非农就业数据即将公布
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#非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC☀ Of course, the following is the polished and optimized version:
🚀🚀The script accurately stepped back to 62400, and the rebound came as expected🙋♂️
Under the accurate market prediction, when BTC reached 62650, we decisively guided everyone to stop the short orders near 63700, and followed closely, accurately capturing the rebound to 63500 predicted by Teacher Xinxin. In the past two months, our strategy has shown an amazing winning rate of 100%, which is undoubtedly the best proof of our professional insight. 💪
🔍🔍Future trend, emotion-driven
Next, the market trend may depend more on the change of emotion. In the short term, it is expected that the market will enter a 15-minute up and down oscillation mode. Whether it will rise first and then fall or fall first and then rise remains to be seen. But in any case, we will seize every suitable opportunity, make steady profits first, and then consider whether to expand the results. 📈
📊📊Strategy layout, flexible response
In view of the current situation, we recommend that on the 15-minute chart, long orders should be arranged in the range of 61740 to 61440, and short orders should be prepared in the range of 63900 to 64100. Please note that these operations should be mainly light positions, and stop losses should be strictly set to avoid excessive trading or holding positions. If the judgment is wrong, you can transfer to the 2-hour chart in time to find a better entry point. 🔍
🔽🔼Support and pressure, clear definition
On the more macro 2-hour chart, we have clearly marked the lower support level (59888 to 59388) and the upper pressure level (65800 to 66500). These key points will become an important reference for our subsequent operations. 📏
In short, in the face of a complex and changing market, we will continue to adhere to a cautious and flexible operation strategy, and strive to maximize profits under the premise of controllable risks. Let us work together to create brilliance! 🚀
🚀🚀The script accurately stepped back to 62400, and the rebound came as expected🙋♂️
Under the accurate market prediction, when BTC reached 62650, we decisively guided everyone to stop the short orders near 63700, and followed closely, accurately capturing the rebound to 63500 predicted by Teacher Xinxin. In the past two months, our strategy has shown an amazing winning rate of 100%, which is undoubtedly the best proof of our professional insight. 💪
🔍🔍Future trend, emotion-driven
Next, the market trend may depend more on the change of emotion. In the short term, it is expected that the market will enter a 15-minute up and down oscillation mode. Whether it will rise first and then fall or fall first and then rise remains to be seen. But in any case, we will seize every suitable opportunity, make steady profits first, and then consider whether to expand the results. 📈
📊📊Strategy layout, flexible response
In view of the current situation, we recommend that on the 15-minute chart, long orders should be arranged in the range of 61740 to 61440, and short orders should be prepared in the range of 63900 to 64100. Please note that these operations should be mainly light positions, and stop losses should be strictly set to avoid excessive trading or holding positions. If the judgment is wrong, you can transfer to the 2-hour chart in time to find a better entry point. 🔍
🔽🔼Support and pressure, clear definition
On the more macro 2-hour chart, we have clearly marked the lower support level (59888 to 59388) and the upper pressure level (65800 to 66500). These key points will become an important reference for our subsequent operations. 📏
In short, in the face of a complex and changing market, we will continue to adhere to a cautious and flexible operation strategy, and strive to maximize profits under the premise of controllable risks. Let us work together to create brilliance! 🚀
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Rate cut in September? Powell reveals important clues
Last night, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made an important speech. Let me interpret it for you and see what it means to us.
Powell first mentioned the decline in inflation, saying that we are currently in an environment of declining inflation, which means that the Fed is now satisfied with the progress of inflation returning to 2%. Therefore, bonds rose on the news, yields fell, and at the same time the US dollar fell slightly, both of which are bullish for gold, and gold rose. Powell's next statement is more important. He mentioned the job market and emphasized that the Fed has a dual mission. In fact, in addition to Powell, the president of the Chicago Fed also mentioned the dual mission that night, namely stable prices and full employment. The Fed seems to be starting to shift its focus to the employment mission, and if there is an unexpected deterioration in the job market, it may prompt them to take action. So last night during Powell's speech, the JOLTS employment report that exceeded expectations was released, causing bond prices to fall slightly, bond yields to rise slightly, and the US dollar also lost its downward momentum and began to rise, which in turn suppressed gold and virtual currencies.
