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US core PCE records two-year low!
Tonight’s core PCE announced values are too accurate! It actually reaches 6 digits after the decimal point!
Expected value 3.5%
Published value 3.462924%
Previous value 3.7%
PCE hit a two-year low in October!
This indicates that the probability that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates in December is further improved!
It’s a perfect end to November! #pce
Tonight’s core PCE announced values are too accurate! It actually reaches 6 digits after the decimal point!
Expected value 3.5%
Published value 3.462924%
Previous value 3.7%
PCE hit a two-year low in October!
This indicates that the probability that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates in December is further improved!
It’s a perfect end to November! #pce
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The annual rate of the US core PCE price index in March was 2.8%, and the expected rate was 2.7%
#pce
#pce
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If there are no good projects tomorrow, let's talk about macro issues😂
#pce
#pce
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Asking questions is mining, Binance investment ChatGPT to Earn, Aggregata interactive tutorial 📕 Laobai Coin Circle Diary (13th issue)
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Cryptocurrency Evening Summary
1. AI-enhanced drones land on the Ukrainian battlefield: Ukraine has deployed AI drones capable of autonomously striking Russian targets through signal interference navigation. This marks a new phase in the technological race with Russia. Reportedly, the strike rate of the AI drones is as high as 80%, significantly improving the success rate of operations.
2.5 billion dollars! #SUPERMICRO's plummet triggers #AI stock warnings: Since joining the #S&P 500 index, Supermicro's stock price has fallen over 70%, now facing delisting from Nasdaq. The AI hype surrounding Nvidia-related stocks is under strict scrutiny, especially for AI-related tech stocks like Supermicro that are facing increasing regulatory and compliance concerns, while #META's stock price fell by 3%.
2.5 billion dollars! #SUPERMICRO's plummet triggers #AI stock warnings: Since joining the #S&P 500 index, Supermicro's stock price has fallen over 70%, now facing delisting from Nasdaq. The AI hype surrounding Nvidia-related stocks is under strict scrutiny, especially for AI-related tech stocks like Supermicro that are facing increasing regulatory and compliance concerns, while #META's stock price fell by 3%.
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Attention! Attention! Attention!
The PCE price index data for May in the United States will be released at 8:30 tonight. PCE is the most concerned inflation data of the Federal Reserve, without a doubt, and will directly affect the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
PCE is the abbreviation of Personal Consumption Expenditures, which is an important economic indicator to measure the spending of American consumers on goods and services. The PCE index, especially the core PCE index, is regarded by the Federal Reserve as one of the key indicators for measuring inflation.
Composition of the PCE index
The PCE index covers a wide range of goods and services, including durable goods (such as automobiles and appliances), non-durable goods (such as food and clothing), and services (such as health care and financial services).
From the specific composition ratio in the figure below, we can see that
● Housing 19.4%
● Medical 16.5%
● Gasoline and other energy 10.7%
● Financial services and insurance 8.4%
These four are the most important in the PCE price index, accounting for 55%!
In May, the U.S. second-hand housing contract volume index and existing home contract sales index both fell more than expected; U.S. oil prices also fell slightly, lower than in April; second-hand car insurance contracts also fell. Overall, PCE will decline in May.
The forecast value is 2.6, which is indeed 0.2 lower than 2.8 in April.
From the perspective of the impact on risky assets, the probability of PCE rising is very low, and it is likely to meet or be lower than the forecast value, which will bring certain benefits.
Wait for the PCE data tonight!
Creation is not easy, welcome to like and forward!
#PCE物价指数 #PCE数据 #pce
The PCE price index data for May in the United States will be released at 8:30 tonight. PCE is the most concerned inflation data of the Federal Reserve, without a doubt, and will directly affect the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
PCE is the abbreviation of Personal Consumption Expenditures, which is an important economic indicator to measure the spending of American consumers on goods and services. The PCE index, especially the core PCE index, is regarded by the Federal Reserve as one of the key indicators for measuring inflation.
Composition of the PCE index
The PCE index covers a wide range of goods and services, including durable goods (such as automobiles and appliances), non-durable goods (such as food and clothing), and services (such as health care and financial services).
From the specific composition ratio in the figure below, we can see that
● Housing 19.4%
● Medical 16.5%
● Gasoline and other energy 10.7%
● Financial services and insurance 8.4%
These four are the most important in the PCE price index, accounting for 55%!
In May, the U.S. second-hand housing contract volume index and existing home contract sales index both fell more than expected; U.S. oil prices also fell slightly, lower than in April; second-hand car insurance contracts also fell. Overall, PCE will decline in May.
The forecast value is 2.6, which is indeed 0.2 lower than 2.8 in April.
