Uncovering the truth behind the collapse of the last bull market and the weathervane of the bull-bear transition
Looking back at the last bull market, a turning point that cannot be ignored is clearly visible - the Fed's interest rate hike policy. This move has stirred up a thousand waves in the market. Now, this historical lesson has a profound impact on the participants of this round of bull market. They are cautiously waiting for the signal of the Fed's interest rate cut before they dare to step into this field full of opportunities and challenges.
Federal Reserve Rate Hike: A Warning Bell for the Bull Market to Bear
Imagine that if the Federal Reserve suddenly announces an interest rate hike, this is not only a weathervane of the economy, but also an alarm for the currency circle. Therefore, there is no need to hesitate, and decisively short selling is a wise move regardless of profit or loss. History repeats itself. When the market first heard about the interest rate hike, it was slow to react. There were occasional rebounds, but it was difficult to hide the truth that the general trend was gone. Many people missed the opportunity due to hesitation, and the spot in their hands eventually became a lonely shadow on the top of the mountain. Some of the popular currencies in the past have disappeared, warning that spot is not a permanent choice for value preservation.
Market fog: bull market? Bear market? Halfway up the mountain? Top of the mountain?
Facing the current market, investors are full of questions: Is this the continuation of the bull market, or the potential of the bear market? Where are we, halfway up the mountain or at the top of the mountain? Although the answer is hard to find, risks and benefits coexist, just like fishermen in the wind and waves, only with courage and wisdom can the most precious fish be caught.
My point of view: The bull market is not over, and the computing power is a lesson
I firmly believe that we are still in a bull market, and the Fed's interest rate cuts and non-agricultural data are solid support. As for the specific location of the bull market, Bitcoin computing power may provide us with clues. The current computing power has fallen to the lowest point since December 2022, which is similar to the level when FTX collapsed. This is by no means accidental. The lowest point of the last round of bear market was a turning point, so what does today's computing power level indicate? Leave it to every investor to think deeply.
In this game of wealth, I hope you and I can grasp the pulse of the market, ride the wind and waves, and reach the other side. #德国政府转移比特币 #BTC走势分析 #NOT还会上涨吗 #BB #bome潜力无限

, the Bitcoin market experienced short-term violent fluctuations, and the price suddenly fell below the $58,000 mark, reaching a low of around $57,890. In just 24 hours, the cryptocurrency field witnessed a thrilling "liquidation wave", with the total amount of liquidation reaching $220 million, and the long losses were particularly severe, affecting nearly 90,000 investors.

In-depth analysis: In the face of this sudden plunge, Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Fund, pointed out that the Mt.Gox exchange's creditor repayment plan may be the driving force behind this turmoil. He shared the Bitcoin chain dynamics on Twitter, suggesting that the surge in market selling pressure is closely related to Mt.Gox's repayment action.

Divergent market outlook: However, not everyone is pessimistic about Mt.Gox's repayment plan. Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy, has a different view, and he believes that the actual selling pressure may be lower than expected. He pointed out that since most creditors choose to accept early payment and bear 10% impairment, only about 95,000 bitcoins will be circulated immediately, and the rest will be gradually released over a longer period of time.
Creditor attitude: It is particularly noteworthy that many creditors have shown a firm belief in Bitcoin, and they prefer to hold it for a long time rather than cash it out immediately. Most of these people are technology pioneers and long-term investors who firmly believe in the value of Bitcoin and even reject high-value settlement plans over the years. They know that as the market recovers, the value of Bitcoin has already changed dramatically, and even if it is partially recovered, it has brought more than a hundred times of appreciation.
, although Mt.Gox's repayment plan may have a certain impact on the market in the short term, in the long run, its impact on the overall selling pressure of Bitcoin may be limited. In contrast, Bitcoin Cash may face a more severe test due to its lower liquidity. As for whether Mt.Gox has really started repayment, further verification and observation of on-chain data is needed. #币安合约锦标赛 #美联储何时降息？ #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF #BTC☀ #sol板块

