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Irresponsible vague feeling is repeating last year's history.
Last year, February and March were a small peak for copycats, and then the second quarter was the blood sucking of Bitcoin. This year, it may be ETH.
Last year, the third quarter was a downward trend, and this year, interest rates have started to be cut or will be cut soon. The decline at the beginning of the interest rate cut is expected.
Last year, the fourth quarter was hyped ETF, and this year it may be replaced by ETH ETF.
Last year, February and March were a small peak for copycats, and then the second quarter was the blood sucking of Bitcoin. This year, it may be ETH.
Last year, the third quarter was a downward trend, and this year, interest rates have started to be cut or will be cut soon. The decline at the beginning of the interest rate cut is expected.
Last year, the fourth quarter was hyped ETF, and this year it may be replaced by ETH ETF.
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[2000-word interpretation] IoTeX, a Depin project that is not Depin, what is the difference between it and other Depins?
Yes, you read that right. As a Depin project, IoTeX itself is not a Depin.
➤ Let’s start with Depin
Depin is a relatively new concept. So, what is Depin?
Depin——Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Network, decentralized physical infrastructure network.
The public chain is the most common Depin, which consists of many decentralized nodes (called miners on the POW network and validators on the POS network), thus forming the physical infrastructure of the network.
Decentralized storage is the second common type of Depin, where storage nodes perform storage tasks, thus forming a physical infrastructure network for decentralized storage.
➤ Let’s start with Depin
Depin is a relatively new concept. So, what is Depin?
Depin——Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Network, decentralized physical infrastructure network.
The public chain is the most common Depin, which consists of many decentralized nodes (called miners on the POW network and validators on the POS network), thus forming the physical infrastructure of the network.
Decentralized storage is the second common type of Depin, where storage nodes perform storage tasks, thus forming a physical infrastructure network for decentralized storage.
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Mutual Benefits: Aethir Integrates LayerZero
What does the integration of Aethir and LayerZero mean?
I previously conducted an in-depth study of the #Aethir project, summarizing its main application scenarios and development prospects across three tracks: AI training and inference, cloud gaming, virtual reality, and the Internet of Things.
At that time, the Aethir network had integrated over 1,000 top GPUs, NVIDIA H100 (to be precise, they are not traditional GPUs used for graphics processing, but professional AI accelerators). After six months, that number has risen to over 3,000. Additionally, the Aethir network infrastructure includes over 43,000 high-quality GPUs and 32,000 Aethir Edge cloud computing devices distributed globally.
I previously conducted an in-depth study of the #Aethir project, summarizing its main application scenarios and development prospects across three tracks: AI training and inference, cloud gaming, virtual reality, and the Internet of Things.
At that time, the Aethir network had integrated over 1,000 top GPUs, NVIDIA H100 (to be precise, they are not traditional GPUs used for graphics processing, but professional AI accelerators). After six months, that number has risen to over 3,000. Additionally, the Aethir network infrastructure includes over 43,000 high-quality GPUs and 32,000 Aethir Edge cloud computing devices distributed globally.
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【Data】Binance’s victory = Crypto’s victory
In the past 30 days, Binance's trading volume was 10% higher than Nasdaq, twice that of the New York Stock Exchange, 16 times that of CoinBase, and about 50% of the global CEX trading volume.
➤ Binance’s victory
Seeing this set of data, some friends may disagree, thinking that Binance faces the global market while Nasdaq, NYSE and Coinbase face the global market.
In fact, the size of the crypto market is much smaller than that of the U.S. stock market. Looking at the comparative data, we can see how beautifully Binance has won.
Although Binance faces the global market, it also faces global competition.
➤ Binance’s victory
Seeing this set of data, some friends may disagree, thinking that Binance faces the global market while Nasdaq, NYSE and Coinbase face the global market.
In fact, the size of the crypto market is much smaller than that of the U.S. stock market. Looking at the comparative data, we can see how beautifully Binance has won.
Although Binance faces the global market, it also faces global competition.
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I didn't say the bull market is over! I believe the big bull has just begun, or even hasn't started at all.
On one hand, the current growth of BTC mainly comes from the inflow of funds from ETFs.
This is a redistribution of traditional financial investments; there is no bubble in BTC at all. Can we call it a bull market without a bubble? The big bull market hasn't even arrived, so how can we talk about it being over?!
On the other hand, the funds from ETFs cannot overflow to altcoins.
However, emotions can overflow, and the corresponding emotions relate to #memecoin.
This is why the altcoin season hasn't come yet, but the MEME season has arrived.
