Daily sharing
Currently, Bitcoin is continuously oscillating around the range of 104000 to 107000, and has not been able to directly surge up or pull back down again. This is a short-term oscillating market, and the current fluctuations are getting smaller, indicating a potential change.
For the current market, if it continues to stay above 104000, the probability of a breakout upward will be greater. In other words, Bitcoin could break upward at any time in the short term.
Some friends might ask, what if the trend shifts downward? Does that mean a big crash will start? No, if the trend shifts downward, it simply indicates that the short-term triangular convergence pattern has been broken, changing it to a rectangular oscillation.

Daily Share
The short-term level of Bitcoin seems to be still fluctuating, and it has not broken through 107500, so we are not sure whether it will fall back to around 100,000 again in the short term. But what is certain is that 109588 is not the short-term peak, and it is expected to break through again soon. Either it will take off directly after the fluctuation here, or it will fall back to the previous low point near 100,000 and then take off again.
Judging from the current market situation, the probability of a direct takeoff may be higher, but you also need to be prepared for a pullback. So if you want to participate in long orders here, it is recommended to bring a certain stop loss. If it falls again, find a lower position again.

Daily Share
Bitcoin is currently undergoing a 1-hour level correction, and this 1-hour correction is expected to be nearing completion. In the short term, there may be another retest near 100,000, which is expected to conclude this downward movement. After this 1-hour level correction ends, there should be at least one more upward movement at the 1-hour level, and it is expected to continue to reach new highs.
For mainstream and altcoins, the adjustment expectations are also nearing completion. The continuous washing-out has lasted for about 40 to 50 days. If Bitcoin reaches a new high again, the mainstream and altcoins are expected to start a new rebound.
The market is quite grindy, and we can only wait more.

Daily Share
After Bitcoin hit 100,000 yesterday, it rebounded in 15 minutes, reaching 107,240. Normally, it will fall back to 100,000 before starting a new 1h rise. But it is hard to say whether it can fall back to 100,000 again. The short-term trend is still strong, and it has not fallen back again today.
Regarding the overall trend, I still think the upward trend has not ended. It is still in the process of daily rise, and I am patiently waiting for another new high. For Ethereum and altcoins, we still need to have more confidence. Don't think that the current pullback or very weak situation means that they can't rise. Strength and weakness can change at any time.

Daily sharing
This morning, no orders related to cryptocurrency were signed at Trump's inauguration ceremony. Bitcoin briefly pulled back to around 100000. Normally, it should make a 1-hour level pullback here.
Regarding the market in the past two days, more and more people feel a sense of despair. Just yesterday and today, many people privately messaged me, mostly thinking whether the market has ended its bull phase, feeling very pessimistic about the future.
I can only tell everyone that what is needed now is confidence. The process in each bull market is definitely different, but the final result is consistent: the market bubble will expand to a certain extent before reaching the peak of the bull market. As for the altcoins in your hands, whether it's the early stage of a bull market, still in the middle stage, or the last few months before the end of the bull market, each bull market is different. Currently, there are opportunities everywhere in the market; only those who do not understand will feel that this is a crisis.

Daily Quotes
Bitcoin surged to 106422 last night, which was in line with our expectations. In the past few days, we expected that Bitcoin might continue to rise for 1h, and Ethereum would have a 1h correction. This morning, Bitcoin fell rapidly from 106422 to 99550. I originally expected that it might have a 1h correction, but a dramatic scene happened. Bitcoin reversed again during the day and continued to set a new record high.
Bitcoin continues to hit new highs, which is enough to show that the overall bull market trend is still there, refuting the view of many people that the bull market has peaked.

Daily sharing
Overall, the market is still within our expectations. Bitcoin continued to push upward last night, reaching a high of 105,634, while Ethereum's pullback today was completely within our expectations, undergoing a 1h level pullback. Yesterday, we mentioned that Ethereum's pullback position should focus on 3150 or 3050, and it currently reached a low of 3130.
The market's heat has recently been occupied by the newly launched Trump coin. For such a phenomenon-level new currency, it is unpredictable, and the expected blood-sucking effect on the market will not last too long. It is said that Trump has drained other coins, but it is not really draining; it's just the habitual market trend. Without Trump, the market would likely behave similarly; it just happens to coincide with a new hot coin.

