#ETH持续飙升
Master talks about hot topics:
Let's first talk about today's morning news: Japan's DMM cryptocurrency exchange is about to be liquidated, which has caused a lot of friends to feel a bearish atmosphere of panic. But Master wants to tell everyone that the probability of Bitcoin dropping to 80,000 or 70,000 is always lower than the probability of it rising to 110,000.
Especially when witnessing the moment when the monthly line is about to start – the next big bullish candle is already in front of us. Yes, 4-5 consecutive bullish days, could it be abnormal? This is just the market gathering strength.
Looking back at the last bull market, Bitcoin nearly broke 70,000, and many people thought it was about to crash. But remember the increase from 36,000 to 70,000: the starting point of this bull market is around 15,600, raising the base level by 4 times. Don't just focus on the number "100,000" – for this bull market, 100,000 is just a new milestone, not worth making a fuss about.
Next, let's talk about the optimistic expectations for the "bull market in the next three years": some bloggers always think that the Republican administration will bring endless bull markets, but I dare to bet that the bull market cycle you see is far more than three years.
If you want to be "consistently stable" in the bull market, you should first look at the strict bear-bull cycle of Bitcoin, where each bull market generally lasts 12-16 months, with 16 months being the limit. Don't focus on an "everlasting bull market"; trading in spot for half a year can ultimately lead to being knocked back by the market.
Speaking of future long cycles – the next Bitcoin halving is on April 17, 2028. Looking back from this point, after April 2026, a bear market cycle may begin, so everyone should remember this point and gradually start preparing.
Finally, regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, everyone please rest assured that by the end of 2024, the Federal Reserve will definitely announce the schedule for stopping interest rate cuts in 2026, or even starting to raise interest rates. This will gradually tighten the market's liquidity, which is not friendly for the bulls.
