Israel invaded Lebanon in 1978, did so again in 1982 (reaching Beirut) and again in 2006, these three events shook the markets; 2024 last day of September Israel again invades Lebanon, with the support of 42 thousand American troops that have not yet entered combat; on the other hand Iran has surprised the world by announcing that each country has its own way to defend itself, these words of the leader Ali Khamenei, generated the criticism of the countries that are part of the so-called "ring of fire" that fight the appropriation by war by Israel of territories in Syria, Lebanon, Palestine and Egypt. It is important to note that from a military point of view, Israel is acting under the protection of the US and its allies, so it can be said without any hesitation that the invasion of Lebanon is carried out by an Israeli-US coalition, which began with the supply of 50 bunker-buster bombs supplied by the US that allowed the assassination of the supreme leader of Hezbollah and many other commanders. Now, this entire war scenario must include Syria, Yemen, of course Lebanon, also Egypt and Turkey, but above all Iran, even after the Iranian leader's words of not wanting to participate directly in the war, tens of thousands of Iranians will join this battle and Iran will most likely change its position in the next few hours, the latter is what will probably happen due to the pressure of the Iranian people and the Arab world, here is the perfect breeding ground for a large-scale war in the Middle East, and that will undoubtedly shake the markets, including the crypto market, which as we all know is fragile as glass. The war has already begun, de facto and de jure, between one country and another, and this marks the beginning of an escalation in a region that is extremely sensitive to hydrocarbon prices. If Iran publicly steps forward in favour of Lebanon as the main player, it would be a catalyst for the collapse of oil prices and this would have a domino effect, dragging down all the assets on the planet.Israel, which according to figures from NGOs operating on the Palestinian periphery, has caused the deaths of 42 thousand women and children, making the destruction of the Gaza Strip one of the largest genocides in history, is undoubtedly seeking to provoke a direct confrontation between the US and Iran. This is what Iranian intelligence already knows and has most likely been the reason why it has decided to stay out of the war.

On the other hand, and at the other end of the global geopolitical narrative, which includes the war in Europe with the incident of the F16 plane and the Russian Sukoy 35 plane on the border of Russia with Alaska and the Ugledar site in Ukraine, has caused a couple of seconds to be added to the doomsday clock, but the other part I wanted to talk to you about has to do with the massive release of tokens by circulating currencies of important projects such as SUI and CELESTIA, not to mention other projects that together add up to 3.73 billion dollars that will be removed from the total capital of ALCOIN. I am waiting for some trick or trick from projects like SUI and TIA so that they can cushion the release of their tokens as WORLCOIN did a couple of months ago, but even though it will be this week that SUI will release its coins, its executives have not spoken out. Holders of these coins should be alert, today SUI continued to rise and the last time I saw its price it was over 80 cents per dollar, an outrage. There is always the possibility, although very remote, that the release of the Token has a positive impact on a token, but the most prudent thing is to prepare for the worst scenario while hoping for the best.

Today we have seen BITCOIN struggling at 64 thousand dollars, the markets have already opened and BITCOIN has not collapsed, up to this moment it has resiliently assumed the events in full development and those yet to develop, with the pending announcements by the US Treasury and the speech at the door of the president of the FET, the cryptographic markets increase their volatility, as of yesterday which is already ending for Latin America the sentiment of investors was neutral, the first day of the month of October with the sun already setting in Asia and about to set in the US will say a lot about how the week will develop and where the price of BITCOIN and the flock of coins that faithfully follow it will move, although it never ceases to surprise me how some coins rebel as is the case of FTT which skyrocketed and we are all left with the feeling that perhaps we could have guessed that movement, but that did not happen and will not happen, whoever had their money there saw it multiply and could only thank their luck. I hope that everything is briefly covered but in full development of world geopolitics, cryptography and the economic movements of the country with the largest number of millionaires and traders in the world, such as the United States, although China apparently displaced the United States in the number of rich people on the planet, allowing you to have an idea of ​​the month of October that begins. By the way, we are still waiting for China to define whether it will inject the 146 billion dollars into the market, we must not lose sight of the economic events in Japan and the recession in Europe, which I did not tell you about because it is simply too much information to digest in one bite. All this narrative effort only seeks to put you on notice and on alert so that you wait for the best time to operate in the market, do not rush, the market will not go anywhere and that feeling that invades us all that a little voice speaks in our minds assuring us that something big is coming and we will be left out, is a voice planted by the propaganda apparatus of the EXCHANGE and the marketing of the currencies listed on BINANCE.That bullish October thing seems more like an announcement for a holiday season than to announce a month where everything goes up and where those of us who participate will be lucky enough to buy a Lamborghini, as an influencer posted today on BINANCE, I suppose that the person who offered the Lamborghini to invest in that currency that I will not name must be the owner of a couple of Ferraris, I would like to see him on the bicycle on which he pedals to his girlfriend's house every day. A hug from a distance my invisible friends.

Jorge Ferrer

Bachelor of Business Administration