陈凯说币
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Analysis of the Chan Theory Structure of Big Cake and Small Cake
Weekly Line (Current Level):
Currently in the upward segment extension of the weekly line (starting from the low point of 38500), ultimate target remains unchanged at 150,000+.
Daily Line (Sub-Level):
Starting from the high point of 97500, it begins a downward adjustment of the daily line; effective breakthrough of 98000 is needed to confirm the end of this segment.
[BTC 1-hour Trend Decomposition]
Current Trend Structure
1. Start from the low point of 81500:
1-hour upward segment has been completed (corresponding to the 1-hour trend type in Chan Theory), current high is 92810, entering the terminal divergence segment.
Key Verification: If it falls below 89000 (segment destruction point), it confirms the end of this segment and enters the reverse 1-hour downward segment.
Currently in the upward segment extension of the weekly line (starting from the low point of 38500), ultimate target remains unchanged at 150,000+.
Daily Line (Sub-Level):
Starting from the high point of 97500, it begins a downward adjustment of the daily line; effective breakthrough of 98000 is needed to confirm the end of this segment.
[BTC 1-hour Trend Decomposition]
Current Trend Structure
1. Start from the low point of 81500:
1-hour upward segment has been completed (corresponding to the 1-hour trend type in Chan Theory), current high is 92810, entering the terminal divergence segment.
Key Verification: If it falls below 89000 (segment destruction point), it confirms the end of this segment and enters the reverse 1-hour downward segment.
The US dollar index opened high and then fell, pulling the market into a high position, returning to the pressure area we mentioned $BTC $ETH
The idea given to everyone by the white plate is to short from a high position. It's not to say that we can capture all three thousand points, but it shouldn't be a problem to capture one or two thousand points for the majority. If we can't grasp this kind of opportunity that is presented to us, then I am powerless. Many people have their own ideas, and I personally support that; everyone needs to build their own system. However, when your system is not yet complete, you need to learn from others and not just work in isolation.
The idea for Bitcoin in the early session was explained quite clearly, so let's focus on Ethereum this time.
We can see that the area given in late September has become a pressure zone above, and the V reversal from the 1st to the 14th of this month is also referred to as pressure, so this time is the same logic. Therefore, this is a very critical pressure zone. As long as it doesn't break, the main focus will definitely be on shorting from a high position. If it breaks, then we will definitely look for increased liquidity at the previous highs above. The area for shorting is basically around 3400-3000.
In contrast, Bitcoin is performing stronger; today it has also shown a downward trend but is slowly beginning to rebound. Overall, the rebound strength is currently not significant. If anyone still holds positions, you can place your defense level at the opening price or the previously mentioned 117500. $BTC $ETH
The idea for Bitcoin in the early session was explained quite clearly, so let's focus on Ethereum this time.
We can see that the area given in late September has become a pressure zone above, and the V reversal from the 1st to the 14th of this month is also referred to as pressure, so this time is the same logic. Therefore, this is a very critical pressure zone. As long as it doesn't break, the main focus will definitely be on shorting from a high position. If it breaks, then we will definitely look for increased liquidity at the previous highs above. The area for shorting is basically around 3400-3000.
In contrast, Bitcoin is performing stronger; today it has also shown a downward trend but is slowly beginning to rebound. Overall, the rebound strength is currently not significant. If anyone still holds positions, you can place your defense level at the opening price or the previously mentioned 117500. $BTC $ETH
The idea given to everyone by the white plate is to short from a high position. It's not to say that we can capture all three thousand points, but it shouldn't be a problem to capture one or two thousand points for the majority. If we can't grasp this kind of opportunity that is presented to us, then I am powerless. Many people have their own ideas, and I personally support that; everyone needs to build their own system. However, when your system is not yet complete, you need to learn from others and not just work in isolation.
The idea for Bitcoin in the early session was explained quite clearly, so let's focus on Ethereum this time.
We can see that the area given in late September has become a pressure zone above, and the V reversal from the 1st to the 14th of this month is also referred to as pressure, so this time is the same logic. Therefore, this is a very critical pressure zone. As long as it doesn't break, the main focus will definitely be on shorting from a high position. If it breaks, then we will definitely look for increased liquidity at the previous highs above. The area for shorting is basically around 3400-3000.
In contrast, Bitcoin is performing stronger; today it has also shown a downward trend but is slowly beginning to rebound. Overall, the rebound strength is currently not significant. If anyone still holds positions, you can place your defense level at the opening price or the previously mentioned 117500. $BTC $ETH
The idea for Bitcoin in the early session was explained quite clearly, so let's focus on Ethereum this time.
We can see that the area given in late September has become a pressure zone above, and the V reversal from the 1st to the 14th of this month is also referred to as pressure, so this time is the same logic. Therefore, this is a very critical pressure zone. As long as it doesn't break, the main focus will definitely be on shorting from a high position. If it breaks, then we will definitely look for increased liquidity at the previous highs above. The area for shorting is basically around 3400-3000.
