How can you access the newest projects?

It is obvious that new cryptocurrencies appear every day, but very few reach great returns, and the good thing about this sector is that you have thousands of possibilities, either in coins or in opportunities such as
Staking
Farming
AirDrops
And today's topic is the launch pad and launch pools, which to obtain their benefits it is only necessary to block a crypto for a time and it opens up the opportunity to receive an AirDrop or buy a cryptocurrency at pre-market prices, of course. Pre-sales bubbles have already burst, since they required very high initial investment fees.
But currently it is much easier, and currently the easiest are the launch pools, like here with Fusd or $BNB , here we have it in the earn part in which we block our tokens, since it depends on the crypto you use to block and the amount of money we put, in which we can activate notifications to know when farming starts and put our coins.

SOLANA ETF.

We had been without good news for $SOL for a while, maybe without so many hacks at least, but since we have been losing the price since 200$SOL
And it went up to 120, but a few days ago they asked for applications for the first spot ETF in the sun.
And as we know that it is one of the favorites of companies and their collaborators:
Discord
Google
Goal
Shopify
Stripe
To mention a few, it is already one of the blockchains most used by institutions and Vaneck has already requested it but today it began to be said that blackrock is still going to request it.

But why do ETFs matter in the price?

The thing is that although the price has not yet risen by much capital, it is very important at a level of acceptance, since it looks better for institutional investors since it has the support of the most important investment funds that offer it to their clients. , since when the ETF is approved it will rise many times. And resulting in more altcoins with a high market capitalization starting to request their ETFs.

How many days until the $ETH ETF starts trading?
Gary Gensler mentions that there is very little left and they are already seeing the final details, as we saw last week when some documents returned with recommendations.
And although they may be approved after July 8, which is when they return the forms, it is clear that they will be approved this month.

But in speculation, the main analysts are already giving their opinions on how much the price of ETH can reach, and although some are bullish, others are a little more conservative.
For example :

JP Morgan: what do you think between one billion and 3 billion in net inflows for the remainder of the year?
And although it is positive, it is low compared to btc

Eric Balchumas believes that it will only be 20% of the Btc Etf market share. Since he based his projection on the demand for ETH vs BTC in futures.

Vete Lunde of k33, believes that up to 4 billion dollars in the first 5 months.

And we may see all-time highs in the coming months, reaching around 4.800$ETH . Since it is going to be important because of the potential of ETH

Elections in the USA. Debate!

In the debate that happened a few days ago, and we are in the first debate in which cryptocurrencies are going to have an important role, and although in this first debate they were not mentioned, we know that Donald is supporting bitcoin, since he has mentioned that this sector will benefit if he is elected.
And we have seen how on the Predictlt analysis page. Trump went from 52% to above 63% and Biden fell to 37%.
And it is possible that crypto companies could establish themselves in the country without lawsuits or more regulations. And if he finally ends up winning the elections and being much more permissive with this sector, it is possible that at some point bitcoin will shoot up to 100k$BTC and could go much further, but for now the only important thing is to ignore the fud and see what happens. we have or possibilities in the future.

(It should be noted that I am neutral on the policy, but I am specifying how it may affect the price of #btc )

Do you think they are manipulating us?

With our emotions below 60k$BTC , a few years ago before the rise I started investing in crypto because of a podcast I listened to when I was driving to work, and in the end I only heard that all-time highs were being broken every week, so I started investing a little more than 4 years ago in this market.
But I also heard the bad news, like when China banned cryptocurrencies or when Tesla stopped accepting it as a payment method.
And a week ago, I'm starting to see how the same thing is happening with governments, as I already touched on the issue of the German government that practically every business day they have been selling btc, mtgox also started returning money.
So those from last week are not coincidences, since we have corrected almost 20% from 3 weeks ago.
But we must focus on how the market is increasingly important and the whales continue to accumulate, for example blackrock is occupying 3 internal funds to continue buying the bitcoin etf through IBIT. Since they are already the second hit of bitcoin after satoshi

New Sol ETF requested…..

