Assuming the end of 2022 is the start of the bull market, we may be in summer now.

Prices have already surged, but there may be room to go.

Summer usually cools down after a strong spring (seen in 2021 and 2024).

Identify the "best" season

Autumn is usually a time of market mania and cycle highs.

The goal is to sell at this time (and then buy back in winter).

Timing the "mania moment"

This is the hardest part, the market is noisy and greed is high.

You may not be willing to sell.

3. To combat greed, look for indicators that a top may occur

The most important is global liquidity.

In particular, the year-on-year (YoY) percentage change in global liquidity.

Riding liquidity is like surfing the wave.

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