In contrast, Bitcoin is performing stronger; today it has also shown a downward trend but is slowly beginning to rebound. Overall, the rebound strength is currently not significant. If anyone still holds positions, you can place your defense level at the opening price or the previously mentioned 117500. $BTC $ETH
Good morning everyone, last night's market performance perfectly met expectations. After reaching the area we mentioned, it couldn't break through smoothly. As we reached the pressure area we discussed, it couldn't break through, so moving forward, as I mentioned to everyone, the focus should remain on bearish positions, looking at the 103000-100000 level below. Friends who have made arrangements last night can set their stop-loss at the opening position or 117500. Currently, it is definitely in a floating profit state. Furthermore, let me explain how to arrange for another type of breakout situation. You can see here in the diffusion area, so after breaking the key position at 117500, it will definitely aim for the previous high of 126000. After breaking through, there will be a phase adjustment, so even if it breaks, there is no need to panic. The situation with Ethereum is relatively simple. The upper pressure is also from a previous bottom area, and if it can't break through, we can also look bearish. Do not go against the trend. If there are still uncertainties, you can follow Kai Ge's homepage or @币圈陈凯 $BTC $ETH .
The passage has been confirmed, what are you still hesitating about? Is it not clear enough? $BTC $ETH
Is Bitcoin Ethereum going to continue to rise or encounter resistance and fall back? Let's see how Kai will analyze it for you. A few days ago, the trend personally leaned towards a mistake, but it also mentioned the possibility of a false breakout, that is, breaking through the high again, so let's talk about the current market situation.
First of all, we have reached the high point we predicted, so the predicted range for this rebound is between 114800-117500.
This range is also a pressure point from September. Therefore, the follow-up will still continue the main thought of shorting, with the defensive position set at 117500, and the target set at the previously mentioned level of 103000-10 round number. The daily level indicates that this pullback must be completed before starting to rebound.
The overall situation is basically like this, and if there are any uncertainties, please pay attention to Kai's homepage $BTC $ETH .
First of all, we have reached the high point we predicted, so the predicted range for this rebound is between 114800-117500.
This range is also a pressure point from September. Therefore, the follow-up will still continue the main thought of shorting, with the defensive position set at 117500, and the target set at the previously mentioned level of 103000-10 round number. The daily level indicates that this pullback must be completed before starting to rebound.
The overall situation is basically like this, and if there are any uncertainties, please pay attention to Kai's homepage $BTC $ETH .
On Thursday, there is still information from the Federal Reserve to pay attention to. This week must be a wave of takeoff. Those who want to ✈️ can follow Kai's homepage $BTC $ETH
Is Bitcoin Ethereum going to continue to rise or encounter resistance and fall back? Let's see how Kai will analyze it for you. A few days ago, the trend personally leaned towards a mistake, but it also mentioned the possibility of a false breakout, that is, breaking through the high again, so let's talk about the current market situation.
First of all, we have reached the high point we predicted, so the predicted range for this rebound is between 114800-117500.
This range is also a pressure point from September. Therefore, the follow-up will still continue the main thought of shorting, with the defensive position set at 117500, and the target set at the previously mentioned level of 103000-10 round number. The daily level indicates that this pullback must be completed before starting to rebound.
The overall situation is basically like this, and if there are any uncertainties, please pay attention to Kai's homepage $BTC $ETH .
First of all, we have reached the high point we predicted, so the predicted range for this rebound is between 114800-117500.
This range is also a pressure point from September. Therefore, the follow-up will still continue the main thought of shorting, with the defensive position set at 117500, and the target set at the previously mentioned level of 103000-10 round number. The daily level indicates that this pullback must be completed before starting to rebound.
The overall situation is basically like this, and if there are any uncertainties, please pay attention to Kai's homepage $BTC $ETH .
Is Bitcoin Ethereum going to continue to rise or encounter resistance and fall back? Let's see how Kai will analyze it for you. A few days ago, the trend personally leaned towards a mistake, but it also mentioned the possibility of a false breakout, that is, breaking through the high again, so let's talk about the current market situation.
First of all, we have reached the high point we predicted, so the predicted range for this rebound is between 114800-117500.
This range is also a pressure point from September. Therefore, the follow-up will still continue the main thought of shorting, with the defensive position set at 117500, and the target set at the previously mentioned level of 103000-10 round number. The daily level indicates that this pullback must be completed before starting to rebound.
The overall situation is basically like this, and if there are any uncertainties, please pay attention to Kai's homepage $BTC $ETH .
First of all, we have reached the high point we predicted, so the predicted range for this rebound is between 114800-117500.
This range is also a pressure point from September. Therefore, the follow-up will still continue the main thought of shorting, with the defensive position set at 117500, and the target set at the previously mentioned level of 103000-10 round number. The daily level indicates that this pullback must be completed before starting to rebound.
The overall situation is basically like this, and if there are any uncertainties, please pay attention to Kai's homepage $BTC $ETH .
Last night's CPI data was released, and although the market briefly rose, it has since retraced. We are now entering the weekend market, which is experiencing a converging fluctuation.
After the convergence range, a direction will appear. Although there is a possibility of a rebound here, I still lean towards a timely rebound to reach 114000 before it falls back to 100000. Because this is the trend, and it appears to be so from the market perspective.
However, the current market sentiment is not quite right, which is why it is said that there is a possibility of a rebound here.
The real-time order given the day before yesterday can still be held without worry, and if there are any changes, Brother Kai will notify at any time. #加密市场反弹
After the convergence range, a direction will appear. Although there is a possibility of a rebound here, I still lean towards a timely rebound to reach 114000 before it falls back to 100000. Because this is the trend, and it appears to be so from the market perspective.
