IP project analysis: The decline has bottomed out, and the rebound opportunities have increased greatly!
1. Current trend analysis: After the launch, the price of IP has continued to decline. After the recent launch of IP, the price has been falling all the way. This is more common in newly launched projects, mainly because the selling pressure of the first round of launch has increased, and the market needs time to adjust. Support area has been reached: The current price is approaching the key support level of 1.85U. This position is the concentration area of chips in the early stage and has strong technical support.
2. Technical level insight: In the oversold area: RSI indicator shows oversold; volume continues to shrink: When the price falls, the trading volume continues to decrease, the selling pressure gradually disappears, and the short-selling force is close to the limit.
3. Operation strategy guidance: Entry point: A small amount of position can be opened near the current price of 1.85U to seize the rebound opportunity. Stop loss setting: Strictly set the stop loss near 1.7U. Once the support is broken, the rebound expectation will fail. Target range: The first short-term target is 2.0 - 2.1U (previous pressure level); if it breaks through, it can further look to 2.3U (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level).
4. Market logic interpretation: High online activity: New coins are often listed in the "high opening and low closing" or "low opening and high closing" shock stage, and the negative decline of IP is a normal market performance. Strong anticipation of rebound: With the release of selling pressure, bottom-fishing funds enter the market, and a rebound is expected in the short term.
On Friday, February 14, 2025, the daily selected news is as follows:
1. Most sectors of the crypto market fell back, but the PayFi sector rose against the trend by 2.96%.
2. Zhao Changpeng's dog is named Broccoli. The market value of Broccoli based on BSC is currently 82 million US dollars, down 13.45% in the past hour.
3. The creator of Broccoli tokens earned 9517 times the profit in just 24 minutes, with a profit of about 6.72 million US dollars.
4. Half of the cryptocurrency exchange stores in Hong Kong implement real-name transactions, and purchases with cash of 120,000 Hong Kong dollars or more must be registered.
5. Warpcast launched a new function, and the information flow token symbol or CA can jump to the holder's volunteer activity page.
6. Coinbase released its financial report, with revenue of 6.6 billion US dollars in 2024 and revenue of 2.3 billion US dollars in the fourth quarter.
7. WLFI spent millions of dollars to buy MOVE and WBTC 3 hours ago.
8. Jupiter announced that the share repurchase will start next week, and 50% of the agreement fee will be used to purchase JUP and lock it up for 3 years.
At 9:30 tonight, the United States will release the number of initial jobless claims for the week. The impact of this data on Bitcoin cannot be underestimated, mainly reflected in the following two aspects:
Market sentiment and capital flows - Higher than expected: It shows that the US job market is worse than expected and the economy is under pressure. Investors' confidence in the traditional financial market has been frustrated, and some funds will flow to the currency circle, which is regarded as an alternative investment. Bitcoin buying has increased, market sentiment has improved, and the price of the currency has risen. - Lower than expected: It shows that the US job market is stable and the economic situation is good. Investors have increased confidence in the traditional financial market, and funds tend to stay in the traditional financial field. Bitcoin has received less attention and capital investment, and the price is facing downward pressure.
Relationship with macroeconomic policies - Monetary policy: This data is a key indicator of the US labor market and will affect the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. If the number of unemployment claims increases, the Federal Reserve may maintain or increase the easing of monetary policy, such as cutting interest rates and increasing money supply. More liquidity funds may flow into risky assets such as Bitcoin, driving up the price of the currency. - Regulatory policy: When the economy is unstable, the government may focus on economic recovery and relax regulation of the cryptocurrency market, which is conducive to the development of the Bitcoin market. However, if the volatility of the cryptocurrency market is considered to affect economic stability, the government may strengthen regulation, which will be bearish for Bitcoin.
Let's take a look at the trend of Bitcoin at a small level. The current price continues to fluctuate. After the CPI data was released last night, the price first spiked continuously and then quickly rebounded.
At present, the price has once again reached the upper edge of the short-term downward channel, which is a key position. If it cannot be effectively broken through, the price will most likely continue to fluctuate, and the longer the fluctuation time, the stronger the subsequent rise may be, and there are also profit opportunities at a small level.
If the price touches the upper support level again, you can consider continuing to go long and stop profit when it reaches the upper edge. The lower support range is between 94,000 and 95,000 US dollars. Every time this range is touched, there is a high probability of a rebound, and you can also consider going long. For now, we will operate according to this pattern.
In 2016, you missed $ETH In 2017, you missed $ADA In 2018, you missed $BNB In 2019, you missed $LINK In 2020, you missed $DOT In 2021, you missed $SHIB In 2022, you missed $USDT In 2023, you missed $PEPE In 2024, you missed $BGB In 2025, don't miss ______?
1. Overall Market Situation Currently, Bitcoin is in a volatile state, while altcoins are generally rebounding. Notably, MicroStrategy continues to invest $700 million to increase its Bitcoin holdings. At the same time, U.S. stocks have experienced a rebound, and gold prices have hit a new high.
