Brief discussion: The halving is coming, does JPMorgan Chase think it may fall to $42,000 in April?
Analysts at JPMorgan predict that the Bitcoin halving event planned for April could cause the price of Bitcoin to drop as low as $42,000. The halving event will reduce the reward for Bitcoin miners from the current 6.25 BTC per block to 3.125 BTC. This reduction will negatively affect the profitability of miners and lead to an increase in the cost of Bitcoin production. JPMorgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote in a report on Wednesday that the cost of Bitcoin production affects its price, which is expected to be $42,000 after the halving. What do you think about this? Simply share it with everyone!
A sharp decline will only make the bull market come faster.
#美联储是否加息? From the plunge under SEC regulation to the surge in Bitcoin ETFs, there has been another plunge recently. #BTC The ahr index has reached the bottom range of 0.43, and the panic index has also reached 37.
Fortunately, it still has not fallen below the previous low, but it has fallen below from the K-line, so the short term is still dominated by shorts, with a volatile downward trend. As regular investors, let’s recharge our faith together~
Viewpoint 1:
The cause of the bear market is still the Fed's interest rate hike. So what is the essence of the interest rate hike? Releasing water during the epidemic is a last resort as inflationary pressure is high. Everyone knows that the U.S. dollar is the world's currency. Releasing water and raising interest rates is actually harvesting the world's wealth. So what happens after the harvest is completed? The interest rate of 5.3% cannot be sustained, so printing money and releasing money is irreversible. If#BTChas no future, it will not survive more than 10 years, nor will it reach this price! In addition to the 4-year cycle of Bitcoin, there is also the fact that the Federal Reserve will still release water. As long as it releases water, Bitcoin will definitely exist and rise! There is a high probability that interest rates will be cut next year and water will be released. The faster the plunge, the more bloody chips the main force absorbs, and the bull market will come faster and more violently!
After compliance within the village, the mad cow will come, but generally this situation is also at the later stage of a bull market. The central bank released the 'China Financial Stability Report (2024)', mentioning the compliance progress of cryptocurrency in Hong Kong! $BTC $ETH #加密ETF申请热潮涌现
Understanding BIO Protocol, Analysis of BIO Valuation
It has been 5 days since mining on BIO's Launchpool started, and there are 5 days left until it ends! BIO is a new financial layer aimed at decentralized science (DeSci), designed to accelerate the influx of capital and talent into the on-chain science field. Will this relatively new track produce a dark horse? I have studied the project in detail, so let's understand the potential of the Bio Protocol and $BIO together!
From recent launches, they are all projects with practical scenarios and narratives. Transitioning from meme to narrative, industry data suggests that by 2030, the DeSci market may exceed $50 billion. As a pioneer in this track, BIO is expected to capture a significant market share.
I really can't take it anymore with $GMT , the daily level is showing a significant increase, which is originally a sign of rising prices, but it directly retraced 30 points within 15 minutes. This is unbelievable! I'm still in spot trading, if this were a contract, even my mother wouldn't recognize me! There's simply no time to react! #2025有哪些关键叙事? #2025加密趋势预测 $BTC $ETH
The founder of Pantera has spoken again, the peak of this Bitcoin cycle may occur in August 2025. Damn, they said the same thing in 2021, and then nothing happened after that! #2025有哪些关键叙事? #2025加密趋势预测 $BTC $ETH
If the new high in October 2023 is considered a bull market, then it has been over a year. According to the theory of 2 years of bull market followed by 3 years of bear market, there are only 10 months left. However, don't forget, a drop below the 200-day moving average is considered a bear market. This means that even if it drops to 80,000, it is still considered a bull market. The boundary between bull and bear markets is 72,000! #BTC上攻11万? $BTC $ETH
December 26 Lao Bai's trading diary With the intervention of the main force of ZEN, the daily level has now completely formed a beauty shoulder pattern. Although you have made money by following my layout in the early stage, the reason why it is called the beauty shoulder pattern is that if you can't escape the beauty trap, you will be trapped!
Short-term exit point: When the high-level volume is stagnant or the upward momentum slows down, you need to consider selling high. Once it falls below any trend line, you will leave the market. Today, the rise has stopped! #2025加密趋势预测 #k线分析 $ETH $ZEN $LPT
December 26 Lao Bai's trading diary With the intervention of the main force of ZEN, the daily level has now completely formed a beauty shoulder pattern. Although you have made money by following my layout in the early stage, the reason why it is called the beauty shoulder pattern is that if you can't escape the beauty trap, you will be trapped!