However, the current market sentiment is not quite right, which is why it is said that there is a possibility of a rebound here.
The real-time order given the day before yesterday can still be held without worry, and if there are any changes, Brother Kai will notify at any time. #加密市场反弹
BTC Wave Theory Structure Evolution
Historical New High Confirmation Breakthrough 123218
Completion of the Fifth Driving Wave at 4H Level
Risk Warning: Daily and 4H Structure Fullness Reaches Critical Point; Partial Profit Taking Trigger Point 124000
Key Threshold 120000
Stabilize Above
Potential for Final Ascending Wave Target 125000
Breaking 125000 Opens Up Space to 130000
Effective Breakdown
Triggers 1H Pullback Target 118000 to 117400
Marks the End of 4H Upward Wave
Safe Short Strategy
Need to Wait for 1H Second Sell Structure High Point Confirmation
ETH Relative Strength Analysis
4H Continuation Pattern Characteristics
Short-term Risk Manageable Compared to BTC
Key Defensive Line 4600
Stabilize to Continue Rally Above 4800
Breaking Triggers 1H Pullback Target 4500 to 4600 Buy Zone
Cycle Prediction
Current 4H Upward Wave May Continue for Three to Four Days
Next Week Be Cautious of Liquidity Trap Pin Risk
Spot Strategy: Pin Seen as Weekly Third Buy Opportunity
Multi-Cycle Trend Confluence
Weekly Target Upwards Greater than 150000 Remains Unchanged
Daily Top Formation Warning: This Week’s Volume Determines the Pattern
4-Hour Exhaustion Upward Without Acceleration Will End the Upward Wave
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Historical New High Confirmation Breakthrough 123218
Completion of the Fifth Driving Wave at 4H Level
Risk Warning: Daily and 4H Structure Fullness Reaches Critical Point; Partial Profit Taking Trigger Point 124000
Key Threshold 120000
Stabilize Above
Potential for Final Ascending Wave Target 125000
Breaking 125000 Opens Up Space to 130000
Effective Breakdown
Triggers 1H Pullback Target 118000 to 117400
Marks the End of 4H Upward Wave
Safe Short Strategy
Need to Wait for 1H Second Sell Structure High Point Confirmation
ETH Relative Strength Analysis
4H Continuation Pattern Characteristics
Short-term Risk Manageable Compared to BTC
Key Defensive Line 4600
Stabilize to Continue Rally Above 4800
Breaking Triggers 1H Pullback Target 4500 to 4600 Buy Zone
Cycle Prediction
Current 4H Upward Wave May Continue for Three to Four Days
Next Week Be Cautious of Liquidity Trap Pin Risk
Spot Strategy: Pin Seen as Weekly Third Buy Opportunity
Multi-Cycle Trend Confluence
Weekly Target Upwards Greater than 150000 Remains Unchanged
Daily Top Formation Warning: This Week’s Volume Determines the Pattern
4-Hour Exhaustion Upward Without Acceleration Will End the Upward Wave
$BTC $ETH $BNB
The Bitcoin structure has shifted from bearish to bullish in the past two days, currently showing a bullish structure on the hourly level, with support focusing on the double bottom neckline.
The bullish trend continues, with expectations of reaching new highs.
Confirm support to remain bullish, if support breaks down, bulls will exit.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
The bullish trend continues, with expectations of reaching new highs.
Confirm support to remain bullish, if support breaks down, bulls will exit.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Trust Brother Xin Kai won't flip
$BTC $ETH $BNB
$BTC $ETH $BNB
The overall trend of Bitcoin is currently fluctuating. The chart provided yesterday shows that the upward trend has not clearly reversed, so the position given yesterday was a slightly left-sided real-time position. If you are concerned, you can reduce your position moderately; we are also near the opening position.
So why provide a short position at this location? Because there is resistance from previous highs above, and the operational space is limited. The current situation presents two possibilities: the first is a fluctuating continuation that then challenges the previous high, and the second is a breakdown forming a bearish arrangement. If clear signals appear later, we can continue to add to our positions and achieve a considerable range.
For a basic market overview, just look at the analysis provided by Kai Ge, and you should understand. If you have any uncertainties, we can communicate.
Trust Kai Ge, no accidents.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
So why provide a short position at this location? Because there is resistance from previous highs above, and the operational space is limited. The current situation presents two possibilities: the first is a fluctuating continuation that then challenges the previous high, and the second is a breakdown forming a bearish arrangement. If clear signals appear later, we can continue to add to our positions and achieve a considerable range.
For a basic market overview, just look at the analysis provided by Kai Ge, and you should understand. If you have any uncertainties, we can communicate.
