BITWU

Why is it said that improving your judgment is 10,000 times more important than hard work?

I chatted with a few old friends in the afternoon and found that people who have experienced many bull and bear markets in Crypto and successfully become rich have one thing in common:

Superior judgment!

Judgment is very important and is a seriously underestimated ability in this era. Effort is seriously overestimated. Direction is always more important than speed. Wisdom and judgment are highly correlated.

I think the definition of judgment should be:

The ability to make wise decisions in complex or uncertain situations involves evaluating information, considering alternatives and predicting results. It combines knowledge, experience and critical thinking and is an important skill.

Navar said: In the era of leverage, a correct decision, or doing one thing right, can help you win everything.

This is indeed the case. For example, you dared to buy at the bottom on 312 and 519, and dared to escape in the Luna and FTX incidents. Every decision is worth a lot of money.

The right decision can indeed make you richer or poorer. Buffett spends most of his time brewing, thinking and observing, and only makes the important decision at the right time.

The root of the right decision lies in whether you have foresight or judgment.

Establish a decision-making model and clear judgment: logic and mathematics, clear thinking, seeking truth from facts, recognizing the truth of the world, and being honest with yourself.

The following are some methods that grok3 gave me to improve judgment after I chatted with him. Judgment cannot be achieved through short-term training, but can only be obtained through our experience and long-term learning!

🚨According to CME tools, the interest rate market expects that the Fed may resume rate cuts in June and may cut rates again in September, betting that there will be two more rate cut opportunities this year-

Several reasons why the Fed postponed rate cuts:

1. The core inflation rate is higher than the set target, and inflationary pressure remains high.

2. "Economic data is strong", at least that's the case based on various publicly disclosed data. The Fed's goal of cutting interest rates is definitely not to serve the world, but to serve the US economic recovery.

3. Uncertainty about tariffs and Trump's policies. After Trump took office, he introduced a series of policies, including new tariff policies, trade policies, and drastic reforms of the government efficiency department. Especially for tariff policies, the Fed will only make decisions more cautiously before there is a stable expectation.

The "temporary disappearance" of the expectation of rate cuts will undoubtedly lead to a setback in market confidence, and the waiting time for the market may be longer and longer.

But the more you draw the bow, the more powerful the arrow will be;

Now there is actually no better way for ordinary people, unless you just clear your position and stop playing, then this round of market outlook has nothing to do with you, otherwise you have no choice but to invest regularly and lie flat!

Buy it——

After tinkering with it for a whole morning, all the funds on the chain have been collected in the exchange, so I bought it directly.

Just do it, at most I can deliver food on JD.com, and I have already inquired about the five social insurances and one housing fund!

91580 This purchase price is pretty good!

After waiting for two years, finally, the money in your FTX account has begun to be compensated. With a heart full of joy, you opened the claims website, only to find that the domestic region has been banned again. Others have started to cash out, while you are still waiting.

You thought about it and decided it didn’t matter; after two years, what’s another two years? Adjusting your mindset, you opened the market website and saw that the $ETH you bought at 3800 has dropped below 2700 today, with another daily decline of 5%. You have no idea what airdrops from staking in BERA and a bunch of protocols are doing, so you cursed E for being unreliable, and urged Vitalik to keep quiet, pleading with the foundation to stop selling.

You thought to yourself, the March upgrade and October staking of 2026 will bring a bull market, surely the day of recovery will come. Since you’re not selling now, why not send it to the exchange to earn some interest?

You compared several exchanges and decided to deposit your remaining ETH into BYBIT and bought a flexible plan. That night, BYBIT was hacked by North Korean hackers, losing 1.5 billion dollars. You scrolled through Twitter and saw everyone saying not to stand under a collapsing wall, feeling uneasy.

You quickly opened the exchange to start withdrawing your coins. As expected, there was mass panic, the blockchain was congested, and your withdrawal was still under review. You recalled that FTX collapsed in a similar situation, but there was nothing you could do, and you didn’t sleep well all night.

Fortunately, the next day, your ETH that had been stuck for a night finally arrived, and BYBIT hadn’t collapsed yet. You continued buying ETH to fill it up, and everything seemed peaceful. You sighed, realizing that aside from the weak coin prices, other aspects of the crypto world were still quite strong.

However, you didn’t dare to keep your funds in the exchange, so you decided to keep E in a cold wallet and not move it around. Instead, you looked for a USDT card for investment, earning an annualized rate of 8%, which is also convenient for everyday spending.