Daily sharing
Bitcoin's rise last night was much stronger than expected, directly reaching 105865. This is still a 1-hour level rise; we'll see if this 1-hour level rise extends further upwards. The overall 4-hour level rise has not ended, and even if a short-term 1-hour level pullback occurs, there is no need to panic; the pullback is an opportunity to add positions.
Relative to Bitcoin, Ethereum is somewhat weaker. For those familiar with Ethereum's movements, weakness actually represents more opportunities. For example, on November 5, 2024, Bitcoin had already broken 70000 while Ethereum was still hovering around 2400, but within a short month, it surged directly from 2400 to 4100, achieving a 70% increase. So there is no need to be overly anxious; Ethereum breaking through 4100 to reach 4800 is only a matter of time.

Daily Share
Since the big coin broke through 98800, the overall rise has begun. The phased pullback here has nearly ended, and it should now start a new 4h level rise, with the potential to break through 108353 again.
Since the Spring Festival surge has started early, just enjoy it!

BTC Mid to Long-term
Weekly:

At the weekly level, we are currently running the third wave of the bull market's weekly level rise, starting from 49000, with the initial estimate of the endpoint being in the range of 150,000~200,000, with the timing being in the second half of 2025 or the end of the year.

Daily Share
BTC finally broke through 98800 last night. After the breakout, the overall trend should change. Here, we need to see a new 4-hour level rise, which should have the chance to continue breaking through 108353. Therefore, the rally around the Spring Festival should come, focus on buying during pullbacks, and currently embrace the bulls.
At the same time, for those holding cash in spot, look for opportunities to enter in batches. Those fully invested can continue to wait.

BTC
Due to rapid changes in the market, the article can only make predictions based on the market changes at the time of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes, which are merely for reference.

Daily share
Bitcoin's current 1h level rebound has actually taken shape, but it has not broken through 98,800. Therefore, if it cannot continue to extend upwards tonight to tomorrow morning, it is inclined to make a 1h level pullback here. Let's see the strength of this pullback; there is a certain probability of retesting around 90,000.
Since the highest point of Bitcoin on December 17th reached 108,357, it has started a phase of pullback. The lowest point two days ago was 89,256. From the price perspective, this position is actually about right; the pullback has met expectations. However, from a structural view, it is not perfect yet, so it still needs to be observed over the next few days to see if there is a possibility to retest the low point.

Daily Share
The big coin successfully retested our expected range of 88000~90000, and after reaching that range, it also successfully rebounded. However, the structure here is still somewhat different from our expectations, so is this really a new 4-hour level rebound to a new high? Personally, I remain somewhat doubtful. If viewed strictly according to the trend, it seems that the overall pullback of the big coin has not yet ended.
In any case, we can first look at a 1-hour level rebound. After this rebound completes, we will assess its strength before considering the subsequent trend.

Daily sharing
Bitcoin rebounded again to 95940 this morning, and the second wave of 1H level rebound has finally formed a perfect structure. Clearly, the price failed to reach above 96000, indicating that the market is temporarily weak. Currently, it is in the third wave of 1H level decline within the 4H level decline, which should be observed tomorrow morning.
After the third wave of the 1H level correction is completed, the normal 4H level correction should be almost finished, unless this 1H level decline is particularly strong and breaks 85000 directly; otherwise, it is overall in divergence. Therefore, I tend to believe that with the arrival of this wave of decline, the overall 4H level correction is about to enter its final stage. The next wave of rise won't be too far away.

Daily sharing
The weekend still follows the old rules, the market trend is relatively slow, currently, this is still biased towards the 15-minute level central oscillation. According to expectations, it is still possible to continue moving upwards here, continue to pay attention to the vicinity of 96,000~97,000, and let's wait and see.
The overall phase pullback of Bitcoin, if the speed is fast, should be able to end around next week.

