Liang Xi began to talk about his views on the trend of the currency circle next week
Everyone knows that next week is the Federal Reserve's "Super Central Bank Week"! Will it be a week of rising? Let's first talk about how the last interest rate cut went.
Remember that the last interest rate cut was in 2019, when the first interest rate cut was carried out. It is similar to the current situation. Both are defensive interest rate cuts. Judging from the situation at that time, the US stock market was very difficult, and the EMA200 was stepped back and washed up as many as five times
Before the interest rate cut on the 19th, there were three retracements. From this, we can infer that after the interest rate cut, the market is likely to be washed up. Is it still a good thing that everyone knows? Then you have to give money directly.
Why compare these two periods of market conditions? Because the market's concerns are very similar in these two interest rate cuts; the bulls have reasons for the bulls, and they believe Because the tightening period has ended and entered the easing phase; short sellers are also considering tail risks, repeated inflation, economic recession, etc.
So next week, my prediction is that although the interest rate cut is a positive to a certain extent, the market has been warming up to the interest rate cut for several weeks, and coupled with the judgment of the US economic recession, it is still not optimistic about the big rise. In addition, the current tense long-short situation, the big cake has lost its safe-haven attribute, and there will not be a large amount of capital flight in the early stage of the interest rate cut. Therefore, for the interest rate cut in September, there is only one sentence for friends, all the good news is bad!
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