Keep calm and integrate knowledge and action.

2024.09.12:

The original @Kingfisher account could not be logged in due to Binance security restrictions (mandatory face recognition login). After communicating with Binance to no avail, it was decided to change the account. In the future, positions and transaction data will be released by this account.

We have already released real-time data on Coincoin. Because it is not convenient to publish positions in real time, only subscription codes are available for subscription at this stage. Friends who need subscription codes can send private messages or leave messages. PS: There are other small accounts under this account, which can be viewed directly.

Account status: Balance: $278,807, Position: $184,626. Dividends of 130,000 U, total yield close to 280%. The market risk will be relatively large before and after the interest rate cut cycle. It is not recommended to exceed 1 times the leverage, and wait for large fluctuations to come before adding positions.

Risk warning: Leverage is not a devil, but a tool to improve the utilization rate of funds. Leverage itself has no risk, and the real risk comes from human nature.
#DOGSONBINANCE #CPI_BTC_Watch #TelegramCEO #PowellAtJacksonHole #TopCoinsJune2024

All positions have been cleared! This structure may break, and the risk is being recalculated and orders are being placed! This is not an investment advice!

$BTC $ETH $XRP

Waiting for trading opportunities is always a hundred times better than looking for trading opportunities.

We have also opened a real account on Hetongdi bitfrog, also named kingfisher. Currently, positions are not open, but others are open. The advantage of bitfrog is that you can see the transfer records and transaction records, which better record the income situation. At present, 17wu has been distributed as dividends, with a yield of over 500%.

International News
1. CNBC: Some large banks in the United States plan to sue the Federal Reserve for annual stress testing.
2. Trump said that he would vigorously promote the death penalty after taking office.
3. US President Biden signed the National Defense Act for Fiscal Year 2025 on the 23rd, increasing US military spending to approximately US$895 billion, an increase of 1% over the previous fiscal year.
4. People familiar with the matter: Biden is considering imposing new sanctions on Russia's energy sector.
5. South Korea's population over 65 years old accounts for 20%, entering a "super-aged society".
6. South Korea's ruling party lawmaker Quan Ningshi will replace Han Dongxun to lead the ruling party.
7. American Airlines flights experienced technical problems and once suspended all domestic flights, but have now resumed.
8. US media: The second US fighter jet was nearly shot down in the "friendly fire" incident and took evasive action after being threatened by surface-to-air missiles.
9. Apple's total market value reached 3.9 trillion US dollars, up nearly 35% this year.
Domestic news
1. State Council Executive Meeting: It is necessary to play the role of "gatekeeper" of the capital market of intermediary institutions to prevent improper interest binding between intermediary institutions and issuers.
2. State Council Executive Meeting: Deploy relevant measures to deepen the reform of drug and medical device supervision and promote the high-quality development of the pharmaceutical industry.
3. Ministry of Finance: In 2025, the fiscal deficit rate will be increased and a larger scale of government bonds will be arranged.
4. At 9 am on Tuesday, the National Housing and Urban-Rural Construction Work Conference was held in Beijing.
5. Many provinces responded: There is no "large-scale land reclamation".
6. A total of 122 domestic online games were approved in December.
7. Tesla's Shanghai energy storage super factory may be completed before the end of the year.
7. BAIC New Energy introduced 11 strategic investors and obtained an additional capital of 8.15 billion yuan.
9. SASAC: Establish a scientific market value management concept to better maintain the stability of the capital market.

$btc $eth $xrp #2025加密趋势预测 #币安Alpha公布第6批项目 #灰度提交Horizen信托文件 #比特币市场波动观察 #比特币战略储备

At present, when all varieties generally pull back by more than 50%, the maximum drawdown of the account is about 10%, and the current drawdown is about 5-%, which is basically unaffected. Recently, the number of people who have been liquidated exceeds 400,000, and the amount of liquidation is 1.5 billion. The current leverage ratio is 0.52, and the position is constantly tested during the decline, and it has been kept near this level. Although each purchase will bring floating losses, this is trading, there is no 100% profit, only probability.

Then, we cleared all positions on the morning of December 16, and the account successfully escaped at a relatively high top. At a time when market sentiment was strong, we chose to exit and wait for a callback. 抄底

Share the operations since the 129 market, including a series of actions such as bottom fishing, escaping peaks, and then bottom fishing again.