We need to wait for a period of interest rate cuts, stop QT, and even start QE for funds to gradually overflow into the altcoin market.
To summarize, the big bull hasn't arrived yet, the altcoin season will come, and right now is the MEME season.
In the short term, BTC's push to 100,000 may face obstacles, and after a recent surge, the bullish momentum might pause for a while. Focus on the dot plot on December 19 and around Christmas; there may be fluctuations.
Finally, no matter what coin you buy, think about the trading cycle you want to engage in. For those trading in a bull market, just hold on; the bull is still growing.
On one hand, the current growth of BTC mainly comes from the inflow of funds from ETFs.
This is a redistribution of traditional financial investments; there is no bubble in BTC at all. Can we call it a bull market without a bubble? The big bull market hasn't even arrived, so how can we talk about it being over?!
On the other hand, the funds from ETFs cannot overflow to altcoins.
However, emotions can overflow, and the corresponding emotions relate to #memecoin.
This is why the altcoin season hasn't come yet, but the MEME season has arrived.
We need to wait for a period of interest rate cuts, stop QT, and even start QE for funds to gradually overflow into the altcoin market.
To summarize, the big bull hasn't arrived yet, the altcoin season will come, and right now is the MEME season.
In the short term, BTC's push to 100,000 may face obstacles, and after a recent surge, the bullish momentum might pause for a while. Focus on the dot plot on December 19 and around Christmas; there may be fluctuations.
Finally, no matter what coin you buy, think about the trading cycle you want to engage in. For those trading in a bull market, just hold on; the bull is still growing.
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TVBee
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First, it is obvious that the copycats are making up for the rise, including old coins and inscriptions.
Second, MEME, the narrative has shifted from zoos, politics, and AI to science. In fact, MEME plays an emotional game, and the main feature is the low narrative threshold. For scientific MEME, the narrative threshold has begun to increase.
Third,#solpulled the market on Sunday.
To sum up... you know 😂
Second, MEME, the narrative has shifted from zoos, politics, and AI to science. In fact, MEME plays an emotional game, and the main feature is the low narrative threshold. For scientific MEME, the narrative threshold has begun to increase.
Third,#solpulled the market on Sunday.
To sum up... you know 😂
See original
First, it is obvious that the copycats are making up for the rise, including old coins and inscriptions.
Second, MEME, the narrative has shifted from zoos, politics, and AI to science. In fact, MEME plays an emotional game, and the main feature is the low narrative threshold. For scientific MEME, the narrative threshold has begun to increase.
Third,#solpulled the market on Sunday.
To sum up... you know 😂
Second, MEME, the narrative has shifted from zoos, politics, and AI to science. In fact, MEME plays an emotional game, and the main feature is the low narrative threshold. For scientific MEME, the narrative threshold has begun to increase.
Third,#solpulled the market on Sunday.
To sum up... you know 😂
See original
I agree with Happy's point of view. Authoritative and credible endorsement is actually quite good. So in fact, most of my assets are in Binance. A small part of the copycat is in other exchanges and wallets.
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BitHappy
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Although Happy is a technical person, he was able to avoid the Dexx incident this time, mainly because I am not good at trading, and the other reason is that he helped me create several wallets after registering an account, and my first reaction was wrong.
Happy contacted #Dexx relatively early, and a video message from a friend asked him to see how the product was.
At that time, the conclusion based on the video was: "It looks okay, but the UI is not advanced and smooth enough. From a functional point of view, although the wallets of several large exchanges support on-chain transactions, this one is more professional and detailed. The interactive logic shown in the video is also more like a centralized exchange, and there are rebates, which is more competitive among competitors."
But as I said at the beginning, when Happy registered an account, he found that something was wrong, and Dexx had no reliable endorsement, so he did not become its user in the end.
Regarding security, Sister Feng @TVBee mentioned "audit", but now few friends have seen it, and even the project party rarely mentions it. This is no longer the focus of a project, but it happened to be ignored, which led to this incident.
Teacher Wu @BITWU also asked, "Why did a system clearly have so many problems before the incident, but no one pointed it out, and no one discovered it?" This is essentially caused by the "cultural attributes" of the Chinese-speaking area.
Many friends also mentioned custodial and non-custodial wallets. As a programmer, Happy wants to tell everyone that "don't be obsessed with these. As long as the developer wants, your private key can be obtained." In the current dark forest, the only thing you can trust is endorsement.
Maybe some friends say that non-custodial/self-custodial wallets are open source and the code is audited. So what? The version of the application you use may not correspond to the open source and audited version.
