长线币意思就是短期不卖，大回调也不卖，你先想下回调30%你能不能接受，如果能坦然接受，那就大胆配置，如果接受不了，就只配置你能接受的金额。

不要一听到好币，就贪多，贪多的人往往拿不住币，因为他会把过多的精力放在上面，涨了想止盈，跌了想止损，反正就是赚不到钱。

#非农就业数据即将公布 #Telegram创始人获保释 #美联储何时降息？

Aviv, this stupid coin, can really fall. The last time I covered my position, the average price was pulled to around 38. I saw too many people shouting for this coin before, which led to the group members trampling on the selling orders when it finally broke through. It was a case of people cutting their own people.

The market is better now. After covering my position, the price is pulled to 38. At least it is no problem to gamble to a price around 45. There are too few funds buying in this market. As long as there is big money buying, the market will be pulled very high. On the contrary, the market crash is the same. It is still not deep enough.

Now all retail investors have been washed out. Those who have not been washed out can add positions with me. May the dog dealer bless you to make money and get out.

#非农就业数据即将公布 #Telegram创始人获保释 #美联储何时降息？

PEPE has now reached the relatively heavy pressure level of 77. If this level is broken, the price will go further to around 82. If it fails to break through, it will face a correction.

At this level, my operation is to close the position and continue to buy after the market falls again. You can also close half of the position and stop the rest to protect your capital and wait for the market to break through.

Contract operation should be more flexible. I have left the market at a loss several times before. Let's see if I will sell the flying situation if I don't have a structure.

#非农就业数据即将公布 #Telegram创始人获保释 #美联储何时降息？

In the past month, I have heard more than once that a community has disbanded, a venture capital firm has shrunk its investment tentacles, and then some institutions have reduced their positions and laid off employees. This is the current situation of individuals and enterprises at all levels of Web3 from top to bottom.

Does it sound particularly pessimistic? If you are a pessimist, the current environment will inevitably make you more pessimistic.

But for me personally, although I am not an optimist, I have always believed that hope is very near, so I think the current situation is a good thing.

There are fifty avenues, and forty-nine heavens. After the extremes of adversity, good times will come. Since there is a trough, hope must be not far away.

I hope everyone can calm down, learn more, think more, be less impulsive, and do less, and prepare for a magnificent future.

A truly prosperous era is full of opportunities and risks. Only those who do not give up and work hard to learn and grow in the trough can outperform more people in the prosperous era.

Come on, every Web3 citizen, I wish you a prosperous, magnificent and colorful future

#非农就业数据即将公布 #Telegram创始人获保释 #美联储何时降息？

"If ETH fails"

The community has successively fud NFT, fud VC projects, fud Shanzhai, fud layer2, and fud meme.

During this period, there have been various jokes about Xiao V and various questions about the foundation's expenses.
Finally, the community has begun to fud ETH.

Do you know what will happen if ETH fails?

Eth is the mother of public chains and the mother of smart contract platforms.
If Eth fails, other public chains will also collapse.
If Eth fails, it is deduced that layer2 will also collapse.
If Eth fails, smart contracts will also lose their meaning.
If Eth fails, the application layer will almost be wiped out.

The possible outcome is that BTC becomes an independent asset.
BTC and the currency circle will be decoupled.

The entire currency circle will decline, or there will be no currency circle at that time, only BTC.
By then, history has proved that except for holding BTC, it is all redundant
The concept of blockchain will also collapse.
At present, this danger is increasing. But at present, the probability of this outcome is still low.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知

Yesterday, I shorted the big cake, and the market seemed to be in a strange stalemate. Every time it fell a little, it would rebound immediately, but the rebound was weak, as shown in the picture, and it could never really bounce up. And shorting, even if the price fell below a certain position, it did not accelerate the decline, just like an old lady holding the stairs downstairs, slow and annoying!

In such a market, continuing to wait and see may be the best choice. There is often a good rebound after a big drop. With the current lukewarm situation, we can only wait patiently for the real opportunity to come.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知

Dogs fell very smoothly. This kind of coin is listed on Binance, which is an opportunity for dog dealers to sell. Last Saturday, a wave of false breakthroughs trapped a group of people.