Short-term exit point: When the high-level volume is stagnant or the upward momentum slows down, you need to consider selling high. Once it falls below any trend line, you will leave the market. Today, the rise has stopped! #2025加密趋势预测 #k线分析 $ETH $ZEN $LPT
Brother Sun is here, and he said he didn’t sell coins! Justin Sun posted on X platform: “The rumors circulating online about us clearing out ETH are untrue. This is just our ETH transfer between different wallets. We are still optimistic about the Ethereum ecosystem in the long term.” The copycat season is here! $ETH $BTC
December 23, Lao Bai's trading diary There are still 8 days to clear the position! $BTC Bitcoin, $ETH Ethereum, or even the copycat market, I will only wait for a week. If there is no improvement at the end of the month, I will clear all the positions! #比特币市场波动观察 #圣诞行情分析
Today the market has significantly retraced. Lao Bai, in addition to calming everyone's panic in the community, has also been watching the market all day, fearing that a turnaround could happen at any moment. This weekend, he will synchronize this video. After watching it until now, it has gradually stabilized. The current trading strategy remains unchanged, so let’s first share a text version!
1. On the K-line From history, after breaking the new high of 20,000 in October 2017 and doubling to the 40,000 mark, there was a retracement, and then it continued upward. This time, after breaking the 21-year high, it has approached around 100,000, which is very similar to the previous 40,000. Currently, it is in a retracement phase, and it is highly likely that it will go up again!
2. Macroeconomically 1. The essence of the decline is that the expectations for interest rate cuts have decreased. Initially, the expectation process was 30%-50%, but now it has turned into 60% or even more! The good news is that the bull market is still on. As long as there are no rate hikes next year, we can rest easy this year, remaining in the bull market phase.
2. A total of 1 billion dollars was liquidated across the network, but large funds are still continuously buying. A giant whale bought 503.1 billion dollars' worth of Ethereum at an average price of 3,501 dollars. The Trump family’s crypto project WLFI bought 722.2 Ethereum at an average price of 3,461 dollars. Institutions are still buying, so don’t panic!
Summary: The market is stabilizing, don’t panic. Buy the top 100 by market cap with your eyes closed; you should be ready to run in about 1 to 2 months! Our time is running out!
The entire network was liquidated for $1 billion. The whales bought $503.1 billion of Ethereum at an average price of $3,501. The Trump family wlfi bought 722.2 Ethereum at an average price of $3,461. Don't panic, brothers! #比特币市场波动观察 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH
Pudgy Penguins and PENGU potential and valuation analysis in one article
Pudgy Penguins token (PENGU) is now available, and the current price is around 0.030. After @pudgypenguins went online, many people returned with a lot of money! As long as you are a holder of Pudgy Penguins, Lil Pudgys, Rogs or SBTs, you can participate in the claim. On the day of launch, nearly half of the total tokens were airdropped to the community, and the total circulation ratio reached 70%. $PENGU The token price once reached 0.7u, which is equivalent to a valuation of approximately 6 billion US dollars. It has now fallen back. It is really sunny. Whether you hold the penguin NFT or not, as long as your Ethereum or Solana wallet address is active or senior enough, you are eligible to receive the airdrop.
Yesterday, I rushed in with my brothers before the closing and without looking directly inserted pins up and down, and it almost doubled in an instant. $USUAL has something!
First, the rwa track gave a high score directly, and secondly, the current market value is still under 1 billion, low market value, it's crazy! The reason for the increase is also that it has entered into contracts; it seems that only spot can hold on to it! #币安Alpha项目公布 #USUAL现货上线币安 $ETH
Currently, the volume does not support a continuous rise, danger is imminent, what we need to do is hold on and believe in the new high Ethereum! $BTC $ETH #加密市场回调 #1210超57万人爆仓
Bitcoin breaks through $100,000, three major reasons supporting Ethereum's rise and breakthrough of new highs!
Bitcoin has surpassed the $100,000 mark, some investors are overjoyed, while others are filled with regret. In this context, can Ethereum continue to rise? My personal view is that Ethereum will definitely break through new highs, and here are a few professional points supporting this view: 1. History always has astonishing similarities
Comparing with previous candlesticks, we can see from the monthly chart that Bitcoin broke through its 17-year high on November 1, 2020, while Ethereum did so on January 1, 2021, approximately three months later. In this round, Bitcoin has already broken through its 21-year high on November 1, 2024, so will Ethereum also break through its 21-year high of $4,800 on January 1, 2025?
When the market crashes, there’s dog crap everywhere, and no one dares to buy. In a bull market, it feels like even dog crap can soar!
There’s nothing to be done; my position is already full, there are too many things to buy. Even if BTC reaches 100,000, I want to dive in, or dive into something else, fearing missing out. Is that how it is? #BTC新高10W #内容挖矿