$BTC Have you ever found that the longer you trade in cryptocurrencies, the harder it is to play contracts?
Sometimes we have summarized a lot, but we still make mistakes at critical moments. Sometimes we don’t make mistakes and still lose money by trading within our own model!
In general, I don’t know how to choose the standard. When I open an order to do a contract, I like to chase various coins. When I see a certain coin rises outrageously, I always want to go short, thinking that it will pull back. On the contrary, when a certain coin falls outrageously, I also want to go long, hoping to rebound.
There is no bottom line for altcoins, do you know?
There is a bottom line for Bitcoin. If it falls too much, retail investors and institutions are scrambling for chips. If it rises too much, profit-taking will also run away. However, the market sentiment of the bull market is there, and generally people are not afraid of falling.
For example, Grayscale has been smashing it, and Mentougou has been releasing bad news. How many points has the market fallen?
Some people say that Bitcoin will definitely reach 50,000. Yes, I also firmly believe it, but Bitcoin will return to 50,000 unless all major institutions are desperately selling it.
At the stage when institutions are frantically accumulating funds at the price of 50,000, it is very unlikely that they will lose money by selling.
Unless there is a contract game between institutions, and the long institutions are besieging the short institutions, but as retail investors, can we know the specific insider trading?
Our only sense of the market is the K-line, and we go inside to analyze it, so when opening an order, we should ensure two aspects of placing an order.
The first aspect is how to maximize the profit if I do it right.
The second aspect is how to avoid making mistakes and where should my defense be placed.
Some people like to stop loss, and the stop loss point is between 100 points and several hundred points. Volatility is dead, people are alive, and breaking through new highs and breaking through new bottoms is just what the dog dealer wants to do.
So the K-line is deceptive, and there are indeed traces of dealers in it, but this trace is generally not let you know. The only thing you can do is to guess what direction they will probably take next through their approximate traces, and as retail investors, we just need to wait steadily and ambush in advance.
The difficulty of playing contracts lies in opening a position like a guerrilla, rather than focusing on one to do it.
Many people like to play copycat contracts, but I would say that mainstream contracts are the most reliable.