Trust Kai Ge, no accidents.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
The basic market trend prediction is accurate, waiting for a breakout or reversal
$BTC $ETH $BNB
$BTC $ETH $BNB
BTC/ETH Key Breakthrough Level Battle Strategy
Bull-Bear Watershed Alert
🔥 BTC Lifeline:
✅ Break 110718 = Start of a 2-week main upward wave (Target 120,000)
💣 Break below 108000 = 4-hour correction initiated (Target 105,000)
Short-term Combat Instructions
BTC Response Plan
1. Current Price Observation Zone: 109300-110700 Range
2. Breakthrough Follow Long: >110718 Chase Up (Stop Loss 109800)
3. Break Position Stop Loss: <108000 Reverse Short (Stop Loss 108500)
ETH Linked Offense and Defense
• Break 2650 → Bullish to 2800+
• Break below 2528 → Correction to 2420
• Current Price Operation: Hold Long above 2550, exit below 2528
⸻
Core Market Characteristics
⚠️ Current Predicament Analysis:
1. Break 109300 but shows fatigue (Insufficient Volume)
2. Double Top Pressure Not Broken:
• Previous High 110718 (July 29)
• Secondary High 110530 (August 1)
3. Main Force Intent:
“Cleanse leverage through repeated fluctuations
Do not take a position before breaking key levels”
Blood and Tears Lesson Reminder
🚫 High-Frequency Trading Trap:
• July Volatile Market Wear Case:
» Repeat operations 10 times = Principal shrinks by 15%
» Hold spot = +8% profit
✅ Path to Breakthrough:
“Maintain 50% position before breaking key levels
Full position chase after breaking 110718”
⸻
Multi-Cycle Trend Anchor Points
Weekly: ↗️ 150,000+ (Foundation of Bull Market)
Daily: ↗️ 120-130,000 (Correction is Opportunity)
4-Hour: ⏳ 110718 Sets the Course
1-Hour: ⚠️ 108000 Lifeline
15-Minute: ↘️ Pressure 110500
⸻
Ultimate Commandments:
1. Do not take mid-term long positions before breaking 110718
2. Immediately stop loss if 108000 is broken
3. Must exit if Ethereum loses 2528
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Bull-Bear Watershed Alert
🔥 BTC Lifeline:
✅ Break 110718 = Start of a 2-week main upward wave (Target 120,000)
💣 Break below 108000 = 4-hour correction initiated (Target 105,000)
Short-term Combat Instructions
BTC Response Plan
1. Current Price Observation Zone: 109300-110700 Range
2. Breakthrough Follow Long: >110718 Chase Up (Stop Loss 109800)
3. Break Position Stop Loss: <108000 Reverse Short (Stop Loss 108500)
ETH Linked Offense and Defense
• Break 2650 → Bullish to 2800+
• Break below 2528 → Correction to 2420
• Current Price Operation: Hold Long above 2550, exit below 2528
⸻
Core Market Characteristics
⚠️ Current Predicament Analysis:
1. Break 109300 but shows fatigue (Insufficient Volume)
2. Double Top Pressure Not Broken:
• Previous High 110718 (July 29)
• Secondary High 110530 (August 1)
3. Main Force Intent:
“Cleanse leverage through repeated fluctuations
Do not take a position before breaking key levels”
Blood and Tears Lesson Reminder
🚫 High-Frequency Trading Trap:
• July Volatile Market Wear Case:
» Repeat operations 10 times = Principal shrinks by 15%
» Hold spot = +8% profit
✅ Path to Breakthrough:
“Maintain 50% position before breaking key levels
Full position chase after breaking 110718”
⸻
Multi-Cycle Trend Anchor Points
Weekly: ↗️ 150,000+ (Foundation of Bull Market)
Daily: ↗️ 120-130,000 (Correction is Opportunity)
4-Hour: ⏳ 110718 Sets the Course
1-Hour: ⚠️ 108000 Lifeline
15-Minute: ↘️ Pressure 110500
⸻
Ultimate Commandments:
1. Do not take mid-term long positions before breaking 110718
2. Immediately stop loss if 108000 is broken
3. Must exit if Ethereum loses 2528
$BTC $ETH $BNB
BTC/ETH Key Breakthrough Level Battle Strategy
Bull-Bear Watershed Alert
🔥 BTC Lifeline:
✅ Break 110718 = Start of a 2-week main upward wave (Target 120,000)
💣 Break below 108000 = 4-hour correction initiated (Target 105,000)
Short-term Combat Instructions
BTC Response Plan
1. Current Price Observation Zone: 109300-110700 Range
2. Breakthrough Follow Long: >110718 Chase Up (Stop Loss 109800)
3. Break Position Stop Loss: <108000 Reverse Short (Stop Loss 108500)
ETH Linked Offense and Defense
• Break 2650 → Bullish to 2800+
• Break below 2528 → Correction to 2420
• Current Price Operation: Hold Long above 2550, exit below 2528
⸻
Core Market Characteristics
⚠️ Current Predicament Analysis:
1. Break 109300 but shows fatigue (Insufficient Volume)
2. Double Top Pressure Not Broken:
• Previous High 110718 (July 29)
• Secondary High 110530 (August 1)
3. Main Force Intent:
“Cleanse leverage through repeated fluctuations
Do not take a position before breaking key levels”
Blood and Tears Lesson Reminder
🚫 High-Frequency Trading Trap:
• July Volatile Market Wear Case:
» Repeat operations 10 times = Principal shrinks by 15%
» Hold spot = +8% profit
✅ Path to Breakthrough:
“Maintain 50% position before breaking key levels
Full position chase after breaking 110718”
⸻
Multi-Cycle Trend Anchor Points
Weekly: ↗️ 150,000+ (Foundation of Bull Market)
Daily: ↗️ 120-130,000 (Correction is Opportunity)
4-Hour: ⏳ 110718 Sets the Course
1-Hour: ⚠️ 108000 Lifeline
15-Minute: ↘️ Pressure 110500
⸻
Ultimate Commandments:
1. Do not take mid-term long positions before breaking 110718
2. Immediately stop loss if 108000 is broken
3. Must exit if Ethereum loses 2528
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Bull-Bear Watershed Alert
🔥 BTC Lifeline:
✅ Break 110718 = Start of a 2-week main upward wave (Target 120,000)
💣 Break below 108000 = 4-hour correction initiated (Target 105,000)
Short-term Combat Instructions
BTC Response Plan
1. Current Price Observation Zone: 109300-110700 Range
2. Breakthrough Follow Long: >110718 Chase Up (Stop Loss 109800)
3. Break Position Stop Loss: <108000 Reverse Short (Stop Loss 108500)
ETH Linked Offense and Defense
• Break 2650 → Bullish to 2800+
• Break below 2528 → Correction to 2420
• Current Price Operation: Hold Long above 2550, exit below 2528
⸻
Core Market Characteristics
⚠️ Current Predicament Analysis:
1. Break 109300 but shows fatigue (Insufficient Volume)
2. Double Top Pressure Not Broken:
• Previous High 110718 (July 29)
• Secondary High 110530 (August 1)
3. Main Force Intent:
“Cleanse leverage through repeated fluctuations
Do not take a position before breaking key levels”
Blood and Tears Lesson Reminder
🚫 High-Frequency Trading Trap:
• July Volatile Market Wear Case:
» Repeat operations 10 times = Principal shrinks by 15%
» Hold spot = +8% profit
✅ Path to Breakthrough:
“Maintain 50% position before breaking key levels
Full position chase after breaking 110718”
⸻
Multi-Cycle Trend Anchor Points
Weekly: ↗️ 150,000+ (Foundation of Bull Market)
Daily: ↗️ 120-130,000 (Correction is Opportunity)
4-Hour: ⏳ 110718 Sets the Course
1-Hour: ⚠️ 108000 Lifeline
15-Minute: ↘️ Pressure 110500
⸻
Ultimate Commandments:
1. Do not take mid-term long positions before breaking 110718
2. Immediately stop loss if 108000 is broken
3. Must exit if Ethereum loses 2528
$BTC $ETH $BNB
BTC/ETH Weekend Fluctuation Key Direction
Bull-Bear Battle Signal
BTC Lifeline:
✅ Bullish Momentum → Break 109300 (pullback ends, surge to new high)
💣 Bearish Momentum → Break 106400 (4-hour pullback, target 100000)
Key Change Time Window: Monday Evening (Focus on)
Core Prediction
1. High Probability Scenario (70%):
• Stabilize at 106700, consolidate
• Breakthrough 111980 next week, create historical new high
• Logic: Consolidation wears down bear strength, forces shorts to chase
2. Low Probability Scenario (30%):
• Break 106400, initiate medium-term pullback
• Buy near 100000 for the next surge
Urgent Operation Instructions
▶ BTC Strategy for Tonight
• Observe current price
• Break 109300 → Chase long (Target 112000+)
• Break 106400 → Chase short (Target 102000)
• Consolidate 106700-109300 → Wait for Monday's showdown
▶ ETH Key Linkage
• Break 2575 → Pullback ends, surge to 2800+
• Ideal buying point: 2470 (valid before breaking 2575)
• Breakout Warning: 2420 long position defense line (exit on breakout)
⸻
Lessons Learned
⚠️ Risk Alert:
• 105600 long position / 2420 long position easily shaken out
• Response Strategy:
✅ Breakthrough key levels decisively enter
✅ During consolidation period, absolutely do not exit early
New Market Characteristics:
"Cleansing positions through extreme fluctuations
The longer the consolidation, the sharper the breakout"
⸻
Multi-Cycle Trend Anchors
Weekly: ↗️ 150000+ (unchanged)
Daily: ↗️ 120000-130000 (pullback is an opportunity)
4-Hour: ⚠️ 106400 defines bull and bear
1-Hour: ⏳ Wait for 109300/106400 breakout
15-Minute: ↗️ Resistance at 109300
⸻
Ultimate Reminder:
Consolidation markets are the most exhausting, maintain 50% position before breakout
Strict stop loss: BTC 106300 / ETH 2460
Bull-Bear Battle Signal
BTC Lifeline:
✅ Bullish Momentum → Break 109300 (pullback ends, surge to new high)
💣 Bearish Momentum → Break 106400 (4-hour pullback, target 100000)
Key Change Time Window: Monday Evening (Focus on)
Core Prediction
1. High Probability Scenario (70%):
• Stabilize at 106700, consolidate
• Breakthrough 111980 next week, create historical new high
• Logic: Consolidation wears down bear strength, forces shorts to chase
2. Low Probability Scenario (30%):
• Break 106400, initiate medium-term pullback
• Buy near 100000 for the next surge
Urgent Operation Instructions
▶ BTC Strategy for Tonight
• Observe current price
• Break 109300 → Chase long (Target 112000+)
• Break 106400 → Chase short (Target 102000)
• Consolidate 106700-109300 → Wait for Monday's showdown
▶ ETH Key Linkage
• Break 2575 → Pullback ends, surge to 2800+