According to leaks, the CEO of #BlackRock has reported in a corporate call that #BlackRock is going to apply for an ETF of #solana this July
Information that if confirmed would be
BRUTAL for #SOL
Since it is very likely that they will inject massive capital before the end of the year, which will further boost their ecosystem in this bull run
(A few days ago a request was shown sun rose to 149$SOL )
By the way, Blackrock has more than 99% approval of its requests for
ETFs

How leveraged are we in the market?

We have bullish and bearish options.
And this Friday we had the options expiration and we saw a big drop in the bulls, it is clear that due to the levels of that day.
Although the open interest is not that great and the market is low in options.
So we don't have much downward pressure.
And the spread between longs and shorts is at a minimum.

In the futures market we have not seen giant liquidations in recent days. So we are not very leveraged, and we are in a very similar area to where we were a year ago.
So we don't have any euphoria, so we're nowhere near all-time highs on anything.

So rest assured that we will reach 100k in $BTC this year.

By the way, the market in 2021, before starting a parabolic rise, we were mixed between longs and shorts, and when we are negative we are always at the market minimums, and although these days we are positive, we should see a mixed rate by the end of the year. corrective movement of these 3 months

Now let's analyze the key levels of $BTC .

What is a key level?
It is the average price of those who have bought #bitcoin in the last 150 days (newbies, who generate more volatility).

And just when we get to test the prices at which their average purchases are, that's just when we get to see upward rebounds.
And we have experienced it in all bull markets.
Of course we have other indicators such as the 21-week average, the short-term operator or the 200-period average.
We are in areas that are a good buying point and probabilities.

Of course, these are the most difficult times to buy, because it is when news of declines or when thinking about buying lower starts.

And in the two previous cycles, we have never lost the 200-day average, at least until reaching near historical highs. Currently that average is at the $57,800 level, so we are in good buying points.

I personally no longer have liquidity for about 4 or 5 days, and I am more interested in $ETH , because I have noticed better behavior and during the month it is possible that your ETF will be approved, so at the end of the month we will be much higher . And I personally am going to put a long one (I will share it in the following days)

In the seasonal stage of $BTC of the previous two bull markets, so seasonally in the year 2020 what we got to see was an upward bounce and a fall.
And in 2016 a laterilization and then a fall.

So in the profile we already saw that due to the progress of the halving it is possible that we already saw the annual minimums, but here in seasonality, it is more variable if we see increases or decreases, taking into account the past

$BTC Month End Outlook

We are currently oversold and as you know we have already touched 60k and we are rising today, so I somewhat rule out a big fall, and even if it starts to fall, we are already going to have a loss of dominance of btc over altcoins, but If we continue to rise this week, it is likely that we will have a more sideways market in altcoins.

It is very likely that if today, as is happening, we close positively and in the coming weeks we hit the ceiling again without breaking the decreasing highs with the approval of the ETFs, there is almost a 90% probability that we will be in a triangular figure that ends in October, so this week's lows were wave 3, in some 3 or 4 we return to the high part of the range with the ETFs, for the following month of August and September return to this low part and reach wave 5 that ends the triangle.

This is my point of view for these months, so even if this month is positive, it is very likely that we will end the quarter at these current levels, without any increase that is too exponential.

So on a weekly basis it is very positive, because we are not at very low levels, and from this bad news that we have had this week, tomorrow we will begin an upward movement.
And when this triangle breaks we will go straight to 100k

So if we close above 61,500 today, we are going to have a positive week.

I noticed that recently a lot of people were interested in the fact that this quarter is historically not good.

So let's see why in the seasonality in the third quarter when it is the halving year, we see cleanings before a rise towards the moon.
So it is possible to be in these months, until October, in falls of #btc y sideways, but it is also beginning to lose dominance.