On December 10th, we made a significant bottom fishing move. Since the big rebound starting on November 5th, we have maintained a position between 40-50%, waiting for a sharp market decline to establish a large position for profit. The following four images show the bloodbath we bought in the early morning of December 10th. Around 5 AM, the price of Bitcoin quickly dropped, nearing $94,000 per coin, while altcoins experienced a massive crash, with a general decline of over 25%. The entire network saw $1.749 billion in liquidations, affecting 581,300 people, including $1.58 billion in long liquidations and $170 million in short liquidations.

Thanks to this bottom fishing, the account successfully reached a new high with the comprehensive rebound of altcoins.

Don't trade if there is no market.

Account status: Following yesterday's decline, the market continued to plummet today. BTC once fell below 96,600, the amount of liquidation exceeded 1.2 billion US dollars, and the number of liquidation exceeded 300,000. Our account opened positions while falling, and in the case of floating losses, it is guaranteed that there is still the ability to add positions when it falls again.

International News
1. The US GDP in the third quarter was revised up from 2.8% to 3.1%, which was expected to be flat; the number of initial jobless claims in the United States decreased by 22,000 from the previous time, a larger decline than expected.
2. The Bank of Japan suspended interest rate hikes for the third consecutive time, and one member supported the rate hike. Governor Kazuo Ueda said that interest rates will continue to rise, but the results of the spring wage negotiations need to be observed. Traders' bullish sentiment on the yen reached the lowest level in a month.
3. The Bank of England kept the interest rate unchanged at 4.75% as expected, and 3 people voted in favor of a rate cut, which was more dovish than market expectations. The statement retained the statement of "gradual" rate cuts, which the market interpreted as hinting at a quarterly rate cut. Traders increased bets on the Bank of England to cut interest rates, expecting a 58 basis point cut next year.
4. The Swedish Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points and will take a more cautious stance next year.
5. The Norwegian Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged as expected, and may cut interest rates in March next year, with the expected rate cut narrowing.
6. The US government shutdown: Trump said that if the debt ceiling is not lifted or raised, the federal government will shut down; the House Republicans reached a new temporary agreement to provide 3 months of funds for government departments to operate and suspend the debt ceiling until January 2027. The bill will be voted on at 7 am this morning.
7. China and Japan reduced their holdings of US debt by a total of more than US$30 billion in October.
8. The surge in immigration has pushed the US population to the fastest growth since 2001.
9. The G7 is considering strengthening price ceiling measures for Russian oil.
10. Russian President Putin: (Speaking of special military operations against Ukraine) We are moving towards achieving our main goals. The Russian army is advancing across the entire front.
11. People familiar with the matter: The Korean won has weakened enough to force the Korean National Pension Fund to sell nearly $50 billion worth of foreign exchange to hedge losses.
12. The French Senate passed a budget "special law" to avoid a government shutdown.
13. El Salvador reached a $1.4 billion loan agreement with the IMF at the cost of reducing financial risks related to Bitcoin.
#圣诞行情预测 #比特币战略储备 #美联储放鹰
$ETH $OM

In the analysis on December 7, we had already warned about market risks, and all posts were ultimately making risk reminders, advising not to use leverage! When the market plummeted on December 9, we seized the opportunity, increasing our position to 100% full investment. Accurate bottom-fishing has led to excellent account performance, with total returns (including dividends) surpassing 500+%, setting a new historical high.

Subsequently, as multiple mainstream cryptocurrencies simultaneously broke through important trend lines, we decisively cleared all positions on December 16. In the past two days, as the market continued to adjust, we adopted a gradual building strategy, gradually laying out positions, patiently waiting for a more significant market adjustment opportunity. All operational details have been fully recorded on the coin platform.

We believe the current market is still in an adjustment phase, and short-term volatility will continue. We will maintain a cautious attitude, closely monitoring market trends and various technical indicators. Under the premise of controllable risks, we will increase holdings in quality targets and slightly increase holdings in altcoins. We advise investors to remain patient, avoid chasing highs and killing lows, and to focus on value investing, seizing opportunities brought by market fluctuations.

Risk Reminder: Leverage is not the devil; it is just a tool to enhance capital utilization. Leverage itself has no risk; the real risk comes from human nature.

$BTC $ETH $XRP #币安Alpha项目公布 #加密用户突破1800万 #圣诞行情预测 #ETH再度冲击4K #加密市场回调

Light positions in line with trends, relying on compound interest.

