There is one extremely important point that I often wrote about in passing, implying that it was obvious, but now I decided to highlight this important point. How to choose a project? You heard about some project, for example, âloxâ, from bloggers, friends, from grandmothers on benches, you dreamed about the name or a million other options, and what to do next?
Oh, what a horror đ± the fact that some mythological character whom no one knows has millions of bitcoins and can sell them at any moment does not bother anyone, just as it does not bother anyone that some other number of millions of bitcoins in the wallets of the first miners and âdeadâ wallets can be sold.
But the fact that the US government can sell as much as 70k is, yes, of course, panic, it is scary đ
The market is Demand/Supply and the influence of demand and supply on the formation of value. You came to the exchange and bought a coin there, there was a demand for the coin. At the exchange they sold you a coin and satisfied your demand with supply. High demand and lack of supply - growth Huge supply and no demand - fall
Today is an "important" day, there will be a decision on the rate. Today there will be a decision on the rate, this is such an "important" event that we are forced not to change the plan of action and leave it the same đ 65% in the market 35% in the stable Whoever has less than 65% in the stable needs to buy coins that are now in the areas of interest, there are many of them on the channel, in the chat (you can find them by searching) If after changing the rate growth begins after a short time - great, we watch this growth and rejoice, if there is a queue spill - great, there are stables in the portfolio to correct the situation and we do not experience any difficulties except temporary ones. to be in context, read previous articles and posts.
What is important to understand about capitalization
Briefly. Market cap is the total value of all coins at their current price - end. For example, now twt costs $1 and there are 1 billion coins in circulation, which means the capitalization is 1 billion. If tomorrow there is a sharp demand for the coin and there is no supply (holders and funds will not sell and provide the necessary supply), then the cost of TWT can become, for example, $2 and the capitalization will immediately become not 1 billion but 2. If the demand continues to be not provided with the necessary supply, the price will become $4 and the capitalization will immediately be 4 billion )))
When does it make sense to transfer from one project to another?
About overflow and when it is appropriate.
There are 2 conditional coins TWT and STRK
According to TWT, the zone of interest is everything below $1
According to STRK, the area of ââinterest is everything below $1 Scenario 1: Let's say at the time of purchase, coins were bought for $1000 twt and $1000 strk, after 2 months the STRK project had a pump, but the market remained at approximately the same values ââas it was and we saw the following picture:
It makes absolutely no difference why the next local decline or, on the contrary, local growth occurred, it does not affect the global picture. Daily slides are just everyday market life that occurs within any stage, and daily analyses and garbage in the information field exist with a single purpose, to fill the heads of market participants, to throw a bunch of all sorts of junk there like into a trash heap.
Post lyrics September 10, 2022 - a person got into the crypto market, January 10, 2023 - a person, having made a few mistakes, having spent a couple of deposits, having collected his thoughts and having subscribed to 2-5 channels, allocated a conditional $ 5,000 to build a portfolio, decided to act seriously đŠŸ Having assessed the situation, filtered the channels, chosen tactics, having set the correct percentage ratio with the words âI will buy for the long term and will stick to the planâ, the person collected a certain number of coins, left stables for an unforeseen event and began to do what he said, namely, stick to the plan đŠŸ
I didn't write anything about Durov's arrest because before this specific decision, everything I wrote would have been based on "blah blah blah" Now it has become clear that there will be no prison term, no serious charges and no harsh consequences specifically for Pasha, for several days we all watched an extremely interesting theatrical performance, read hundreds of leaks and had no specifics, every channel posted any fakes, every shit from any talking head immediately flew across all channels and misled more than it shed light.
5 million of them are approximately in Satoshi wallets which of course will "never" come to life Another 5 in the wallets of the first miners and large buyers who got BTC for about 0.000 each đ Here you can also add a couple of million from states and large holders like Black Rock and Sailor.
From the answers in the chat to the questions "what is fundamental in crypto"
- Is there a fundamental in crypto? - Yes, Crypto is just a financial market, and the fundamentals in all financial markets are the same Demand/supply and the impact of demand and supply on value formation. Cryptocurrency is no different from the stock market except for its scale and regulation; these are exactly the same companies that have tokens instead of shares, and depending on how the company develops, the ratio of supply and demand changes, which forms the price.
This cycle is âspecialâ, everything will be âdifferentâ or about talking heads.
Lyrics.
Each cycle is the same, new heads appear who pay for interviews or podcasts to old heads and tell there the same thing that in the previous cycle the old heads told the previous ones, namely: âThis cycle will not go as usualâ, âwe live in a unique timeâ, âeverything will be different and only I know how everything will be because I am special and I see this market, I have eaten this life, I have understood the deep meanings and I have a high giftâ - well, and then blah blah blah and a bunch of brilliant ideas about how everything will be special.
Sell? - No way!! If there is less than 65% in the market, it is necessary to buy back. Is it time to average? - Unfortunately, no, but you can already prepare for it. Having stables free 35% of the deposit is a must, it is a guarantee of peace of mind, a magic wand that can correct the average purchase price if necessary (not yet).
I would like to clarify something, namely how the goby begins. A bull always begins when the crowd decides that there is only a fall ahead, when the majority is confident that there has already been a bull and always with minuses and with the thoughts âmaybe sell everything and leave at least somethingâ or âmaybe sell for now at least some plusâ or âyesâ apparently there was already a bull and those x2 had to be taken away" If it were the other way around, everyone would get rich)) Another point, many people confuse the bullish cycle and the alt season. Alt seasons are local pumps that do not last long, alt seasons occur at any stage of the market, both in a bear - which we have observed periodically over the last 2 years, and in a bull, which we will be able to observe soon (those who do not lose everything by succumbing to emotions) The difference is in intervals and intensity. The plan remains the same, which will be further described in the previous post đŠŸ
As after the ETF on BTC, a local barely noticeable growth, then a month or a little more in the zone where the last couple of months have been + - and then an update of the highs. We observe that the plan does not change, everything in the areas of interest can be bought if the percentage allows it.
Judging by the discussions in all crypto communities, 90% of people do not understand what they are doing on the market and what the market is, I did not plan to write this post because I was sure that our community had passed this fate, BUT it seems to me that there is still a certain percentage of people for whom I need to explain there))
Lately, the most frequently asked question in PM is âcan I buy more?â - No. It is worth purchasing additionally only within the framework of the plan. For each coin purchased, there is both a zone of interest for buying and selling and for additional purchases. To summarize, buying more before a drawdown of 60% is the murder of a deposit, since buying more at every drop of 10-20% in the end you can end up in a situation where you will have to buy more thereâs nothing left and the average purchase price remains virtually unchanged.
At the moment there are a lot of coins in areas of interest. If the market is less than 65%, you can buy more. If the market is at 65%+, you donât even have to look at the charts. I donât see much point in discussing yet another local intimidation. Over the last 1.5 years, one could get used to it; nothing great or terrible is happening.
The most important thing in any financial market is psychology. You can know all the terms, speak smart words, read a million books, be subscribed to 100 channels where you can discuss the market situation in chats for days, be able to draw useless lines, take a million courses, but all this will not give any result if a market participant is not doing well with emotions and he did not understand the most important thing with psychology.
On May 3, I released a post where I indicated that the bull had begun A little later, he published a post about what a bull is and how it happens, where he explained in detail that this is not the growth of one candle per x100, but exactly the same swing as on a bear only with an upward trend, also about alt seasons and rallies within this bull.
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