Every fall is a precursor to a rise. The biggest rises (bull markets) in financial markets come after periods of crisis. Currently, the crisis in the world, wars, and America's external debt are at an all-time high, while annual growth rates and trading volumes, including America, are at their lowest levels.
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This drop will take a bit longer, but when it's over, we will light our torches and watch the bull season. I think there will be a beginning on June 11, and we will see the real rises on June 27. Global parameters indicate this. The FED will print that money; there is no other way.
By the end of 2026, the bull market must be over. Blackrock, SEC, and FED should come to the table and print money to save this world from this crisis, while Binance should take advantage of this opportunity to extend the lifespan of the crypto sector, otherwise this bubble will burst.
Time is running out. Whales have started to accumulate assets. Pay close attention to the volumes of the altcoins you have purchased; if they have increased recently, they may surprise you pleasantly in the future.
They will play one last scare game, and then those who truly persevere will receive their rewards. I expect this to happen within a month; I hope it does.
If the bull season is coming, I think the decline will continue until June, and the dominance should reach the 70 level between June 7-15. Following that, I believe we will be discussing the upcoming interest rate cut, altcoin ETF approvals, Fed monetary expansion (America has slowed down excessively in growth, this is inevitable), the decision on customs duties, the resignation of the Fed chair, and finally, the launch of the Crypto100 index and its listing on the American stock market.
As dominance rises to 70, I updated my expectation of a decline to 92.000$ to 96.500$ . After that, the puzzle will be completed.
Lastly, I have never rushed like other influencers; I didn't say a bull came when dominance dropped a little. Instead, I followed the game makers and created a game theory accordingly. I definitely did not give investment advice and I do not; on the contrary, I am trying to show how to be a shepherd, not a sheep within the community.
Why could the altcoin season be just around the corner?
The market has been bad for months. Almost no one is making a profit. But I am preparing for a period where altcoins can average 8-10x, and strong projects can do 40-50x. Why? Because: • Dominance is very high. Historically, when it has reached these levels, significant altcoin explosions have occurred afterwards. • Ethereum Dominance has reached the point where the 2020 bull market started. This area is always a breaking point. • The US economy is under serious threat. Even if the FED doesn't print money, pressure on Powell is increasing. The possibility of him being removed from office is even being discussed.
If the market pushes up to 103.000$ and then a spike comes down to 92.000$ , the dominance target we expect will be achieved and it will reach the level of 70. After that, a bullish phase should begin, with short but significant upward movements.
There is less than 6 months left until the end of the cycle; during this time, serious upward movements were followed by major declines in previous cycles. That’s why the trading period is over, and we have now entered the HODL period. I have not been trading for a while to avoid risk.
I shared these not as investment advice but to explain what could happen if previous cycles repeat in the same way. I wish you a profitable summer season.
We are entering the 3rd phase of capitalism 1. States printed money 2. Banks lent money that did not exist to their customers 3. Banks will start to issue their own reserve money (2025-2027)
So what's next? 4. Companies will issue their own reserve money (not stocks, but directly like dollars) (2027-2029) 5. Personalized reserve currencies will emerge (your credit score will now be your reserve currency) (2030-2034)
Banks that take the 3rd step will create incredible bubbles with the reserve money they generate from their own stocks, and when the time comes, those who invest in them will earn a lot. This is not investment advice, but I plan to buy shares of banks that issue reserve money with the profits I will earn from the bull season.
Dominance is hovering around 64. The altcoin bull seasons in 2017 and 2021 started in the range of 70-75. We might see one last major drop or just a sudden scenario where Bitcoin rises. For this to happen, eth/btc needs to be about 10-15% lower than its current level. Currently, the coins I find attractive as altcoins are: $OXT $ARKM $ACH $RONIN $RAD $HIVE I expect good performance from these coins when we start to rise. However, I will wait for dominance to reach 68 for one last purchase, other than that I already have a substantial amount of these coins.
I think the last drop before the bull run is about to come. In previous seasons, when dominance was at these levels, Bitcoin had a sudden drop, piercing down to the 70 levels of dominance, and then it triggered the altcoin bull run. The time may be approaching; perhaps it will start and end within 3 months. I can't say for sure when or if it will happen, but the probability of it happening will benefit from both past statistics and the financial rules in game theory, as well as the interests of market makers.
I am closely following the developments and charts, and I will share when major signals come.
The American economy must deteriorate for the FED to resort to monetary expansion out of fear. If there is no interest rate cut or even monetary expansion this year, it will be inevitable for Powell to resign within a year.
Patience is the key to this; we are not Warren Buffet and cannot receive insider information, but we must be prepared when the time comes. Whispers of the bull season are about to be heard.
Trump is actually shooting himself in the foot by adding taxes; a country does not grow with taxes, it grows with incentives, it rises with reputation, and it attracts investors with trust. Doesn’t Trump know this? He actually knows very well, but what he wants to do is purely for show. He will soon remove the taxes he is imposing now and when the economy starts to improve, he will say, "Joe Biden ruined it, I could only fix it, thanks to me we became rich," but everyone knows that this is not true and that he is the one who broke it. His attempt to buy land is completely about putting himself in the spotlight and drawing attention to himself in war-torn countries, thus wanting to give the impression of being a savior to the world.
Its effect on crypto is actually not that significant; when there is a situation like monetary expansion, a bull season will come anyway. So, even though it seems that Trump is affecting the market, no, he is just trying to buy time.
Germany is entering a recession, and its effects will likely also impact America. The most obvious indicator is unemployment, and this graph is about to exceed the highest level in the last 11 years. When it previously reached these levels, there was a global monetary expansion, and in fact, the bull season came about because of it. The indicators are slowly becoming positive, and I hope to see the effects of these in the coins I have invested in within a few months.
If the ETH/BTC ratio drops more than 28% compared to Bitcoin, we enter the period that started the bull run in 2021, and the dominance reaches the 70 level, which was present before the bull runs of 2017 and 2021.
Look, these are very important values. The ETH/BTC and Dominance charts help us understand the events that initiate and end bull seasons.
In short, if ETH/BTC reaches the level of 2021 and dominance hits 70, it means the bull market has started for me. The most money is lost and gained at these levels, so it's wise to be careful.
Bitcoin dominance technically needed to reach 70 and then quickly drop for an altcoin bull run to occur, but ETFs do not want to allow this. Whenever money flows into altcoins, they increase Bitcoin's volatility and draw the money back to themselves.
What do you think will be the scenario that will funnel money into altcoins?
My prediction is that an ETF approval will come for the altcoin index, but it looks very difficult in the short term.
What to do before the bull market, otherwise you cannot win.
The biggest hope of investors is that the dominance is this high. In previous bull seasons, it always started to drop around 70 and brought about an altcoin bull season. The second indicator is the ETH/BTC ratio; the lower this is, the more we saw the prices of altcoins reaching buying levels. These conditions are present now as well. Perhaps within a few months, all conditions will be fully ready, and the bull market will start. But we need to be prepared for a few things: