Around Christmas, everyone can hold their coins with peace of mind, stay calm, and avoid making hasty moves. This is not the time to rush in and out of the market; holding steadily is the best choice.

We are all looking forward to the arrival of the big bull market in 2025, and mainstream coins will undoubtedly experience a wave of momentum. BTC, ETH, DOGE, BNB, GT, WLD, ALGO, and others will be the main highlights of this bull market, and should not be missed.
#BTC #圣诞节 #财经

Now that the cryptocurrency market is not rising, one view is that it will be fine if interest rates are lowered or liquidity comes.

But why has the US stock market been rising for half a year, gold has also been rising for half a year, but digital gold has no liquidity - the cryptocurrency market used to have a feeling of an invincible field army, but after being recruited, it was found that it could only stand at the bottom...

The cryptocurrency market must be self-reliant. #币圈 #财经

There are four ways to get rich in this circle:

1. Rely on the principal
Chip suppression, even if you are trapped, you can continue to lower the average price, unlimited bullets

2. Rely on technology
Rely on your own technology to obtain first-hand market information, information is value

3. Rely on diligence
The ordinary must-go path

4. Rely on fate
The chosen one, Ru Liangxi

If you want to survive and get rich, you must at least occupy one, right?

#财经 #币圈

JPMorgan said in a research note on Wednesday that Ethereum spot exchange-traded funds have seen net outflows overall since launching last month, while spot Bitcoin ETFs launched earlier this year have been more successful. Ethereum funds have seen net outflows of about $500 million, while Bitcoin ETFs have seen net inflows of more than $5 billion.

The bank said the weak data for Ethereum ETFs was somewhat expected, noting that Bitcoin's "first-mover advantage," lack of collateralization, and lower liquidity mean it is less attractive to institutional investors. #财经

If the weekly line continues to be regarded as a box, the price must return to 59600-60600 to be considered to be inside the box. If it is regarded as a flag, the price should also be stabilized above 54000. The current weekly line has seen continuous cross stars, and there is also a dusk star in front. It is necessary to effectively break through the upper pressure to avoid further breaking.

The Ethereum closing hammer line touches the lower track of BOLL and rebounds, but the price has not changed much at present. The daily level is sideways and oscillating. There is a chance to accumulate power and then rebound upward.
#美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落
The US stock market continued to rise. The Dow Jones rose 0.58%, which has returned to the previous high. The Nasdaq rose 1.39%, the S&P 500 rose 0.97%, and even the Nikkei index returned to the weekly box. But the big cake is still half dead, wait patiently. Not to mention that this wave is not strongly correlated with the rise and fall of the US stock market, the big cake is called digital gold, which bears part of the risk aversion role and will inevitably synchronize or follow the trend of gold.
#美联储何时降息？
Big Cake
The daily line breaks through the BOLL middle track and the probability of going to 66,000 increases. In the past few days, we have been saying that MACD turns red and the fast and slow lines cross. Pay attention to the breakthrough of the daily BOLL middle track, but the price has been falling. The daily line has broken through the downward flag to open up space.

4-hour falling channel, yesterday it rebounded again at 57,600 and was supported. There is also a head and shoulders bottom pattern here. The most important thing at present is to break through the upper channel to open the rebound pattern.
Support:
Pressure:

Ether

The daily line is temporarily suppressed near the BOLL middle track, and MACD turns red and continues to grow. If it can break through 2,800, it will have a chance to rebound to around 3,080. A few days ago, it was also said that although the Ethereum rebound is not strong, if Big Cake can rebound effectively, it can also drive it. After the 4-hour rise, it has been fluctuating between 2,500 and 2,689. It is difficult to rise generally in the cottage season. This belongs to the 20% coin cottage season.
Support:
Pressure:
#财经

The most stable way to make money is still to arbitrage:

Tugou focuses on information gap, which is essentially an arbitrage, or an arbitrage with a huge yield. The cycle is measured in days, and it is called the currency circle money printing machine. Those who make a lot of money in this round are all playing Tugou meme... Shanzhai Party cries

If you stay up all night in the currency circle, either rushing this coin or that coin, but in the end you don’t even hold 1 Bitcoin or even 0.1 Bitcoin...

