25.1.9-8:25PM
Review of yesterday's long strategy: Bitcoin stop loss at 723 points, Ethereum had a floating profit of 50 points during the day but did not trigger the expected take profit. It fell at night and finally stopped loss at 52 points. The pullback market in the past two days has been quite uncomfortable for long positions, with some holding on, some chasing and then pulling back repeatedly, while others just set stop losses. Here’s a piece of advice: cut losses and let profits soar. Our losses must be lower than our take profits; only then can we compensate for the part of your win rate that is real. A significant profit can greatly improve your margin of error; it does not mean that you will lose everything in one go. The pullback in the past two days is more influenced not by news but because Bitcoin has reached a critical narrative period, with Trump's presidency getting closer. Therefore, the fluctuations of Bitcoin are closely tied to the U.S., leading the market to closely follow the ups and downs after the U.S. market opens, with no independent trend. ETFs are also in a state of outflow, but Bitcoin's market cap ratio is gradually increasing. One point to consider is whether this pullback aims to wash out funds from other market targets and return to Bitcoin to restart. (Daily strategies are shared at the bottom of the article for reference)
BTC4H real-time market judgment strategy layout
Bitcoin is currently at the starting point of the previous upward trend, with trading volume weakened compared to yesterday. SKDJ is currently moving towards the oversold zone, and the K-line pattern has not shown a reversal. It is estimated that there will be three more pullback tests around the 90,000 mark before starting a rebound. According to the Fibonacci line spectrum, the support level is in the 91733-90526 range, which is also set as the initial entry point for long positions. Other dimensions of confirmation are still needed: whether SDKJ forms an oversold golden cross, whether the K-line shows a reversal pattern, whether the volume of the decline weakens, and whether the support point is valid. This is our judgment basis.
ETH4H real-time market judgment strategy layout
Ethereum's pullback yesterday also broke the previous long-standing fluctuation position of 3300. This position is crucial. After dropping to 3206, it quickly recovered to 3300. However, this recovery does not guarantee that 3300 can hold; there can always be a second time, so caution is key. According to the Fibonacci line spectrum, after breaking 3300, the support comes down to 3166. This is set as the initial entry point for long positions. Other dimensions of confirmation are still needed: whether SDKJ forms an oversold golden cross, whether the K-line shows a reversal pattern, whether the volume of the decline weakens, and whether the support point is valid. This is our judgment basis.
Intraday strategy
BTC
B: 91733-90526
T: 92940-94433
S: Dropped below 90000
ETH
B: 3166
T: 3229-3308
S: Dropped below 3102