The coin has restored support for bfusd assets, with the current account yield exceeding 500% and reaching a new high. Position at 45%, continuing to slowly reduce positions.

International News
1. OPEC+ extends the overall oil production cut policy of 3.66 million barrels per day until the end of 2026; the voluntary production cut plan for eight countries of 2.2 million barrels per day is postponed for three months until April next year, and the originally planned gradual production resumption period of one year is extended to 18 months; the UAE seeks to gradually increase production by 300,000 barrels per day from April next year to September 2026.
2. The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending November 30 recorded 224,000, higher than the expected 215,000, with the previous value revised up by 2,000.
3. French President Macron: A new Prime Minister will be appointed in the coming days. The new government will draft a new budget bill at the beginning of next year.
4. The South Korean Democratic Party plans to vote to impeach Yoon Suk-yeol at 6 PM Beijing time on Saturday; South Korean police have begun investigating Yoon Suk-yeol for involvement in internal turmoil; Yoon Suk-yeol refuses to accept the resignation of Army Chief of Staff Park Han-soo.
5. The Syrian government army claims to have lost control of the strategic central city of Hama, with continuous gunfire reported in the capital Damascus.
6. World Gold Council: In November, global central banks net purchased 60 tons of gold, with India leading by increasing its gold holdings by 27 tons.
7. A magnitude 7.0 earthquake occurred off the coast of California, and authorities lifted the tsunami warning with no tsunami occurring.
8. An unidentified disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo has resulted in nearly 100 deaths.
9. United Nations Committee on Enforced Disappearances: Approximately 20,000 bodies found in a hangar in Colombia.
10. OpenAI launched the 'Full Power' inference model o1 and ChatGPT Pro, with a monthly subscription fee of $200.
11. The Vietnamese government signed an agreement with Nvidia to jointly establish an artificial intelligence center.
12. TSMC is reportedly in discussions with Nvidia about producing Blackwell AI chips at a new factory in Arizona.

$BTC $ETH $SOL #以太坊领涨 #山寨币市场观察 #ENA突破1美元

The account has not yet accounted for assets due to the replacement of bfusd coins, the current asset ➕10wu is the real balance, the yield rate is currently over 300%, close to 400%. The current position is over 50%, enough to cope with both rises and falls, patiently waiting for the arrival of the altcoin season.

International News
1. The U.S. third-quarter GDP revision is unchanged from the initial value, at 2.8%; October durable goods orders slightly increased; initial jobless claims decreased; October core PCE prices met expectations on a year-on-year basis.
2. U.S. media: Canada is studying potential retaliatory tariffs against the U.S.
3. Middle East situation - The ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel officially took effect, Hamas officials stated they are ready to reach a ceasefire agreement in the Gaza Strip; Hezbollah released its first statement after the ceasefire: continuing to prepare for attacks.
4. Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Kazakhstan urge OPEC+ member countries to fully comply with production cuts and voluntary reductions.
5. Trump nominated Kevin Hassett as the Director of the National Economic Council and Jamison Greer as the U.S. Trade Representative.
6. Cryptocurrency supporter Atkins is a popular candidate for the next SEC chairman in the U.S.
7. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered the interest rate by 50 basis points to 4.25%, in line with market expectations, marking the third consecutive rate cut.
8. The Central Bank of Russia announced a suspension of domestic currency purchases before the end of the year to support the ruble.
9. It is reported that the U.S. antitrust oversight agency has launched a broad investigation into Microsoft.
Domestic News
1. The General Office of the Central Committee of the Communist Party and the General Office of the State Council issued the "Action Plan to Effectively Reduce Logistics Costs for the Whole Society."
2. The People's Bank of China and seven other departments jointly issued the "Action Plan to Promote High-Quality Development of Digital Finance."
3. The interest rates for time deposits in October decreased, with large time deposit rates entering the "1" range.
4. Shenzhen released the "Action Plan to Promote High-Quality Development of Mergers and Acquisitions (2025-2027) (Public Consultation Draft)": aiming to push the total market value of listed companies in and out of Shenzhen to exceed 15 trillion yuan by the end of 2027.
5. BYD and SAIC Maxus informed suppliers: reduce costs by 10%.
6. Seven departments issued documents to promote mutual recognition of inspection and test results in medical institutions.
7. The China Academy of Information and Communications Technology: In October, the domestic market shipped 29.674 million mobile phones, of which 26.722 million were 5G phones.