• Ideal buying point: 2470 (valid before breaking 2575)
• Breakout Warning: 2420 long position defense line (exit on breakout)
⸻
Lessons Learned
⚠️ Risk Alert:
• 105600 long position / 2420 long position easily shaken out
• Response Strategy:
✅ Breakthrough key levels decisively enter
✅ During consolidation period, absolutely do not exit early
New Market Characteristics:
"Cleansing positions through extreme fluctuations
The longer the consolidation, the sharper the breakout"
⸻
Multi-Cycle Trend Anchors
Weekly: ↗️ 150000+ (unchanged)
Daily: ↗️ 120000-130000 (pullback is an opportunity)
4-Hour: ⚠️ 106400 defines bull and bear
1-Hour: ⏳ Wait for 109300/106400 breakout
15-Minute: ↗️ Resistance at 109300
⸻
Ultimate Reminder:
Consolidation markets are the most exhausting, maintain 50% position before breakout
Strict stop loss: BTC 106300 / ETH 2460
【Emergency Strategy】Breakdown Crisis! Nighttime Life and Death Line Confirmed！
👉 BTC Key Position
1. Daily Life and Death Gate: 107500！
• If unable to close above 107500 by 8 AM tomorrow ➜ Second plunge begins
• Nighttime spike position: 106500/105000 (if reached, can buy with small position)
2. Rebound Pressure: 108500-10900 Range
• If the rebound does not surpass this range = no hope for an upward trend！
• Short position defense: Focus on the 4-hour closing in this range
💣 Operation Instructions
• Spike at 106500/105000 → 5% position to seize rebound
• Rebound to 108500-10900 → Short position increase point
• Breakthrough 10900 → Short position retreat
⸻
🪙 ETH Synchronous Alert
1. Daily Nuclear Explosion Point: 2480！
• If broken tomorrow ➜ Second wave of waterfall
2. Spike Opportunity: 2450-2430 (place long orders in this area)
3. Rebound Pressure: 2525-2550 Iron Top Range
• If not surpassing this range ➜ Continue to plunge down
• Short position stronghold: Set stop loss above 2525
💣 Operation Instructions
• Spike at 2450-2430 → Bottom-fishing long position (≤5% position)
• Rebound 2525-2550 → Short ambush area
• Breakthrough 2550 ➡️ Abandon short position
$BTC $ETH $BNB
👉 BTC Key Position
1. Daily Life and Death Gate: 107500！
• If unable to close above 107500 by 8 AM tomorrow ➜ Second plunge begins
• Nighttime spike position: 106500/105000 (if reached, can buy with small position)
2. Rebound Pressure: 108500-10900 Range
• If the rebound does not surpass this range = no hope for an upward trend！
• Short position defense: Focus on the 4-hour closing in this range
💣 Operation Instructions
• Spike at 106500/105000 → 5% position to seize rebound
• Rebound to 108500-10900 → Short position increase point
• Breakthrough 10900 → Short position retreat
⸻
🪙 ETH Synchronous Alert
1. Daily Nuclear Explosion Point: 2480！
• If broken tomorrow ➜ Second wave of waterfall
2. Spike Opportunity: 2450-2430 (place long orders in this area)
3. Rebound Pressure: 2525-2550 Iron Top Range
• If not surpassing this range ➜ Continue to plunge down
• Short position stronghold: Set stop loss above 2525
💣 Operation Instructions
• Spike at 2450-2430 → Bottom-fishing long position (≤5% position)
• Rebound 2525-2550 → Short ambush area
• Breakthrough 2550 ➡️ Abandon short position
$BTC $ETH $BNB
🔥【BTC/ETH Latest Strategy】Key Breakthrough Level Locked in!
👉 Bitcoin's Accurate Prediction Yesterday: Stopped at 110500, Retreated to 108800 for Fluctuation! Today’s Lowest Drop to 108500, Currently Stabilizing and Rebounding. Tonight’s Critical Line: 107800!
• Stabilizing at 107800 ➜ Upward Momentum Remains, Breaking 110500 Will Reach New Highs
• Falling Below 107800 ➜ Beware of Deep Retreat to 100000 or Continued Fluctuation
🚀 BTC Trend Overview
Weekly (Target 150,000-200,000):
• Third Wave Rising (Starting Point 49000)
• MACD Not Dead Crossed, No Top Divergence Risk!
Daily (Target 120,000):
• Third Wave Ongoing (Starting Point 74508)
• After Breaking New High, May Retrace to 90,000, Attack 150,000+ in September
Key Signal: 5-Day Line MACD Dead Cross = Uptrend End Alert!
4-Hour:
• Rise from 98200 Has Not Ended, Breaking 112000 Will Accelerate to 120,000
• Defense Point: 107800 (Breaking Will Terminate Uptrend Possibility)
⸻
🎯 Short-Term Operation Guide
1️⃣ 1-Hour Level:
• Current Uptrend Weak, Direction to be Determined in Next 24 Hours!
• Breaking 110500 ➜ Directly Rush to 112,000+
• Falling Below 107800 ➜ Starts 4-Hour Retracement (Target 100,000)
→ Move Stop Loss Up to 107800 for Long Positions!
2️⃣ 15-Minute Level:
• Fluctuation Platform Has Been Established
• Breaking 110500 = Acceleration Signal
• Falling Below 108200 ➜ Beware of 1-Hour Level Retracement
⏰ Time Window: Tonight to Tomorrow Afternoon is the Key Period for Market Change!
⸻
🪙 ETH Linked Strategy
• 4-Hour Trend Needs to Break 2879 to Confirm Strength
• Key Boundary Line: 2520!