Wake up, the market is in the red sea again - the era of cost-effectiveness of Bitcoin and ETH has arrived
Today, the dawn is just beginning, but the market is covered with a red robe. Bitcoin has performed bleakly in recent months, and today it has ruthlessly fallen below the 58,000 mark. This situation is an unprecedented challenge and test for every investor. However, since you have reached the end of the water, why not sit and watch the clouds rise? Bitcoin and ETH are now waiting for the right person with a super high cost-effective attitude.
The mystery of the market crash: the aftershock of Mt. Gox?
In response to the sudden market crash yesterday, Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Fund, published an article on the X platform, using unique on-chain data analysis to reveal the possible truth-the behavior of the exchange Mt. Gox to repay the creditors' Bitcoin may be the behind-the-scenes pusher of this market turmoil, and a large amount of selling pressure has come.

Looking back on the past, I have counted nine market washes in my tweets, among which the "519" event in 2021 is the closest to the current timeline. The same wash-out storm that started in mid-April took more than three months to calm down. Now, this wave of storms that started in mid-April, although not yet three months, has shown a similar wash-out rhythm and Bitcoin's growth trajectory. The difference is that the performance of this round of altcoins is even more astonishing, and its decline is no less thrilling than the "519" period.
The baptism of altcoins, the dawn of ETFs
In the face of this unprecedented market turmoil, both the expectations of ETFs and the rumors of interest rate cuts have become post-event interpretations and speculations. But it is undeniable that the price-performance ratio of Bitcoin and ETH has reached a historical high, attracting the attention of many big whales. Just as when Bitcoin hovered around the 20,000 mark in 2020, the grand occasion of large-scale hoarding of coins was staged again, indicating that the dawn of a new round of bull market may not be far away.
In the second half, a more exciting bull market is about to begin
With the gradual approach of ETH ETF, the torrent of funds is ready to go, and the bull market in the second half may surpass the previous glory. The persistence and layout at this moment may be the key to the door of wealth freedom. Let us look forward to the most dazzling green light in the ever-changing market. #美联储何时降息？ #币安合约锦标赛 #BTC走势分析 #PEPE创历史新高 #SAGA新币

Plunge warning? Can the market reproduce the "312" or "519" type of collapse?
As the market enters the downward channel again, does it indicate that the prelude to a new round of plunge has quietly opened? Will history repeat itself and let us witness the thrilling "312" or "519"? Let us analyze the current market in depth to explore whether the four high-risk factors for a sharp plunge have been brewing.
Four major risk warning signals:
Macro liquidity crisis looms
Historical data shows that in the Fed's interest rate hike cycle, such as the two interest rate hikes in 2007-2008 and 2018, the S&P index fell sharply, with a drop of up to 20%. At present, the Fed has maintained a high interest rate level of 5.25%-5.5% for a year, the market's capital tension has intensified, and the macro crisis is imminent.
Risk asset reshuffle under the expectation of interest rate cuts
Recently, the unexpected decline in inflation data and PCE data has caused the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut in September to rise sharply. According to CME data, the market generally believes that the probability of a rate cut in September is 66.5%, a significant increase from last month. The Fed's statement at the June interest rate meeting sent a clear signal: whether it is weak employment or reduced inflationary pressure, it may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates in advance.
However, on the eve of a rate cut, the market tends to conduct a round of deep cleaning of risky assets to release accumulated risks. Therefore, any disturbance in the current market environment may become a trigger for a plunge.
Summary:
Faced with the macro liquidity crisis, the lack of funds at the end of the interest rate hike cycle, and the expectation of an upcoming interest rate cut, the market is entering a period of uncertainty. Historical experience tells us that risky assets at this time are extremely vulnerable to heavy losses. Investors need to remain highly vigilant, pay close attention to market dynamics, and be prepared for risk prevention and control. In the coming storm, will you choose to stick to it or avoid risks? This will be an important choice that every investor must face. #币安合约锦标赛 #MiCA #BTC☀️ #people创新高 #ORDIUSDT