Then you really should reconsider your entire existence in the encryption field.

Only do K-line technical analysis: There is a 5/5 odds, the difficulty is high, and the various K-line rules are easy to fail, and cannot be used for a long time #以太坊 #比特币 #财经

If Powell fails to cut rates sharply, record bets will face losses
The Federal Reserve is about to announce its latest interest rate decision at 2 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday. If Fed officials choose to kick off the rate cut with a standard scale, the related record bets may cause traders to suffer heavy losses.
Data compiled by institutions show that in the October federal funds futures that investors use to bet on this week's resolution, trading activity has soared to the highest level comparable since the contract was launched in 1988. Most of these new bets are betting that the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 basis points#财经

Market analysis on August 19
Last night, the price of Bitcoin reached a high of 60,250, touching the upper track of the upward pressure, and then fell to the lowest level of 58,200. Combined with the overall trend of the past few days, Bitcoin has not broken through the downward channel. It is still bearish at present. The operation range can be widened, and the recent fluctuations will not be small.

Intraday operation: 56,800-57,000 long
59,300-59,500 short

You can go short at highs and long at lows along this range!

Good luck to everyone #币圈 #财经 #btc

The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 67%
Jinshi Data reported on September 2 that according to CME's "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 67%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 33%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points by November is 45.2%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 75 basis points is 44.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 100 basis points is 10.8%. #财经

According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 69.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 30.5%. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points by November is 48.8%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 75 basis points is 42.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 100 basis points is 9.1%. #财经

Fed Chairman Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole conference was almost equivalent to an early "official announcement" of a September rate cut. The market has already fully factored in the September rate cut. The expectations for rate cuts have fluctuated several times and significantly this year, which fully demonstrates that simple linear extrapolation at any point in time may be completely reversed. The swing in expectations has increased the difficulty of asset allocation. #财经

"Sugar High" discusses the current global financial markets, especially the impact of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy on the market. He believes that the Fed's current interest rate cuts are similar to short-term "sugar stimulus", which can temporarily boost market sentiment, but ultimately it will need to rely on more lasting measures, such as increasing the money supply, to maintain market growth. Hayes also mentioned the risks that the appreciation of the yen may bring to global markets, especially the pressure on dollar-based assets. He warned that if the yen continues to appreciate, the Federal Reserve may need to take more aggressive measures, such as resuming quantitative easing, to stabilize the market. He is optimistic about the liquidity environment in global financial markets in the coming months and believes that crypto assets such as Bitcoin may benefit in this situation. #财经

Falling is not scary, what is scary is "to be continued" - people don't know why it fell.
Last night was a very poor "expectation management" by the Federal Reserve. The global market fell twice after the release of non-agricultural data, or more precisely, after two speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
Gold is the most representative market:
The first "fall": after the speech of New York Fed President Williams. He said that "the job market has returned to normal from an overheated state" (implying a 25 basis point interest rate cut), and then the gold price turned around and fell - originally after the release of non-agricultural data, the market's expectations for a 50 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve increased, but after Williams hinted at a 25 basis point interest rate cut, the gold price began to fall from the intraday high.
After the speech of Federal Reserve Board member Waller. He said that if the data showed that a larger interest rate cut was needed, I would also support it. After Waller's speech, the originally stabilized gold price fell further - when the Federal Reserve first talked about the issue of the interest rate cut (and hinted that a large interest rate cut was not ruled out), the market would think that the economy was so bad that a 50 basis point interest rate cut was needed.
We have warned that whether the Fed says "25 basis points or 50 basis points", it will be regarded as bad news by the market. If it says "25 basis points", the market's expectation of interest rate cut will appear radical. If it says "50 basis points", the market will think that there is a big problem with the economy.
The best way is to choose silence and convey the signal of the interest rate cut through the news media before the meeting. When you don't know what to say, it's best to shut up.
What awaits the market next week is the "secondary disaster" caused by the Fed's vague expression. Unfortunately, the release of the US August CPI data and the first TV debate between Trump and Harris will also take place next week.
Get ready for a more violent storm. #财经

