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Wise Analyze
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$PYTH unlocked 141% of circulation supply. That fundamental event was preceded with 2 months retracement and almost 70% loss in value. And finally we see some good volume on Sunday-Monday dump/dip. No real confirmation for #PYTH reversal yet, but there is a possible spot/long trade with entries on pullback to ~0.4115 and targeting 0.516 / 0.65 (RR 4:1)

$PYTH unlocked 141% of circulation supply. That fundamental event was preceded with 2 months retracement and almost 70% loss in value. And finally we see some good volume on Sunday-Monday dump/dip.

No real confirmation for #PYTH reversal yet, but there is a possible spot/long trade with entries on pullback to ~0.4115 and targeting 0.516 / 0.65 (RR 4:1)

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#Bitcoin picked up Friday bullishness from stocks and opened with pump through May VAH. All that happened while Dollar Index lost Daily 20sma. So far looks bullish. Short term may expect DXY to bounce back after yesterday's dump, and that correlates with #BTC making a small dip back to ~68400. If that level holds, chart will remain very bullish. Another bullish factor is upper trendline with 4 touches on Day TF. I bet there will be a breakout above it, regardless of its result. Liquidity there is like a magnet. Bearish point of view - yesterday pump generated high volume, but most of shorts were closed around 68555-68700. So we may assume, that if DXY does something unexpected and pump, $BTC should drop below that area to trigger stops/liquidations and catch it back at 63-64k. That scenario is not yet visible, but its good to be prepared. Nearest liquidity pools: above - 70469 / 71300 / 71950 / 72795 below - 68485 / 66566 / 65640 / 64244 Lines on the chart: 🔸73881 - ATH 🔸71363 - March close 🔸70393 - last W VAH 🔸68540 - week close 🔸67750 - week high / last W VAL 🔸66239 - last week open 🔸64025 - last April week close Trend: D ▶️ W 🔼 M 🔼 🤑 F&G : 73 < 73 < 73 < 72 < 73
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 #Bitcoin finally dipped below Daily 20SMA ✅ Hope you followed my idea and didn't get in FOMO on BTC fake pump moves. That dip gave nice volume and we can even see a buy tail under that 4H upclose candle (potential SFP). All lower timeframe SMAs are meeting here around 67750. That means that either $BTC will pump through developing month VAH, or make another dip below Day 20SMA which will lead to further correction. I forecasted what was visible, but now, on its own, BTC chart doesn't give any certainty for any of scenarios. Some bullishness can be taken from S&P500 chart which closed Friday with bullish 4H/D candle. So that gives some bullish vibes for the next week, and crypto might pick it up already during this weekend. Since I'm not trading these days I don't plan to take part in weekend PA. But I leave limit orders to buy #BTC in case it dip to 63-64k. I believe that entry will be at least lossless (with DCA under 60k). And in perspective can give nice profits. Nearest liquidity pools: above - 68178 / 69055 / 71155 / 71944 below - 67137 / 66424 / 65700 / 64262 Lines on the chart: 🔸73881 - ATH 🔸71363 - March close 🔸70393 - last W VAH 🔸68540 - week close 🔸67750 - week high / last W VAL 🔸66239 - last week open 🔸64025 - last April week close Trend: D ▶️ W 🔼 M 🔼 🤑 F&G: 72 < 73 < 73 < 72 < 72
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 #Bitcoin absorbed liquidity above 69k and got rejected - so my forecast for first move up came true ✅ I wrote about 4H close above 68524 as bullish condition, but when it comes to "shooting star" candles, that condition doesn't work. Such candles should be taken with caution in any case. They indicate that sell wall got filled by stops and breakout longs, and there bulls ran out of steam, unable to push price higher. Yesterday I wrote that Day 20SMA will act like a magnet to $BTC price, asking for a dip below it. This idea remains valid. Maybe will see it today, although after the bounce, now DXY is heading down to W/M 20SMAs and April open, so again, short term crypto isn't pushed down by Dollar. Later today at 12:30 UTC PCE price index in US may cause some volatility. So in about 3 hours we will have a more clear picture. Fast dip to Day 20SMA with long tailed high volume close will be bullish. Close below same moving average will be less promising and may lead to retracement towards liquidity around 64k. Month 20SMA is growing towards ~61.5k and that is another mid term magnet for the price. Nearest liquidity pools: above - 71155 / 71944 / 72990 / 74136 below - 667511 / 65860 / 64262 / 63090 SR levels to watch #BTC PA: 🔸73881 - ATH 🔸71363 - March close 🔸70393 - last W VAH 🔸68540 - week close 🔸67750 - week high / last W VAL 🔸66239 - last week open Trend: D 🔼 W 🔼 M 🔼 🤑 F&G: 73 < 73 < 72 < 72 < 74
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#Bitcoin got second rejection from week open (at 68524). This Friday will be close for month candle - very important level for future price action. On Week/Month TF BTC remains within uptrend consolidation range. So far moves above Day 20SMA, but such moving averages rarely let the price go without meeting at least for a "handshake". So I feel like $BTC has high chances to dip below that SMA. Besides it correlates with the nearest liquidity pool. Just keep that in mind. I might be wrong, but its a highly possible. If no high volume on that potential dip, we will see BTC hunt for liquidity around 64k. Month 20SMA is growing towards ~61.5k and that is another mid term magnet for the price. Invalidation for all bearish scenarios is 4H close above 68525 - that will lead to fast re-test of ~71k and potential breakout to ATH. With all that said worth keeping in mind main bullish narrative for recent PA was Ethereum. It dropped below range middle and so prone to dip a little more to the bottom (at least to 3650). That supports idea for #BTC pulling back more as well. Nearest liquidity pools: above - 68530 / 69277 / 71300 / 71944 below - 66810 / 65860 / 64262 / 63090 SR levels to watch PA: 🔸73881 - ATH 🔸71363 - March close 🔸70393 - last W VAH 🔸68540 - week close 🔸67750 - week high / last W VAL 🔸66239 - last week open Trend: D 🔼 W 🔼 M 🔼 🤑 F&G: 73 < 72 < 72 < 74 < 75
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#Ethereum moves within same range. Since last review touched the top, got rejected and pulled back to the middle. If the middle will be lost we should expect $ETH to return back to the bottom. Ranges have very few very understandable rules: 1) Range remain range until broken. 2) Trade only range bottom and top. Do not enter trades in the middle as you'll be chopped away. 3) The more times range border is tested the weaker it becomes. That is a general rule for all SR levels. Since ETF trading won't start anywhere soon, #ETH will be shaking off weak hands and move within the range till anything happen. Like stock crash or pump, caused by war escalation or peace treaty. Whatever. My idea is that crypto fundamentals are on pause and market is easier influenced by outside events. P.S. Don't forget about higher timeframe range. Its also bullish, but with middle around 3400 #ETHETFsApproved
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