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Atilla Yurtseven
@atillayurtseven
Quant & Trend Analyst. Full Time Investor & Trader
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Please make a note. After May 2025, I will gradually start selling the cryptocurrencies in my portfolio. Between August and October 2025, I will have sold 95% of my portfolio.
Please make a note. After May 2025, I will gradually start selling the cryptocurrencies in my portfolio. Between August and October 2025, I will have sold 95% of my portfolio.
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I am a #trend analyst. There is more than one method to draw a trend, but one of the methods I find most effective is the Regression trend. My theory is this. If a price moves above a rising trend, it will come back to that trend again. But if a price moves below a falling trend, it will return to that trend unless that crypto disappears. In the chart below, you see a regression trend drawn between March and November 2020. As can be seen, the price of #Bitcoin rises above this trend and returns to this trend in May 2022. Although it is not possible to predict the duration, the price will always return to these trends, and it should, in accordance with the law of large numbers. In the second chart you see the hourly chart of #Ethereum . This time there is a falling regression trend and it is drawn between two vertical lines. As you can see, although the price enters a downward trend on this trend line for a while, it eventually breaks and the rise begins. However, in this system, it would be logical not to use leverage and not to enter shorts. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, so you can lose most or all of your money when leveraged or shorted. NOTE: It is not investment advice. Don't forget to follow me. #ethusdt #btcusdt
I am a #trend analyst. There is more than one method to draw a trend, but one of the methods I find most effective is the Regression trend.

My theory is this. If a price moves above a rising trend, it will come back to that trend again. But if a price moves below a falling trend, it will return to that trend unless that crypto disappears.

In the chart below, you see a regression trend drawn between March and November 2020. As can be seen, the price of #Bitcoin rises above this trend and returns to this trend in May 2022.

Although it is not possible to predict the duration, the price will always return to these trends, and it should, in accordance with the law of large numbers.

In the second chart you see the hourly chart of #Ethereum . This time there is a falling regression trend and it is drawn between two vertical lines. As you can see, although the price enters a downward trend on this trend line for a while, it eventually breaks and the rise begins.

However, in this system, it would be logical not to use leverage and not to enter shorts. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, so you can lose most or all of your money when leveraged or shorted.

NOTE: It is not investment advice.

Don't forget to follow me. #ethusdt #btcusdt
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Let's do a statistical analysis of Bitcoin. The chart you see is the daily drawdown chart of #Bitcoin . When we look at this chart, we can easily see the declines from the peak. I can say that in major declines, #BTCUSDT consolidated below 75% and rose to the ATH level again. According to this chart, we are currently 36% away from the peak. Only an increase of 56% would be sufficient for it to peak again. It should not be forgotten that those who hold it generally earn more in this market. 95% of traders and I think more are making big calls. This is a sharing for informational purposes. It does not contain investment advice.
Let's do a statistical analysis of Bitcoin.

The chart you see is the daily drawdown chart of #Bitcoin . When we look at this chart, we can easily see the declines from the peak. I can say that in major declines, #BTCUSDT consolidated below 75% and rose to the ATH level again. According to this chart, we are currently 36% away from the peak. Only an increase of 56% would be sufficient for it to peak again.

It should not be forgotten that those who hold it generally earn more in this market. 95% of traders and I think more are making big calls.

This is a sharing for informational purposes. It does not contain investment advice.
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