#山寨币走势展望 #市场波动，加仓还是观望？ #比特币盘整分析 $btc $eth $sol

Correct mistakes in time and make decisions when necessary.

International News
1. The initial value of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in November was 48.8, a 4-month high. The initial value of the US S&P Global Services PMI in November was 57, a 32-month high. The initial value of the US S&P Global Composite PMI in November was 55.3, a 31-month high.
2. The money market expects the European Central Bank's deposit rate to fall to 1.8% in July next year, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in December is more than 50%.
3. According to the latest report released by the Federal Budget Accountability Committee, an independent research institution in the United States, the total US national debt exceeded 36 trillion US dollars last week, reaching a record high. From the end of July this year, the total US national debt reached 35 trillion, and now it has risen to 36 trillion, which took only more than three months.
4. The US Air Force confirmed that unidentified drones were found over three US military bases in the UK.
5. Russian Defense Minister: The "strongest force" of the Ukrainian army has been annihilated.
6. Putin signed a new law: Going to Ukraine to fight can exempt up to 10 million rubles of debt.
7. Iran's senior adviser said that Iran is preparing to "respond" to Israel.
8. Israeli fighter jets attacked residential buildings in the Lebanese capital, killing 5 and injuring 23. Israeli media: The target of the attack may be Talal Hamia, a senior official of Lebanese Hezbollah; Lebanese officials: There are no politicians in the buildings attacked by Israeli air strikes in downtown Beirut; Israeli officials: The ceasefire agreement in Lebanon has not yet been approved, and there are still some issues to be resolved.
9. Violent clashes broke out in the Kurram District of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province, Pakistan. In the past three days, local violent clashes have caused 82 deaths and 156 injuries. A spokesman for the Pashtun provincial government said that the two sides in the conflict in the Kurram District of the province reached a seven-day ceasefire agreement.
10. A patrol ship of the Japan Coast Guard in Naha collided with a fishing boat, and no one was injured.
11. The reactor of Unit 2 of the Onagawa Nuclear Power Plant in Japan entered a "temporary shutdown" state.
12. Sudan’s armed conflict killed more than 9,000 people in the city of Fasher.
13. Oil market observers: OPEC+ is expected to postpone production increases again.
14. Saudi Arabia’s oil exports fell 24.5% year-on-year in September.
15. The UK Competition and Markets Authority: It may investigate Apple and Google’s mobile ecosystems.
$btc $eth $sol #ETH市场新动向

Look more, move less, one strike determines the outcome.

Account situation: positions are increasing gradually, there are plenty of opportunities to make money in a bull market, no need to rush into heavy positions.

Market review
On Thursday, due to market expectations that the Federal Reserve will reduce the number of interest rate cuts next year, the US dollar index continued its rise from the previous day, ultimately closing up 0.40% at 107.06. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield closed at 4.4250%; the two-year US Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 4.3570%.
Bitcoin briefly hit a new high of $98,500 per coin, rising over 4% during the day; Ethereum surged 10.00% during the day.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.06%, the S&P 500 index increased by 0.5%, and the Nasdaq slightly rose. Pinduoduo (PDD.O) fell 10.6%, Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose 0.5%, and MicroStrategy (MSTR.O) plummeted 16%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell 1%, EHang (EH.O) dropped 13%, and Alibaba (BABA.N) fell 1.3%.
Major European stock indices closed up across the board, with Germany's DAX30 index rising 0.74%; the UK's FTSE 100 index up 0.79%; and the Euro Stoxx 50 index up 0.55%.

International news
1. The Federal Reserve - New York Fed states that bank reserves are sufficient; Goolsbee reiterates support for further rate cuts and is open to acting at a slower pace.
2. Bank of Japan Governor Ueda Kazuo: will seriously consider the impact of exchange rates on the economy and prices.
3. Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Mann: a 100 basis point rate cut is too aggressive for me.
4. Sources: The leadership of Germany's Social Democratic Party will nominate Chancellor Scholz as the party's candidate for Chancellor next Monday.
5. The scandal-plagued Matt Gaetz withdraws from the race for US Attorney General.
6. The Ukrainian Air Force claims Russia has used intercontinental ballistic missiles for the first time during the conflict, while US officials state they are medium-range ballistic missiles; Ukraine urges partners to provide air defense systems capable of intercepting intercontinental missiles; Putin: Russian forces are testing new types of medium-range hypersonic missiles in operations against Ukraine, reaching speeds of up to 10 Mach, which cannot be intercepted.
7. The International Criminal Court issues arrest warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant.
8. SEC Chairman Gensler plans to step down in January next year.
9. Trump Media Technology Group applies for crypto payment platform service TruthFi.