From the perspective of the impact on risky assets, the probability of PCE rising is very low, and it is likely to meet or be lower than the forecast value, which will bring certain benefits.
Wait for the PCE data tonight!
Creation is not easy, welcome to like and forward!
#PCE物价指数 #PCE数据 #pce
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#pce
At 8:30 pm, the US announced the core PCE price index. The previous value of the data was 2.8%, and the forecast value was 2.6%. If the published value is lower than the expected value, it will be bearish for the US dollar and bullish for non-US currencies. It will be bearish for Treasury yields. It will be bullish for rate cut expectations and bearish for rate hike expectations. It will be bullish for risk markets and bullish for cryptocurrency markets. $BTC
At 8:30 pm, the US announced the core PCE price index. The previous value of the data was 2.8%, and the forecast value was 2.6%. If the published value is lower than the expected value, it will be bearish for the US dollar and bullish for non-US currencies. It will be bearish for Treasury yields. It will be bullish for rate cut expectations and bearish for rate hike expectations. It will be bullish for risk markets and bullish for cryptocurrency markets. $BTC
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Why are you not making money in trading???
Friends who do trading should have a deep feeling. Do you think the current market is more difficult to play than last month?
Last month, at least everything was falling. Now, some are rising, some are falling, and it's a mess.
If you are greedy and want to go long and short, you may get hit on both ends.
This is the difficulty of trading. Many people think trading is too simple and think that the market is giving them money.
The counter-intuitive nature of trading: 95% of intuitions and insights are invalid.
The big fake looks like the real thing, the market may go crazy or become a Buddha.
Whether you are a rookie entering the market or a veteran who already has a relatively stable trading system, it is difficult to guarantee that you will constantly come up with some new trading ideas during the trading session.
Last month, at least everything was falling. Now, some are rising, some are falling, and it's a mess.
If you are greedy and want to go long and short, you may get hit on both ends.
This is the difficulty of trading. Many people think trading is too simple and think that the market is giving them money.
The counter-intuitive nature of trading: 95% of intuitions and insights are invalid.
The big fake looks like the real thing, the market may go crazy or become a Buddha.
Whether you are a rookie entering the market or a veteran who already has a relatively stable trading system, it is difficult to guarantee that you will constantly come up with some new trading ideas during the trading session.
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Important upcoming events are as follows:
September 23: The U.S. House of Representatives will hold a hearing on cryptocurrency, focusing on decentralized finance (DeFi) and many other cryptocurrency-related issues. This discussion may lay the foundation for future regulatory policies for the industry.
September 27: U.S. core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data will be released. As one of the key indicators for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy formulation, this data may significantly affect the market's expectations for the future direction of the Federal Reserve's policy.
September 29: Binance founder CZ will be released from custody. His return may have certain fluctuations and impact on the cryptocurrency market, and investors need to pay close attention to market reactions.
#DEFİ #pce
September 23: The U.S. House of Representatives will hold a hearing on cryptocurrency, focusing on decentralized finance (DeFi) and many other cryptocurrency-related issues. This discussion may lay the foundation for future regulatory policies for the industry.
September 27: U.S. core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data will be released. As one of the key indicators for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy formulation, this data may significantly affect the market's expectations for the future direction of the Federal Reserve's policy.
September 29: Binance founder CZ will be released from custody. His return may have certain fluctuations and impact on the cryptocurrency market, and investors need to pay close attention to market reactions.
#DEFİ #pce
#Bitcoin is on the rise! 🔥
After the PCE data* came in below expectations, Bitcoin started to rise and the price rose above the $95,000 level. Probability is that the FED will leave interest rates unchanged in January 2025
👉The PCE index is considered by the Fed to be the most accurate measure of inflation.
*personal consumption expenditures data for November were as follows:
Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (YoY) Announced 2.8% – Expected 2.9% – Previous 2.8%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Monthly) Announced 0.1%– Expected 0.2% – Previous 0.3%
Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Annual) Announced 2.4% – Expected 2.5% – Previous 2.3%
Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Monthly) Announced 0.1% – Expected 0.2% – Previous 0.2%
#BTC #PCE
After the PCE data* came in below expectations, Bitcoin started to rise and the price rose above the $95,000 level. Probability is that the FED will leave interest rates unchanged in January 2025
👉The PCE index is considered by the Fed to be the most accurate measure of inflation.
