ＱＵＡＮＴ助手
@Square-Creator-980947c6e
PhD在读，DE Shaw量化交易研究员。主打长线AI量化，少操作、低风险、高回报。4月带丹以来躲过所有瀑布。推特/Ding/公众号jndywj，微博：江南第一稳健。广场文章提供精确的市场分析，模型提供买卖信号。通过我的模型和策略你也可以成为一个优秀的kol和交易员。
Following
Followers
Liked
Shared
See original
PINNED
Understand what quantification and AI are in one article, so Mom won't worry about me being scammed anymore (the list of scammers is continuously updated)
Welcome to the Quant Quantitative Assistant, your reliable assistant in your cryptocurrency trading journey. I provide precise market analysis in the square and internally, with models offering buy and sell signals to help you make informed investment decisions in the cryptocurrency market. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, or even a blogger with a certain fan base, by using my models and strategies, you can not only grasp market dynamics and improve your trading skills but also gradually build your own influence and become a respected opinion leader, as well as an excellent trader.
See original
PINNED
I rarely post updates because I only do long-term (recently it has reached the harvest season), many old followers have also used my model to look at signals and trade by themselves, so I don't need to guide too much.
The orders before the election have recently been taking profits one after another, and for ETH, both contract and spot were completely liquidated yesterday; whether it goes up or down from here has nothing to do with me, the performance was indeed disappointing.
Additionally, this is the benefit of long-term investing; you only need to trade once a month without worrying about any fluctuations in between.
$ETH
The orders before the election have recently been taking profits one after another, and for ETH, both contract and spot were completely liquidated yesterday; whether it goes up or down from here has nothing to do with me, the performance was indeed disappointing.
Additionally, this is the benefit of long-term investing; you only need to trade once a month without worrying about any fluctuations in between.
$ETH
See original
Brother Chi is the model of being bearish without shorting; he knows it's going to drop but still goes long and loses money.
颜驰Bit
--
I am in the atmosphere this time, and which layer are you in?
Just now the lowest point was 92500, already a drop of 10000 points.
Only 6% left to the target, whether it will reach seems no longer important~
You always like to take profits at 500 points or 1000 points, but 5000 points or 10000 points have nothing to do with you naturally. #BTC
Just now the lowest point was 92500, already a drop of 10000 points.
Only 6% left to the target, whether it will reach seems no longer important~
You always like to take profits at 500 points or 1000 points, but 5000 points or 10000 points have nothing to do with you naturally. #BTC
See original
Actually, two days ago, I warned everyone that if they couldn't determine the direction, they should wait in cash. The obedient fans should have avoided this wave of waterfall, while fans with models have all profited. In contrast, the well-known signal provider Tortoise and Hare, after integrating a brand new quantitative model for only two weeks, led everyone to a margin call again. Please keep your eyes wide open; not every model can jump on the AI bandwagon, and I have explained this in my pinned post. There is also a gap in quantitative models.
$WIF didn't drop much yesterday, so seizing the opportunity to short successfully made it to the drop list 🥈 Smart friends can also use this point to look for other coins that haven't dropped much, such as $KAVA .
$WIF didn't drop much yesterday, so seizing the opportunity to short successfully made it to the drop list 🥈 Smart friends can also use this point to look for other coins that haven't dropped much, such as $KAVA .
Recently, in the fluctuating market, both long and short positions can make money, but it's also easy to go in the wrong direction. If you're unsure, it's better to stay in cash and wait for the market. Next, I will discuss the key points to focus on this week.
The first thing is the Global Consumer Technology Electronics Show, where Nvidia and AMD are set to release new products, especially keep an eye on Nvidia.
The second thing is the non-farm payrolls in December and the minutes of the Federal Reserve's meeting, paying attention to whether the Fed will cut interest rates in the first quarter and by how much.
The third thing is to observe the capital flow after Wall Street returns from the holidays, and which direction they want to take.
$SOL $AR $BTC #比特币诞生16周年 #BIO开盘 #SUI创新高 #AIAgent热潮 #比特币走势观察
The first thing is the Global Consumer Technology Electronics Show, where Nvidia and AMD are set to release new products, especially keep an eye on Nvidia.
The second thing is the non-farm payrolls in December and the minutes of the Federal Reserve's meeting, paying attention to whether the Fed will cut interest rates in the first quarter and by how much.
The third thing is to observe the capital flow after Wall Street returns from the holidays, and which direction they want to take.
$SOL $AR $BTC #比特币诞生16周年 #BIO开盘 #SUI创新高 #AIAgent热潮 #比特币走势观察
See original
If you adjust too much, it will bounce; if it bounces too much, you adjust. It's this kind of logic.
The data that came out yesterday was relatively good, leading to a reduction in interest rate cut expectations, which will push back the timing of rate cuts, directly causing the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury to rise. This is very unfriendly to the market.