2. Market Hot Spots 1. AI Sector Dynamics: The AI sector has overall rebounded, with cookie, ai16z, arc, fartcoin, and others attracting much attention. Arc plans to create a launch platform similar to pump. Previously, the AI sector had generally declined by 80% from its peak.
2. BSC Chain Project Performance: Projects on the BSC chain, such as bnx, burger, and cookie, have all rebounded to varying degrees.
In the morning session, Bitcoin rose to around 97100, then retraced to around 95200, subsequently rising in a stair-step manner to around 97800, currently fluctuating around 97600.
Ethereum rose to around 2658 in the morning session, then fell back to around 2560, and then gradually increased to around 2660, currently oscillating around 2645.
From the current four-hour trend structure, the bullish strength of Bitcoin has increased, as the price is under pressure when it approaches the upper boundary. The MACD indicator is gradually moving upwards, and the KDJ indicator is opening upwards. Attention should be paid to the resistance level near 98000 above, and the support level near 96800 below, with secondary attention to around 95500. From the one-hour trend structure, the bullish box for Bitcoin is nearing its peak, with bullish volume diminishing, and the price operating near the upper boundary. Below, attention should be paid to around 96500, while short-term focus is on around 97200.
Evening trading suggestions: Enter long when Bitcoin retraces to around 97200 - 96900, targeting 98500 - 98800. Enter long when Ethereum retraces to around 2635 - 2600, targeting 2690 - 2720.
This Wednesday at 21:30 Beijing time, the highly anticipated CPI data will be released, but market expectations vary greatly. Specifically, the market expects a monthly rate of 0.3% and an annual rate of 2.9%.
After the data is released, it is essential to pay close attention to details related to housing inflation, as this is the key point for accurately interpreting the data.
As the saying goes, "troubles do not come alone," and we can't help but wonder whether the CPI data will validate Murphy's Law, which states that "if something can go wrong, it probably will, no matter how low the likelihood of that happening is." Let's wait for the data to be revealed together.
Dive into the cryptocurrency world, keeping these five key points in mind:
1. Reshape your mindset: Treat trading as an interesting adventure game, not overly concerned with immediate profits and losses. Maintaining a calm and relaxed state of mind will help you respond more rationally to market changes.
2. Plan your funds wisely: Always use idle funds for trading. These funds, even if lost entirely, will not interfere with your daily life, allowing you to trade without heavy burdens and to move freely.
3. Learn and grow quickly: Master various practical technical indicators and trading strategies as soon as possible. Validate your learning through continuous practice, summarize experiences and lessons in a timely manner, and continuously enhance your trading skills.
4. Be cautious when starting your first trade: The first trade is crucial, so be well-prepared. You can practice using a simulated trading system to familiarize yourself with the trading process and market fluctuations, and once you have accumulated enough experience, you can enter real trading.
5. Prioritize the safety of your principal: Try to continue trading with profits earned; this approach can make your trading mindset more relaxed and your operations more skillful, effectively reducing psychological pressure.
In the spring of 2023, the average daily trading volume reached 400 billion, which seems unusual;
In the spring of 2024, the average daily trading volume dropped to 260 billion, which is also unusual;
By the spring of 2025, the average daily trading volume had further decreased to 70 billion, becoming even more unusual, and now liquidity is only 38 billion, exacerbating the unusual situation, and market funds are increasingly scarce.
Currently, the market capitalization of stablecoins is about twice that of the bull market in 2021, coincidentally, the market capitalization of BTC is also about twice that of the bull market in 2021.
Does this mean that the newly influxed stablecoins merely boosted the price of BTC, while ETH and other altcoins can only watch BTC “dance” alone?
#非农就业数据来袭 #你看好哪一个山寨币ETF将通过? 5 years of experience in the cryptocurrency field, feel free to consult on any issues, and those who want to progress together with me, check my profile.
Next week, Bitcoin (BTC) will face three challenges.
First, at 23:00 next Wednesday, Powell will give testimony on the future path of the Fed's interest rate cuts, and this statement is likely to cause panic in the market.
Second, at 21:30 next Wednesday, the US CPI and core CPI data for January will be released. If the data is lower than expected, it will be good for the market; conversely, if the data is higher than expected, the market will face negative news.
In addition, a large number of Bitcoins were withdrawn by whale investors after bottom-fishing this week. As of now, it is expected that the Bitcoin market will not rise sharply on Wednesday.
However, if there is no major negative news from these three major events next week, the Bitcoin market is likely to improve rapidly, and there is even a chance to hit the price high again.
5 years of experience in the currency circle, you can consult any questions, and friends who want to make progress together with Jiaqungouliu can see my introduction to the industry #非农就业数据来袭 #币安Alpha上新
Since the big 🫓 spike on February 3rd, the market quickly 📉 turned to a fluctuating rebound, and currently, it is still in the 📉 post-rebound phase. The key to this shift is that the short-term decline has released the market's accumulated momentum, and the market is entering a slow recovery phase.
Overall, the market has not peaked; the bullish trend still exists. However, the middle process of the market will become more complex, with each rise followed by a correction, showing signs of increasingly intensified fluctuations. This is a typical characteristic after institutional funds enter the market. This also makes long-term holding more difficult, and medium to short-term traders need to respond more flexibly.