$btc $eth $sol #比特币突破10万？ #ETH市场新动向 #SOL创历史新高 #现任美SEC主席将于1月离职 #非BTC板块市场走势

Trade what you see, not what you think.

Market Review
Last Friday, the US dollar index fluctuated and fell during the Asian and European sessions, but due to the better-than-expected US October retail sales data, the decline of the dollar index narrowed, ultimately closing down 0.18% at 106.67. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield closed at 4.4440%; the more sensitive 2-year US Treasury yield closed at 4.3310%.
As expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut further diminished, spot gold declined, briefly falling below the 2560 mark during trading, and ultimately closing down 0.06% at 2562.81 USD/ounce, marking the largest weekly drop in over three years. Spot silver ultimately closed down 0.66% at 30.25 USD/ounce.
With President-elect Trump promising to address the Middle East and Russia-Ukraine conflicts, international oil prices weakened. WTI crude oil ultimately closed down 2.43% at 66.90 USD/barrel; Brent crude oil closed down 1.95% at 71.00 USD/barrel.
US stocks closed down on Friday. The momentum for US stocks to rise after the election faded, with all three major indexes recording declines last week. The Dow Jones fell by 0.70% to 43444.99 points; the Nasdaq fell by 2.24% to 18680.12 points; the S&P 500 index fell by 1.32% to 5870.62 points. Among them, the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq both recorded the largest weekly drop since September, while the Dow Jones recorded the largest weekly drop since late October.

International News
1. Federal Reserve: Goolsbee: Will continue to consider interest rate cuts based on the September dot plot, should slow down as we approach neutral rates. Collins: Does not believe there is an urgent need for rate cuts but hopes to maintain economic health. Barkin: Since the Fed started cutting rates, demand data has shown stronger performance.
2. US October retail sales month-on-month growth recorded at 0.4%, with September's growth revised from 0.4% to 0.8%. Traders have reduced their bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut in 2025, cutting the probability of a rate cut in December to about 50%.
3. The European Commission expects the Eurozone economic growth rates for 2024-2026 to be 0.8%, 1.3%, and 1.6%, with inflation rates of 2.4%, 2.1%, and 1.9%. ECB Vice President de Guindos: The ECB believes the inflation outlook is positive, but economic growth expectations are negative.
4. A Trump ally proposed to sell part of the Federal Reserve's gold to purchase 1 million bitcoins.
5. Netanyahu's private residence was attacked again, and the suspect has been arrested, with one reportedly being a senior officer in military reserves.

$BTC $ETH $SOL #Solana涨势分析

Only those who know how to short positions are masters.

Market review
On Thursday, the US dollar index once stood above the 107 mark, then gave up all the gains, but rose again after Powell's hawkish speech, and finally closed up 0.36% at 106.87, closing higher for the fifth consecutive trading day. U.S. Treasury yields rose and fell, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 4.443%; the two-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 4.36%.
Spot gold was sluggish, hitting a low of $2,536.78 per ounce during the session, a new low since September 12, and finally closed down 0.32% at $2,564.66 per ounce. Spot silver once fell below the 30 mark, then bottomed out and rebounded, and finally closed up 0.44% at $30.44 per ounce.
International crude oil rose slightly as a sharp drop in U.S. fuel inventories offset concerns about oversupply and demand concerns caused by a stronger dollar. WTI crude oil finally closed up 0.78% at $68.44 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed up 0.68% at $72.25 per barrel.
The three major U.S. stock indexes were under pressure, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing down 0.47%, the S&P 500 down 0.6%, and the Nasdaq down 0.64%. Trump Media Technology Group (DJT.O) fell 6.7%, and Tesla (TSLA.O) fell 5.7%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 1.8%, NetEase (NTES.O) rose more than 10%, Bilibili (BILI.O) fell 12%, and JD.com (JD.O) fell more than 6%.
The major European stock indices closed up collectively, with the German DAX30 index closing up 1.37%; the British FTSE 100 index closed up 0.51%; and the European Stoxx 50 index closed up 1.97%.