Another point is that the positive outcomes from CES were released yesterday, along with the previous surge being too strong.
You will definitely ask what will happen next. Today, focus on the ADP employment data at 9:15 PM, as this will directly affect tonight's market trend.
$BTC $SOL #加密市场回调 #比特币走势观察 #特朗普上台概念币有哪些？
The data that came out yesterday was relatively good, leading to a reduction in interest rate cut expectations, which will push back the timing of rate cuts, directly causing the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury to rise. This is very unfriendly to the market.
Another point is that the positive outcomes from CES were released yesterday, along with the previous surge being too strong.
You will definitely ask what will happen next. Today, focus on the ADP employment data at 9:15 PM, as this will directly affect tonight's market trend.
$BTC $SOL #加密市场回调 #比特币走势观察 #特朗普上台概念币有哪些？
See original
Recently, in the fluctuating market, both long and short positions can make money, but it's also easy to go in the wrong direction. If you're unsure, it's better to stay in cash and wait for the market. Next, I will discuss the key points to focus on this week.
The first thing is the Global Consumer Technology Electronics Show, where Nvidia and AMD are set to release new products, especially keep an eye on Nvidia.
The second thing is the non-farm payrolls in December and the minutes of the Federal Reserve's meeting, paying attention to whether the Fed will cut interest rates in the first quarter and by how much.
The third thing is to observe the capital flow after Wall Street returns from the holidays, and which direction they want to take.
$SOL $AR $BTC #比特币诞生16周年 #BIO开盘 #SUI创新高 #AIAgent热潮 #比特币走势观察
The first thing is the Global Consumer Technology Electronics Show, where Nvidia and AMD are set to release new products, especially keep an eye on Nvidia.
The second thing is the non-farm payrolls in December and the minutes of the Federal Reserve's meeting, paying attention to whether the Fed will cut interest rates in the first quarter and by how much.
The third thing is to observe the capital flow after Wall Street returns from the holidays, and which direction they want to take.
$SOL $AR $BTC #比特币诞生16周年 #BIO开盘 #SUI创新高 #AIAgent热潮 #比特币走势观察
See original
Why are you still stealing images, brother?
Quoted content has been removed
See original
The layout is too small, the new project was taken down a few days after launch to modify the rules
Those with strength are not afraid of you changing the rules $BTC
Those with strength are not afraid of you changing the rules $BTC
This new mode is really addictive
Recruiting disciples $BTC
Recruiting disciples $BTC
See original
This post is to educate everyone about the black swan risk, and the way it is presented is quite unappealing; it doesn’t even attract any traffic. So I have to share another possible black swan event. Although the probability is not as high as the Asian financial crisis, it is definitely something we should be vigilant about. That is the rapid collapse of the U.S. government; this does not refer to the complete disintegration of the American system, but rather the fragmentation of Trump's administration. If you understand Trump's past, you will know that most of his business ventures ended in failure. The last two years of his first term had almost no achievements, with waves of resignations and dismissals, and even some officials left hastily after just a few days in office. This time, he has gathered more arrogant and ambitious individuals around him, which undoubtedly increases the probability of internal conflict. It is expected that this administration will face issues at a much faster rate than the previous one, thus another black swan event in 2025 could be the disintegration of Trump’s administration within its first year. $BTC $T
As 2025 approaches, rather than predicting market trends, let's propose a black swan event prediction: What kind of black swan events might occur next year?
Currently, I believe the most likely black swan event is a currency crisis in developing countries or Asia. We have already seen the US dollar continue to strengthen, and Trump's administration will also support a strong dollar; if US Treasury yields continue to rise, then the dollar will also keep increasing. Here, I will explain the macro logic behind this:
As US Treasury yields rise, global investors will be more willing to purchase these bonds because they offer higher returns, which will siphon off funds from developing countries back to the US. To buy these US Treasuries, investors need to buy dollars, hence the dollar will continue to rise with the increase in yields, and this trend is particularly unfavorable for developing countries. Currently, some developing and even developed countries have seen their currencies significantly depreciate, with currencies like the Indian Rupee, Brazilian Real, and Korean Won all falling to multi-year lows. Throughout history, several crises involving developing countries, especially those in the late 90s, often began with currency depreciation that then quickly worsened. Sometimes, large multinational companies in these countries issued dollar-denominated bonds, so as the local currency depreciates against the dollar, the debt servicing costs for these companies rise significantly. Therefore, this is undoubtedly a risk that requires attention. I would list this as the top potential black swan for 2025.
The AI sector will also undergo significant changes next year; the growth rate of AI hardware will slow down, but at the same time, AI software is experiencing an explosion. So, for this round of bottom-fishing, you should know what to fish for, right? The investment made last Friday at $LPT is now nearly doubled.