Until the next day, you discovered that infini had also been hacked for 50 million. You didn’t know if it was an employee running away or hackers attacking again.

You slumped in your gaming chair, fiddling with the USDT card, feeling unprecedented confusion. Why have you worked so hard, yet the crypto world still refuses to let you keep your small gains? You felt that web3 was really too dangerous, and decided to return to web2.

So you made the final decision, opened your bank app, and converted your last RMB into a dollar fixed deposit with an interest rate of 1.8%.

Three days later, the news reported that the exchange rate against the dollar had fallen below 7.5. Looking at the green numbers in your account, you suddenly realized —

It turns out you are the ever-enduring living airdrop pool, and the entire crypto world is waiting for your next deposit.

Kaito's Yap score is still growing-

I entered this project relatively late. I have been following it, but I haven't worked hard to get his representatives. I just output content at my own pace every day, and linked to the score automatically generated by Twitter;

I just took a look and it increased by 50 YAPs;

So I want to ask everyone and do a survey:

1) After TGE, what do you think these points can be used for besides voting? Is it possible to empower it again?

2) How much value is there?

3) Will everyone continue to get it?

The founder just tweeted that there will be bigger plans in the future. What do you think? Is it to launch a token governance system or introduce new features to make tokens more valuable in the platform, or iterative upgrades of AI functions to better serve individuals and projects?

After the launch last night, the public opinion was seriously polarized:

Some people worship Kaito AI as a god: as a fast-growing and fast-listed project, it completed product layout and cold start-up as well as free traffic and volume in a short period of time. In terms of optimizing information efficiency, serving the industry BC port, and the overall operation strategy of the project, I think it is indeed worth learning for everyone;

As for whether it can be done better, there is definitely still a lot of room.

Some people think that the problem is very big: mainly focusing on the practicality of the product: although the KAITO token has been successfully launched, it needs to be deeply integrated into the platform functions to ensure that it is not just a hype tool;

Whether the reward system is sustainable is also a major controversial issue. Some people say that the project does not have the WEB3 spirit: the fairness and anti-manipulation ability of the "Yap to Earn" system is crucial, which is also the most controversial point. Whether it is fair is very important. AI-driven evaluation must be able to effectively distinguish high-quality content, otherwise it may cause system imbalance.

But I am still very happy to see the emergence of such products.

The market should not be too hot or too cold. KaitoAI is a suitable catfish that emerged at the right time.

Existence is reasonable. If it exists for a long time, it will be reasonable in the long run!

📌Some things you need to know about the Monad testnet——

Have you started rolling @monad_xyz testnet? I couldn't get any water last night, and now I'm starting to interact.

If you haven't got water yet, try the following 5 websites. You can't get anything without water!

http://testnet.monad.xyz
http://faucet.morkie.xyz/monad
https://stake.apr.io/faucet
https://www.okx.com/zh-hans/web3/faucet/monad?id=66
https://thirdweb.com/monad-testnet

Generally, you can get 0.05MON water, and you can get 5MON by going to DC.

If you have at least 0.01ETH on the Ethereum mainnet and have an outgoing transaction, you will receive 2 MON;

💡After getting water, how to roll the testnet? ——

1. Enter the Ecosystem Center, https://monad.xyz/ecosystem

2. Pick 1-3 DAPPs in each category for test interaction.

3. DeFi category: swap, pledge, lending, derivatives trading, LP, etc.

4. NFT category: mint, buy, sell and other functions.

5. Game category: Play deck games, but it is not recommended to spend too much time.

6. If you have time, you can grind Galaxy Mission and DC and get characters.

The most important thing:

Interaction is a process of experience and feedback, and it is also a process of digging for gold. Feel which dapp is better, it may be a wealth opportunity for the main network ecosystem!

I have just claimed ——

Entrance: https://claim.kaito.ai

I am 838 points now, but I don’t know when the snapshot time is. We calculate it based on 800 points and get 12616 tokens;

It is equivalent to 1Yap = 15 $Kaito;

According to everyone’s estimation, the price of 1 kaito is about 1.5-2, which means one point is equal to 22-30U

I can’t get rich, it’s not as expected, but I can have a good meal!

In the market, the only things that truly matter are supply and demand; all other factors are just market noise.

Former US SEC official:

SEC may end lawsuits against crypto companies such as Coinbase, Binance, and Ripple!

It is expected that all appeals related to cryptocurrencies, including the appeal of the Ripple case, will be suspended, and more likely to be withdrawn completely.