International News
1. Federal Reserve-Powell: The economy does not show that the Fed needs to rush to cut interest rates; Kugler: If the progress of inflation decline stagnates, it may require a suspension of interest rate cuts.
2. The annual rate of PPI in the United States in October was 2.4%, higher than the expected 2.3%, and the previous value was revised up from 1.8% to 1.9%. The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending November 9 was 217,000, the lowest since the week ending May 18, 2024.
3. Middle East situation-Iranian Army Commander: Will decide the time and method of responding to Israel; the action will be "devastating"; the United States submitted a ceasefire draft proposal to the Speaker of the Lebanese Parliament.
4. The EIA crude oil inventory in the United States increased by 2.089 million barrels in the week ending November 8, an increase greater than the expected 750,000 barrels. However, gasoline inventories fell sharply by 4.407 million barrels that week, and the expected increase was 586,000 barrels.
5. The IEA raised its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024 to 92.10,000 barrels per day, and slightly lowered the 2025 forecast to 990,000 barrels per day.

$btc

Trading is the art of trade-offs.

The account established a position of about 5,000 during the decline early this morning, continuing to wait for a large-scale drop to enter the market, maintaining patience.

Today's Highlights
Trump sweeps 7 swing states, plans to exert maximum pressure on Iran
Biden administration purchases the final 2.4 million barrels of strategic petroleum reserve
Reports suggest Israel is weighing the possibility of reaching a temporary ceasefire agreement with Lebanon
Russia's gold reserves value exceeds $200 billion for the first time in history
The Standing Committee of the National People's Congress reviews and approves the largest debt issuance measures in recent years
24 departments jointly issue documents to further promote elderly care service consumption
China's monetary policy implementation report: Increase the intensity of monetary policy regulation
The Securities Regulatory Commission holds two seminars, Wu Qing makes a significant statement.

Market Review
Last Friday, the residual impact of the 'Trump trade' remained, the US dollar index returned to an upward trend, probing the 105 mark again during the session, ultimately closing up 0.587% at 104.95. US Treasury yields were mixed, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 4.306%; the 2-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 4.26%.
Under pressure from a strengthening dollar and further diminishing market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, spot gold declined, hitting a low of $2680.26 per ounce, and ultimately closed down 0.84% at $2683.77 per ounce, marking the largest weekly decline in over five months. Spot silver finally closed down 2.34% at $31.29 per ounce.
As traders' concerns over long-term supply disruptions due to hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico eased, international crude oil retreated. WTI crude oil briefly fell below the $70 mark, rebounding slightly at the end of trading, ultimately closing down 2.32% at $70.23 per barrel; Brent crude closed down 2.08% at $73.84 per barrel.
The three major US stock indices jointly set new historical highs. The Dow closed up 0.59% at 43988.99 points, breaking the 44000 point mark for the first time during the session; the S&P 500 index rose 0.38% to 5995.54 points, briefly standing above 6000 points during the day for the first time; the Nasdaq index rose 0.09% to 19286.78 points. Large tech stocks were mixed, with Tesla up over 8%, accumulating a rise of over 29% last week, marking the largest weekly gain since January 2023, with a total market value returning to $1 trillion; Google fell over 1%, while Intel, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Netflix, Amazon, and Meta saw slight declines.
$btc $eth $sol

The market is currently in a significant upward phase, and we are maintaining a position of 30%. We will wait to increase our position after a sharp decline and will not enter on the right side for now. $BTC $ETH $SOL

Everything starts with stop-loss

Today's Selection
Trump Media Technology Group's stock price triggered multiple circuit breakers
Netanyahu fires Defense Minister Gallant
Japan's largest industrial union: aiming for a 6% salary increase in 2025
State-owned assets announced the latest "balance sheet"
National Energy Administration: China completed the new energy installed capacity target six years ahead of schedule

