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Dialectical Idealism and Financial MarketsWe regard the market as what Hegel called "absolute spirit". The movement of "absolute spirit" follows dialectical logic, namely: thesis-antithesis-synthesis; the synthesis negates the previous thesis and antithesis to become a new proposition, namely: new thesis-new antithesis-new synthesis, and so on, in a spiral upward. This is why the market prefers new things to old ones. First, [Absolute Spirit] gives birth to Proposition A, which is in a hypothetical state. Then a physical event occurs in the real world, such as the "Trump shooting". The market immediately gives Proposition A real content based on this: Trump has a better chance of winning than his competitors, which is conducive to interest rate cuts.

Dialectical Idealism and Financial Markets

We regard the market as what Hegel called "absolute spirit". The movement of "absolute spirit" follows dialectical logic, namely: thesis-antithesis-synthesis; the synthesis negates the previous thesis and antithesis to become a new proposition, namely: new thesis-new antithesis-new synthesis, and so on, in a spiral upward.
This is why the market prefers new things to old ones.
First, [Absolute Spirit] gives birth to Proposition A, which is in a hypothetical state. Then a physical event occurs in the real world, such as the "Trump shooting". The market immediately gives Proposition A real content based on this: Trump has a better chance of winning than his competitors, which is conducive to interest rate cuts.
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Supplement to Dialectical Idealism and Financial MarketsIn my previous article, I talked about thesis-antithesis-synthesis, but I missed a question: what are the identifiable characteristics of the synthesis (that is, the new proposition)? This question is very important because it is related to the turning point of the market. For traders, the most important thing is the turning point. A synthesis is a new proposition, but at the same time it is a new proposition that lacks real content. It requires a physical event in the real world that has a logical relationship with it to support it. Therefore, the synthesis is a new proposition in a potential state. The so-called potential means that some people believe in it, while others do not. On the K-line chart, there are signs of bottom-fishing (pin-ins or significantly increased trading volume), but the price does not reach a new high.

