There is a commonality after the previous halvings, because of certain opportunities, there will be a consensus explosion of a few leading coins, or some special circumstances, such as the third halving, Musk's entry, Grayscale's massive purchases, Ethereum's explosive application destruction mechanism, etc. So far, except for the expectation of a rate cut, there is no explosive opportunity to pull the market, so the real bull market must have a trigger to pull the enthusiasm of more than 90% of the people in the currency circle, and then various plots with a daily amplitude of more than 50% will begin to be staged.