The money-making effect of the market is very poor now. No matter what, Bitcoin is still above 65,000, but the cottage generally fell a lot, and some even hit the lowest point after 414. There are many reasons, but the core is only one: insufficient market liquidity. Ruixuan's view is still that the full recovery of the cottage requires the Fed to cut interest rates, and greedy funds will overflow from Bitcoin. At this time, the importance of position management and fund allocation is highlighted. Large positions are heavily invested in deterministic targets (Bitcoin, Ethereum) and part of the positions are allocated to cottage. This combination can allow you to cross the bull market cycle. The rest is to lie flat and wait for the day of delivery.

There is no market that only rises but not falls. Bull market corrections are normal. Looking back at the last round of Bitcoin plunges, there were many times, and each time after full adjustment, it was for a new high, but this round is indeed a little different. Volatility has decreased, making people feel drowsy, and market behavior is irreversible. We can only learn to adapt to it. At present, there is no obvious positive expectation in the market to promote the development of the market, and the catalyst has not appeared, which means that we may need to hold on for a while. In the first half of the year, Bitcoin overdrew its gains in advance under the catalysis of ETFs. It takes some time to digest and fluctuate. We expect a significant rebound in the second half of the year.

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