Unless the contract code is open source on the chain, please be sure to rely on endorsements, the reputation of the platform, and the amount of funds on the platform.
Happy contacted #Dexx relatively early, and a video message from a friend asked him to see how the product was.
At that time, the conclusion based on the video was: "It looks okay, but the UI is not advanced and smooth enough. From a functional point of view, although the wallets of several large exchanges support on-chain transactions, this one is more professional and detailed. The interactive logic shown in the video is also more like a centralized exchange, and there are rebates, which is more competitive among competitors."
But as I said at the beginning, when Happy registered an account, he found that something was wrong, and Dexx had no reliable endorsement, so he did not become its user in the end.
Regarding security, Sister Feng @TVBee mentioned "audit", but now few friends have seen it, and even the project party rarely mentions it. This is no longer the focus of a project, but it happened to be ignored, which led to this incident.
Teacher Wu @BITWU also asked, "Why did a system clearly have so many problems before the incident, but no one pointed it out, and no one discovered it?" This is essentially caused by the "cultural attributes" of the Chinese-speaking area.
Many friends also mentioned custodial and non-custodial wallets. As a programmer, Happy wants to tell everyone that "don't be obsessed with these. As long as the developer wants, your private key can be obtained." In the current dark forest, the only thing you can trust is endorsement.
Maybe some friends say that non-custodial/self-custodial wallets are open source and the code is audited. So what? The version of the application you use may not correspond to the open source and audited version.
Unless the contract code is open source on the chain, please be sure to rely on endorsements, the reputation of the platform, and the amount of funds on the platform.
See original
DEXX was stolen. Is Certik's audit responsible? How can laymen view the audit report?
➤First of all, Certik has some problems.
https://skynet.certik.com/zh-CN/projects/dexx…
First, open the project page and see the rating! As an auditing agency, what the hell is your rating?
When we look at an audit report, what we need to know is how big the risk is, not how good the project or code is!
Second, there are project highlights. And what are the highlights of DEXX? The number of Twitter followers, the community, and the market stability. What does this have to do with your audit business? Can this be called a highlight?
Third, when it comes to key issues in the audit, click "View Vulnerability Information", and then, not only is the vulnerability information not displayed, the entire code audit is gone... If you don’t believe it, you can try it yourself. I also recorded a video.
https://skynet.certik.com/zh-CN/projects/dexx…
First, open the project page and see the rating! As an auditing agency, what the hell is your rating?
When we look at an audit report, what we need to know is how big the risk is, not how good the project or code is!
Second, there are project highlights. And what are the highlights of DEXX? The number of Twitter followers, the community, and the market stability. What does this have to do with your audit business? Can this be called a highlight?
Third, when it comes to key issues in the audit, click "View Vulnerability Information", and then, not only is the vulnerability information not displayed, the entire code audit is gone... If you don’t believe it, you can try it yourself. I also recorded a video.
See original
"Decentralized" exchange DEXX was stolen. If you have used it, check it out and transfer your assets.
DEXX claims to have been audited by certik.
Brother Feng looked at the audit report and the score was not passing.
http://t.cn/A6n1Dw9V
There are 9 risks, 1 major risk is not resolved, and it says "centralization".
4 medium risks, 2 resolved and 2 unresolved, and it says "vulnerable code".
There are also 4 minor risks, 1 resolved and 3 unresolved, and it says "DesignIssue", which means design problem.
This is written quite clearly, especially "vulnerable code".
There are also problems with the website scan below.
So when you transfer money to which platform or wallet in the future, you can check the code audit report. It is not enough for the project party to say that it has been audited.
DEXX claims to have been audited by certik.
Brother Feng looked at the audit report and the score was not passing.
http://t.cn/A6n1Dw9V
There are 9 risks, 1 major risk is not resolved, and it says "centralization".
4 medium risks, 2 resolved and 2 unresolved, and it says "vulnerable code".
There are also 4 minor risks, 1 resolved and 3 unresolved, and it says "DesignIssue", which means design problem.
This is written quite clearly, especially "vulnerable code".
There are also problems with the website scan below.
So when you transfer money to which platform or wallet in the future, you can check the code audit report. It is not enough for the project party to say that it has been audited.
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Replaced part of#GRTwith#MKR
First of all, I don’t think the alt season has come. Brother Feng believes that alts are oversold rebounds.
After all, compared with alts without narratives, MEME is more popular. So I didn’t increase my position, but chose to change my position.