$dogs, a coin with no value, is destined not to be very fomo this year!

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知

Did the market crash in September in previous years?

Today I saw everyone sharing a picture showing the data of the market crash in September in previous years. I was so scared that I immediately checked it out. Fortunately, it was just fake data.

But September is indeed a difficult month. In previous years, August and September were the months when the market generally fell. But after September, the following months were basically generally rising. You can look forward to it!

#Telegram创始人获保释 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知 #英伟达财报

4 sad stories in the cryptocurrency circle, how many have you experienced?
1. When you are close to recovering your investment, the rebound stops abruptly
2. When you are out of profit, a dark horse emerges
3. When you are complacent, the crash comes as expected
4. When you are penniless, good coins are everywhere
#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知

The monthly closing point is lower than before, which is ugly, indicating that the shock is not completed. The weekly closing will be tomorrow, and there is basically no movement over the weekend, which completely covers the efforts of last week.
The three-day MACD continues to go down, which is a bit disappointing. Let's continue to wait. I hope that this monthly closing will have a little bit of a boost to the market, although ETFs have recently flowed out.
Whether it will continue to fall below 49,000, I don't know, but it is possible.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知

Today, Russia began using#Bitcoinand cryptocurrencies for payments in international trade, which may change the allies' views on Bitcoin. In September, this is a good start.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知

At present, it is observed that the small currencies of Binance are around 0.0035 on the daily line, which is a right shoulder low point similar to the head and shoulders bottom of the daily line. At the same time, the hourly level is large. This kind of market value is small and easy to speculate. You can intervene with a light position to try to pull it up!

The market is not good. Those who are interested in participating must have a small position with a stop loss, or wait and see first.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知

Daily K-Bitcoin When the price of money falls back to the previous consolidation range, there is no way to continue to chase short orders at this position, even if the normal logic is that the cost performance of long orders is much greater than that of short orders. The hourly price falls back to the 588-585 range. You can start to arrange long orders. If you stop loss, give the low point position. The target is 610-620. The profit and loss is conservatively 2. You can choose the cottage reference big cake layout.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知

Thoughts on Fractal Network

Fractal Network as the Precursor Network (Test Network) of BTC

1. If Fractal Network moves towards KSM as the Precursor Network of DOT, then we will strongly support it. As we all know, all upgrades and innovations of DOT need to be run on the test network KSM before being launched on DOT. KSM here is just a test network for DOT, but it is an independent main network.

2. The reason why BTC network is so safe is that BTC technology upgrades are particularly cautious. For example, soft forks such as Segregated Witness and Taproot took several years and were difficult to launch on the main network. The reason is very simple. Everyone likes BTC network to maintain high security. Therefore, it is not a very clear answer to launch BTC directly before every technological innovation is tested. The core reason is that there is no test chain to run the technology first and then upgrade it on BTC, so that it is difficult to make many innovations due to the limitation of BTC source code. The difficulty of innovation has been raised to a very high level.

3. If the project party of Fractal Network positions it as the test network of BTC this time, then it will be a great thing for BTC. Because Fractal copied the BTC source code, and then used the previous technical innovations on BTC to do an experiment on Fractal to know the difference between theory and practice. In this way, Fractal can be used as an ideal experimental site for BTC. After experimenting with good and useful technologies, you can go to BTC, and this kind of upgrade is more convincing and assured.

4. If Fractal Network does not take this path, then it is obvious that there is nothing to look forward to in the future, and it is just a wave. Because as a side chain and layer2, you don’t need BTC for gas, and you have to issue your own tokens. The intention is that I will issue coins to make money first, not to make trouble.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知

At present, 3-6 months old coins of Bitcoin account for more than 12.5% ​​of the circulating supply, indicating that investors who have entered the market in the past half year (including the inflow of US ETFs) are still optimistic about the trend of Bitcoin in the second half of the year, and its structure is similar to The sell-off period in mid-2021 is also similar to what happened at the peak of the bear market in 2018.

From the chart below we see: A high proportion of 3 to 6 month holders means more Bitcoins have been accumulated in a shorter period of time, which may indicate that the market is in a critical period. Of course, we must also note that if these holders choose to take profits or stop loss selling, it may have a significant impact on the market price.

