Fed rate cut deduction:

1. The Fed will lose $114.3 billion in 2023, the highest loss record in 108 years since its establishment in 1914.

2. If the Fed wants to turn losses into profits in 6 years, it must reduce interest rates from 5.25%-5.5% by more than 190 basis points within 2 years, which is equivalent to 7-8 25 basis point rate cuts.

3. Powell's term of office will last until January 2026.

4. If Powell does not want to be convicted of shame, he will turn the Fed from loss to profit during his term of office. He will have to cut interest rates at least 3 times this year and 5 times next year.

5. Historically, before the interest rate cut, the US stock market rose; after the interest rate cut began, the US stock market fell!

6. The Fed will start to implement interest rate hikes and balance sheet reduction in March 2022, but it began to make this operation clear at the interest rate meeting in December 2021.

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