• Stabilizing at 2520 ➜ Rush to 2650+ (15-Minute Three Buy Signal)
• Falling Below 2520 ➜ Starts 1-Hour Retracement
• Suggestion: Accumulate on Dips but Strictly Carry Stop Loss
⸻
💎 Core Conclusion
1. Bitcoin Weekly Bull Market Remains, Short-Term Focus on 107800 Defense Line
2. Ethereum 2520 is the Strong and Weak Lifeline
3. Altcoins Limited to Bounce Operations, Do Not Chase Highs!
4. Breaking 110500 Can Add Positions, Falling Below 107800 Requires Retreat
$BTC $ETH $BNB
👉 Bitcoin's Accurate Prediction Yesterday: Stopped at 110500, Retreated to 108800 for Fluctuation! Today’s Lowest Drop to 108500, Currently Stabilizing and Rebounding. Tonight’s Critical Line: 107800!
• Stabilizing at 107800 ➜ Upward Momentum Remains, Breaking 110500 Will Reach New Highs
• Falling Below 107800 ➜ Beware of Deep Retreat to 100000 or Continued Fluctuation
🚀 BTC Trend Overview
Weekly (Target 150,000-200,000):
• Third Wave Rising (Starting Point 49000)
• MACD Not Dead Crossed, No Top Divergence Risk!
Daily (Target 120,000):
• Third Wave Ongoing (Starting Point 74508)
• After Breaking New High, May Retrace to 90,000, Attack 150,000+ in September
Key Signal: 5-Day Line MACD Dead Cross = Uptrend End Alert!
4-Hour:
• Rise from 98200 Has Not Ended, Breaking 112000 Will Accelerate to 120,000
• Defense Point: 107800 (Breaking Will Terminate Uptrend Possibility)
⸻
🎯 Short-Term Operation Guide
1️⃣ 1-Hour Level:
• Current Uptrend Weak, Direction to be Determined in Next 24 Hours!
• Breaking 110500 ➜ Directly Rush to 112,000+
• Falling Below 107800 ➜ Starts 4-Hour Retracement (Target 100,000)
→ Move Stop Loss Up to 107800 for Long Positions!
2️⃣ 15-Minute Level:
• Fluctuation Platform Has Been Established
• Breaking 110500 = Acceleration Signal
• Falling Below 108200 ➜ Beware of 1-Hour Level Retracement
⏰ Time Window: Tonight to Tomorrow Afternoon is the Key Period for Market Change!
⸻
🪙 ETH Linked Strategy
• 4-Hour Trend Needs to Break 2879 to Confirm Strength
• Key Boundary Line: 2520!
• Stabilizing at 2520 ➜ Rush to 2650+ (15-Minute Three Buy Signal)
• Falling Below 2520 ➜ Starts 1-Hour Retracement
• Suggestion: Accumulate on Dips but Strictly Carry Stop Loss
⸻
💎 Core Conclusion
1. Bitcoin Weekly Bull Market Remains, Short-Term Focus on 107800 Defense Line
2. Ethereum 2520 is the Strong and Weak Lifeline
3. Altcoins Limited to Bounce Operations, Do Not Chase Highs!
4. Breaking 110500 Can Add Positions, Falling Below 107800 Requires Retreat
$BTC $ETH $BNB
The first step of the script prediction has been completed. Will the subsequent second step of the pullback meet expectations?
$BTC $ETH $BNB
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Evening Core Trend Analysis
Core Trend Confirmation
1. BTC Overall Direction: Acceleration Phase Initiated, New Historical Highs Expected
2. ETH Sync Rhythm: Targeting the 3000 Level, Aim for 3400 Area
3. Altcoin/Mainstream Note: Currently only a rebound market, not the start of altcoin season (big movements may occur at the end of the year)
=== BTC Key Attack and Defense Points ===
▶ Medium-Term Target
• 1-2 days to reach 115000
• Ultimate Target 120000+ (requires consolidation for strength)
▶ Lifeline Defense
• 107500 (closing below this level will damage the trend)
▶ 15-Minute Path Simulation
• Ideal Route (70% probability):
① Spike to 110500 → ② Pullback to 108800 → ③ Breakthrough at 112000
• Strong Route (30% probability): Direct strong break at 111000
=== ETH Combat Map ===
▶ Ladder Targets
• Short-Term Pressure 2800
• Ultimate Target 3000→3400
▶ Bull-Bear Divide
• 2500 (closing below this level will weaken)
▶ 15-Minute Signals
• Post-consolidation upward movement (70%) or direct breakthrough (30%)
=== Multi-Period Linkage ===
• Weekly: ↗️ 150000+
• Daily: ↗️ 120000-130000
• 4-Hour: ↗️ Main Uptrend Ongoing (break 107500 to turn bearish)
• 1-Hour: ↗️ Spike to 115000
• 15-Minute: ↗️ Focus on 108800 support
=== Practical Instructions ===
▶ BTC Operational Iron Rules
1. Firmly hold long positions above 107500
2. Reduce position by 1/3 at 110500 → Reduce another 1/3 at 112000
3. Add positions on pullback to 108800
▶ ETH Strategy
• Only long positions above 2500
• Chase the price if it breaks 2800 (target 3000)
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Core Trend Confirmation
1. BTC Overall Direction: Acceleration Phase Initiated, New Historical Highs Expected
2. ETH Sync Rhythm: Targeting the 3000 Level, Aim for 3400 Area
3. Altcoin/Mainstream Note: Currently only a rebound market, not the start of altcoin season (big movements may occur at the end of the year)