The peak of the bear market in 2018-2019:

At the peak of the bear market in 2018, Bitcoin prices fell sharply and the market experienced extreme panic. The proportion of Bitcoin held for 3 to 6 months also reached a relatively high point during this period.
This period is characterized by the transfer of large amounts of Bitcoin from long-term to short-term holders, which then leads to further selling as the price continues to fall. Subsequently, Bitcoin once again experienced the 312 washout and ushered in a bull market.

2021-2022 mid-term sell-off period:

In mid-2021, Bitcoin prices experienced a sharp correction after experiencing a rapid rise. At this time, the proportion of Bitcoin held for 3 to 6 months also increased significantly, indicating that some investors entered the market when the price rose, but quickly turned into potential sellers when the price fell back, leading to further market selling. Subsequently, Bitcoin ushered in the famous 519 washout, once again starting the second half of the bull market.

#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知

Market Analysis - ETH
Figure 1: Daily Chart
1) As always, ETH fluctuates around 2800-2100.
2) Look at the black range here. After testing fvg, the downward structure is broken, and it is still in a downward trend.
3) Pay attention to the vicinity of 2650, the red range-eq. The refusal to distribute here is a shorting opportunity, tp1 2300, tp2 2200, tp3 2100.
4) Currently, ETH is not long, only shorting.
Figure 2: H1 Chart
1) Pay attention to the distribution of shorting after plundering fvg
2) Pay attention to the distribution of shorting by eqh last night.
3) The stop profit target is 2390
#Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知

The bull markets I have experienced are not like this. Although there are often big washouts, they have never lasted this long, and the washouts are caused by the high market sentiment after continuous surges.

Now, damn, good news falls, bad news falls, falls during the day, and falls at night.

Although there are many crashes in the bull market, the highs set are higher and higher. Now it’s better, it’s lower and lower. The passion has faded, and no one talks about the surge and plunge anymore. Many people only pray for a return of their investment in this round, but it is a very extravagant request.
The bull market is the beginning of losing money.

#加密市场急跌 #Telegram创始人被捕 #以太坊基金会

The 62000 position has been grinding for a long time. Once it rushes up, it must reach the chip pressure position of 66000. Then grind again and choose the direction.

#杰克逊霍尔年会 #新币挖矿DOGS #MtGox钱包动态

[Why the market has a new type of copycat season] I am ready to switch to the garbage projects with less than 100 million US dollars on Binance. I have picked up a few garbage recently, and they have become gold with the contract on Binance. Since they are all air, the market is a pure capital game. The odds of these garbage projects are still higher than memes. The dealer treats the small-cap projects that have died naturally and dropped by 99% as memes. Anyway, people who are trapped by the ten-fold increase still cannot get their money back, and they don’t need too much money like large-cap projects.

The existing meme market and pumefun model, no matter how much money comes in, they will be cut, because their cost is 0, and all the money that comes in is mine. There is no motivation to pull up. The essence is to collect all the traffic that comes in to maximize the profit. The pull-up of the zero copycat is to realize the capital, obtain the market's attention, and then use the contract market to realize it after a high degree of control. In the first half, you can still take advantage of the dealer's ride, because he has to spend this cost.

For us, the cost difference between us and the dealer is only a few dozen points, and the dealer who entered with a few dozen points of increase cannot make back the cost at all, so there is motivation to continue to pull the market, and there is a chance to harvest in the contract market. At present, I have observed that the standard for Binance contracts is that the transaction volume exceeds 10 million for 3 consecutive days. Whether it can be on the table depends on the strength of the dealer.

#杰克逊霍尔年会 #新币挖矿DOGS #MtGox钱包动态

BTC ETH
Mainstream altcoins have begun to perform one after another, and Ethereum will soon usher in a wave of compensatory gains;

The data is now in a relay state. It is not sure whether it will start to compensatory gains directly after sideways trading, or whether it will fluctuate downwards and make up for the gains, but it is certain that Ethereum will make up for the gains next;

PS: My altcoin spot is close to recovering the cost;

#杰克逊霍尔年会 #新币挖矿DOGS #MtGox钱包动态