7.13 Ethereum Analysis

In the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands track is in a stable parallel state, reflecting that the market has entered a relatively stable oscillation pattern in the short term. The K-line struggled to hit the upper track in the early morning, but then encountered resistance and fell back to the middle track, showing an intention to move closer to the lower track. In this range, the K-line is supported by both EMA15 and EMA30 below, while it faces clear suppression from EMA80 above. Given that the market activity is usually low on weekends, the market volatility is expected to be limited. Therefore, we can flexibly arrange in this range and adopt a high-altitude and low-multiple strategy to cope with market changes.
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Looking further at the daily level, the K-line trend of Ethereum is similar to that of Bitcoin (Bread), and both face pressure from the EMA10 and EMA15 ranges above. However, unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum's EMA60 did not cross EMA80 as expected, indicating that there is still some resistance above. At the same time, EMA30 continues to move downward above EMA120. This phenomenon deserves our close attention, because once EMA30 successfully crosses EMA120, it may bring stronger downward momentum to the currency price.
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In terms of MACD indicators, the volume continues to shrink below the 0 axis, and DIF and DEA gradually converge at a low level, which seems to form a golden cross, which is usually regarded as a signal that the market may usher in a turnaround. However, we also need to be alert to the reappearance of similar pullbacks in the previous round of market conditions. Therefore, we should be cautious in operations and strictly set stop-profit and stop-loss to ensure that risks are controllable. $DOCK $MDX $POLS #美联储何时降息？

Justin Sun, the founder of TRON, has recently made waves in the Bitcoin market with his amazing move - he resolutely opened a huge Bitcoin long order worth up to $420 million at a high of $67,000! This move not only demonstrates his courage as a heavyweight in the field of cryptocurrency, but also quickly attracted widespread attention from the market.

It is reported that Justin Sun's collateral for this transaction reached an astonishing $460 million in stUSDT, showing his deep insight into the market and full preparation. However, given the volatility of the current Bitcoin market, this decision is undoubtedly full of risks and challenges, which makes people sigh at the boldness of "Sun Ge"'s "gamble" this time.

Looking back, the German government's move to sell Bitcoin has caused heated discussions in the market, and Justin Sun's sharp response to this is even more impressive. After Germany lost the European Cup, he took advantage of the topic and humorously teased on Twitter that the German team's loss might be related to the sale of Bitcoin. This move not only shows his humor, but also reveals his deep feelings and firm belief in the cryptocurrency market.

Faced with various uncertainties and challenges in the market, whether Sun Yuchen can successfully "reach the other side" with this huge long order has become the focus of many investors and observers. $ZEC $FORTH $BURGER #币安合约锦标赛 #美联储何时降息？

7.11 Daily Report
After watching the market for a long time, you will feel out of touch with technical indicators. In my trading system, due to the principle that the small level is subject to the large level, there are often times when it is impossible to judge the details because they have not yet come out. At this time, what is tested is intuition. I will explain it differently to avoid people using it as a basis for trading.
From a logical point of view, what I have been expressing recently is to maintain the short-order strategy, that is, the strategy of shorting at highs. Where is the high? Some people start looking from the 5-minute level and some people start looking from the 4-hour level. I think it is enough to control the risk. The general direction is to be bearish, which means that the probability of going to a new low first in the future will be higher than going to a new high first.
From an intuitive point of view, I said yesterday that 58,500 would be broken. This is purely an intuition. In fact, this intuition has no specific logical support, but it happened. This situation is common at a small level and does not really affect our trading, but for ultra-short-term high-leverage players, this uncertainty will be a disaster, so I don’t touch high leverage.
In the next market, I am more pessimistic about the next pressure level of 59500 to 60000 at the top. There are two possibilities from the daily line. One is that it will fluctuate in the current box without breaking through 59500 to 60000 and fluctuate sideways for a long time, using time to digest the strength of the bulls. The second is to find a new pressure level after breaking through this pressure level, and then fall rapidly to find a new low. In this way, the accelerated decline of the market will go faster. I tend to the first possibility, intuition.

Faced with the ambiguous and impatient reply of the old man, we should focus more on the actual market dynamics and data guidance, rather than being swayed by his words. Although there is no lack of uncertainty in the current market atmosphere, the remarks of key figures such as Powell have outlined a relatively clear picture for us: policy adjustments need to be based on solid data, rather than blind actions.

In view of this, we believe that the market is expected to remain relatively stable from tonight to tomorrow, lacking catalysts that can cause large fluctuations. However, this does not mean that we should do nothing, but should be regarded as a good time to lay out the future.

The CPI data to be released the day after tomorrow is undoubtedly the focus of market attention. This data will directly affect the market's expectations for the future direction of monetary policy. If the CPI data can be lower than market expectations, it is likely to be regarded as a signal of economic cooling and reduced inflationary pressure, which will in turn trigger the market's expectations for loose policies. In this context, the cryptocurrency market, especially BTC, ETH and high-quality altcoins, is expected to usher in a wave of rising prices.

Therefore, for investors who dare to take risks and pursue high returns, today and tomorrow are good opportunities to build positions in BTC, ETH or selected altcoins. By planning ahead, we can take advantage of the market's expectation gap for CPI data and gamble on the data market the day after tomorrow. Of course, any investment is accompanied by risks. When making decisions, investors should fully consider their own risk tolerance and reasonably control their positions.

In short, although the current market is calm, there are undercurrents, opportunities and challenges coexist. By deeply analyzing market dynamics, keeping up with policy guidance, and paying attention to key data, we hope to capture our own investment opportunities in a complex and changing market environment. $BTC $ETH

7.9 Daily Report:

Last night, the sky and earth needle suddenly appeared, and the short position was lucky to stop profit in time. The four-hour chart shows that the highs are gradually falling, the lows are rising, and the market has entered a volatile pattern, and both long and short positions are profitable. During the sideways period, it is necessary to keep a close eye on the daily line and the middle track of the Bollinger Band (about 60,000 above) to suppress. The volume change is unclear, but the probability of the needle reappearing is high, so the short-term strategy adopts step-by-step position building to prevent accidents. Reiterate that the short-term is not blindly opening a short position at the current price, but based on the conditions of the warehouse division, the precise layout at highs. The strategy remains unchanged today. $BTC #德国政府转移比特币

$BTC The driving force of this round of market rise mainly comes from the influx of a large amount of bargain-hunting funds, rather than the traditional main force funds. Such funds often show strong short-term and lack of patience, resulting in more volatile market trends. It was originally expected that the market would rush to around 60,000 points in one breath before it began to show signs of fatigue, but the actual situation is that when it reached 58,000 points, it had already shown obvious signs of weakness in the rise.

From the perspective of technical analysis, 54,800 points is the key support level of the lower track of the four-hour Bollinger band. It is almost a foregone conclusion that it will be touched or even temporarily broken, and whether it will further decline to 53,222 points is uncertain.

As the market failed to effectively break through the upper track of the four-hour Bollinger band, some of the expected returns were not realized. For investors holding long orders, the current situation is quite delicate. It is recommended to make decisions based on their own risk tolerance: if you are willing to take risks, you can consider stopping losses in time; if you choose to stick to it, you need to be mentally prepared, because although there is a possibility that the market will not bottom out, the specific trend is difficult to predict.

In view of the current market sentiment and capital flow, there may be a large number of liquidations in the market today. We strongly recommend that all investors remain highly vigilant, pay close attention to the market dynamics, and adjust strategies in time to cope with market changes. At the same time, we remind you again that in the case of large market fluctuations, avoid blindly buying at the bottom, rationally analyze market trends and your own risk tolerance, and make reasonable investment decisions.