Currently, I believe the most likely black swan event is a currency crisis in developing countries or Asia. We have already seen the US dollar continue to strengthen, and Trump's administration will also support a strong dollar; if US Treasury yields continue to rise, then the dollar will also keep increasing. Here, I will explain the macro logic behind this:
As US Treasury yields rise, global investors will be more willing to purchase these bonds because they offer higher returns, which will siphon off funds from developing countries back to the US. To buy these US Treasuries, investors need to buy dollars, hence the dollar will continue to rise with the increase in yields, and this trend is particularly unfavorable for developing countries. Currently, some developing and even developed countries have seen their currencies significantly depreciate, with currencies like the Indian Rupee, Brazilian Real, and Korean Won all falling to multi-year lows. Throughout history, several crises involving developing countries, especially those in the late 90s, often began with currency depreciation that then quickly worsened. Sometimes, large multinational companies in these countries issued dollar-denominated bonds, so as the local currency depreciates against the dollar, the debt servicing costs for these companies rise significantly. Therefore, this is undoubtedly a risk that requires attention. I would list this as the top potential black swan for 2025.
The AI sector will also undergo significant changes next year; the growth rate of AI hardware will slow down, but at the same time, AI software is experiencing an explosion. So, for this round of bottom-fishing, you should know what to fish for, right? The investment made last Friday at $LPT is now nearly doubled.
See original
Reviewing this operation was to take advantage of the Santa rally during Christmas. Now that Christmas is over, it's time to take profits and go short. $BTC
No one should love $FXS more than I do
I casually copied some reef and am waiting to take off
I casually copied some reef and am waiting to take off
See original
As 2025 approaches, rather than predicting market trends, let's propose a black swan event prediction: What kind of black swan events might occur next year?
Currently, I believe the most likely black swan event is a currency crisis in developing countries or Asia. We have already seen the US dollar continue to strengthen, and Trump's administration will also support a strong dollar; if US Treasury yields continue to rise, then the dollar will also keep increasing. Here, I will explain the macro logic behind this:
As US Treasury yields rise, global investors will be more willing to purchase these bonds because they offer higher returns, which will siphon off funds from developing countries back to the US. To buy these US Treasuries, investors need to buy dollars, hence the dollar will continue to rise with the increase in yields, and this trend is particularly unfavorable for developing countries. Currently, some developing and even developed countries have seen their currencies significantly depreciate, with currencies like the Indian Rupee, Brazilian Real, and Korean Won all falling to multi-year lows. Throughout history, several crises involving developing countries, especially those in the late 90s, often began with currency depreciation that then quickly worsened. Sometimes, large multinational companies in these countries issued dollar-denominated bonds, so as the local currency depreciates against the dollar, the debt servicing costs for these companies rise significantly. Therefore, this is undoubtedly a risk that requires attention. I would list this as the top potential black swan for 2025.
The AI sector will also undergo significant changes next year; the growth rate of AI hardware will slow down, but at the same time, AI software is experiencing an explosion. So, for this round of bottom-fishing, you should know what to fish for, right? The investment made last Friday at $LPT is now nearly doubled.
Currently, I believe the most likely black swan event is a currency crisis in developing countries or Asia. We have already seen the US dollar continue to strengthen, and Trump's administration will also support a strong dollar; if US Treasury yields continue to rise, then the dollar will also keep increasing. Here, I will explain the macro logic behind this:
As US Treasury yields rise, global investors will be more willing to purchase these bonds because they offer higher returns, which will siphon off funds from developing countries back to the US. To buy these US Treasuries, investors need to buy dollars, hence the dollar will continue to rise with the increase in yields, and this trend is particularly unfavorable for developing countries. Currently, some developing and even developed countries have seen their currencies significantly depreciate, with currencies like the Indian Rupee, Brazilian Real, and Korean Won all falling to multi-year lows. Throughout history, several crises involving developing countries, especially those in the late 90s, often began with currency depreciation that then quickly worsened. Sometimes, large multinational companies in these countries issued dollar-denominated bonds, so as the local currency depreciates against the dollar, the debt servicing costs for these companies rise significantly. Therefore, this is undoubtedly a risk that requires attention. I would list this as the top potential black swan for 2025.
The AI sector will also undergo significant changes next year; the growth rate of AI hardware will slow down, but at the same time, AI software is experiencing an explosion. So, for this round of bottom-fishing, you should know what to fish for, right? The investment made last Friday at $LPT is now nearly doubled.
See original
Actually, just by looking at my updates, even if I can't eat meat at the same time as my friends with models, I can still have a sip of soup, right? $THETA
Is anyone following? $THETA
See original
Is this it? 10% off? $BTC
The benefit of quantification is that you don't need to watch the market and can automatically buy the dip.
The benefit of quantification is that you don't need to watch the market and can automatically buy the dip.
See original
Can you break the five-digit yield and take a look at $XRP
So ruthless, again in first place $XRP
Tearing apart the shorts
Tearing apart the shorts