall at 4.4%, at most slightly higher at 4.5%;
Non-farm payrolls are expected to add around 100,000 jobs!
Overall, the data will closely align with the Federal Reserve's expectations.
Even if it slightly exceeds expectations, it will not provide any substantial impetus for interest rate cuts.
It is almost certain that before the change of the Federal Reserve Chair in May, there will be no interest rate reductions!
Many people might want to know what impact this situation will have on the market. Without discussing macro factors, just looking from different markets:
For U.S. stocks, the impact is small and limited, as with the approach of earnings season, market performance will return to the logic of company profits and valuations, and the weight of monetary policy's impact will decrease.
For cryptocurrencies, we need to wait until the U.S. earnings season ends before we may see a volatility window. Therefore, it is likely that the market will maintain a consolidation structure before March.
The big market movements will still have to wait until Powell steps down in May, and the new Chair takes over for any signs of direction.
Moreover, it is likely to continue to decline; the bull market has ended, but the bear market has just begun.
Extreme market conditions, the release of volume is fiercer than 1011.. Can 60,000 dollars hold up this week?
The market has never feared mere talk! $BTC is experiencing a downward fluctuation, the structure is weak, and the sentiment is at an extreme level of panic. #美国伊朗对峙 90% is all about the release of short-term bearish sentiment; much of it is an illusion. Just because you have an expectation of breaking 70,000 does it really have to happen? After some time, everything will revert to a familiar script, haha. The trading plan for the medium to short term is what you should focus on.
Pack冲的
#BTC Yesterday's script was verified, the pancake rebounded, but the downward trend remains unchanged. Currently, the rebound high point is around 790-795. Whether it will continue to decline or move sideways, and whether it can achieve a larger-level rebound, needs further observation. Around 73500-72500, it will be a good position to buy spot.
#BTC Yesterday's script was verified, the pancake rebounded, but the downward trend remains unchanged. Currently, the rebound high point is around 790-795. Whether it will continue to decline or move sideways, and whether it can achieve a larger-level rebound, needs further observation. Around 73500-72500, it will be a good position to buy spot.
#BTC The last day of the month saw a sharp drop for the pancake, entering a full moon cycle. Regardless of bullish or bearish positions, everyone should enter a buffer phase. The CME has not opened yet, so perhaps after it opens, there will be a break below 75500, but not a real break below 74400. Let's first anticipate a rebound.
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