Market analysis: 1. BTC dropped to 71500 and pulled up. It seems to have stabilized for the time being. If it can stand firm at 72000, it will be 70% bullish tonight. If it effectively breaks through 72300, the upward trend will be confirmed! 2. CFX15 has created a short-term double bottom, see the picture for details. As long as it can effectively break through 0.323, it will start an upward trend! #BTC #财经

After a slight decline last night, the price of the currency rebounded rapidly in the morning today and is currently hovering around 57,000. 📈
It surged in the morning, so please be cautious and don't chase high prices! It is expected that there may be a correction during the day, so please pay attention to the correction opportunities. 📉
The current price is 57,000-57,400, and look at around 56,000. #财经

[The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, and may further ease in December] The European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates next Thursday. As a prelude to the Fed's rate cut, the global monetary policy cycle is tilting towards a more synchronized easing direction. The core question of this month's meeting is whether these rate cuts will herald the beginning of a deeper easing cycle, which will not only remove restrictions on major economies, but may also begin to stimulate economic growth. Institutions expect the ECB to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points in December. However, higher wage growth rates and the stickiness of service industry inflation may prevent the Governing Council from committing to this action in advance. It is reported that Governing Council officials prefer to adjust interest rates with the latest quarterly forecasts, which makes further rate cuts in December more likely than in October. #财经

Eth小级别走势依然很弱，而且上方即将触及压力线，这里性价比不高，和我预判的基本一样，周末震荡两天，但还没有出现止跌的迹象，大概率还会向下走一段，下方支撑继续关注2530u附近

按照上升楔形判断的话，上升楔形一般通常都会走三段，第一段下跌，第二段反抽，第三段是加速下跌，所以这里处于第二段反抽还差一段下跌，我计划等加速下跌后在2530u附近接多，前提是给机会，如果直接反抽上去2730附近依然是强压力线，所以暂时管住手等机会出现

#美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #财经

I remember the bull market in 2020.
The cryptocurrency circle, US stocks, A-shares, and Hong Kong stocks also rose simultaneously.
They all started slowly in October.
After the November election, they began to pull violently.
The copycats rose by 5-10 times+, and the junk coins also rose by 2-3 times.
And it was only 2 months.
It was mainly concentrated in January and February of 2021.
After March, it gradually died down.
At the end of 2021, it rebounded again.
Then the overall market fluctuated downward.
I am still looking forward to the market after the next election.

#美国大选 #山寨币 #财经

$SATS
The hourly line pattern closed at the bottom of the arc, and the buyer's power is strong.
The hourly line is oversold, and the current price is near the 15k low. Buy at the first target 031, the second target 034, and the stop loss 0285.

#新币挖矿TON #财经

The upcoming rate cut will really drive the market up?
Based on history and logic, we will give you an in-depth analysis:
Comparing the stock market trends of the three rate cut cycles in the United States in the past 20 years, we can sort out the logic. The most recent rate cut occurred in July 2019, when the US stock market rose amid doubts about the trade war and the global economic slowdown, but in February 2020, due to the spread of the epidemic, the US stock market and the cryptocurrency market fell almost 90 degrees vertically and experienced multiple circuit breakers.
The current market performance does not show signs of recession, the unemployment rate and non-agricultural data are still controllable, and the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is also leading the market to believe that the recession has not yet arrived.
In addition, the expectation of easing in the fourth quarter continues to increase, coupled with the uncertainty brought about by the US election. In the medium and long term, as the expectations of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts increase and the US dollar weakens, the attractiveness of Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset still exists, so there is no need to worry too much about the market crash.
Summary: The last rate cut cycle shows that the cryptocurrency market is only at risk of a big drop in the event of a recession! #BTC☀ #财经