Secondly, GRT belongs to Web3 data applications, and there is no sign of Web3 rising for the time being. Moreover, Brother Feng interacted with @ParticleNtwrk waiting for airdrops, and chain abstraction has stronger infrastructure attributes in the Web3 field.
Finally, the United States is more interested in RWA, especially after Trump took office.#Makershould be the leader in the#RWAfield.
First of all, I don’t think the alt season has come. Brother Feng believes that alts are oversold rebounds.
After all, compared with alts without narratives, MEME is more popular. So I didn’t increase my position, but chose to change my position.
Secondly, GRT belongs to Web3 data applications, and there is no sign of Web3 rising for the time being. Moreover, Brother Feng interacted with @ParticleNtwrk waiting for airdrops, and chain abstraction has stronger infrastructure attributes in the Web3 field.
Finally, the United States is more interested in RWA, especially after Trump took office.#Makershould be the leader in the#RWAfield.
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#ACT is listed on Binance today, what's next?
Perhaps you can check out the newly launched dexscan function of coinmarketcap.
https://coinmarketcap.com/dexscan/trending/all/
Why look at this platform? Because coinmarketcap was acquired by Binance, the statistical perspective and even the interest relationship of this platform may be consistent with Binance.
I checked it a few days ago, and ACT ranked first. I vaguely remember that it ranked higher than #GOAT.
Brother Feng doesn't play MEME, you can try to observe it.
Perhaps you can check out the newly launched dexscan function of coinmarketcap.
https://coinmarketcap.com/dexscan/trending/all/
Why look at this platform? Because coinmarketcap was acquired by Binance, the statistical perspective and even the interest relationship of this platform may be consistent with Binance.
I checked it a few days ago, and ACT ranked first. I vaguely remember that it ranked higher than #GOAT.
Brother Feng doesn't play MEME, you can try to observe it.
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[Perspective] The MEME season comes to a pause, where will the market go next?
Brother Bee has always held the view that - sentiment determines the bottom, and capital determines the top.
From an emotional standpoint, Trump's victory in the election can be seen as opening the gateway to a bull market. However, from the perspective of liquidity, the market peak may still be early.
➤ September Dot Plot Prediction
Last night, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as expected. If we follow the dot plot from September, the trend of interest rates is roughly as follows:
According to the September dot plot, the most likely prediction is that by the end of 2025, rates will be between 3% and 3.5%, and by the end of 2026, between 2.75% and 3%. After this rate drop, it will still be similar to the high points after rate hikes post-2013.
From an emotional standpoint, Trump's victory in the election can be seen as opening the gateway to a bull market. However, from the perspective of liquidity, the market peak may still be early.
➤ September Dot Plot Prediction
Last night, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as expected. If we follow the dot plot from September, the trend of interest rates is roughly as follows:
According to the September dot plot, the most likely prediction is that by the end of 2025, rates will be between 3% and 3.5%, and by the end of 2026, between 2.75% and 3%. After this rate drop, it will still be similar to the high points after rate hikes post-2013.
See original
Trump is about to return. In addition to supporting cryptocurrency, he also advocates a looser monetary policy. In 2018, Trump pressured Powell to prevent the Fed from raising interest rates. So the Fed's interest rate cut in 2019 was a bit unexpected.
Trump's re-election may accelerate the easing of the US dollar, thereby affecting the global monetary easing cycle. Cryptocurrency + monetary easing, there should be more investment in the Web3 field in the future.
Funds in Asia have already started to move. Singapore's largest bank, UOB, has increased its investment in#UXLINKand participated in the investor pledge plan to pledge and lock $UXLINK.
@UXLINKofficial is a Web3 social infrastructure. Its underlying technology includes abstract account technology, which can connect multi-chain Web3 and Web2 ecosystems to build a#DIDsystem. Based on the UXLINK protocol, multiple social or other Web3 applications can be built. In addition, the possibility of using bank resources to develop payment and do#payFiis not ruled out.
Trump's re-election may accelerate the easing of the US dollar, thereby affecting the global monetary easing cycle. Cryptocurrency + monetary easing, there should be more investment in the Web3 field in the future.
Funds in Asia have already started to move. Singapore's largest bank, UOB, has increased its investment in#UXLINKand participated in the investor pledge plan to pledge and lock $UXLINK.
@UXLINKofficial is a Web3 social infrastructure. Its underlying technology includes abstract account technology, which can connect multi-chain Web3 and Web2 ecosystems to build a#DIDsystem. Based on the UXLINK protocol, multiple social or other Web3 applications can be built. In addition, the possibility of using bank resources to develop payment and do#payFiis not ruled out.