*personal consumption expenditures data for November were as follows:
Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (YoY) Announced 2.8% – Expected 2.9% – Previous 2.8%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Monthly) Announced 0.1%– Expected 0.2% – Previous 0.3%
Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Annual) Announced 2.4% – Expected 2.5% – Previous 2.3%
Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Monthly) Announced 0.1% – Expected 0.2% – Previous 0.2%
#BTC #PCE
Most of the #memecoins had a retracement today, such as $SHIB $BONK this movement is healthy because we where overbought and we need a retracement to be able to keep going to retest all time high levels of this meme coins. Now the #rsi looks better to keep with our upside trend.
Will see what happens tomorrow with the economical reports #pce , and how the #fed will take it
Will see what happens tomorrow with the economical reports #pce , and how the #fed will take it
PCE better than market expectations. #fed may get happy with #pce at 0.2 for the month of April Hopefully the fed will increase the possibility to cut interest rate on September. In addition, the spending unexpectedly drop. The Fed will need more proofs that the inflation will increase to a slower pace to be able to cut rates finally and make the markets happy.
The $btc move slightly higher, but after Wall Street opened when back to test the 67.800 level. The #rsi is at a level where we can see an opportunity tu the upside, I spect #BTC☀ will test the all time highs next week.
Pay attention to $JASMY $SUI and $NOT they have very interesting news that will open a great possibility
The $btc move slightly higher, but after Wall Street opened when back to test the 67.800 level. The #rsi is at a level where we can see an opportunity tu the upside, I spect #BTC☀ will test the all time highs next week.
Pay attention to $JASMY $SUI and $NOT they have very interesting news that will open a great possibility
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Tonight, the market's focus will be on the release of the PCE price index, which indicates that an important market turmoil is about to unfold.
The PCE price index is an economic indicator closely watched by the Federal Reserve, and its results will directly affect the market's expectations of whether there will be a rate cut in September. If the data is lower than expected, the market may regard it as a positive signal; conversely, it may bring negative sentiment. Even if the data is in line with expectations, it may be regarded as a slight positive by the market because it shows that the pressure of price increases has eased.
The previous CPI data unexpectedly showed a positive trend, which made the market have high expectations for tonight's PCE price index, and the market is expected to be more inclined to good results. I hope that tonight's market performance will not disappoint.
Want to know more about the first-hand information and in-depth analysis of the currency circle? Hurry up and click on the avatar to see my introduction to the industry, bringing you the latest market analysis and high-quality potential currency recommendations every day! ! !
#pce #PCE物价指数 #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF #以太坊ETF批准预期
The PCE price index is an economic indicator closely watched by the Federal Reserve, and its results will directly affect the market's expectations of whether there will be a rate cut in September. If the data is lower than expected, the market may regard it as a positive signal; conversely, it may bring negative sentiment. Even if the data is in line with expectations, it may be regarded as a slight positive by the market because it shows that the pressure of price increases has eased.
The previous CPI data unexpectedly showed a positive trend, which made the market have high expectations for tonight's PCE price index, and the market is expected to be more inclined to good results. I hope that tonight's market performance will not disappoint.
Want to know more about the first-hand information and in-depth analysis of the currency circle? Hurry up and click on the avatar to see my introduction to the industry, bringing you the latest market analysis and high-quality potential currency recommendations every day! ! !
#pce #PCE物价指数 #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF #以太坊ETF批准预期
I published the entries for three times, which are accurate to the single-digit.
I was afraid that you would miss these entries, so I published them for three times repeatedly. If you didn’t make money this time, syou can’t accuse me of being a secong guesser.
The first entry price of short orders was published on the night when I posted my article, and I was short at 3482, and the price fell to 3353 on Saturday.
The second entry price of short orders was 3524 and we successfully entered the market yesterday, hitting the second resisitance level I gave, and the current price is 3423 today.
Some new followers don’ t get to know me and undertand my trading style, so I showed you my trading straetgies and best trading skill clearly.#Nonfarm #BinanceTournament #pce
I was afraid that you would miss these entries, so I published them for three times repeatedly. If you didn’t make money this time, syou can’t accuse me of being a secong guesser.
The first entry price of short orders was published on the night when I posted my article, and I was short at 3482, and the price fell to 3353 on Saturday.
The second entry price of short orders was 3524 and we successfully entered the market yesterday, hitting the second resisitance level I gave, and the current price is 3423 today.
Some new followers don’ t get to know me and undertand my trading style, so I showed you my trading straetgies and best trading skill clearly.#Nonfarm #BinanceTournament #pce
The most important data in June is about to be released!!
The market movemnt is fluctuating greatly‼
BTC and ETH may face major changes in market situation‼
As mentioned before, the first resisitance level of ETH is 3482, and the second resisitance level is from 3516 to 3559. If ETH breaks through these resistance levels, the bulls are formed. If ETH moves in a pin bar pattern without breaking these resistance levels, the downward trend will continue.