=== BTC Key Attack and Defense Points ===
▶ Medium-Term Target
• 1-2 days to reach 115000
• Ultimate Target 120000+ (requires consolidation for strength)
▶ Lifeline Defense
• 107500 (closing below this level will damage the trend)
▶ 15-Minute Path Simulation
• Ideal Route (70% probability):
① Spike to 110500 → ② Pullback to 108800 → ③ Breakthrough at 112000
• Strong Route (30% probability): Direct strong break at 111000
=== ETH Combat Map ===
▶ Ladder Targets
• Short-Term Pressure 2800
• Ultimate Target 3000→3400
▶ Bull-Bear Divide
• 2500 (closing below this level will weaken)
▶ 15-Minute Signals
• Post-consolidation upward movement (70%) or direct breakthrough (30%)
=== Multi-Period Linkage ===
• Weekly: ↗️ 150000+
• Daily: ↗️ 120000-130000
• 4-Hour: ↗️ Main Uptrend Ongoing (break 107500 to turn bearish)
• 1-Hour: ↗️ Spike to 115000
• 15-Minute: ↗️ Focus on 108800 support
=== Practical Instructions ===
▶ BTC Operational Iron Rules
1. Firmly hold long positions above 107500
2. Reduce position by 1/3 at 110500 → Reduce another 1/3 at 112000
3. Add positions on pullback to 108800
▶ ETH Strategy
• Only long positions above 2500
• Chase the price if it breaks 2800 (target 3000)
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Check the support for the callback below
$BTC $ETH $BNB
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Evening Core Trend Analysis
Core Trend Confirmation
1. BTC Overall Direction: Acceleration Phase Initiated, New Historical Highs Expected
2. ETH Sync Rhythm: Targeting the 3000 Level, Aim for 3400 Area
3. Altcoin/Mainstream Note: Currently only a rebound market, not the start of altcoin season (big movements may occur at the end of the year)
=== BTC Key Attack and Defense Points ===
▶ Medium-Term Target
• 1-2 days to reach 115000
• Ultimate Target 120000+ (requires consolidation for strength)
▶ Lifeline Defense
• 107500 (closing below this level will damage the trend)
▶ 15-Minute Path Simulation
• Ideal Route (70% probability):
① Spike to 110500 → ② Pullback to 108800 → ③ Breakthrough at 112000
• Strong Route (30% probability): Direct strong break at 111000
=== ETH Combat Map ===
▶ Ladder Targets
• Short-Term Pressure 2800
• Ultimate Target 3000→3400
▶ Bull-Bear Divide
• 2500 (closing below this level will weaken)
▶ 15-Minute Signals
• Post-consolidation upward movement (70%) or direct breakthrough (30%)
=== Multi-Period Linkage ===
• Weekly: ↗️ 150000+
• Daily: ↗️ 120000-130000
• 4-Hour: ↗️ Main Uptrend Ongoing (break 107500 to turn bearish)
• 1-Hour: ↗️ Spike to 115000
• 15-Minute: ↗️ Focus on 108800 support
=== Practical Instructions ===
▶ BTC Operational Iron Rules
1. Firmly hold long positions above 107500
2. Reduce position by 1/3 at 110500 → Reduce another 1/3 at 112000
3. Add positions on pullback to 108800
▶ ETH Strategy
• Only long positions above 2500
• Chase the price if it breaks 2800 (target 3000)
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Core Trend Confirmation
1. BTC Overall Direction: Acceleration Phase Initiated, New Historical Highs Expected
2. ETH Sync Rhythm: Targeting the 3000 Level, Aim for 3400 Area
3. Altcoin/Mainstream Note: Currently only a rebound market, not the start of altcoin season (big movements may occur at the end of the year)
=== BTC Key Attack and Defense Points ===
▶ Medium-Term Target
• 1-2 days to reach 115000
• Ultimate Target 120000+ (requires consolidation for strength)
▶ Lifeline Defense
• 107500 (closing below this level will damage the trend)
▶ 15-Minute Path Simulation
• Ideal Route (70% probability):
① Spike to 110500 → ② Pullback to 108800 → ③ Breakthrough at 112000
• Strong Route (30% probability): Direct strong break at 111000
=== ETH Combat Map ===
▶ Ladder Targets
• Short-Term Pressure 2800
• Ultimate Target 3000→3400
▶ Bull-Bear Divide
• 2500 (closing below this level will weaken)
▶ 15-Minute Signals
• Post-consolidation upward movement (70%) or direct breakthrough (30%)
=== Multi-Period Linkage ===
• Weekly: ↗️ 150000+
• Daily: ↗️ 120000-130000
• 4-Hour: ↗️ Main Uptrend Ongoing (break 107500 to turn bearish)
• 1-Hour: ↗️ Spike to 115000
• 15-Minute: ↗️ Focus on 108800 support
=== Practical Instructions ===
▶ BTC Operational Iron Rules
1. Firmly hold long positions above 107500
2. Reduce position by 1/3 at 110500 → Reduce another 1/3 at 112000
3. Add positions on pullback to 108800
▶ ETH Strategy
• Only long positions above 2500
• Chase the price if it breaks 2800 (target 3000)
$BTC $ETH $BNB
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