BTC
In the short term, due to the rapid changes in the market, the article can only make predictions based on the market changes at the moment of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes; this is merely for reference.

Daily sharing
Currently, the 1H level rebound of BTC has reached a maximum of 95826, nearing the target range. However, structurally, it still lacks strength, so it can wait a bit longer. There might still be short-term opportunities to move higher.
After this 1H level rebound finishes, there should still be a 1H level pullback to around 90000. Only then could a new 4H level rebound to new highs potentially start.
Currently, market sentiment is still leaning toward panic, especially among spot traders, who are feeling very desperate. After all, many people have not made money for almost a month, and many are still in a losing state. However, a good mindset is crucial. From May to September 2024, many cryptocurrencies also experienced significant declines, but in just a few weeks in November, there was a sharp upward movement. Therefore, while the bull market trend is still in place, it's essential to give the market some confidence and not be overly pessimistic.

Daily Share
After the big cake hit 91203 last night, it rebounded again. Here we expect to see a 1h level rebound, which focuses on the 97000~96000 range. After that, it is expected that there will be another 1h level decline, and the bottom will focus on around 89900.
Ethereum fell back to 3158 again in the early morning. Overall, Ethereum’s 4h level correction structure starting from 4100 has almost come out. If the next 1h level decline can break 3100 again and reach the 3100~3000 range, it will be perfect.
 
BTC mid- to long-term
Weekly:

Weekly, we still look at the third weekly level increase, which is expected to last until the second half of 2025 or the end of the year. At present, we still focus on the 150,000 to 200,000 range.

Daily sharing
According to our expectations, Bitcoin's 1-hour level pullback has retraced to above 92000 as scheduled. The overall 4-hour level pullback has not finished yet, but in the short term, we are about to see a 1-hour level rebound. After the 1-hour level rebound is finished, there will still be a 1-hour level decline, focusing on the range of 90000~91000. Regarding the current pullback, it is still within the range of the 4-hour level central oscillation, belonging to the adjustment of upward continuation, not a trend-based crash. Waiting for the pullback to end and starting a new wave of increase.

BTC
Due to the fast changes in the market in the short term, the article can only make predictions based on the market changes at the moment of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes, which should only be used as a reference.

Daily sharing
The market is indeed not that simple. A few days ago, when Bitcoin broke 98,000, I personally indicated that there might be a 4-hour level central oscillation movement.

In the article within the member group, on the 6th, I made a reminder that if Bitcoin breaks 100,000 again, it will subsequently pull back in a 4-hour central oscillation manner. Many friends saw Bitcoin break 100,000 again and thought a new rise was coming, so I specifically reminded them in the article.
Overall, the movement of Bitcoin here is still quite complex, but it can be confirmed that the overall upward trend has not ended, and after a short-term adjustment, it will continue to rise to around 116,000 to 120,000.

Daily share
Bitcoin has successfully completed a 4-hour level rebound, which has formed three structures of up, down, and up, and can end at any time before continuing with a 4-hour level correction. Regarding the current market, I personally do not believe it will immediately break through 108,353, and there is still the possibility of a correction down to around 90,000, meaning it currently falls within the category of a 4-hour level fluctuation.
Although Bitcoin has surged to 100,000 again, most altcoins have not fully gained strength temporarily, and it seems to still be in a process of adjustment. It will take some time before it can break through the previous high point in December.

Daily Sharing
Bitcoin did not break below 97,000 last night, it dropped to around 97,276 and could not go lower, then began to rebound, reaching a high of 99,892. The trend is still relatively strong. From the current structure, the short-term trend has become more complex and variable.
There is a possibility that a new 4-hour level rise is currently underway, if it breaks 100,000 again. However, this 4-hour level rise is likely not to break 108,000, but rather to transition into a 4-hour level central area oscillation, followed by a 4-hour central area departure segment to end the daily level rise.
If this is the case, the market is more complex than expected, taking a 4-hour retracement, followed by a 4-hour level rise to 120,000, and the time period for the daily rise will also be greatly delayed.