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2024 The King Returns!!
CZ returns! Trump returns! #trump
However, it is advised to remain rational!!
First, Trump will be elected in November, but he will not take office until January next year.
Second, most of the policies proposed by Trump are difficult to implement in the past four years.
Third, don't forget:
The major crash of 312 happened during Trump's presidency.
On the contrary, during the Democratic Party's tenure, Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs were approved.
Trump is favorable to the crypto market, but it may not be as exaggerated.
Fourth, don't forget, whether it is a soft landing or a hard landing, it has not landed yet. With continuous high interest rates, the market lacks liquidity. There used to be a $400 day group in the crypto market, now it's a $50 ad for selecting a bride, many KOLs are scrambling for opportunities.
Although the probability of a soft landing for the U.S. economy is increasing. However, black swans and soft landings are not contradictory.
Although Japan's inflation is most likely caused by imported inflation due to high U.S. interest rates, the gradual rate cuts in the U.S. do not rule out the possibility of Japan temporarily raising interest rates.
Fifth, in U.S. history, there has never been a precedent for a president to become a former president and then become president again. I don't understand politics, but there may be some contradictions or crises within the two parties, within the party, or in political economics in the U.S.
In summary, the macro situation is improving, but the road ahead may not be smooth.
Main rising wave, altcoin season, may still take time.
CZ returns! Trump returns! #trump
However, it is advised to remain rational!!
First, Trump will be elected in November, but he will not take office until January next year.
Second, most of the policies proposed by Trump are difficult to implement in the past four years.
Third, don't forget:
The major crash of 312 happened during Trump's presidency.
On the contrary, during the Democratic Party's tenure, Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs were approved.
Trump is favorable to the crypto market, but it may not be as exaggerated.
Fourth, don't forget, whether it is a soft landing or a hard landing, it has not landed yet. With continuous high interest rates, the market lacks liquidity. There used to be a $400 day group in the crypto market, now it's a $50 ad for selecting a bride, many KOLs are scrambling for opportunities.
Although the probability of a soft landing for the U.S. economy is increasing. However, black swans and soft landings are not contradictory.
Although Japan's inflation is most likely caused by imported inflation due to high U.S. interest rates, the gradual rate cuts in the U.S. do not rule out the possibility of Japan temporarily raising interest rates.
Fifth, in U.S. history, there has never been a precedent for a president to become a former president and then become president again. I don't understand politics, but there may be some contradictions or crises within the two parties, within the party, or in political economics in the U.S.
In summary, the macro situation is improving, but the road ahead may not be smooth.
Main rising wave, altcoin season, may still take time.
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A vast river and mountains painted red! I never thought this phrase could be applied to the United States 😂😂😂😂😂😂
The preliminary results show that Trump is temporarily leading with 247 votes. The total number of votes is 538, and more than 270 votes are needed to achieve final victory.
Basically, blue states are all won by Harris.
In Trump's supporting states:
❚Moderately supportive states:
Previously, some female voters in Iowa leaned towards Harris, but in the end, it was red, and Trump won.
❚Crypto-friendly swing states:
•30 votes Florida, red, Trump won.
•11 votes Arizona, light red, Trump is temporarily leading.
❚Relatively supportive swing states for Trump:
•16 votes North Carolina, red, Trump won.
❚Key swing states:
•19 votes Pennsylvania, light red, Trump is temporarily leading.
•16 votes Georgia, red, Trump won.
•15 votes Michigan, light red, Trump is temporarily leading. Previously, polls in the state showed a higher support rate for Harris.
•10 votes Wisconsin, light red, Trump is temporarily leading. Previously, polls in the state showed a higher support rate for Harris.
(These four states voted for Trump in 2016 and switched to Biden in 2020.)
❚Other swing states:
•6 votes Nevada, light red, Trump is temporarily leading.
Regardless of the outcome, all swing states are more inclined towards Trump. Arizona, which did not vote for Trump in 2016 and 2020, indicates that Trump's crypto inclination has played a key role.
Currently, all four key swing states are leading for Trump. Basically, there is no suspense about Trump's victory.
The preliminary results show that Trump is temporarily leading with 247 votes. The total number of votes is 538, and more than 270 votes are needed to achieve final victory.
Basically, blue states are all won by Harris.
In Trump's supporting states:
❚Moderately supportive states:
Previously, some female voters in Iowa leaned towards Harris, but in the end, it was red, and Trump won.
❚Crypto-friendly swing states:
•30 votes Florida, red, Trump won.
