We currently have 4.8% progress on the halving (100% is when the next one arrives in 2028).

Here in the orange band we see that in the first of 2013, we were up 5% when that big rise began.

In 2016, after a correction of 35%~40%, an increase began, and from the point of view of that progress compared to the current one, we had already seen the minimums.

In 2020 we saw a strong rise due to this same progress, and it achieved a 20% drop almost a month later.

So currently we are no longer going to reach falls much greater than the current ones, and around 56k we saw the minimums of this cycle and year. (anything can happen, but taking into account that in the other 3 halvings it did not happen; it is very unlikely)

$BTC