Market Review
On Tuesday, as traders awaited the results of the US election, the dollar index continued to pull back, falling below the 104 level, ultimately closing down 0.467% at 103.41. US Treasury yields rose and then fell, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 4.281%; the 2-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 4.181%.
International crude oil rose for the second consecutive day, as Hurricane in the US Gulf of Mexico may reduce oil production, and the dollar weakened. WTI crude oil peaked at $72.34 per barrel during the session, then retreated slightly, ultimately closing up 0.39% at $71.72 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed up 0.16% at $75.35 per barrel.
The US stock market saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average rise by 1%, the S&P 500 index rose by 1.2%. The Nasdaq increased by 1.4%. Trump Media Technology Group (DJT.O) fell by 1%, triggering multiple circuit breakers due to high volatility during the session, Tesla (TSLA.O) rose over 3.5%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose 2.8%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index closed up 1.6%, EHang Intelligent (EH.O) rose 10%, Xpeng Motors (XPEV.N) rose 6%, and Alibaba (BABA.N) rose 0.8%.

International News
US Election - Trump Media Technology Group's stock price fluctuated significantly, triggering multiple circuit breakers; a voting machine in a county in Pennsylvania experienced a malfunction due to printing issues; Musk and Trump will spend election day together; a gas leak occurred at a polling station in Michigan, and voters were transferred to other polling stations; some voting machines in central Iowa experienced malfunctions; Edison Research released seven swing states and national exit polls, where two swing states showed a higher proportion of positive ratings for Trump than Harris, four swing states showed a higher proportion of positive ratings for Harris than Trump, and one swing state showed a tie, while national exit polls showed a higher proportion of positive ratings for Harris than Trump.

$btc $eth $sol

You can take risks, but you can't bet everything on one throw.
International News:
1. The initial annualized quarterly rate of real GDP in the third quarter of the United States was 2.8%, lower than the market expectation of 3%. The initial annualized quarterly rate of the core PCE price index was 2.2%, higher than the expected 2.1%, but lower than the previous value of 2.8%.
2. The number of ADP employment in the United States in October was 233,000, the largest increase since March 2024, far exceeding the market expectation of 114,000.
3. Multiple sources indicate that a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon is imminent.
4. The Kremlin denied reports that "Ukraine and Russia held preliminary talks on stopping attacks on each other's energy facilities."
5. Sources said that OPEC+ may postpone the planned production increase originally scheduled for December by one month or more.
6. Germany's third-quarter seasonally adjusted GDP quarterly rate was better than expected, causing traders to cut expectations that the European Central Bank would cut interest rates by 50 basis points in December, with the probability downgraded from about 45% to 22%.
7. The UK autumn budget shows that it will increase taxes by 40 billion pounds; increase the income tax on private equity to 32%; increase the low-end tax rate of capital gains tax from 10% to 18%, and increase the high-end tax rate to 24%; fuel tax will not be increased next year.
8. World Gold Council: The total global gold demand in the third quarter of 2024 is 1,313 tons, a year-on-year increase of 5%.

Domestic news:
1. The Ministry of Commerce responded to the final rules of US investment restrictions on China: China firmly opposes the US's final rules on investment restrictions on China, has made solemn representations to the US, and reserves the right to take measures.
2. Six departments: Accelerate the construction of large-scale wind power and photovoltaic bases focusing on deserts, Gobi and desert areas.
3. Ministry of Foreign Affairs: Hope that the EU will promote consultations with China in a constructive manner to avoid the expansion and escalation of trade frictions.
4. Some central enterprises have modified the energy storage bidding rules and reduced the price weight, involving the wind, light and storage industries.
5. Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council: Will study and introduce special measures to promote the integration of Fujian and Taiwan and relax market access.
6. The fifth "space meeting", Shenzhou 19 astronauts successfully entered the Chinese space station.
7. BYD surpassed Tesla in quarterly revenue for the first time.

Account status: continue to stay put, low position. We are ready for 50% fluctuations in BTC weekly, that is, it is very likely that we will see BTC starting with 3, ETH starting with 10, BNB starting with 3, and SOL below 100 within the year, so wait and see.