Big news! The case between SEC and Binance has been settled, and BNB's non-securities status has been authoritatively certified
🚀 Breaking news! The legal battle between the SEC (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission) and Binance has finally come to an end, and BNB has been crowned with glory - the official has officially recognized its non-securities status! This court ruling, like a thunderbolt breaking through the sky, has brought unprecedented shock and joy to the cryptocurrency field.
💥 Although the media has not yet fully spread, the far-reaching impact of this decision has quietly spread. The judge's ironclad evidence is overwhelming. Whether in the startup market or the circulation field, BNB is clearly defined as outside the scope of securities. The key is that the SEC failed to prove that BNB was issued for pure profit, and the court highly recognized the wide application and value of BNB in ​​the DeFi ecosystem.
🌟 It is particularly worth mentioning that BNB successfully passed the rigorous test of the "Howey Test". This historic victory not only consolidated its legal status as a non-securities, but also set a benchmark for the legal definition of tokens of many blockchain projects such as Polygon, Cardano, Avalanche, and Solana, and provided valuable practical references.
💪 For the cryptocurrency market, this is undoubtedly an exciting booster. It not only vindicates BNB, but also lays a solid foundation for the legitimacy and long-term development of the entire industry, leading us to a brighter future.
🔮 Looking ahead, if Coinbase can also triumph in the battle with the SEC, the legitimacy of its platform transactions will be further consolidated, which will undoubtedly greatly stimulate market potential and inject new vitality into the industry. Especially when the Fed's policy direction changes and interest rate cuts or quantitative easing policies are imminent, small currencies may usher in unprecedented explosive growth, and price surges may become the norm.
🎉 The judge's ruling not only vindicates the sales of BNB, but also injects unprecedented confidence and strength into the cryptocurrency market. Coinbase's chances of winning have doubled, and the legal status and development prospects of the entire industry have become more dazzling. Let us witness the arrival of the next glorious era of the cryptocurrency world! #币安合约锦标赛 #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF #people创新高 #MiCA #BOME🔥🔥🔥

Uncovering the mystery of why the United States does not cut interest rates: the game behind the scenes of the financial empire
Why is the United States reluctant to cut interest rates? Behind this, it is not simply explained by economic data or non-farm employment. As the core of the financial empire, the economic lifeline of the United States is deeply rooted in the capital market, and its focus is on three key points: the prosperity of the stock market, the safety of U.S. debt, and the strategy of global harvesting. Under this framework, the Fed's decision-making is flexible and changeable, aiming to maintain the balance of this complex system.
At present, the Federal Reserve is in its "comfort zone". Although the total amount of U.S. debt has climbed to an astonishing 34.7 trillion US dollars, it can still remain stable in the short term thanks to the fact that most of it is low-interest old debt. The stock market continues to rise, and inflation is controlled at a moderate level of 3%. Everything seems calm. However, the real intention of the United States is to defeat its opponents and achieve economic "bottom-fishing harvesting". If this goal is not achieved, cutting interest rates to protect itself and exiting the game will become an alternative strategy.
In this game, the Eastern power is naturally the opponent that the United States pays the most attention to. The confrontation between the two sides is figuratively likened to "high blood pressure" against "low blood sugar" - that is, the battle between inflation and deflation. The strategy adopted by the United States is to attract capital repatriation through high interest rates to weaken the economic strength of its opponents, and to curb the production capacity and profits of its opponents through export restrictions. However, China's resilience is beyond expectations. Although the real estate industry has suffered setbacks, it has not collapsed, and the stock market has fallen but is still resilient.
Faced with pressure from the United States, China has demonstrated strong adaptability and coping capabilities. Although export restrictions have increased, the reality that the world is out of stock and China has goods is difficult to change. It only increases the transit links and costs. The United States itself also faces challenges: the soaring interest expenses brought by high-interest bonds, the potential risks after the overdraft of US stock gains, and the hovering of the US dollar index in front of key resistance levels.
Against this background, the historical wheel of global monetary easing may start again, heralding the arrival of a new cycle. For every participant, this is a test of wisdom and courage. For the field of cryptocurrency, such as BTC and other assets, there will also be new opportunities and challenges in the new cycle.
#币安合约锦标赛 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF #pepe神币 #BTC走势预测