This time, PCE is the last important data in June, which will play a key role in the Federal Reserve interest rates cut decision in July.
The overall market of Bitcoin has experienced a slow and continous decline for a month and then it fell below the 60,000. Currently, it has consoliadted with an osciliation after a rally to near 61,000. it is obvious that Ethereum’s movement is relatively stronger than BTC after an increase for three days. It also experiences an oscilliation in a narrow range. Only when the data to be released can the next major market will happen. According to the overall PCE data, the release of PCE datait may be a positive factor , so it is possible that the market will usher in a wave of increase after the release of PCE. Or it will quickly experience an upward trend in a pin bar pattern first then it will fall again. According to the previous market, however, PCE has repeatedly shown that if doing trade against its data, the data is a favorbale factor .#VaneckMemecoinIndex #PCE #BinanceTournament
The market movemnt is fluctuating greatly‼
BTC and ETH may face major changes in market situation‼
As mentioned before, the first resisitance level of ETH is 3482, and the second resisitance level is from 3516 to 3559. If ETH breaks through these resistance levels, the bulls are formed. If ETH moves in a pin bar pattern without breaking these resistance levels, the downward trend will continue.
This time, PCE is the last important data in June, which will play a key role in the Federal Reserve interest rates cut decision in July.
The overall market of Bitcoin has experienced a slow and continous decline for a month and then it fell below the 60,000. Currently, it has consoliadted with an osciliation after a rally to near 61,000. it is obvious that Ethereum’s movement is relatively stronger than BTC after an increase for three days. It also experiences an oscilliation in a narrow range. Only when the data to be released can the next major market will happen. According to the overall PCE data, the release of PCE datait may be a positive factor , so it is possible that the market will usher in a wave of increase after the release of PCE. Or it will quickly experience an upward trend in a pin bar pattern first then it will fall again. According to the previous market, however, PCE has repeatedly shown that if doing trade against its data, the data is a favorbale factor .#VaneckMemecoinIndex #PCE #BinanceTournament
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$BTC $ETH
#pce #IPC #Fed
SP500 falls to PCE
US PCE data for April will be released today at 2:30 p.m.
The release of US PCE inflation data for April is the key data of the day. The report will be published at 2:30 p.m. and will also include monthly data on personal income and expenses. The data is expected to show no change in the annual pace of headline and core inflation. However, even if the data surprises moderately, it may not have much impact on the path of Fed rates. Let's take a quick look at what to expect from today's data!
What to expect from the report?
US April PCE data is expected to show headline and core inflation metrics remaining unchanged at March levels. Furthermore, the pace of monthly price increases is expected to be the same as the previous month. That said, inflation is expected to remain above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. If US inflation remains at its current monthly pace, it will miss central banks' target this year, and will likely accelerate again in the second half of 2024 due to base effects.
Report for the month of April
General (annual). Expected: 2.7% year-on-year. Previous: 2.7%.
General (monthly). Expected: 0.3% month-on-month. Previous: 0.3%.
Underlying (annual). Expected: 2.8% year-on-year. Previous: 2.8%.
Underlying (monthly). Expected: 0.3% month-on-month. Previous: 0.3%.
Personal income. Expected: 0.3% month-on-month. Previous: 0.5%.
Personal expenses. Expected: 0.3% month-on-month. Previous: 0.8%.
#pce #IPC #Fed
SP500 falls to PCE
US PCE data for April will be released today at 2:30 p.m.
The release of US PCE inflation data for April is the key data of the day. The report will be published at 2:30 p.m. and will also include monthly data on personal income and expenses. The data is expected to show no change in the annual pace of headline and core inflation. However, even if the data surprises moderately, it may not have much impact on the path of Fed rates. Let's take a quick look at what to expect from today's data!
What to expect from the report?
US April PCE data is expected to show headline and core inflation metrics remaining unchanged at March levels. Furthermore, the pace of monthly price increases is expected to be the same as the previous month. That said, inflation is expected to remain above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. If US inflation remains at its current monthly pace, it will miss central banks' target this year, and will likely accelerate again in the second half of 2024 due to base effects.
Report for the month of April
General (annual). Expected: 2.7% year-on-year. Previous: 2.7%.
General (monthly). Expected: 0.3% month-on-month. Previous: 0.3%.
Underlying (annual). Expected: 2.8% year-on-year. Previous: 2.8%.
Underlying (monthly). Expected: 0.3% month-on-month. Previous: 0.3%.
Personal income. Expected: 0.3% month-on-month. Previous: 0.5%.
Personal expenses. Expected: 0.3% month-on-month. Previous: 0.8%.