The big sister is so funny:

"He is a bit old-fashioned and still exploring! Everyone please give feedback, let him go and hit the dog"

Suggestion @CZ to start a dog-hitting diary, to see what the winning odds of hitting the dog in the king's game are, where everyone's pain points really are, and what functions the wallet really needs!

If he starts it, I will go all in $BNB @Yi He

⚡️Recently, the wind has blown to BSC. In addition to MEME, subsequent ecological fields such as DeFi will surely follow up! I just found that @lista_dao's slisBNB has opened a pool on Pendle. Under this market situation, it must be a good choice to find a way to maximize your BNB income.

slisBNB is the DeFi BNB that Binance has announced to participate in Binance Launchpool + megadrop + Hodler airdrop.

After some research, there are probably several ways to play-

1, PT (suitable for lazy people + low-risk preference)

Purchase PT with the slisBNB pledged in Lista. Currently, it is about 0.95slisBNB=1PT clisBNB. After it expires at the end of April, it can be exchanged back to slisBNB worth 1BNB at a 1:1 ratio.
It means that you give up the mining + staking income of BNB, and buy a fixed-term financial management at a discount. You can get a fixed interest of 17% when it expires, and the currency standard is guaranteed to be principal-free and risk-free.

2. YT (suitable for those who are bullish on BNB's long-term returns + those who are familiar with market fluctuations)

YT represents the total returns of slisBNB during this period (Launchpool + megadrop + Hodler airdrop + BNB staking returns).

When you buy YT, you are betting that BNB will generate higher returns in the future than now. As long as the returns generated by 1 BNB are greater than your purchase cost, you will make money.

Therefore, it is suitable to buy YT when the Implied APY is low, and then sell it at the right time. If you play with leverage well, you can leverage more than ten times the annualized return.

3. LP (suitable for those who want to eat and take medium risks)

LP=a certain proportion of PT+slisBNB, which is relatively balanced. It eats PT returns + total returns of slisBNB (BNB staking returns + Launchpool + megadrop + Hodler airdrop) + transaction fee share + $pendle reward.

The annualized return of the LP pool is uncertain and fluctuates with TVL. The current APY is 70%.

Summary——

The slisBNB pool on pendle is essentially an amplification of the BNB yield. It does not require KYC or many restrictions. Your slisBNB can participate in the on-chain income, which is more flexible.

I think BSC is quite popular at the moment, and you can configure it as appropriate. The three methods have their own advantages. You can consider the income strategy that suits you best!

⚡️If the bull market doesn't roll, when will it be?丨Projects waiting for airdrops in 2025——

Here are some points that may be overlooked:

1. Several data platforms are expected to issue coins this year. Remember to log in to your account and connect your wallet when you use it.

2. There are some projects that are not in the picture but are highly concerned:

Linea: The witch information will be released in February. It is estimated that the airdrop is not far away. Some projects are airdropping to LXP holders.

Redstone: An oracle project that continues to be concerned.

There are also Kaito, Lombard, Astherus, and Soneium, which are all worthwhile projects.

3. AI and chain are the main themes of 2025.

4. The most expected airdrop at present should be $KAITO, a well-deserved attention economy and token distribution center.

Top investment: Simple, tedious, boring, like a useless person, as if it doesn't exist.

Third-rate investment: Thrilling, breathtaking, revolutionary, like Iron Man, as if saving the world. ​​​

Many excellent strategies in the past have failed one after another due to various changes in the market and other reasons.

Simple operations + correct targets often lead to unimaginable returns!

Those who achieve great things take their time—

Weak individuals are insignificant in the unstoppable tide of trends!

What to do, what not to do, when to act, and when to hold back is always more effective than just diving in headfirst!

At critical junctures in life, slow down! The market will always have short-term fluctuations, but in the long run, the true winners are those who patiently wait and act with precision.

Through a recent series of presidential coins, corporate coins, and national coins, I have come to a deep understanding that no matter how much you P, in the end, only DEV profits, along with insider trading and hackers who take advantage.

The K-line levels that need to be observed are getting smaller and smaller, the market cap limits are getting lower and lower, and the volatility and probability of running away are increasing.

White papers, market makers, and communities are no longer needed; all that is required is a single tweet. It’s still too easy for outsiders to cut down insiders!

Is this how you look at the holding income of Binance Square? It’s not easy for me to survive as a Binance veteran for more than seven years!