#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
Master discusses hot topics:
After watching the Federal Reserve's November meeting minutes, Master feels that there weren't too many surprises. The likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut in December still seems the highest, but this is merely a preemptive positive expectation from the market.
Speaking of news, Master has to mention the past couple of days, as soon as Bitcoin dropped, various 'negative news' started flooding in, along with reports of sell-offs and market crashes.
In fact, Master has always wanted to ask, why didn't they start reporting this earlier? Such news feels more like it aims to catch the heat after a drop; emotional news reactions can attract more attention than actual market trends. Is this not purely losing face?
As for the current market situation for the medium to long term, Master does not recommend opening short positions anymore. The two strongest bearish days have already passed, and the current adjustment is nearing its end; the 8-hour and 12-hour pullbacks have been completed, and the upcoming trend should not plunge too much.
Master has also seen many people in the market expecting a correction to possibly reach 80K or 76K, but I do not agree. Based on the current trend, the lowest should not fall below 88K or 87K.
The daily indicators are still far from the zero axis, making it difficult to assess whether there will be a significant adjustment in the short term. Especially around 90K, Master believes it will not easily break below; instead, if the indicators for 4 hours and below regain strength, it might stifle the potential for a significant adjustment and even trigger a rebound.
Therefore, the current operational strategy remains to buy on dips. If your average price is high, you can consider making a T trade, waiting for a correction to recover before looking for entry opportunities. As for shorting, it is recommended to be cautious. The buying force in a bullish market is still strong, especially after the MACD for 8 and 12 hours returns to zero, the likelihood of the market moving upwards is greater.
So if there are no strong bearish signals, short-term thinking can maintain the strategy of buying on dips. My main axis remains: when bulls are strong and bears are weak, focus on buying; when bears are strong, focus on selling. Daily resistance and support levels can serve as references, and everyone should operate flexibly based on the actual market situation, without relying on others to tell you whether to buy or sell today.