•11 votes Arizona, light red, Trump is temporarily leading.
❚Relatively supportive swing states for Trump:
•16 votes North Carolina, red, Trump won.
❚Key swing states:
•19 votes Pennsylvania, light red, Trump is temporarily leading.
•16 votes Georgia, red, Trump won.
•15 votes Michigan, light red, Trump is temporarily leading. Previously, polls in the state showed a higher support rate for Harris.
•10 votes Wisconsin, light red, Trump is temporarily leading. Previously, polls in the state showed a higher support rate for Harris.
(These four states voted for Trump in 2016 and switched to Biden in 2020.)
❚Other swing states:
•6 votes Nevada, light red, Trump is temporarily leading.
Regardless of the outcome, all swing states are more inclined towards Trump. Arizona, which did not vote for Trump in 2016 and 2020, indicates that Trump's crypto inclination has played a key role.
Currently, all four key swing states are leading for Trump. Basically, there is no suspense about Trump's victory.
See original
The excitement is about to begin, #USPresidentialElection Most regions have already started voting.
The deadlines for swing states and unstable blue and red states have been compiled into a table by Brother Bee.
The most influential states should be Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia. Previous polls show that support for Trump in Georgia remains relatively stable.
The latest two states' voting deadlines are at 12 AM and 1 AM Eastern Time, which is 12 PM and 1 PM Beijing Time tomorrow. These are Hawaii with 4 votes and Alaska with 3 votes. The impact is not significant; between 2000 and 2020, Hawaii voted entirely for the Democratic Party while Alaska voted entirely for the Republican Party.
After the voting ends in each state, statistics will be compiled, and preliminary results are expected to be available tomorrow afternoon to evening. Official results will be confirmed in a few days.
The following two media outlets should provide updates on the vote counts in each state, interested friends can keep a close watch:
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2024-Electoral-Interactive-Map?promoref=promo_sidebar
https://time.com/7171969/presidential-election-results-map-states-called-electoral-college-associated-press/
Friendly reminder, even if the results of the US presidential election are out, do not blindly open contracts. Because on November 8th, the Federal Reserve will hold a monetary policy meeting, although a 25 basis point rate cut is highly probable, the content of the Federal Reserve meeting will still reveal some information. It is estimated that the direction will gradually emerge by next week at the earliest.
The deadlines for swing states and unstable blue and red states have been compiled into a table by Brother Bee.
The most influential states should be Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia. Previous polls show that support for Trump in Georgia remains relatively stable.
The latest two states' voting deadlines are at 12 AM and 1 AM Eastern Time, which is 12 PM and 1 PM Beijing Time tomorrow. These are Hawaii with 4 votes and Alaska with 3 votes. The impact is not significant; between 2000 and 2020, Hawaii voted entirely for the Democratic Party while Alaska voted entirely for the Republican Party.
After the voting ends in each state, statistics will be compiled, and preliminary results are expected to be available tomorrow afternoon to evening. Official results will be confirmed in a few days.
The following two media outlets should provide updates on the vote counts in each state, interested friends can keep a close watch:
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2024-Electoral-Interactive-Map?promoref=promo_sidebar
https://time.com/7171969/presidential-election-results-map-states-called-electoral-college-associated-press/
Friendly reminder, even if the results of the US presidential election are out, do not blindly open contracts. Because on November 8th, the Federal Reserve will hold a monetary policy meeting, although a 25 basis point rate cut is highly probable, the content of the Federal Reserve meeting will still reveal some information. It is estimated that the direction will gradually emerge by next week at the earliest.
LIVE
TVBee
--
Is Trump assured of winning?
On November 4, 2024, at 22:30 Beijing time, let's take a look at the changes in the new polls.
➤ Swing States
The platform did not list Florida as a swing state, a state that has shown consistent support for Trump. Next, Brother Bee places the votes from this state into Trump’s "moderate votes."
In the other 7 swing states, observe the trend of the red and blue lines:
Image
• Georgia (16 votes) and Arizona (11 votes) show relatively stable support for Trump.
• Michigan (15 votes) and Wisconsin (10 votes) show relatively stable support for Harris.
• North Carolina (16 votes) shows average stability in support for Trump.
• Pennsylvania (19 votes) and Nevada (6 votes) have just turned to support Trump.
• Polls in Pennsylvania show that yesterday the support for both was tied, and now it slightly leans towards Trump.
➤ Non-Swing States
In non-swing states, other states generally maintain a consistent partisan inclination.
Only one, the red state, Iowa, has inconsistent poll results from three companies. This state did vote for the Democratic candidate Obama in 2008-2012.