But the good thing is that in the fourth quarter is when we see the beginning of a tremendously bullish period and the start of the altseason.
And as BTC begins to lose dominance, maybe this quarter the majority of alts are going to recover.
Although currently at least I have taken my money out of dinocoins and I am starting to put it into ecosystems that I see a good future in, such as $HBAR and $RNDR , and in coins that I see have excellent technical performance, such as $PEPE .

So remember that this quarter is not historically bullish, but it is the last few months to fill your portfolios before parabolic rises, but it is still important to position yourself in assets that can achieve a better performance, although currently they are so punished that it is a good price

We currently have 4.8% progress on the halving (100% is when the next one arrives in 2028).

Here in the orange band we see that in the first of 2013, we were up 5% when that big rise began.
In 2016, after a correction of 35%~40%, an increase began, and from the point of view of that progress compared to the current one, we had already seen the minimums.
In 2020 we saw a strong rise due to this same progress, and it achieved a 20% drop almost a month later.

So currently we are no longer going to reach falls much greater than the current ones, and around 56k we saw the minimums of this cycle and year. (anything can happen, but taking into account that in the other 3 halvings it did not happen; it is very unlikely)
$BTC

What is appropriate to do until we start going up (in the bull run)?

The most recommended thing is to stop positioning in longs if we end up using very high leverages (for example, in my last losing operation it was a long that I put at 65k of $5,000 dollars with a leverage of 125x and they settled me at 59.9k)

I also noticed that perhaps we should start trading at $ETH as it is noticeably much stronger.

So it is very likely that we will continue with this range between 60 and 70, until the beginning of September, when we will begin to rise.

What is the most important thing for bitcoin to start rising week after week and start the altseason.

Since it is always good to have a portfolio focused on the longer term or to take profits at least until the beginning of the next year.

1.- the lowering of rates in the United States: since a bull market is going to begin in all sectors.

2.- The cycle and the moment after the halving

3.- seasonalities

4.- the elections of trump and biden

5.- the demand for investment funds and more institutional funds

So when we have all these September~October, we will be in full bull run

$BTC

The performance of #bitcoin is starting to be overshadowed by
#eth and #Sol as enthusiasm for #ETF shifts towards these smaller cap assets.

And even today, Saturday, we had news about the ETH s-1 format that the SEC returned and more requests for the SOL ETF.

It is very likely that this July 2 the ETF of $ETH will no longer be approved, but the SEC has already returned the S-1 form to those who are going to be issuers of the spot ETF, they did not complain about things but they returned them with some comments.

So it is possible that during the week we will see an increase in #eth .

Something important that is going to happen this month of July in some cryptos.
This month some coins will be unlocked, many were blocked by events and generating staking.
They are the following:
$DYDX
$SUI
Io
Xai
IMX
APT
#STRK
$DYDX
SARB
#AXS
APE
#PIXEL
#WLD
#SALT

Personally, the only one I have of these is Sui, and it will be interesting if these currencies and unlocks affect these ecosystems.
Since it is almost 750 million dollars.

How to use compound interest
For example, not all investments generate compound interest (unless you reinvest over and over again)
Like a mining machine #bitcoin if you spend 1000$ and it generates 150$ every year, compound interest is not being created, or with a machine that sells gum, if you spend 200$ and it generates 100$ per year, they may be high returns, but interest is not being applied compound.
First year $250
Second years $250
Third year $250

But for example if you buy #bitcoin and one share and they give you a return of
30% annually.
The first year you invested $1,200
For the second you will have $1,560
The third 2028$ y will continue to grow like this on your capital at the moment.

That is why it is important that in investments with compound interest you invest most of your capital as soon as possible and create passive income little by little.

Of course there are strategies like DCA and putting your cryptos clearly in Earn.

Good news.
The judge overseeing the CZ case in the United States has dismissed the SEC charges against CZ and Binance.

The charges that were withdrawn are mainly in second sales and Earn.

And this marks a victory in the trials and not for Binance, but also for crypto.

At the same time, it is good news for #bnb and for its price stability.