As for Ethereum and altcoins, they currently have not been able to break away from the big 🫓's influence, unable to form an independent market. Although opportunities are scarce, it cannot be completely ruled out that they may develop an independent market in the future. At present, they show no value preservation effect, and the situation for altcoins is particularly difficult. Even Ethereum, the 'second aunt' of Circle B, although its position is still difficult to shake, has not been able to escape the overall trend of the bull market in this round, still fluctuating within the 2000~4100 range.
Therefore, as long as Ethereum does not break through the 4100 mark, altcoins will struggle to form an independent market. But we must believe that as long as the bullish trend continues, Ethereum and the altcoin system behind it still have a great chance. I personally believe that Ethereum may be planning the next big move; as long as it holds steady at the key support of 2000, Ethereum will eventually bring everyone the long-awaited new high.
Although the market performed poorly in early 2025, the long-suppressed sentiment will eventually rebound, so let's give the market more confidence.
BTC breaks 100,000, but ETH's reaction is different:
First time breaking 100,000, ETH 4000 Second time breaking 100,000, ETH 3900 Third time breaking 100,000, ETH 3700 Fourth time breaking 100,000, ETH 3400
The US CPI data has been released, and the decline in core CPI is favorable. Coupled with Trump set to take office as president in four days, this data boosts expectations for interest rate cuts. These dual factors have led to a significant rebound in Bitcoin, approaching the 100,000 mark.
Everyone should stay alert and remember to take profits in time; I have reminded you multiple times before. If you lack experience, you can refer to the situation in 2024 when Bitcoin oscillated between 60,000 and 70,000 for half a year. Now, between 90,000 and 100,000, it has only oscillated for one month; you should get used to the strategy of compound returns through swing trading.
Today, the gameplay of AI-related on-chain assets is significantly different from that of purely meme assets in the past. The development of AI-related assets relies on professional teams for development and product creation; whereas pure meme assets may not require team support behind them.
AI-related assets must possess products that have product-market fit (PMF), and throughout their development cycle, they need to identify their positioning, construct narrative logic, and fully explore and maintain the market; pure meme assets, on the other hand, focus more on whether they align with certain ideas and gain community recognition, as well as their ability to follow trending topics.
In terms of chips, AI-related assets are usually more favorably controlled by teams, as this involves ongoing development, delivery, and ecological collaboration in project advancement; the control situation of pure meme assets is more complex, and during their development, there may be involvement from financiers and market makers, and there might even be changes in market makers.
There is no absolute superiority or inferiority between these two types of assets, but the criteria for judgment are entirely different and require in-depth understanding. On-chain assets are far from being as simple as an icon and a price curve. If one does not study carefully, the traps within are far more numerous than imagined.
In the past week, market sentiment has significantly declined. In particular, last night the price of Bitcoin (BTC) fell below the $90,000 psychological barrier (this price point is also the lowest since October), triggering market panic.
However, after breaking below, Bitcoin quickly gained liquidity support below and rebounded sharply. From the closing situation, this is considered a false breakdown, where the bears successfully induced a short squeeze, triggering the stop-loss of the bulls.
Last night's low is likely to become the bottom of this rebound, and I plan to make up for the previously reduced position in the next couple of days.
Some time ago, I participated in the trading of PINGO and FLOCK. Currently, PINGO is in a profitable state, while FLOCK is in a losing state. I will continue to monitor these two cryptocurrencies, and once they stop falling, I will conduct another replenishment operation.
#市场反弹预测 #微策略持续增持BTC 5 years of experience in the crypto market, feel free to consult me on any questions. For friends who want to improve together, check out my introduction.
Bitcoin's recent trend is closely related to the U.S. stock market, and it is in a state of shock most of the time. However, from the daily line, the overall trend is shocking and stepping back. Moreover, the 10-day exponential moving average (EMA10) is still below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA20), which shows that the short-selling force is slightly stronger.
As long as the daily closing price of Bitcoin fails to stand firm at the two pressure levels of $95,000 and $98,000, the short-selling trend will continue. Once the support level of $91,000 is effectively broken, investors should pay attention to the two support levels of $87,000 and $80,000.
Good morning everyone. In terms of the current situation, Bitcoin is still in the mid-stage of a bull market. However, the recent candlestick patterns have shown a "shrinking dark cloud cover" formation, which is usually a bearish signal. Fortunately, the support below is quite strong, so the focus going forward should be on whether there will be a volume expansion stop-loss signal to confirm whether the trend can stabilize.
Recently, expectations for interest rate cuts have weakened, and U.S. stocks have seen a downward trend, with overall market liquidity being tight. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin continues to maintain a sideways oscillation trend.
Tonight there are non-farm payroll data releases, and Bitcoin has returned to its previous starting point. It is currently at strong support, showing a trend of rebound.
Take the opportunity for a rebound, lightly position some spot trades to capture the bounce.
SUI's performance is also very strong; while other altcoins have dropped significantly, it has not fallen much.
Enter around the current price of SUI at 4.89, add to positions if it retraces to around 4.3, aiming for a target of over 30%