Among the results from the three polling companies, two showed higher support for Trump in Iowa at the beginning of January. The other company’s poll results from October 28-31 showed higher support for Harris in Iowa.
Thus, Brother Bee counts Iowa as voting for Trump and includes it in the swing votes (moderate).
➤ Data on November 4
The new statistics are as follows:
Image
After the new categorization, it can be seen that Harris’s 251 votes are relatively stable, while Trump has a relatively stable total of 240 votes.
Among Trump's unstable support votes, there are 22 votes with moderate stability (16 votes from swing state North Carolina, and 6 votes from red state Iowa), and 25 votes with unstable support (19 votes from Pennsylvania and 6 votes from Nevada).
Polls may not fully reflect the actual sentiments of voters, and the performances of Trump and Harris before the election could affect voter swings at any time.
Although polls show Trump leading temporarily, it is not guaranteed.
Quietly wishing for the best!
On November 4, 2024, at 22:30 Beijing time, let's take a look at the changes in the new polls.
➤ Swing States
The platform did not list Florida as a swing state, a state that has shown consistent support for Trump. Next, Brother Bee places the votes from this state into Trump’s "moderate votes."
In the other 7 swing states, observe the trend of the red and blue lines:
Image
• Georgia (16 votes) and Arizona (11 votes) show relatively stable support for Trump.
• Michigan (15 votes) and Wisconsin (10 votes) show relatively stable support for Harris.
• North Carolina (16 votes) shows average stability in support for Trump.
• Pennsylvania (19 votes) and Nevada (6 votes) have just turned to support Trump.
• Polls in Pennsylvania show that yesterday the support for both was tied, and now it slightly leans towards Trump.
➤ Non-Swing States
In non-swing states, other states generally maintain a consistent partisan inclination.
Only one, the red state, Iowa, has inconsistent poll results from three companies. This state did vote for the Democratic candidate Obama in 2008-2012.
Among the results from the three polling companies, two showed higher support for Trump in Iowa at the beginning of January. The other company’s poll results from October 28-31 showed higher support for Harris in Iowa.
Thus, Brother Bee counts Iowa as voting for Trump and includes it in the swing votes (moderate).
➤ Data on November 4
The new statistics are as follows:
Image
After the new categorization, it can be seen that Harris’s 251 votes are relatively stable, while Trump has a relatively stable total of 240 votes.
Among Trump's unstable support votes, there are 22 votes with moderate stability (16 votes from swing state North Carolina, and 6 votes from red state Iowa), and 25 votes with unstable support (19 votes from Pennsylvania and 6 votes from Nevada).
Polls may not fully reflect the actual sentiments of voters, and the performances of Trump and Harris before the election could affect voter swings at any time.
Although polls show Trump leading temporarily, it is not guaranteed.
Quietly wishing for the best!
See original
Is Trump assured of winning?
On November 4, 2024, at 22:30 Beijing time, let's take a look at the changes in the new polls.
➤ Swing States
The platform did not list Florida as a swing state, a state that has shown consistent support for Trump. Next, Brother Bee places the votes from this state into Trump’s "moderate votes."
In the other 7 swing states, observe the trend of the red and blue lines:
Image
• Georgia (16 votes) and Arizona (11 votes) show relatively stable support for Trump.
• Michigan (15 votes) and Wisconsin (10 votes) show relatively stable support for Harris.
• North Carolina (16 votes) shows average stability in support for Trump.
• Pennsylvania (19 votes) and Nevada (6 votes) have just turned to support Trump.
• Polls in Pennsylvania show that yesterday the support for both was tied, and now it slightly leans towards Trump.
➤ Non-Swing States
In non-swing states, other states generally maintain a consistent partisan inclination.
Only one, the red state, Iowa, has inconsistent poll results from three companies. This state did vote for the Democratic candidate Obama in 2008-2012.
Among the results from the three polling companies, two showed higher support for Trump in Iowa at the beginning of January. The other company’s poll results from October 28-31 showed higher support for Harris in Iowa.
Thus, Brother Bee counts Iowa as voting for Trump and includes it in the swing votes (moderate).
➤ Data on November 4
The new statistics are as follows:
Image
After the new categorization, it can be seen that Harris’s 251 votes are relatively stable, while Trump has a relatively stable total of 240 votes.
Among Trump's unstable support votes, there are 22 votes with moderate stability (16 votes from swing state North Carolina, and 6 votes from red state Iowa), and 25 votes with unstable support (19 votes from Pennsylvania and 6 votes from Nevada).