$btc $eth $sol

Don’t enter and exit the market too frequently

Today’s top picks
Gold opened lower on Monday
Israel launched a military strike against Iran over the weekend. Sources said Iran informed Israel through a third party that it would not respond
US media: Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei is seriously ill
Israel’s Mossad director led a team to discuss a ceasefire in Gaza, but Israeli media revealed that he had no relevant authorization
The final results of the Japanese House of Representatives election are out, and the ruling coalition did not win a majority of seats
President Xi Jinping: Strengthen the construction of inclusive, basic and bottom-line livelihood
Deputy Minister of Finance: China is confident of achieving an annual economic growth of about 5% Growth target
State Council: We must focus on striving to achieve the annual economic and social development goals and continue to implement a package of incremental policies
In the third quarter of this year, Central Huijin increased its holdings of multiple broad-based ETFs
Alibaba agreed to pay 3 billion yuan to settle the class action lawsuit of US shareholders, but denied any allegations

Market review

Spot gold once lost the 2720 mark during the session, but rebounded sharply before the US market, and once rose to an intraday high of US$2747.69, up more than US$30 from the intraday low, and finally closed up 0.41% at US$2746.92/ounce. Spot silver rose before the US market, but then gave up all the gains during the day, and finally closed down 0.01% at US$33.66/ounce. On Monday, spot gold opened with a gap down of US$15.
The three major US stock indices rose and fell, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing down 0.61%, the S&P 500 down 0.03%, and the Nasdaq up 0.56%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed up 1.38%. Western Digital (WDC.O) rose 4.72%, and its first quarter turned a profit. Tesla (TSLA.O) closed up 3.34% after rising 22% last Thursday. Cryptocurrency concept stocks fell across the board, with Riot Blockchain (RIOT.O) down 5.40%, Marathon Digital (MARA.O) down 6.37%, and Coinbase (COIN.O) down 1.97%. Earlier reports said that the U.S. federal government is investigating whether cryptocurrency company Tether may have violated sanctions and anti-money laundering regulations.

Account status: We are still reducing our positions today. The uncertain U.S. economy and overvalued U.S. stocks may bring down the cryptocurrency market at any time. Although BTC SOL is still in a long position, the altcoins led by ETH have entered the bear market very early, lacking the last drop to form a C wave kill.

#BinanceBlockchainWeek #比特币布林带收窄至低水平 $sol $bnb $btc

Accept mistakes and correct them in time.

Today's Highlights:
The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell to a new low since the week of September 28
The Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase operations approached a drop below $200 billion
Parties involved in the Gaza ceasefire negotiations have gathered in Doha, Qatar, with Hamas representatives heading to Cairo to discuss the agreement
ECB board member Schnabel: At this stage, we don’t need to discuss a 50 basis point rate cut
UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Hunt confirms adjustments to the UK's fiscal rules
National Development and Reform Commission: Further opening of national major scientific research infrastructure to private enterprises
Shenzhen Municipal Financial Office: Striving to form a trillion-yuan government investment fund group
Several banks in Guangzhou received requests: Mortgage and commercial loan rates must not be lower than the provident fund loan rate

Market Review:

On Thursday, the U.S. dollar index retraced, dropping to around 104, ultimately closing down 0.38% at 104.02. U.S. Treasury yields also fell, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 4.2170%; the more policy-sensitive 2-year Treasury yield closed at 4.0920%.
Spot gold briefly rose over 1%, but was blocked near the 2740 mark and retraced, ultimately closing up 0.75% at $2735.77 per ounce. Spot silver plunged significantly during the U.S. trading session, erasing all intraday gains and turning negative, ultimately closing down 0.07% at $33.66 per ounce.
Reports suggest that the U.S. and Israel will attempt to restart ceasefire talks regarding Gaza, with crude oil dropping nearly 1%. WTI crude oil briefly rose to an intraday high of $72.20 before erasing all gains and turning negative, ultimately closing down 0.99% at $70.22 per barrel; Brent crude closed down 0.91% at $74.22 per barrel.
The U.S. stock market saw the Dow Jones closing down 0.33%, the S&P 500 index up 0.21%, and the Nasdaq up 0.76%. Tesla (TSLA.O) rose 21.9%, marking the best single-day gain since May 2013, adding approximately $150 billion in market value. IBM (IBM.N) fell over 6%, while NVIDIA (NVDA.O) rose 0.6%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index closed down 0.8%, Alibaba (BABA.N) fell 1.7%, Zai Lab (ZLAB.O) rose 14%, and Xpeng Motors (XPEV.N) fell 6%.

Account Situation: Near the close on Friday, there was a sharp drop in altcoins, leading to a liquidation of $400 million. We established around 40% of positions, choosing to patiently wait for the next wave of decline or increase.

Risk Warning: Leverage is not the devil; it is merely a tool to improve capital utilization. Leverage itself carries no risk; the real risk comes from human nature.
$btc $eth $sol