Powell first mentioned the decline in inflation, saying that we are currently in an environment of declining inflation, which means that the Fed is now satisfied with the progress of inflation returning to 2%. Therefore, bonds rose on the news, yields fell, and at the same time the US dollar fell slightly, both of which are bullish for gold, and gold rose. Powell's next statement is more important. He mentioned the job market and emphasized that the Fed has a dual mission. In fact, in addition to Powell, the president of the Chicago Fed also mentioned the dual mission that night, namely stable prices and full employment. The Fed seems to be starting to shift its focus to the employment mission, and if there is an unexpected deterioration in the job market, it may prompt them to take action. So last night during Powell's speech, the JOLTS employment report that exceeded expectations was released, causing bond prices to fall slightly, bond yields to rise slightly, and the US dollar also lost its downward momentum and began to rise, which in turn suppressed gold and virtual currencies.
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Four ways futures traders can use leverage to avoid liquidation
Occasionally, headlines emerge about liquidations of $100 million or more in Bitcoin and cryptocurrency futures contracts, leading novice investors and non-expert analysts to point to excessive leverage as the culprit. Gamblers are undoubtedly largely responsible for these high-risk bets, especially when liquidations are concentrated on retail-oriented exchanges such as Bybit and Binance, but not every futures liquidation is the result of reckless use of leverage.
However, not all futures liquidations are caused by leverage.
Some trading strategies used by professionals can also be liquidated during sudden, dramatic price movements, but this does not necessarily represent a loss or a sign of excessive leverage. CME, OKX, and Deribit typically display much lower liquidation ratios than retail-oriented exchanges, indicating that these traders often employ more advanced strategies. Using the futures market, especially perpetual contracts (inverse swaps), is relatively simple. Almost every cryptocurrency exchange offers 20x or higher leverage and requires only an initial deposit, the so-called margin. However, unlike regular spot trading, futures contracts cannot be withdrawn from the exchange. These leveraged futures contracts are synthetic, but they also offer the possibility of shorting, i.e., betting on a price drop. These derivatives offer unique advantages and can improve a trader's results, but overconfident traders rarely make a profit in the medium to long term. To avoid falling into this psychological trap, professional traders often employ four different strategies to maximize profits, rather than relying solely on directional trading.
However, not all futures liquidations are caused by leverage.
Some trading strategies used by professionals can also be liquidated during sudden, dramatic price movements, but this does not necessarily represent a loss or a sign of excessive leverage. CME, OKX, and Deribit typically display much lower liquidation ratios than retail-oriented exchanges, indicating that these traders often employ more advanced strategies. Using the futures market, especially perpetual contracts (inverse swaps), is relatively simple. Almost every cryptocurrency exchange offers 20x or higher leverage and requires only an initial deposit, the so-called margin. However, unlike regular spot trading, futures contracts cannot be withdrawn from the exchange. These leveraged futures contracts are synthetic, but they also offer the possibility of shorting, i.e., betting on a price drop. These derivatives offer unique advantages and can improve a trader's results, but overconfident traders rarely make a profit in the medium to long term. To avoid falling into this psychological trap, professional traders often employ four different strategies to maximize profits, rather than relying solely on directional trading.
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Economic data and stock market dynamics last Friday
U.S. economic data: The U.S. core PCE price index for May, released last Friday, recorded an annual rate of 2.6%, the smallest increase since 2017. This data has triggered traders to increase expectations of a Fed rate cut.
Stock market performance: The Nasdaq 100 index broke through the 20,000 mark for the first time during the session, showing strong momentum in the technology sector.
Cryptocurrency dynamics: Despite the volatility of the market, the price of Bitcoin has rebounded after hitting the bottom, and investors need to remain cautious.
Social media investment scam warning
Expert opinion: FTC consumer education expert Andrew Rayo pointed out that sudden investment information on social media is almost always a scam, and consumers should remain vigilant.