Polls may not fully reflect the actual sentiments of voters, and the performances of Trump and Harris before the election could affect voter swings at any time.
Although polls show Trump leading temporarily, it is not guaranteed.
Quietly wishing for the best!
On November 4, 2024, at 22:30 Beijing time, let's take a look at the changes in the new polls.
➤ Swing States
The platform did not list Florida as a swing state, a state that has shown consistent support for Trump. Next, Brother Bee places the votes from this state into Trump’s "moderate votes."
In the other 7 swing states, observe the trend of the red and blue lines:
Image
• Georgia (16 votes) and Arizona (11 votes) show relatively stable support for Trump.
• Michigan (15 votes) and Wisconsin (10 votes) show relatively stable support for Harris.
• North Carolina (16 votes) shows average stability in support for Trump.
• Pennsylvania (19 votes) and Nevada (6 votes) have just turned to support Trump.
• Polls in Pennsylvania show that yesterday the support for both was tied, and now it slightly leans towards Trump.
➤ Non-Swing States
In non-swing states, other states generally maintain a consistent partisan inclination.
Only one, the red state, Iowa, has inconsistent poll results from three companies. This state did vote for the Democratic candidate Obama in 2008-2012.
Among the results from the three polling companies, two showed higher support for Trump in Iowa at the beginning of January. The other company’s poll results from October 28-31 showed higher support for Harris in Iowa.
Thus, Brother Bee counts Iowa as voting for Trump and includes it in the swing votes (moderate).
➤ Data on November 4
The new statistics are as follows:
Image
After the new categorization, it can be seen that Harris’s 251 votes are relatively stable, while Trump has a relatively stable total of 240 votes.
Among Trump's unstable support votes, there are 22 votes with moderate stability (16 votes from swing state North Carolina, and 6 votes from red state Iowa), and 25 votes with unstable support (19 votes from Pennsylvania and 6 votes from Nevada).
Polls may not fully reflect the actual sentiments of voters, and the performances of Trump and Harris before the election could affect voter swings at any time.
Although polls show Trump leading temporarily, it is not guaranteed.
Quietly wishing for the best!
LIVE
TVBee
--
[Data] #Trump vs #Harris Who is currently leading?
#Polymarket prediction platform shows Trump is leading. However, polling results indicate Harris is ahead.
So, who is actually leading now? #Election #USElection2024
➤ The vote counting mechanism of the U.S. election
To understand the answer, one must first understand the #USelection vote counting mechanism.
A concept that is more familiar to the Chinese can be used to compare the U.S. election vote counting, which is similar to our middle school entrance examination—'indicators to school.'
The U.S. election vote counting is 'indicators' to the states. How are these 'indicators' determined?
❚ Electoral Votes
Each state has a different number of representatives based on population, and each representative corresponds to 1 'electoral vote.'
So, who is actually leading now? #Election #USElection2024
➤ The vote counting mechanism of the U.S. election
To understand the answer, one must first understand the #USelection vote counting mechanism.
A concept that is more familiar to the Chinese can be used to compare the U.S. election vote counting, which is similar to our middle school entrance examination—'indicators to school.'
The U.S. election vote counting is 'indicators' to the states. How are these 'indicators' determined?
❚ Electoral Votes
Each state has a different number of representatives based on population, and each representative corresponds to 1 'electoral vote.'
See original
[Data] #Trump vs #Harris Who is currently leading?
#Polymarket prediction platform shows Trump is leading. However, polling results indicate Harris is ahead.
So, who is actually leading now? #Election #USElection2024
➤ The vote counting mechanism of the U.S. election
To understand the answer, one must first understand the #USelection vote counting mechanism.
A concept that is more familiar to the Chinese can be used to compare the U.S. election vote counting, which is similar to our middle school entrance examination—'indicators to school.'
The U.S. election vote counting is 'indicators' to the states. How are these 'indicators' determined?
❚ Electoral Votes
Each state has a different number of representatives based on population, and each representative corresponds to 1 'electoral vote.'
So, who is actually leading now? #Election #USElection2024
➤ The vote counting mechanism of the U.S. election
To understand the answer, one must first understand the #USelection vote counting mechanism.
A concept that is more familiar to the Chinese can be used to compare the U.S. election vote counting, which is similar to our middle school entrance examination—'indicators to school.'
The U.S. election vote counting is 'indicators' to the states. How are these 'indicators' determined?
❚ Electoral Votes
Each state has a different number of representatives based on population, and each representative corresponds to 1 'electoral vote.'
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