Supplement to Dialectical Idealism and Financial Markets

In my previous article, I talked about thesis-antithesis-synthesis, but I missed a question: what are the identifiable characteristics of the synthesis (that is, the new proposition)?
This question is very important because it is related to the turning point of the market. For traders, the most important thing is the turning point.
A synthesis is a new proposition, but at the same time it is a new proposition that lacks real content. It requires a physical event in the real world that has a logical relationship with it to support it.
Therefore, the synthesis is a new proposition in a potential state.
The so-called potential means that some people believe in it, while others do not. On the K-line chart, there are signs of bottom-fishing (pin-ins or significantly increased trading volume), but the price does not reach a new high.
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Many people are talking about Myanmar A today, but they don't know what Myanmar A is. Xu Xiang accidentally figured out the hype routine of the national team. Every time the national team rose, he would "intercept" and follow up. He relied on this method to make hundreds of millions of dollars in just a few years. It would be fine if he was the only one making money quietly, but later he actually set up a fund in a high-profile manner and led a group of people to "intercept" the national team. The national team was backed by the Red Family. Not long after, Xu Xiang was accused of manipulating the market, and then he was sentenced and fined, and more than 10 billion was gone. Later, the China Securities Regulatory Commission revised the rules and added price limits to the market, in the name of protecting retail investors. In fact, the price limit is mainly to prevent people like Xu Xiang. It doesn't let your funds enter at critical moments. When the price limit is opened, it is the time for the national team to run away. Wu Jinglian once said that the Chinese stock market is more insidious than a casino. Others can see your cards, but you can't see others' cards. The national team is both an athlete and a referee, and can modify the rules at will when necessary. How does this work?
Many people are talking about Myanmar A today, but they don't know what Myanmar A is.
Xu Xiang accidentally figured out the hype routine of the national team. Every time the national team rose, he would "intercept" and follow up. He relied on this method to make hundreds of millions of dollars in just a few years. It would be fine if he was the only one making money quietly, but later he actually set up a fund in a high-profile manner and led a group of people to "intercept" the national team. The national team was backed by the Red Family. Not long after, Xu Xiang was accused of manipulating the market, and then he was sentenced and fined, and more than 10 billion was gone.
Later, the China Securities Regulatory Commission revised the rules and added price limits to the market, in the name of protecting retail investors. In fact, the price limit is mainly to prevent people like Xu Xiang. It doesn't let your funds enter at critical moments. When the price limit is opened, it is the time for the national team to run away.
Wu Jinglian once said that the Chinese stock market is more insidious than a casino. Others can see your cards, but you can't see others' cards. The national team is both an athlete and a referee, and can modify the rules at will when necessary. How does this work?
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Bearish
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#非农人数大幅升温 Non-farm payrolls and unemployment rates are both negative, and bulls lack an "excuse" to pull the market, and can only force it at best. From a technical point of view, Bitcoin has great resistance at 67,000 and 68,000, and it is more difficult to set new highs. The market may fluctuate at a high level for a short period of time, and then the bulls will find a "reason" to smash the market and start smashing the market. It is recommended that everyone continue to wait and see and avoid volatile market conditions.
#非农人数大幅升温
Non-farm payrolls and unemployment rates are both negative, and bulls lack an "excuse" to pull the market, and can only force it at best.
From a technical point of view, Bitcoin has great resistance at 67,000 and 68,000, and it is more difficult to set new highs. The market may fluctuate at a high level for a short period of time, and then the bulls will find a "reason" to smash the market and start smashing the market.
It is recommended that everyone continue to wait and see and avoid volatile market conditions.
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Recently, an old man has become popular in the wall. He once predicted that the market of Myanmar A will reverse at the end of September, but he did not expect it to come true. Because he is from Shanghai and he is very old, netizens call him "Shanghai Uncle". I thought this old man might not be simple at first, but then I thought about it carefully and found something wrong. Not all Shanghai old people are "uncles", many of them are actually workers. I only look at two aspects to judge whether a person has strength: one is his conversation, and the other is his temperament. A person's conversation may be disguised, for example, he can recite the script in advance, but his temperament is difficult to disguise. The real Shanghai uncle is usually highly educated or well-read, and they are very particular about life, which is in sharp contrast to the Cantonese. Shanghai people like to imitate the lifestyle of Western aristocrats very much, and have high requirements for diet, dress, and etiquette. Cantonese people are different. They are very casual and are not pretentious whether they are rich or poor. This "uncle" on the Internet is obviously more like a worker in temperament. I can't see the poetic air and exquisite pursuit of life from him. I think he is just an ordinary Shanghai citizen.
Recently, an old man has become popular in the wall. He once predicted that the market of Myanmar A will reverse at the end of September, but he did not expect it to come true. Because he is from Shanghai and he is very old, netizens call him "Shanghai Uncle".
I thought this old man might not be simple at first, but then I thought about it carefully and found something wrong. Not all Shanghai old people are "uncles", many of them are actually workers.
I only look at two aspects to judge whether a person has strength: one is his conversation, and the other is his temperament. A person's conversation may be disguised, for example, he can recite the script in advance, but his temperament is difficult to disguise. The real Shanghai uncle is usually highly educated or well-read, and they are very particular about life, which is in sharp contrast to the Cantonese. Shanghai people like to imitate the lifestyle of Western aristocrats very much, and have high requirements for diet, dress, and etiquette. Cantonese people are different. They are very casual and are not pretentious whether they are rich or poor.
This "uncle" on the Internet is obviously more like a worker in temperament. I can't see the poetic air and exquisite pursuit of life from him. I think he is just an ordinary Shanghai citizen.
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Bullish
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$BTC Bitcoin fell to 60,000, and I also got liquidated last night. Some people say it has something to do with the war, I say it has nothing to do with it. This is just a correction, but the correction is a bit deep. There was a problem with our previous bottom-picking position, we bought it before it fell to the right level. At present, the possibility of further decline cannot be ruled out, and bulls should wait and see.
$BTC Bitcoin fell to 60,000, and I also got liquidated last night. Some people say it has something to do with the war, I say it has nothing to do with it. This is just a correction, but the correction is a bit deep. There was a problem with our previous bottom-picking position, we bought it before it fell to the right level.
At present, the possibility of further decline cannot be ruled out, and bulls should wait and see.
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#大A香还是大饼香 In recent days, Myanmar A has soared, and coupled with a series of economic stimulus policies by the government, the Chinese people are a little dizzy. The national team took advantage of the Fed's interest rate cut to pull up the market, and the government matched it with a policy package, just in time for the National Day. This series of coincidences can't help but make people think about it. Is the surge in A shares a major reversal of the Chinese economy or a flash in the pan? Everyone knows Sima Zhao's intention. The government has two intentions: one is to take advantage of the Fed's interest rate cut to restore the vitality of the economy. The government has always misjudged the Chinese economy before, and they do not recognize the fact of deflation. In fact, the currency circulating in the market has decreased. Although there are a lot of deposits in the bank, these deposits are "dead money". The second is to raise the stock market as a gift for the National Day. That person is ambitious, he has not given up on his own nonsense, and still wants to "take the lead in politics", and the economy is just an auxiliary tool. Therefore, I am not optimistic about the long-term development of the Chinese economy and bearish on the long-term trend of Myanmar A.
#大A香还是大饼香
In recent days, Myanmar A has soared, and coupled with a series of economic stimulus policies by the government, the Chinese people are a little dizzy.
The national team took advantage of the Fed's interest rate cut to pull up the market, and the government matched it with a policy package, just in time for the National Day. This series of coincidences can't help but make people think about it.
Is the surge in A shares a major reversal of the Chinese economy or a flash in the pan?
Everyone knows Sima Zhao's intention. The government has two intentions: one is to take advantage of the Fed's interest rate cut to restore the vitality of the economy. The government has always misjudged the Chinese economy before, and they do not recognize the fact of deflation. In fact, the currency circulating in the market has decreased. Although there are a lot of deposits in the bank, these deposits are "dead money". The second is to raise the stock market as a gift for the National Day. That person is ambitious, he has not given up on his own nonsense, and still wants to "take the lead in politics", and the economy is just an auxiliary tool.
Therefore, I am not optimistic about the long-term development of the Chinese economy and bearish on the long-term trend of Myanmar A.
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Let me briefly talk about my trading ideas with the help of a recent example.The order of Bitcoin 60400 was closed, the closing price was 58380, 70 times leverage, and the profit was 245%. Why should I close the order? Here is what I think. It can be seen from the market that it is difficult to break below 50,000. The dealer will definitely try every means to force a bottom buy, and then use seemingly good news to force the market to continue to fluctuate. Secondly, if some major unexpected events do happen later, the market will have sufficient reasons to rise. Although the probability is small, it is necessary to prevent it, after all, the leverage is high. Based on the above two reasons, I resolutely chose to take profits.