今天比特币又插针了，直接插破了57000，回头看看6月7日还摸高到过72000，这一个月就跌下来15000点了，一直是主爆多单，这真是一场艰难的牛市。
下跌的原因很清楚，一堆手握大量BTC的老财主趁着牛市砸盘套现，也不知道德国是不是遇到什么危机了，还是真的援助乌克兰太费钱，这些天是不断几千个几千个的大单子砸盘，据 Lookonchain 监测，德国政府今日再次转移 3000 枚 BTC（1.74 亿美元），其中 1300 枚 BTC（7550 万美元）被转移至 Bitstamp、Coinbase 和 Kraken；当前仍持有 40,359 枚 BTC（23.3 亿美元）。据说德国政府一共有五万多个币，不知道啥时候才能砸完。

还有美国政府据说也有20多万个BTC，也在天天移动，慢慢出货，另外中国有十多万个，朝鲜也不少，也不知道是不是也在出货。最操蛋的是门头沟这时候又跑出来叫唤要还债，手里还有十四万多个比特币，就这几个大户，要这么天天出货，你说比特币怎么涨？有多少钱进去够给他们接盘的？

那么如果比特币一直不涨，一直下跌，是不是这轮牛市就算扯淡了呢？我觉得也许还有转机，毕竟这次是ETF牛市，汹涌的ETF资金涌入进来，那都是证券行业客户的资金啊，难道机构带着大家进来被收割一把就走吗？那也不好给客户交代啊！目前光美国的比特币现货ETF就净流入146亿美元，香港的每天交易额也接近一亿港币了，大家是来赚钱的，不是来被收割的，如此巨量的资金涌入，理论上怎么也该带起一轮牛市，但是现在比特币的牛市实在是拉不起来了，就几国政府罚没等途径掌握的几十万个BTC和门头沟还债要砸的14万多个BTC，就很难消化，有这样一个巨大的不确定因素悬在头顶，没人敢继续拉盘比特币，几个亿美元买进去，#币安合约锦标赛 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 #bome已出圈 #WIF王者归来 #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF

Deciphering the mystery of Binance's massive transactions: the truth behind the circulation of 1.28 trillion PEPE tokens
The cryptocurrency world has been shaken, with an astonishing 1.28 trillion PEPE tokens quietly withdrawn from Binance, touching the sensitive nerves of the market, and whale-level activities instantly became the focus. This shocking transaction was exclusively disclosed by the well-known blockchain tracking pioneer Whale Alert, whose professional perspective penetrates the fog of the crypto world.
Behind the huge numbers is the gorgeous turn of 1,286,733,285,955 PEPE tokens, worth up to $14,745,963. They jumped out of Binance's huge capital pool and eventually fell into a mysterious address called "Binance 70". This discovery is like a corner of the mystery, which makes people wonder: This may not be the whale escape imagined by the outside world, but a chess piece of Binance's internal strategy adjustment, and a subtle layout of capital reorganization.