Other information on the cryptocurrency market
Industry dynamics: Musk revealed that XAI's GROK2 large model will be launched in August; Coinshares data showed that investors increased their investment in BTC funds in the second quarter; the Web3 field suffered heavy losses due to security issues; the miner surrender indicator reached a level comparable to that after the FTX crash.
Market analysis: Multiple data and studies show that BTC prices may face selling pressure after experiencing a decline, but ETF net inflows and market sentiment suggest the possibility of a bull market return. The proportion of BTC transactions decreased on weekends, and the trading schedule of spot BTC ETF funds changed, reducing BTC price volatility.
Strategy Outlook
Strategist's View: Strategist Seema Shah believes that the PCE data is in line with expectations, but the Fed's interest rate cut expectations may affect market trends. He predicts that the Fed and the European Central Bank may cut interest rates in September, but reminds investors to pay attention to the risks caused by the interest rate cuts not being early enough.
Market sentiment: Entering the third quarter, the market expects that the summer may be flat or slightly down, but the potential listing of the Ethereum spot ETF and the Fed's interest rate cut at the end of the quarter may become the driving force for the bull market. Investors should remain calm and not blindly operate due to market fluctuations.
Important Tips
Risk Warning: The market is volatile and investment should be cautious. The information in this article is completely from public media, reminding investors not to be deceived!
#非农就业数据即将公布 #币安合约锦标赛 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
U.S. economic data: The U.S. core PCE price index for May, released last Friday, recorded an annual rate of 2.6%, the smallest increase since 2017. This data has triggered traders to increase expectations of a Fed rate cut.
Stock market performance: The Nasdaq 100 index broke through the 20,000 mark for the first time during the session, showing strong momentum in the technology sector.
Cryptocurrency dynamics: Despite the volatility of the market, the price of Bitcoin has rebounded after hitting the bottom, and investors need to remain cautious.
Social media investment scam warning
Expert opinion: FTC consumer education expert Andrew Rayo pointed out that sudden investment information on social media is almost always a scam, and consumers should remain vigilant.
Other information on the cryptocurrency market
Industry dynamics: Musk revealed that XAI's GROK2 large model will be launched in August; Coinshares data showed that investors increased their investment in BTC funds in the second quarter; the Web3 field suffered heavy losses due to security issues; the miner surrender indicator reached a level comparable to that after the FTX crash.
Market analysis: Multiple data and studies show that BTC prices may face selling pressure after experiencing a decline, but ETF net inflows and market sentiment suggest the possibility of a bull market return. The proportion of BTC transactions decreased on weekends, and the trading schedule of spot BTC ETF funds changed, reducing BTC price volatility.
Strategy Outlook
Strategist's View: Strategist Seema Shah believes that the PCE data is in line with expectations, but the Fed's interest rate cut expectations may affect market trends. He predicts that the Fed and the European Central Bank may cut interest rates in September, but reminds investors to pay attention to the risks caused by the interest rate cuts not being early enough.
Market sentiment: Entering the third quarter, the market expects that the summer may be flat or slightly down, but the potential listing of the Ethereum spot ETF and the Fed's interest rate cut at the end of the quarter may become the driving force for the bull market. Investors should remain calm and not blindly operate due to market fluctuations.
Important Tips
Risk Warning: The market is volatile and investment should be cautious. The information in this article is completely from public media, reminding investors not to be deceived!
#非农就业数据即将公布 #币安合约锦标赛 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
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Don't let this bias hurt your trading
We all have certain biases when trading that affect our trading without us usually realizing it. I have spent quite a while researching these biases and I have found that when teaching retail traders some of the biases they exhibit are ones that I have not seen in the professional world.
One is the long bias, which means that there are many retail investors who prefer to go long. If you are doing short-term trading, entering and exiting multiple times a day, or if you hold a trade for one or two days, going long is just as important as going short, and there are trading opportunities for both. If you exclude short trades, you will only limit your trading opportunities and may also make trades that you should not make.
One is the long bias, which means that there are many retail investors who prefer to go long. If you are doing short-term trading, entering and exiting multiple times a day, or if you hold a trade for one or two days, going long is just as important as going short, and there are trading opportunities for both. If you exclude short trades, you will only limit your trading opportunities and may also make trades that you should not make.