Let me briefly talk about my trading ideas with the help of a recent example.

The order of Bitcoin 60400 was closed, the closing price was 58380, 70 times leverage, and the profit was 245%.
Why should I close the order? Here is what I think.
It can be seen from the market that it is difficult to break below 50,000. The dealer will definitely try every means to force a bottom buy, and then use seemingly good news to force the market to continue to fluctuate.
Secondly, if some major unexpected events do happen later, the market will have sufficient reasons to rise. Although the probability is small, it is necessary to prevent it, after all, the leverage is high.
Based on the above two reasons, I resolutely chose to take profits.
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Understanding the cat and mouse game in GouzhuangWhen the market price falls to a certain level, the dealer starts to buy the bottom based on his own psychological expectations. The sign of buying the bottom is manifested in the obvious increase of trading volume in the technical chart. At this time, the dealer has an expectation in his mind, which I call a potential expectation. This potential expectation is only the dealer's own idea and does not represent other market participants. So how can we make this combination of questions gain widespread market recognition? At this time, real evidence is needed to provide corroboration. It happens that a new physical event occurs in the real world, such as the "Trump shooting". This new physical event gives the synthesis a real content, thus constructing a new proposition: Trump has a high chance of winning the election, and the Democratic Party may cut interest rates in advance to save the election, or cut interest rates immediately after Trump is elected.

Understanding the cat and mouse game in Gouzhuang

When the market price falls to a certain level, the dealer starts to buy the bottom based on his own psychological expectations. The sign of buying the bottom is manifested in the obvious increase of trading volume in the technical chart.
At this time, the dealer has an expectation in his mind, which I call a potential expectation. This potential expectation is only the dealer's own idea and does not represent other market participants.
So how can we make this combination of questions gain widespread market recognition?
At this time, real evidence is needed to provide corroboration. It happens that a new physical event occurs in the real world, such as the "Trump shooting". This new physical event gives the synthesis a real content, thus constructing a new proposition: Trump has a high chance of winning the election, and the Democratic Party may cut interest rates in advance to save the election, or cut interest rates immediately after Trump is elected.
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The pros and cons of idealism and materialismWe can clearly see that both idealism and materialism are incomplete. Despite this, idealism still has more advantages than materialism. Because idealism emphasizes the subjective superiority of human beings and puts human beings above things. This is very important❗️ Man is the measure of all things, and he makes laws for nature. Nature is not a sophisticated machine, it has no inevitable laws and preset purposes, it is man who invented the laws and then imposed them on nature. I always believe in this belief: everything that can be known by humans must be lower than humans. The reason why we can know everything is that we overlap with everything. We can only know the part that we overlap with everything, and the part beyond the overlap is the unknown area.

The pros and cons of idealism and materialism

We can clearly see that both idealism and materialism are incomplete. Despite this, idealism still has more advantages than materialism. Because idealism emphasizes the subjective superiority of human beings and puts human beings above things. This is very important❗️
Man is the measure of all things, and he makes laws for nature. Nature is not a sophisticated machine, it has no inevitable laws and preset purposes, it is man who invented the laws and then imposed them on nature.
I always believe in this belief: everything that can be known by humans must be lower than humans. The reason why we can know everything is that we overlap with everything. We can only know the part that we overlap with everything, and the part beyond the overlap is the unknown area.
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