Faced with such a huge flow of funds, the price of PEPE tokens only fell slightly by 1.59%. The market reaction was flat, just like a deep stream in still water. Behind this, perhaps it is the reflection of the internal nature of the transaction, which did not stir up external waves. Looking back at the recent trend of PEPE, it is crossing the market waves with a leisurely pace like a frog. Since it climbed to the historical peak of $0.00001722 on May 27, it has entered a period of consolidation. The price fluctuations reveal the caution and expectations of traders.
Currently, the PEPE token is hovering below the SMA 50-day moving average, with a price of about $0.0000126, which has become the focus of market attention. Once this level is broken, it may open a new chapter for PEPE, indicating the possibility of rising from the trough, igniting new bullish enthusiasm in the market, and leading investors to rush into the market. , PEPE has been slightly adjusted to $0.000011, and its future trend is worth looking forward to.
#BTC走势分析 #PEPE市值超越LTC #德国政府转移比特币 #BTC突破7万大关 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

Great news! The SEC v. Binance case is settled: BNB's non-securities status is officially certified
Shocking news revealed! The battle between the SEC (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission) and Binance has finally come to an end - BNB has been officially recognized as a non-securities asset! Yes, you heard it right, the court authoritatively spoke out, the boundaries between cryptocurrencies and securities are clear, and BNB has completely removed the "securities" hat. This ruling has undoubtedly caused an uproar in the currency circle.

Maybe you have not traveled deeply in the ocean of news, but the weight of this news is enough to shake the foundation of the entire crypto world. The judge clearly pointed out that BNB does not have securities attributes whether it is issued in the primary market or circulated in the secondary market. Behind this judgment is that the SEC failed to effectively prove that Binance issued BNB for profit, and the wide application of BNB in ​​the DeFi field has jointly built a solid legal defense line.

What is even more exciting is that BNB successfully passed the industry-renowned "Howey Test". This milestone victory not only consolidates BNB's non-securities status, but also provides valuable legal references and references for a number of blockchain project tokens such as Polygon, Cardano, Avalanche, and Solana.
This judgment undoubtedly injected a shot of adrenaline into the crypto market. It is not only a victory for BNB, but also a solid step for the entire crypto industry to move towards legalization and standardization. For trading platforms such as Coinbase, this is also good news. If Coinbase can also win the battle with the SEC, the transactions on its platform will completely get rid of the shadow of "unregistered securities" and open a new chapter for crypto asset transactions.

At this moment, let us witness together that the crypto industry is moving towards a more brilliant tomorrow under the dual protection of law and market!
#币安合约锦标赛 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #NOT还会上涨吗
#PEPE市值超越LTC #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

The German government and Mentougou continue to transfer BTC, causing market concerns
In the current financial market, a thought-provoking phenomenon is unfolding: the German government and Mentougou are constantly transferring large amounts of Bitcoin to centralized exchanges (CEX) and recharging them on the site. This abnormal flow of funds has brought great uncertainty to the market. This behavior not only violates the basic rules of the financial market, but also undermines investor confidence.
In fact, although the German government and Mentougou hold a limited number of Bitcoins, their impact on the market cannot be ignored. Once these almost zero-cost Bitcoins enter the market, they may have a significant impact on market prices, thereby disrupting market order. What's worse is that if this situation is not regulated and restricted, it may continue, and even other countries or institutions may follow suit, further exacerbating the disorder of the market.
In order to deal with this problem, I suggest that the head large exchanges should unite to jointly monitor wallets of abnormal funds such as state confiscations and criminal confiscations. Through technical means, such as blockchain traceability, these abnormal funds can be restricted and managed to reduce their impact on the market. Such measures will help maintain market stability, protect the interests of investors, and promote the healthy development of the crypto-financial market.
, and safeguard the future development of the crypto-financial market.
#币安合约锦标赛 #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #WLD🔥🔥🔥 #TON生态

Binance strikes hard, five trading pairs are about to be removed

Binance, the global cryptocurrency trading giant, recently announced a major strategic adjustment, deciding to officially remove five specific trading pairs from the platform from July 7, which focus on independent margin trading. Specifically, the independent and cross-margin lending services between DGB, VOXEL and $TLM and Bitcoin will be suspended, marking the end of the era of these trading pairs on the Binance platform.

This adjustment is scheduled to take effect on time at 09:00 UTC time on July 8, when the above trading pairs will be completely withdrawn from the Binance stage and will no longer provide trading services. This move not only demonstrates Binance's firm commitment to market health and product optimization as an industry leader, but also once again proves its keen insight and decisive action in responding to market changes.

For the majority of investors, this is undoubtedly an important market signal. In the face of this adjustment of the platform, timely attention to market dynamics and flexible adjustment of investment strategies and position structures will be the key to ensuring asset security and value-added. Every strategic deployment of Binance is worth our deep consideration and response, so as to jointly meet the future challenges and opportunities of the cryptocurrency market. #币安合约锦标赛 #美联储何时降息？ #people创新高 #BTC☀ #BTC突破7万大关

The market is changing, how should we deal with it?
Yesterday, the tide suddenly rose, and today it ushered in a surge. This stock market fluctuation is simply pushing me to a desperate situation! The long feast has just ended, and the short feast has come one after another, which is really ridiculous.
The spot in my hand is like holding a bad hand of cards, unable to move. XAI0.66 enters, IO 4.6,

Brothers, am I standing at the crossroads of the industry, should I consider changing my career?
On the other hand, $ZRO next door, the market is in turmoil, but it can go with the trend, giving opportunities when it falls, and soaring when it rises, which is really enviable.
The contract road, I wanted to recover some blood, but it became a clearance sale, and the long and short bombardments were chilling. But life has to go on, maybe I should take a look at $IO? After all, the temptation of rewards is in front of us, and we have to grit our teeth and persist no matter how difficult it is.

io.net Ecosystem and $IO Tokens: A promising future
io.net, as a GPU computing power giant in the Web3 field, is leading the global computing power revolution. With the increasing demand for high-performance computing resources, io.net will undoubtedly become the industry leader. Its unique dual-token system and token destruction mechanism have laid a solid foundation for the value enhancement of $IO tokens.
DePIN track: challenges and opportunities coexist

Looking forward to the DePIN track, we foresee that it will usher in an unprecedented wave of growth. As the infrastructure of blockchain applications, DePIN is committed to providing high-performance, scalable and secure services to meet the growing market demand. Despite the technical challenges, this also provides valuable opportunities for technological innovation and ecological prosperity in the industry.
#美联储何时降息？ #币安合约锦标赛 #WLD/USDT⚡️⚡️ #zro
#美国6月非农数据高于预期

Sun Yuchen's Crypto Empire Revealed: Total Assets Shockingly Exposed, Leading by a Ship of Over $1 Billion!
🚀 Revealing Sun Yuchen's Cryptocurrency Treasures, Every Position Shines with the Light of Digital Gold! The Total Amount of His Crypto Wallet Has Broke the Sky, Reaching $1.03 Billion, Shocking the Industry!
💥 Core Highlights, Dazzling:

💲USDD: Steady on the Throne, Value Soaring to $276 Million, a Bright Star Among Stablecoins. 🚀TRX: Following closely, Valued at $238 Million, a Strong Power of the TRON Network. 🌪️BTT: Self-purchased Projects Shine, Valued at $117 Million, Bittorrent Leads the Trend.
🔍 The portfolio is revealed, and it is exciting:
🔥 USDD - $276 million
🔥 TRX - $238 million
🔥 BTT ​​- $117 million

But please note that his crypto empire experienced a small fluctuation last week, and his assets shrank by about $55 million. Looking back, his portfolio once reached the top, with a value of $7 billion!

📉 Every ups and downs in the market are a test of investors' wisdom and courage. Sun Yuchen's crypto journey is undoubtedly a legend in this digital wave, which is thought-provoking and inspires infinite reverie.
#币安合约锦标赛 #德国政府转移比特币 #wldusdt #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #zro